Group 1: Open Market Operations - The central bank announced a reverse repurchase operation of 782.9 billion yuan for 7 days at a fixed rate of 1.40% on August 29, with the same amount being the bid and awarded [1] - On the same day, 361.2 billion yuan of reverse repos matured, resulting in a net injection of 421.7 billion yuan [1] - For the week of September 1 to 5, a total of 2,273.1 billion yuan in reverse repos will mature, with specific amounts maturing each day [1] Group 2: Funding Conditions - The central bank's net injection has improved the overall funding conditions in the interbank market, with the weighted rate of DR001 rising over 1 basis point to around 1.33% and DR007 declining over 2 basis points [2] - Overnight quotes in the anonymous click (Xrepo) system remain around 1.30% with nearly 100 billion yuan in supply [2] - The latest overnight financing rate in the US is reported at 4.36% [2] Group 3: Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction rate for one-year interbank certificates of deposit among major banks is around 1.67%, remaining stable compared to the previous day [7] Group 4: Bond Market Overview - Major interest rate bonds in the interbank market have seen a decline in yields [9] - The closing prices for government bond futures mostly increased, with the 30-year main contract rising by 0.01% and the 5-year and 2-year contracts both increasing by 0.04% [13] Group 5: Key News and Developments - The National Development and Reform Commission plans to accelerate the construction of a unified national market and address issues such as market access barriers and local investment behaviors [14] - Fitch Ratings downgraded Vanke's long-term issuer default rating from "CCC+" to "CCC-" [14] - South Korea's debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to rise from 48.1% to 51.6%, with plans to issue a record 232 trillion won (approximately 167.2 billion USD) in bonds by 2026 [16]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese A-share market has reached a historic milestone, with the total market capitalization surpassing 100 trillion yuan, driven by improved liquidity and attractive valuations, leading several foreign investment banks to raise their target levels for the Chinese stock market [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The CSI 300 Index has risen approximately 10% this month, ranking among the best-performing major indices globally [3]. - As of the latest report, the CSI 300 Index has continued to rise slightly to 4482.19 points, indicating further upside potential compared to Goldman Sachs' new target [3]. Group 2: Analyst Predictions - HSBC's analyst team has raised their targets for domestic stock indices due to ample liquidity in China [4]. - JPMorgan estimates that the CSI 300 Index will increase by 24% and the MSCI China Index will rise by 35% by the end of 2026, despite signs of crowded investment [4]. Group 3: Liquidity and Investment Trends - The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, combined with a series of positive domestic policies in China, is expected to inject strong momentum into both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [5]. - Recent data shows that the margin trading balance has increased to 2.1 trillion yuan, nearing levels seen during the 2015 boom [5]. - Domestic investors sold a record 20.4 billion Hong Kong dollars (approximately 2.6 billion USD) worth of Hong Kong-listed stocks, indicating a growing attractiveness of A-shares after the recent surge [5]. Group 4: Savings and Market Potential - The ratio of total market capitalization to household savings deposits in A-shares is at a historical low, suggesting significant potential for further capital inflow into the market [5]. - The structure of incremental capital is expected to diversify, including foreign capital replenishment and the migration of household deposits, contributing to market funding sources [5].

