能源安全是关系国家经济社会发展的全局性、战略性问题，对国家繁荣发展、人民生活改善、社会长治 久安至关重要。当前，我国能源发展面临全球能源供需格局深刻调整、国内供应保障与绿色转型统筹推 进的复杂局面，保障能源安全任务仍然艰巨。党的二十届四中全会对"十五五"时期能源安全工作作出了 明确部署，提出要"夯实国家安全基础保障，确保粮食、能源资源、重要产业链供应链、重大基础设施 安全"。确保能源安全，必须夯实基础保障。这里的基础保障既包括能源生产、储运、消费等环节的"硬 设施"，也涵盖战略规划、技术创新、体制机制等"软支撑"，是一个多维度、多层次的系统工程。只有 全面夯实能源发展的各项基础，才能在复杂多变的环境中牢牢把握能源安全主动权，为中国式现代化建 设提供安全可靠的能源保障。 一、深刻领会习近平总书记关于国家能源安全的重要论述精神 深刻领会保障能源安全的重要意义。习近平总书记指出，"能源安全关系我国经济社会发展全局，是最 重要的安全之一""能源保障和安全事关国计民生，是须臾不可忽视的'国之大者'""能源的饭碗必须端在 自己手里"，这些重要论述深刻揭示了能源安全在国家发展全局中的重要地位。历史和实践反复证明， 充足的能 ...

记者昨天从全国能源工作会议上了解到，今年，全国电力供应保持安全稳定，全年全社会用电量预 计将超过10万亿千瓦时。 国家能源局最新预测数据显示，2025年，全国发电总装机将超过38亿千瓦，同比增长14%，全社 会用电量预计将首超10万亿千瓦时。从纵向比，这是我国2015年全年全社会用电量的约两倍；从 横向看，高于欧盟、俄罗斯、印度、日本全年全社会用电量的总和。 10万亿千瓦时的背后，显示中国经济的澎湃活力。今年以来，高技术及装备制造业用电增速持续领 跑，据预测，1到11月新能源车整车制造用电量、风能原动设备制造用电量同比增速分别超过20% 和30%。1到11月，互联网和相关服务业用电量同比增速超30%，充换电服务业用电量同比增速近 50%。 "十四五"非化石能源消费占比超额完成目标 "十四五"规划纲要提出，到2025年年底，非化石能源占能源消费总量比重提高到20%左右。记者 昨天从全国能源工作会议上了解到，如今这一目标将超额完成。 今年，我国能源投资增势强劲，向绿向新。全年能源重点项目预计完成投资3.54万亿元，同比增长 11%。其中，核电、陆上风电、分布式光伏等投资强劲，新型储能、充换电基础设施、氢能等投资 ...

中化新网讯《中国油气行业"十四五"发展成就报告》日前在北京发布。报告显示，中国正加速迈向现代 油气产业发展新阶段，能源结构日趋多元均衡，2030年我国天然气产量将达到3000亿立方米。 报告显示，"十四五"期间，我国累计新增探明地质储量石油70亿吨、天然气7万亿立方米，分别较"十三 五"增长约43%、40%，油气产量创历史新高。 中国石油集团经济技术研究院副院长吴谋远介绍，石油产量预计在2025年有可能达到2.15亿~2.16亿 吨。天然气"十四五"期间实现了大发展，每年天然气国内产量新增接近130亿立方米。在"十五五"期 间，预计每年保持100亿立方米新增量，2030年左右增长到3000亿立方米。 报告预计，未来10年我国能源结构将呈现"煤减、油气稳、非化石升"的特征。到2060年，我国化石能 源、水电核电、风电、光电占比分别为23%、19%、25%、30%。 吴谋远表示，未来5年，化石能源与可再生能源融合发展，实现能源体系的健康、稳定、高韧性。清洁 能源将继续保持快速增长态势。可再生能源90%以上需要通过电力的方式进行消纳，未来整个终端用能 的电气化也是很重要的转型大方向。 随着人工智能与新型高载能行业的 ...

