道达尔集团第二季度调整后净利润35.8亿美元，预估36.7亿美元。 调整后息税折旧及摊销前利润96.9亿美元，预估101.1亿美元。 ...

Group 1 - Chevron has laid off approximately 650 employees in the Houston area and North Dakota [1] - This decision follows Chevron's completion of a $53 billion acquisition of Hess Corp. [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoint of the Report Crude oil prices are likely to remain range - bound and weak in the short term. The ongoing game between OPEC+ production cuts and increased US exports, potential supply increments from oil - producing countries like Iraq, weakening refinery demand, and rising refined product inventories all contribute to this outlook. Geopolitical risks may cause short - term fluctuations, but factors such as slow crude oil de - stocking, increasing refined product pressure, and expected tightening of macro - liquidity limit the upside potential of oil prices [7][8]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Daily Market Summary - **Crude Oil Futures Market Data Changes**: On July 22, 2025, crude oil futures prices generally weakened. The SC main contract fell 1.56% to 504.3 yuan/barrel, a decrease of 8 yuan/barrel from the previous day. WTI and Brent dropped 0.5% and 0.61% respectively, closing at 65.45 dollars/barrel and 68.67 dollars/barrel. The spreads of SC relative to Brent and WTI narrowed significantly, and the SC inter - term spread (continuous - consecutive 3) dropped 47.4% to 20.3 yuan/barrel, indicating eased near - end supply - demand pressure [2]. - **Position and Trading Volume**: On July 22, the trading volumes of WTI and Brent decreased by 26.8% and 30.4% respectively, and open interest also decreased, suggesting reduced market activity and partial exit of short - sellers. The single - day increase of 26,840 tons in fuel oil futures warehouse receipts indicates high pressure on bonded delivery resources, possibly related to increased refinery operations [3]. 2. Analysis of Industrial Chain Supply - Demand and Inventory Changes - **Supply Side**: Geopolitical supply uncertainties are increasing. Mexico plans to issue bonds worth billions of dollars to support its national oil company, and Iraq and Turkey are negotiating an energy agreement. The US has become a net exporter of Nigerian crude oil. However, OPEC+ maintaining the production - cut framework still restricts supply in the short term [4]. - **Demand Side**: Refinery demand has weakened marginally. US API data shows a 328,000 - barrel - per - day drop in refinery crude input in the week ending July 18. There is a structural differentiation in refined product consumption, with gasoline inventories decreasing by 1.228 million barrels and refined oil inventories increasing by 3.48 million barrels. The shutdown of the UK's Lindsey refinery further suppresses regional demand. The expected increase in global LNG supply may replace some fuel oil demand, but the natural gas cooperation between China and Algeria has limited substitution effect on crude oil [5]. - **Inventory Side**: US commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 577,000 barrels (expected - 646,000 barrels), while Cushing inventories increased by 314,000 barrels, showing pressure at the delivery location. Refined product inventories are structurally differentiated, with unexpected refined oil inventory build - up and a narrowing decline in heating oil inventories, indicating weak terminal consumption momentum. The sharp increase in fuel oil warehouse receipts further highlights the implicit inventory pressure in the Asian market [6]. 3. Price Trend Judgment Crude oil prices are likely to remain range - bound and weak in the short term. The game between OPEC+ production cuts and US export growth continues, and potential supply increments from oil - producing countries like Iraq depend on the progress of agreements. On the demand side, the decline in refinery input and the structural build - up of refined product inventories indicate weakened support during the seasonal peak season. Geopolitical risks may cause short - term fluctuations, but factors such as slow crude oil de - stocking, rising refined product pressure, and expected tightening of macro - liquidity limit the upside potential of oil prices [7][8]. 