Group 1 - The Chinese A-share market has reached a historic milestone, with the total market capitalization surpassing 100 trillion yuan for the first time, setting a new record [2] - Several foreign investment banks, including Goldman Sachs and HSBC, are optimistic about the continued upward trend of the Chinese stock market and have raised their target levels for the market [2][3] - Goldman Sachs strategist Kinger Lau cites supportive valuation indicators, near double-digit profit growth trends, and favorable market positioning as reasons for the positive outlook [2] Group 2 - The CSI 300 index has risen approximately 10% this month, ranking among the best-performing major indices globally [2] - HSBC's analyst team has also raised their targets for domestic stock indices due to ample liquidity in China [3] - Morgan Stanley predicts that by the end of 2026, the CSI 300 index will increase by 24%, and the MSCI China index will rise by 35% [3] Group 3 - The influx of foreign retail investors and speculative investors through CSI 300 index futures has supported the surge in Chinese stocks [3] - Recent data shows that the margin trading balance has increased to 2.1 trillion yuan, nearing levels seen during the 2015 boom [3] - The ratio of total market capitalization to household savings deposits in A-shares is at a historical low, indicating significant potential for continued capital inflow [4]

Core Insights - The report indicates that commercial banks are increasing their allocation to interest rate bonds, while broad-based funds are reducing their holdings in government bonds and policy financial bonds [4][5][51]. Group 1: Interbank Leverage Ratio - As of the end of July, the interbank market leverage ratio was 106.81%, down from 107.64% at the end of the previous month, indicating a decrease of 0.83 percentage points and remaining below historical levels for the same period [2][11]. Group 2: Custody Data Overview - In July 2025, the total custody scale of bonds at China Central Depository & Clearing Co., Ltd. (CCDC) and Shanghai Clearing House reached 173.03 trillion yuan, an increase of 174.49 billion yuan from the previous month [3][14]. Group 3: By Bond Type - The total custody scale of major interest rate bonds (government bonds, local government bonds, policy bank bonds) reached 114.81 trillion yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 143.74 billion yuan. Commercial banks were the main buyers, increasing their holdings by 154.99 billion yuan, while broad-based funds, securities companies, and foreign institutions reduced their holdings [4][51]. - The custody scale of major credit bonds (corporate bonds, medium-term notes, short-term financing bonds, and ultra-short-term financing bonds) was 16.04 trillion yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 20.07 billion yuan. Broad-based funds and commercial banks were the main buyers, increasing their holdings by 116.8 billion yuan and 71.7 billion yuan, respectively [4][30][51]. - The custody scale of interbank certificates of deposit was 20.74 trillion yuan, a decrease of 37.43 billion yuan, with commercial banks and foreign institutions being the main sellers [4][47][51]. Group 4: By Institution - The custody scale of commercial banks reached 84.13 trillion yuan, increasing by 137.58 billion yuan. They increased their holdings in interest rate bonds and credit bonds by 154.99 billion yuan and 7.17 billion yuan, respectively, while reducing their holdings in interbank certificates of deposit by 24.58 billion yuan [5][52]. - The custody scale of broad-based funds was 37.55 trillion yuan, decreasing by 83.7 billion yuan. They increased their holdings in credit bonds by 116.8 billion yuan but reduced their holdings in interest rate bonds and interbank certificates of deposit by 117.9 billion yuan and 2.26 billion yuan, respectively [5][52]. - Foreign institutions had a custody scale of 3.79 trillion yuan, decreasing by 301.6 billion yuan, with reductions in interest rate bonds, interbank certificates of deposit, and credit bonds by 129 billion yuan, 167.3 billion yuan, and 5.4 billion yuan, respectively [5][57].

对于社保基金，本期较上一期持股增加的社保基金共1个，即全国社保基金一零三组合，持股增加占比 达0.13%。。本期较上一季度持股减少的社保基金共计2个，包括全国社保基金一一五组合、全国社保 基金四零三组合，，持股减少占比达0.80%。 2025年8月27日，比音勒芬(002832.SZ)发布2025年半年度报告。截至2025年8月26日，共有16个机构投 资者披露持有比音勒芬A股股份，合计持股量达4701.24万股，占比音勒芬总股本的8.24%。其中，前十 大机构投资者包括全国社保基金一零三组合、全国社保基金四零三组合、全国社保基金一一五组合、中 国建设银行股份有限公司-嘉实新消费股票型证券投资基金、中国银行股份有限公司-华夏消费龙头混合 型证券投资基金、创金合信基金-北京国有资本运营管理有限公司-创金合信京鑫全市场多策略单一资产 管理计划、华夏消费升级混合A、华夏线上经济主题精选混合、国泰区位优势混合A、创金合信鑫祺混 合A，前十大机构投资者合计持股比例达8.14%。相较于上一季度，前十大机构持股比例合计下跌了 4.30个百分点。 公募基金方面，本期较上一季度新披露的公募基金共计2个，包括嘉实新消费股票A、中 ...