记者从2026年全国能源工作会议上获悉：今年全国发电总装机预计超过38亿千瓦、同比增长14%，全社 会用电量首超10万亿千瓦时。"1万亿千瓦时"便相当于日本全年的用电量总和，7月和8月全社会用电量 连续超过1万亿千瓦时，我国有力有效应对迎峰度夏电力负荷20次超去年峰值考验。 国家能源局有关负责人表示，今年能源安全保障有力有效，保供成效是"十四五"以来最好的一年。 今年还有几组数据值得关注—— 油、气产量双创历史新高，原油产量约2.15亿吨，天然气产量突破2600亿立方米、连续9年增产超百亿 立方米，油气增储上产"七年行动计划"胜利收官； 全年原煤产量48亿吨以上，进口约4.7亿吨，加快建设储备产能9000万吨/年以上，煤炭供给裕度保持合 理水平、供给弹性持续增强； 西电东送能力达到3.4亿千瓦，长输油气管道里程达到20万公里，煤炭主要产区外运量超19亿吨。 总的来看，全国电力供应保持安全稳定，油气勘探开发力度大幅提升，能源资源互补互济水平持续提 升，能源安全保障有力有效。"十四五"以来，我国能源自给率从80%左右增至84%以上，建成全球最大 的可再生能源体系，能源体量规模稳居世界第一。 能源绿色低碳转型步伐也 ...

Core Insights - The 2026 National Energy Work Conference emphasizes the importance of energy security and high-quality development, highlighting significant achievements in energy supply and green transformation [4][21][23]. Energy Security and Supply - The year 2025 is projected to see record high oil and gas production, with crude oil output around 215 million tons and natural gas production exceeding 260 billion cubic meters, marking nine consecutive years of over 10 billion cubic meters increase [5]. - The total installed power generation capacity in the country has surpassed 3.8 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with total electricity consumption exceeding 10 trillion kilowatt-hours for the first time [5][22]. Green and Low-Carbon Transition - The proportion of non-fossil energy consumption has exceeded the 20% target, with an expected investment of 3.54 trillion yuan in key energy projects, a year-on-year increase of 11% [7]. - New wind and solar power installations are expected to reach approximately 370 million kilowatts, with a utilization rate maintained above 94%, contributing to about 22% of total electricity consumption [8]. Technological Innovation - The integration of artificial intelligence with the energy sector is accelerating, with a focus on eight application scenarios including "AI+" in power grids and new energy [10]. - The installed capacity of new energy storage has surpassed 100 million kilowatts, indicating significant advancements in energy technology [10]. International Cooperation - The conference highlighted the importance of international energy cooperation, with successful forums and platforms established to enhance collaboration in clean energy [16][17]. - China is recognized for its green certificate system, achieving significant breakthroughs in international mutual recognition [17]. Future Goals and Planning - The goal is to establish a new energy system by 2030, with non-fossil energy consumption reaching 25% and renewable energy accounting for over 50% of power generation capacity [25]. - The focus will be on optimizing energy infrastructure and ensuring a balanced approach to energy production and consumption, promoting high-quality development of clean energy [27][40].

台H 研究中心能化团队 2025/12/16 LP G 内院CFR华 CP预测合 山东烷基 山东液化气 丙烷CIF日本 山东醚后碳四 纸面进口利润 日期 主力基差 华南液化气 华东液化气 同价 化油 E 2025/12/09 549 4440 4392 4450 596 511 4550 7100 -395 199 2025/12/10 4424 4370. 4570 7100 -429 4440 600 557 245 198 2025/12/11 4415 4400 525 4570 7130 4420 610 564 -519 200 2025/12/12 4419 4430 515 4420 600 550 4560 7130 -440 350 2025/12/15 4460 4550 7130 -357 4460 4413 202 510 279 l 日度变化 30 -5 -5 -10 0 83 -71 40 -6 |周一，民用气方面，华东4413（-6），山东4460（+30），华南4460（+40）。懿后碳四4550（-10）。最低交割地为华东，基差24 日度变化 ０（-32），01-02月差1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights significant advancements in China's energy sector, including record power generation capacity, increased energy security, and accelerated green energy transition efforts. Group 1: Power Generation and Consumption - National power generation capacity is expected to exceed 3.8 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with total electricity consumption surpassing 10 trillion kilowatt-hours for the first time, equivalent to Japan's annual electricity consumption [2] - In July and August, electricity consumption exceeded 1 trillion kilowatt-hours, demonstrating China's effective response to peak summer electricity load challenges [2] Group 2: Energy Security and Production - Energy security has been robust this year, with supply guarantees being the best since the 14th Five-Year Plan began [3] - Oil and gas production reached historical highs, with crude oil production at approximately 215 million tons and natural gas production exceeding 260 billion cubic meters, marking a continuous increase for nine years [4] - Coal production is projected to exceed 4.8 billion tons, with imports around 470 million tons, maintaining a reasonable supply margin and enhancing supply flexibility [4] Group 3: Green Energy Transition - The share of non-fossil energy consumption has exceeded the 20% target, with strong investment in energy projects expected to reach 3.54 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11% [5] - Significant investments are being made in nuclear power, onshore wind, distributed solar, and grid infrastructure, with private sector investment increasing by 15% [5] - Wind and solar power installations are projected to add approximately 370 million kilowatts, with utilization rates above 94%, contributing to 22% of total electricity consumption [5] Group 4: Major Projects and Infrastructure - Major hydropower and nuclear projects are accelerating, with national hydropower capacity exceeding 440 million kilowatts and over 64 million kilowatts in pumped storage capacity [6] - Ten new nuclear power units have been approved for construction, bringing the total operational and under-construction nuclear units to 112, with a combined capacity of 125 million kilowatts [6]