4. Industrial Chain Price Monitoring - **Crude Oil**: On July 22, 2025, SC, WTI, and Brent futures prices all declined. The spreads of SC - Brent, SC - WTI, and Brent - WTI narrowed, and the SC continuous - consecutive 3 spread dropped significantly. The US dollar index decreased, while the S&P 500 increased slightly. The DAX index decreased, and the RMB exchange rate remained stable. US commercial crude oil inventories decreased, while Cushing inventories increased. The US strategic reserve inventory decreased slightly, and API inventories increased. The US refinery weekly operating rate and crude oil processing volume decreased [9]. - **Fuel Oil**: On July 22, 2025, the prices of some fuel oil futures and spot products decreased. The spreads of Singapore high - low sulfur and China high - low sulfur narrowed. Platts prices of some fuel oil products changed slightly, and there were changes in US distillate inventories [10]. 5. Industrial Dynamics and Interpretation - **Supply**: On July 23, Mexico took measures to strengthen the financial situation of its national oil company, and a Kuwaiti company made a final investment decision on a natural gas exploration project in Egypt. The US became a net exporter of Nigerian crude oil. On July 22, Mexico planned to issue bonds worth 7 - 10 billion dollars to support its national oil company. The IEA predicted a significant increase in global LNG supply next year. Zhongman Petroleum signed a natural gas exploration and development contract in Algeria. Iraq was considering renewing an energy agreement with Turkey, and Nigeria's Q1 oil production was 1.6 million barrels per day [11][12]. - **Demand**: As of July 21, the average price of domestic 92 gasoline increased by 48 yuan/ton compared to the beginning of the month [14]. - **Inventory**: In the week ending July 18, US API data showed changes in crude oil input, refined product imports, and various inventory levels, including significant increases in refined oil inventories and decreases in gasoline inventories. The fuel oil futures warehouse receipts increased by 26,840 tons [15]. - **Market Information**: As of July 23, the prices of some crude oil futures decreased. The trading volumes and open interest of WTI and Brent crude oil futures decreased, while those of natural gas futures changed. The market was in a state of multi - day oscillation, and concerns about summer demand and inventory changes affected price trends [16][17]. 6. Industrial Chain Data Charts The report includes charts such as WTI and Brent first - line contract prices and spreads, SC and WTI spreads, US crude oil weekly production, OPEC crude oil production, and various inventory and operating rate charts, which help to visually present the market situation [18][20][22].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an adjusted operating income of $6.5 billion before tax and an IFRS net income of $300 million, impacted by an impairment on U.S. offshore wind projects [5][6] - Adjusted earnings per share was NOK 0.64, with cash flow from operations after tax being strong at $9.2 billion [6][20] - The net debt to capital employed ratio increased to 15.2%, reflecting the state's share of the buyback from last year booked as finance debt [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company produced 2.096 million barrels per day, up more than 2% from last year, with a target of 4% production growth for the year [15] - Liquids production increased by 4%, driven by the ramp-up of Johan Castberg and high regularity on Johan Sverdrup [16] - Renewable production increased by 26%, mainly due to the ramp-up of Dogger Bank A in the UK [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The European gas market is impacted by lower storage levels, with inventories almost 20 percentage points lower than last year [7] - Gas prices in Europe and the U.S. were higher, while liquids prices were lower compared to the same quarter last year [17] - The company captured almost 80% higher gas prices in the U.S. onshore market [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to cost and capital discipline, reporting flat cost development in the quarter [8] - Strategic progress includes the ramp-up of Johan Castberg and final investment decisions on Johan Sverdrup Phase III [9] - The company announced two long-term contracts for gas supply to the UK and Germany, indicating strong demand for Norwegian gas [9][61] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that energy markets are affected