Group 1: Company Insights - Suankuo Fund recently conducted research on six listed companies, including Weijian Medical, which reported a 13% year-on-year growth in Q2 and plans to enhance product structure and production efficiency [1] - Zhaoyi Innovation's NOR Flash business showed high single-digit growth, with niche DRAM growth exceeding 50%, and MCU growth nearing 20%, indicating a strong demand outlook for the second half of the year [2] - Ruijie Network's data center product revenue growth was primarily driven by internet clients, with over 90% contribution, and expects continued strong demand for cloud computing infrastructure [3] - Liangxin Co. focuses on data center business across three segments, with a slight decline in overseas gross margin, while aiming to expand in digital energy and infrastructure [4] - Baili Tianheng is advancing multiple clinical trials for cancer treatments and has submitted an IND application for its first nuclear medicine candidate, indicating a strong pipeline in oncology [5] - Guangbo Co. reported a total revenue of 1.171 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 2.38% increase, driven by a 40.38% growth in leisure products, while facing challenges in creative product sales [6] Group 2: Market Trends - The medical sector is expected to see significant growth, particularly in high-end dressings and health personal care, with a focus on optimizing product mix and channel structure [1] - The semiconductor market is experiencing tight supply for niche DRAM, with expectations of rising contract prices and stable overall gross margins [2] - The demand for data center products is projected to exceed 50% growth, while the SMB market is expected to grow steadily by 20-30% [3] - The renewable energy sector may face a slowdown in growth, but there are opportunities in digital energy and infrastructure [4] - The oncology treatment market is seeing increased investment in clinical trials, with a goal to become a leading player in the field within five years [5] - The leisure product market is benefiting from strong overseas sales, while the creative product segment is under pressure due to market changes [6]

Group 1: Market Overview - Hong Kong is experiencing a resurgence as a global financial hub, attracting significant foreign capital inflows, particularly from international asset management firms and hedge funds [1][3][14] - The Hang Seng Index has increased by over 26% this year, ranking among the top globally, with 44 new companies listed in the first half of the year, raising a total of HKD 109.4 billion, which is more than eight times the amount raised in the same period of 2024 [1][2] Group 2: Office Leasing Trends - The demand for premium office space in Central Hong Kong is recovering, with the rental rates for super-prime office buildings nearing saturation, reaching historical highs [4][8] - Point72 Asset Management has leased approximately 55,000 square feet in The Henderson at a rental rate of about HKD 120 per square foot, while Jane Street has signed a lease for 220,000 square feet at a rate of HKD 137 per square foot, representing a 50% premium over current average rents [5][12] - The overall vacancy rate for super-prime office buildings has significantly decreased, with the International Finance Centre (IFC) achieving an occupancy rate of over 95% [13] Group 3: Investment and Recruitment Trends - Foreign investment institutions are increasingly focusing on Chinese assets, with a consensus emerging among foreign financial institutions to increase allocations to Hong Kong stocks [15][17] - Major foreign financial firms, including BlackRock and Morgan Stanley, are ramping up recruitment efforts in Hong Kong, indicating a strong demand for talent in the financial sector [18][19] - The influx of foreign talent is also evident, with many professionals seeking to establish long-term careers in Hong Kong, driven by the city's status as a gateway to the Chinese market [20]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the equity market continued to rise strongly, and the bond market remained highly volatile. However, from the perspective of institutional behavior, the sentiment of trading desks stabilized significantly in the second half of the week, enhancing the bond market's resilience to pressure. The selling pressure from funds on interest - rate bonds was concentrated in the first two days, and they turned to net buyers in the second half of the week. The purchasing power of allocation desks has weakened. The focus in the future is still on the redemption pressure and sentiment improvement of trading desks [9]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Overall Sentiment: Bond Market Vitality Index Declined - The bond market vitality index declined this week. As of August 22, the bond market vitality index dropped 12 pcts to 17% compared to August 15, and the 5D - MA decreased 4 pcts to 23% [10]. - Indicators of rising bond market vitality include the median duration of medium - and long - term pure bond funds (the rolling two - year percentile increased from 98.3% to 99.7%), the excess level of the inter - bank bond market leverage ratio compared to the average of the past four years (the rolling two - year percentile increased from 24% to 26%), and the implied tax rate of the 10 - year China Development Bank bond (inverse) (the rolling two - year percentile increased from 4% to 8%) [1]. - Indicators of falling bond market vitality include the trading volume of the active 10Y CDB bond / the balance of 9 - 10Y CDB bonds (the rolling two - year percentile decreased from 86% to 38%) and the turnover rate of 30Y treasury bonds (the rolling two - year percentile decreased from 55% to 44%) [1]. 3.2 Institutional Behavior: Trading Desks Were Net Sellers, and the Purchasing Power of Allocation Desks Weakened 3.2.1 Buying and Selling Strength and Bond Selection - In the cash bond market this week, the order of net buying strength was large banks > insurance > other product types > wealth management > overseas institutions and others > rural financial institutions, and the order of net selling strength was funds > city commercial banks > securities firms > money market funds > joint - stock banks. For ultra - long bonds (bonds with a maturity of over 15 years), the order of net buying strength was insurance > rural commercial banks > city commercial banks > wealth management > overseas institutions and others, and the order of net selling strength was funds > large banks > joint - stock banks > securities firms > other product types [20]. - The main bond types of various institutions are as follows: large banks mainly focus on 3 - 5Y interest - rate bonds; rural commercial banks have no obvious main bond types; insurance mainly focuses on 7 - 10Y credit bonds; funds have no obvious main bond types; wealth management mainly focuses on 1 - 3Y credit bonds; other product types mainly focus on 3 - 5Y interest - rate bonds and 7 - 10Y other bonds [2]. 3.2.2 Trading Desks: Interest - Rate Bond Funds Significantly Increased Duration, Credit Bond Funds Slightly Increased Duration, and High - Performing Bond Funds Made Smaller Duration Adjustments - As of August 22, the mean and median durations of the full - sample medium - and long - term pure bond funds increased by 0.05 years and 0.08 years respectively compared to August 15, reaching 4.61 years and 4.48 years, and were at the 99.1% and 99.7% rolling two - year percentiles respectively. Among them, the median durations of pure interest - rate bond funds, interest - rate bond funds, and credit bond funds increased by 0.42 years, 0.23 years, and 0.03 years respectively, reaching 5.85 years, 5.47 years, and 4.05 years. The median durations of high - performing interest - rate bond funds and credit bond funds increased by 0.33 years and 0.11 years respectively, reaching 6.87 years and 4.65 years [39]. 3.2.3 Allocation Desks: Wealth Management Extended Duration in the Secondary Market, Rural Commercial Banks and Insurance Deployed Ultra - Long Bonds - **Differentiated Primary Subscription Demand for Treasury Bonds and Policy Financial Bonds, Declining Demand for Ultra - Long Bonds**: This week, the primary subscription demand for treasury bonds and policy financial bonds showed differentiation, with the demand for ultra - long bonds declining. The weighted average full - coverage multiples of treasury bonds and policy financial bonds decreased from 3.30 times to 2.87 times and increased from 2.87 times to 2.98 times respectively compared to the previous week. Among them, the weighted average full - coverage multiples of treasury bonds and policy financial bonds with a maturity of 10Y and above decreased from 4.08 times to 2.69 times and from 2.62 times to 2.51 times respectively [52]. - **Large Banks: Maintained Strong Net Buying of 1 - 3Y Treasury Bonds since August**: Since the beginning of this year, the issuance of government bonds has been fast and the duration has been long. Large banks' net selling of cash bonds in the secondary market in the first half of the year was significantly stronger than in the same period of previous years. From July to August, large banks increased their net buying. As of August 22, the cumulative net selling of cash bonds