据央视新闻等媒体12月15日的报道，在当日举行的2026年全国能源工作会议上传来一个重磅消息：我国 全社会年用电量预计首次超过10万亿度（千瓦时），成为全球首个达成这一目标的国家。 另外，今年全国发电总装机预计超过38亿千瓦、同比增长14%，同时今年我国原油产量约2.15亿吨、天 然气产量突破2600亿立方米，油气产量也创下历史新高，这一系列数据可是实实在在反映了我国能源领 域的大突破。 消费端同样热闹。智能家电走进千家万户，新能源汽车成了不少人的购车首选，文旅消费、餐饮住宿也 渐渐恢复往日活力，居民用电跟着水涨船高。1到11月，互联网和相关服务业用电量同比增速超30%， 充换电服务业增速近50%。想想看，大家每天刷手机、用智能音箱，开新能源车出门还得频繁充电，这 些日常行为也都在悄悄推高用电量。 用电量能有保障，还得靠发电和电网系统的"硬核"实力。电源方面，全国发电总装机在今年底预计超38 亿千瓦，煤电、水电、风电、光伏等多种类型的电源，就像坚强的后盾，牢牢守住电力保供的基本盘。 先说说这10万亿千瓦时的用电量到底有多"牛"。纵向比较，2015年我国全年全社会用电量大概是5万亿 千瓦时，这刚过了10年，用电 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 National Energy Work Conference emphasizes the need to accelerate the construction of a new development pattern in energy, focusing on achieving a strong energy support for China's modernization efforts [1] Group 1: Key Tasks for 2026 Energy Work - High-quality and high-standard implementation of the "14th Five-Year" energy plan, enhancing the scientific, predictive, and proactive nature of energy planning, and ensuring a unified national energy strategy [2] - Achieving a higher level of energy security by solidifying coal supply, improving electricity supply levels, enhancing oil and gas production capabilities, and optimizing energy infrastructure safety [2] - Promoting green and low-carbon energy transformation by increasing the share of renewable energy, with an addition of over 20 million kilowatts of wind and solar power capacity, and advancing major hydropower and nuclear projects [2] Group 2: Technological and Reform Initiatives - Accelerating energy technology self-reliance by initiating "AI+" energy integration pilots and advancing major technological projects in smart grids and future energy industries like hydrogen and nuclear [3] - Deepening energy reform and legal construction by innovating energy systems, enhancing the unified electricity market, and improving regulatory frameworks for new energy systems [3] Group 3: International Cooperation and Safety Measures - Expanding comprehensive international cooperation in energy, strengthening clean energy partnerships, and actively participating in global energy governance [4] - Ensuring energy supply and safety during the winter peak season, emphasizing the importance of risk awareness and responsibility in energy management [4]

Core Insights - In 2025, China's oil and gas production reached historical highs, with crude oil production at approximately 215 million tons and natural gas production exceeding 2600 billion cubic meters, marking a continuous increase of over 10 billion cubic meters for nine consecutive years [1] Group 1: Energy Security and Supply - The National Energy Administration reported that 2025 was the best year for energy supply security since the 14th Five-Year Plan, effectively responding to peak summer electricity load challenges with 20 instances exceeding last year's peak [1] - The "Seven-Year Action Plan" for oil and gas storage and production concluded successfully, enhancing the level of energy resource complementarity and mutual assistance [1] Group 2: Infrastructure Development - The optimization of national electricity flow layout and the strengthening of inter-provincial and inter-regional transmission channel construction were highlighted, with five regional power mutual assistance projects approved, including the commencement of the Tibet-Guangdong ultra-high voltage direct current transmission project [1] - The capacity for west-to-east electricity transmission reached 340 million kilowatts, while the west-to-east gas transmission lines were fully operational, and the first section of the Sichuan-East Gas Transmission Line was completed and put into operation [1] - The total length of long-distance oil and gas pipelines reached 200,000 kilometers, with coal transportation from major production areas exceeding 1.9 billion tons [1] Group 3: Future Energy Work - The energy work for 2026 aims to achieve a higher level of energy security, solidify coal supply guarantees, enhance electricity supply levels, and improve oil and gas production capabilities [1] - There will be an emphasis on optimizing the layout of energy backbone channels and enhancing the inherent safety level of energy infrastructure [1]