by geopolitical unrest and trade wars, leading to significant volatility in oil markets [7] - The company remains focused on operations and resilience amid uncertainty, with a robust balance sheet [8] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term role of natural gas in energy transition and electrification [46] Other Important Information - The company expects to deliver around $9 billion in capital distribution for the year, including a cash dividend of $0.37 per share and a share buyback of up to $1.265 billion [14] - An impairment of $955 million was recorded due to changes in regulations for future offshore wind projects in the U.S. [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: On the Empire Wind impairment and discount rate - Management clarified that the 3% discount rate used for impairment testing is an unlevered real discount rate after tax, justified by the fixed revenue profile for 25 years [26][27] Question: On working capital and trading volatility - Working capital is currently $5 billion, a reduction of $550 million, driven by upstream segment movements rather than trading activities [28][29] Question: On the new tax system in Norway - Tax payments will be evenly distributed over the year, with five installments in the second half of 2025 and five in the first half of 2026 [34][35] Question: On the Peregrino divestment and Bacalau project - The divestment of Peregrino is expected to close towards the end of the year, with Bacalau progressing well and expected to contribute significantly to international production [44][45] Question: On CapEx and competitive cash returns - Management emphasized that CapEx is a pretax number, while cash flow from operations is after tax, affecting comparisons with peers [87][88] Question: On Johan Sverdrup production and cost inflation - Johan Sverdrup is expected to maintain high production levels, with ongoing efforts to manage water and improve recovery rates [94][96] - Cost inflation pressures are expected to ease in Norway, while the market remains tight overall [98][99]

原油日报 | 2025-07-23 重新定义石化老旧装置或带来炼油产能优化 市场要闻与重要数据 1、纽约商品交易所8月交货的轻质原油期货价格下跌99美分，收于每桶66.21美元，跌幅为1.47%；9月交货的伦敦 布伦特原油期货价格下跌62美分，收于每桶68.59美元，跌幅为0.90%。SC原油主力合约收跌0.55%，报504元/桶。 2、 伊朗外交部发言人伊斯梅尔·巴加埃在例行记者会上表示，伊朗将与中国和俄罗斯就伊朗核计划问题举行三方 会谈。巴加埃表示，在过去一年中，伊朗与中国和俄罗斯就"快速恢复制裁"机制，进行了富有成效的磋商，以跟 进核协议的执行情况。同时巴加埃批评欧洲国家将该机制用作威胁伊朗的工具。 (来源：Bloomberg） 2025年期货市场研究报告 第1页 请仔细阅读本报告最后一页的免责声明 3、\t美国财政部长贝森特表示，下一轮美中会谈可能讨论中国购买俄罗斯和伊朗石油的问题。对于上述消息，在7 月22日举行的中国外交部例行记者会上，外交部发言人郭嘉昆在回应外媒记者"中方对此有何评论"的提问时表示， 在关税问题上，中方立场是一贯和明确的，希望美方同中方一道落实两国元首通话达成的重要共识，发挥中美 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Crude oil: Adjusted from bullish to neutral and oscillatory [1] - Precious metals: Wide - range oscillation, not advisable to chase the uptrend [2] - Copper: Resistance at the upper integer level, cautious trading [3] - Aluminum: Short - term high - level oscillation, resistance around 21,000 yuan [4] - Cast aluminum alloy: More support compared to aluminum prices [5] - Alumina: High - level operation, beware of correction risks [6] - Zinc: Temporary wait - and - see, inclined to short above 23,000 [7] - Tin: Hold or increase short positions in far - month contracts [9] - Polysilicon: Temporary wait - and - see [10] - Industrial silicon: Expected to oscillate upward [11] - Rebar and hot - rolled coil: The futures market is expected to remain strong [12] - Iron ore: Short - term upward trend, but note increased volatility [13] - Coke: Likely to maintain the uptrend in the short term [14] - Coking coal: Likely to maintain the uptrend in the short term [15] - Manganese silicon: Follow the rebar trend, with a relatively small increase [16] - Ferrosilicon: Follow the rebar trend, with relatively weak increase [17] - Container Shipping Index (European Line): Short - term wide - range oscillation [18] - Fuel oil and low - sulfur fuel oil: FU is resistant to decline, LU follows crude oil [19] - Asphalt: BU cracking margin is expected to be supported [20] - Liquefied petroleum gas: The futures market runs weakly [21] - Urea: Expected to oscillate upward in the short term [22] - Methanol: The sustainability of the increase remains to be seen [23] - Pure benzene: Monthly spread band - trading, long in the short - to - medium term, short in the fourth quarter [24] - Styrene: The supply - demand contradiction is difficult to change