for the whole year was lower than the levels in the same period of 2022 and 2023. In terms of short - term treasury bonds, large banks increased their net buying of treasury bonds with a maturity of less than 1Y since June, but the cumulative net buying since the beginning of the year was still much lower than the level in the same period of 2024 and higher than the level in 2023. Large banks maintained strong net buying of 1 - 3Y treasury bonds from May to July, and the daily average net buying strength decreased slightly in August compared to July. As of August 22, the cumulative net buying of 1 - 3Y treasury bonds this year was 5657 billion yuan (compared to 5330 billion yuan at the end of August 2024) [57]. - **Rural Commercial Banks: Weak Bond - Buying Strength, Focusing on Long - Term Bonds and Neglecting Short - Term Bonds**: The cumulative net buying of cash bonds by rural commercial banks since the beginning of this year has been significantly weaker than in the same period of previous years, mainly due to the weak net buying of short - term bonds with a maturity of less than 1Y. As of August 22, rural commercial banks had a cumulative net selling of 3732 billion yuan of bonds with a maturity of less than 1Y (compared to net buying of 1.99 trillion yuan and 2.67 trillion yuan at the end of August in 2023 and 2024 respectively). However, the net buying of bonds with a maturity of 7 - 10Y and over 10Y was higher than in the same period of previous years [68]. - **Insurance: The Accelerated Issuance of Government Bonds Facilitated the Deployment of Ultra - Long Bonds by Insurance**: The net buying of cash bonds by insurance since the beginning of this year has been significantly higher than in the same period of previous years, mainly due to the strong buying of ultra - long bonds with a maturity of over 10Y. Assuming that the cumulative year - on - year growth rates of premium income in July and August are 6% and 8% respectively, as of August 22, the ratio of cumulative net buying of cash bonds to cumulative premium income this year reached 47.76%, exceeding the level of 40.10% at the end of August last year. The strong allocation by insurance is mainly due to the sufficient supply of ultra - long - term government bonds this year. As of August 22, the ratio of insurance's cumulative net buying of cash bonds to the cumulative issuance of government bonds with a maturity of over 10Y was only 28.28%, lower than the levels of 35.14% and 31.15% at the end of July and August last year [75]. - **Wealth Management: The Duration in the Secondary Market Rose Again**: Since June, the cumulative net buying of cash bonds by wealth management has been continuously increasing and is significantly higher than the levels of the past three years. In particular, the net buying of bonds with a maturity of over 10Y has been very strong. As of August 22, wealth management had a cumulative net buying of 1414 billion yuan of bonds with a maturity of over 10Y this year, while in previous years (except 2022), there was cumulative net selling in the same period. This week, the duration of wealth management's net buying of cash bonds in the secondary market remained basically the same and was still at the highest level since February 23, 2024. As of August 22, the weighted average duration of wealth management's cumulative net buying of cash bonds was 1.76 years, the same as on August 15 [77][83]. 3.3 Asset Management Product Tracking: Most Interest - Rate Bond Funds Recorded Negative Returns in the Past Three Months - Since August, the month - on - month growth rate of the scale of equity funds has been higher than that of bond funds. In August, the month - on - month increases in the scale of bond funds and equity funds were 57.8 billion yuan and 339 billion yuan respectively, compared to 142.3 billion yuan and 164.1 billion yuan in July. - The issuance share of newly established bond - type funds this week was still low. The scale of newly established bond funds this week was only 3.7 billion yuan, which rebounded from 1.2 billion yuan in the previous week but was still at a relatively low level. - In terms of the performance of bond funds, the net value of various types of bond funds continued to decline significantly this week, and credit bond funds had relatively stronger resistance to decline. The median annualized returns of pure interest - rate bond funds, interest - rate bond funds, and credit bond funds in the past week were - 8.6%, - 7.8%, and - 7.1% respectively. Most pure interest - rate bond funds and interest - rate bond funds recorded negative returns in the past three months [86].

Core Viewpoint - The recent notification issued by multiple government departments enhances the flexibility of the personal pension system in China, allowing for a wider range of withdrawal scenarios and operational guidelines, effective from September 1 [1] Group 1: Personal Pension System - The personal pension system operates on an individual account basis, adhering to a voluntary principle where participants are responsible for their contributions and investment choices [1] - Participants are primarily focused on long-term asset accumulation for retirement rather than seeking high short-term returns, necessitating that pension investment products maintain their "pension attributes" for stable, long-term investment [1] Group 2: Long-term Investment Strategy - Financial institutions are encouraged to adopt a long-term investment philosophy, emphasizing the importance of product stability and avoiding short-term trading behaviors [2] - Regulations require fund managers and sales institutions to implement long-cycle assessment mechanisms, with performance evaluations for pension investment funds not shorter than five years [2] - As of June 2023, personal pension investment products have generated over 390 million yuan in returns for investors, with an average annualized return exceeding 3.4% [2] Group 3: Lifecycle Needs of Investors - Pension investment products must align with the diverse lifecycle needs of investors, particularly catering to middle-aged individuals who support both elderly parents and children, as well as younger participants [3] - The ideal pension financial product system should offer a comprehensive range of options to meet varying investor demands throughout their life stages [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - 8 - 10 months are in a headwind period for the bond market, with current sentiment weaker than in March. Short - term advice is to observe more and trade less, and take profit and adjust positions when there is a yield decline window. Mid - term is an adjustment rather than a reversal, so pay attention to opportunities arising from declines [7][10][107]. - Currently, the safety cushion of bank wealth management still exists. In the short term, redemptions may be a small - scale redemption wave at the fund level. If the yield rises to 1.9%, pay attention to the redemption pressure of wealth management [7][10][107]. - The 30 - 10y spread has reached a new high since 2024. Considering the positive effects of the insurance predetermined interest rate cut and "rush to stop sales", gradually allocate during adjustments when the 10y Treasury bond approaches 1.8% and the 30 - 10y spread is around 30bp [7][10][107]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 7 - month Central Bank Balance Sheet and Custody Volume Interpretation 3.1.1 July 2025 Central Bank Balance Sheet Changes - The central bank's balance sheet scale increased from 45.8 trillion yuan to 45.9 trillion yuan, up 16.7 billion yuan. The main increase on the asset side was "claims on other depository corporations", and on the liability side, it was "government deposits", while the main decrease was "deposits of other depository corporations" [15]. - On the asset side, the "claims on other depository corporations" were close to the open - market投放 scale, showing positive liquidity support. The PSL balance has been rapidly decreasing since the beginning of the year, and attention should be paid to the restart of policy - related financial tools. The "claims on the central government" continued to shrink due to the maturity of short - term Treasury bonds [17][18][20]. - On the liability side, due to the large tax - payment month and increased supply, government deposit increments reached a seasonal high. Bank system funds flowed to fiscal deposits, causing the "deposits of other depository corporations" to decline seasonally [23][28]. 3.1.2 Impact of July 2025 Central Bank Operations on Custody Volume - In July, the central bank conducted 1.4 trillion yuan of outright reverse repurchase operations, with a net injection of 20 billion yuan. Treasury bond trading remained suspended [32]. - The scale of innovative tools was consistent with the change in the custody volume account. The main incremental varieties were local government bonds and policy - bank bonds, and the main reduction item was Treasury bonds [33]. 