in the short term [25] - Polypropylene and plastic: Market sentiment improves, but fundamentals remain weak [25] - PVC and caustic soda: PVC follows the overall sentiment in the short term, caustic soda is affected by macro factors [26] - PX and PTA: Wait for downstream demand to recover [27] - Ethylene glycol: Short - term long - position allocation, beware of pressure at previous highs [28] - Short - fiber and bottle - grade chips: Consider long - position allocation for short - fiber in the medium term [29] - Glass: Follow macro sentiment in the short term, pay attention to capacity reduction in the long term [30] - 20 - rubber, natural rubber, and butadiene rubber: Adopt a rebound strategy [31] - Soda ash: Follow macro sentiment in the short term, pay attention to capacity elimination [32] - Soybean and soybean meal: Oscillate before tariff and weather issues are clear [33] - Soybean oil and palm oil: Long - position allocation on dips [34] - Rapeseed and rapeseed oil: Short - term wait - and - see [35] - Soybean No.1: Follow weather and policy guidance in the short term [36] - Corn: Dalian corn futures may continue to oscillate at the bottom [37] - Live pigs: Follow policy guidance, far - month contracts are stronger [38] - Eggs: Seasonal rebound, pay attention to cold - storage egg release [39] - Cotton: Temporary wait - and - see or intraday trading [40] - Sugar: Expected to oscillate [41] - Apples: Temporary wait - and - see [42] - Wood: Temporary wait - and - see [43] - Pulp: Temporary wait - and - see or light long - position on dips [44] - Stock index: Risk preference is expected to be oscillatory and bullish, increase allocation to technology growth [45] - Treasury bonds: Expected to oscillate in the short term, with an increased probability of a steeper yield curve [46] Core Views - The international oil price is affected by factors such as tariffs and geopolitics, showing a trend of first pressure and then potential support [1] - Precious metals are affected by macro - sentiment and policy uncertainty, showing wide - range oscillations [2] - Base metals are affected by factors such as tariffs, supply - demand, and inventory, with different trends [3][4][7] - Energy and chemical products are affected by factors such as supply - demand, policies, and international sanctions, with diverse price trends [19][20][21] - Agricultural products are affected by factors such as weather, trade policies, and supply - demand, with different investment strategies [33][34][35] - Financial products are affected by factors such as economic data, policies, and trade agreements, showing different trends [45][46] Summary by Categories Energy - Crude oil: Overnight international oil prices declined, and the market rating was adjusted to neutral and oscillatory. The impact of tariffs and geopolitics on oil prices is significant [1] - Fuel oil and low - sulfur fuel oil: The fuel oil system futures are under pressure, but FU is resistant to decline, and the spread between high - and low - sulfur fuels continues to shrink [19] - Asphalt: The August refinery production plan decreased, and the low - inventory pattern supports the BU cracking margin [20] - Liquefied petroleum gas: Overseas markets are weak, and the domestic market is expected to stabilize under the situation of weak supply and demand [21] Metals - Precious metals: Overnight precious metals rose, and they are expected to oscillate widely due to policy uncertainty [2] - Base metals: - Copper: Overnight copper prices rose, and the market is waiting for the US tariff decision [3] - Aluminum: Aluminum prices are oscillating at a high level, and the cost provides support, but the inventory increase restricts the upward space [4][8] - Zinc: The supply pressure increases, and the short - term support is followed by the risk of a decline [7] - Tin: The price approaches the resistance area, and short positions in far - month contracts are recommended [9] - Alumina: It is at a high level, and the risk of a correction after a sharp increase needs attention [6] - Cast aluminum alloy: It is relatively strong compared to aluminum prices, and the supply shortage provides support [5] Chemicals - Polysilicon: The futures price hits the daily limit, and the cost transfer needs to be focused on [10] - Industrial silicon: Driven by polysilicon, it is expected to oscillate upward [11] - Methanol: Affected by coal production inspections, the sustainability of the increase remains to be seen [23] - Pure benzene: The spot price lags behind, and the monthly spread trading strategy is recommended [24] - Styrene: The supply and demand both increase slightly, and the inventory continues to accumulate [25] - Polypropylene and plastic: The market sentiment improves, but the fundamentals remain weak [25] - PVC and caustic soda: PVC is affected by capacity elimination and upstream news, and caustic soda is affected by macro factors [26] - PX and PTA: The price is under pressure, and the recovery of downstream demand is awaited [27] - Ethylene glycol: It is temporarily strong, but the supply increase may weaken the upward momentum [28] - Short - fiber and bottle - grade chips: Short - fiber may be long - position allocated in the medium term [29] Building Materials - Rebar and hot - rolled coil: The steel price oscillates, and the market sentiment is optimistic due to policies [12] - Iron ore: The supply increases, and the demand is stable. The short - term trend is upward [13] - Coke: The price continues to rise, and the inventory decreases slightly [14] - Coking coal: The price hits the daily limit, and the inventory is expected to continue to decline [15] - Manganese silicon: The inventory decreases, and it follows the rebar trend [16] - Ferrosilicon: The demand is acceptable, and it follows the rebar trend with a weak increase [17] - Glass: Driven by macro - sentiment, the price rises, and the long - term focus is on capacity reduction [30] Agricultural Products - Soybean and soybean meal: The US soybean good - quality rate declines slightly, and the price is expected to oscillate before the tariff and weather issues are clear [33] - Soybean oil and palm oil: The price oscillates, and long - position allocation on dips is recommended [34] - Rapeseed and rapeseed oil: The price of Canadian rapeseed declines, and short - term wait - and - see is recommended [35] - Soybean No.1: It rebounds strongly, and the short - term focus is on weather and policies [36] - Corn: The US corn grows well, and the Dalian corn futures may oscillate at the bottom [37] - Live pigs: The futures market is strong, and the focus is on policy implementation [38] - Eggs: The price enters the seasonal rebound stage, and the cold - storage egg release needs attention [39] - Cotton: The price rises slightly, and temporary wait - and - see or intraday trading is recommended [40] - Sugar: The price is expected to oscillate due to factors such as production and trade [41] - Apples: The price of new - season early - maturing apples increases, and temporary wait - and - see is recommended [42] - Wood: The price oscillates, and the short - term upward momentum is insufficient [43] - Pulp: The price rises, and temporary wait - and - see or light long - position on dips is recommended [44] Financial Products - Stock index: The A - share market rises, and the risk preference is expected to remain strong. Increase allocation to technology growth [45] - Treasury bonds: The price declines, and the short - term oscillation is expected, with a steeper yield curve [46]

智通财经7月22日电，香港交易所信息显示，贝莱德在中国石油股份的持股比例于07月16日从6.66%升 至7.15%。 ...

埃利奥特管理公司发言人：英国石油公司在成本基础、资本配置和扭亏计划方面存在特别明显的不足。 ...

| 能源 日报 | /// > 国経期货 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年07月21日 | 操作评级 | | | | 高明宇 首席分析师 | 原油 | ☆☆☆ | | | F0302201 Z0012038 | 燃料油 | ☆☆☆ | | | 低硫燃料油 ☆☆☆ | 李祖智 中级分析师 | 沥青 | ☆☆☆ | | F3063857 Z0016599 | 液化石油气 ☆☆☆ | | | | 王盈敏 中级分析师 | | | | | F3066912 Z0016785 | | | | | 010-58747784 | | | | | gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn | | | | 【原油】 隔夜国际油价反弹,SC09合约日内涨2.57%。伊拉克能源官员声明称近期无人机袭击已导致库尔德斯坦无油产 量减少14-15万桶/天，欧盟通过第18轮对俄罗斯能源制裁方案,供应担忧有所升温。但考虑到近期原油现货升 贴水及月差均未进一步走强,或显示强现实因素对油价的上行驱动减弱,7月贸易战的利空风险依然存在，油价 短期或难以突破震荡格局。 【燃料油&低硫燃料油 ...

金融界7月21日消息，上证指数高开高走，中证香港300上游指数 (H300上游，H30100)报2739.89点。 数据统计显示，中证香港300上游指数近一个月上涨3.08%，近三个月上涨17.66%，年至今上涨 12.89%。 据了解，中证香港300主题指数系列从中证香港300指数样本中根据中证行业分类选取符合相应主题的证 券作为指数样本，反映了在香港交易所上市各主题证券的整体表现。该指数以2004年12月31日为基日， 以1000.0点为基点。 资料显示，指数样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。特殊情况下将对指数进行临时调整。当样本退市时，将其从指数样本中剔除。样本公司发生收 购、合并、分拆等情形的处理，参照计算与维护细则处理。 本文源自：金融界 作者：行情君 从指数持仓来看，中证香港300上游指数十大权重分别为：中国海洋石油（28.06%）、中国石油股份 （13.23%）、紫金矿业（10.89%）、中国神华（9.44%）、中国石油化工股份（9.23%）、中国宏桥 （4.71%）、中煤能源（3.3%）、招金矿业（3.07%）、洛阳钼业（2.83%）、兖矿 ...