3.2 Leverage Ratio: After the Quarter - end, the Funding Situation Eased, and Institutional Leverage Declined Seasonally - In July, after the quarter - end, the funding situation eased, and the average monthly leverage ratio declined seasonally to 107.6%. The average daily trading volume of pledged repurchase decreased to 7.6 trillion yuan, and the average bond - market leverage ratio decreased from 107.8% to 107.6% [38]. 3.3 By Institution: Allocation - Oriented Investors Increased Positions on Highs, Redemption Drove Funds to Sell Bonds, and Wealth Management Had a Big Bond - Allocation Month 3.3.1 Banks: Large Banks Set a New Monthly Bond - Allocation High, and Rural Commercial Banks Bought 7 - 10y Bonds on Highs - As of July 2025, commercial banks mainly held local government bonds, Treasury bonds, and policy - bank bonds. In July, they mainly increased positions in interest - rate bonds and reduced positions in certificates of deposit [44][46]. - Large banks' bond - investment scale reached a new high in July. In the primary market, government - bond supply advanced seasonally, and in the secondary market, regulatory pressure eased, and they mainly bought short - term Treasury bonds and certificates of deposit [50]. - Rural commercial banks bought 7 - 10y interest - rate bonds on highs in July. Since mid - August, their bond - buying scale increased again, but their willingness to allocate below 1.75% weakened [54][56]. 3.3.2 Insurance: Bond - Allocation Sentiment Was Good Since July, and Attention Should Be Paid to Structural Opportunities from the Predetermined Interest Rate Cut - As of July 2025, insurance companies mainly held local government bonds, credit bonds, and Treasury bonds. They increased positions in local government bonds and certificates of deposit in July [59][60]. - The predetermined interest rate of insurance products will be officially lowered in September. Attention should be paid to the opportunity of narrowing the 30 - 10y spread, and gradually allocate during adjustments [67]. 3.3.3 General Funds: Redemption Pressure Drove Funds to Sell Bonds, and Wealth Management Had a Seasonal Bond - Allocation Month - As of July 2025, general funds mainly held credit bonds, certificates of deposit, and policy - bank bonds. In July, they increased positions in credit bonds and reduced positions in interest - rate bonds [69][74]. - Funds faced increased redemption pressure in July and mainly sold 7 - 10y Treasury bonds, policy - bank bonds, and certificates of deposit. After August 18, the redemption wave restarted, and historically, the 10y Treasury bond usually peaked within 5 trading days after the start of redemptions [79]. - Bank wealth management had a bond - allocation month driven by liabilities, but some "front - running" behaviors overdrew the seasonal bond - allocation demand [81]. 3.3.4 Foreign Investors: The Comprehensive Yield of Investing in Certificates of Deposit Decreased, and the Net Outflow Speed Accelerated - As of July 2025, foreign institutions mainly held Treasury bonds, certificates of deposit, and policy - bank bonds. In July, they mainly reduced positions in certificates of deposit, Treasury bonds, and policy - bank bonds [85][92]. 3.4 By Bond Type: The Main Support for the Increment of Bond - Market Custody Volume Was Government Bonds, and the Main Reduction Item Was Certificates of Deposit - In July, the increment of the bond - market custody volume increased, with government bonds as the main support and certificates of deposit as the main reduction item. The net financing scale of interest - rate bonds decreased from 1.7067 trillion yuan to 1.5334 trillion yuan [94][99]. - For Treasury bonds, the issuance scale decreased, and the net financing scale declined. For local government bonds, the issuance scale increased, and the net financing scale increased. For policy - bank bonds, the supply rhythm was relatively stable, and the net financing scale changed little [99][100]. - For certificates of deposit, after the quarter - end, the funding situation was loose, and bank liability pressure was limited, resulting in negative net financing [104].