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政策如何“开门红”?(国金宏观张馨月)
雪涛宏观笔记· 2026-01-06 09:35
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that the 2026 policy will focus on investment as a key driver to achieve a strong economic start, with state-owned enterprises playing a crucial role in infrastructure investment [4][5][8]. Investment Policy Focus - The 2026 policy aims to leverage investment to stimulate economic growth, particularly in infrastructure, as fixed asset investment has been experiencing negative growth since the second half of 2025 [5][6]. - The government plans to implement major projects that can drive overall economic activity and support current demand [7]. Infrastructure Investment - The focus for 2026 will be on infrastructure construction, including projects like parking lots, charging stations, and urban renewal, with a significant increase in investment in social welfare sectors such as elderly care and healthcare [7][8]. - The National Development and Reform Commission has allocated 220 billion yuan for early-stage construction projects, supporting various sectors including urban underground utilities and ecological restoration [7]. Role of State-Owned Enterprises - State-owned enterprises are expected to take the lead in implementing major infrastructure projects, ensuring robust support for traditional infrastructure updates and new infrastructure development [8]. Financial Support for Investment - There is substantial financial backing for the investment initiatives, including 500 billion yuan in new policy financial tools and 200 billion yuan for project construction debt limits [9]. - The government is also focusing on resolving local fiscal difficulties and ensuring that necessary funds are available for investment projects [11]. Local Fiscal Management - The article highlights the shift in local fiscal management from merely ensuring basic services to also addressing debt repayment and clearing outstanding payments to businesses [11]. - The emphasis is on a sustainable fiscal approach that considers local conditions and avoids one-size-fits-all solutions [12][13]. Performance Evaluation and Policy Implementation - The importance of a differentiated evaluation system for local governments is stressed, aiming to ensure that performance metrics align with long-term sustainable growth rather than short-term gains [14]. - The article suggests that local governments will adopt a more balanced approach to development, focusing on their unique strengths and capabilities [15].
2026年“两新”政策扩围增效:车补按价、鼓励智能消费
Core Viewpoint - The 2026 "Two New" policy aims to proactively address economic challenges and promote high-quality development through early implementation and expanded support for equipment updates and consumer goods replacement programs [2][8]. Group 1: Policy Implementation - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance have issued a notice detailing the support scope and subsidy standards for the 2026 "Two New" policy [2]. - The policy is designed to maintain continuity with the 2025 economic work conference's emphasis on optimizing the "Two New" policy implementation [2]. Group 2: Coverage Expansion - The 2026 policy expands its coverage to include updates for old community elevators, equipment for elderly care institutions, and commercial facilities such as shopping centers and supermarkets [3]. - New subsidies for smart products have been introduced, covering smart watches, smart glasses, and smart home products, including those designed for elderly users [3]. Group 3: Structural Adjustments - The subsidy standards have been optimized, with a focus on electric vehicles and higher-priced consumer goods [6]. - The adjustment in subsidies for automobiles from fixed amounts to a percentage of the vehicle price indicates a shift towards supporting higher-value purchases [6]. Group 4: Funding and Timing - The first batch of 625 billion yuan in special long-term bonds for 2026 has been allocated earlier than in 2025, indicating a focus on quickly realizing policy effects [6][7]. - The total funding for the 2026 "old for new" program is estimated to be around 250 billion yuan, which is expected to generate approximately 625 billion yuan in consumption growth [7]. Group 5: Long-term Strategy - The policy aims to balance short-term economic support with long-term transformation by leveraging market forces to upgrade demand and innovate supply [8].
泽普县:“国补”“厂补”实惠多 元旦消费市场暖意浓
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 08:50
图尔荪古丽•阿布来提说:"我一直想给父母换一台保鲜效果比较好的冰箱。这几天休息我就过来买冰 箱,我看中的那款冰箱原价一万多,优惠下来八千多就能买到。" 泽普县某电器专卖店经理丁宽说:"元旦期间,我们的各类家电优惠力度比较大,'厂家补贴'加'国家补 贴'能优惠到百分之二十五左右。所以这几天购买电器的顾客也比较多,比起去年销售量增长了百分之 十。" 元旦假期期间,泽普县各大商场、门店人头攒动,各类大宗消费品市场迎来购销热潮。国家大规模设备 更新和消费品以旧换新政策持续发力,叠加制造企业补贴,不仅让消费者享受到真金白银的实惠,更激 活了县域消费市场的内生动力。 1月1日,在泽普县某电器专卖店内,保鲜冰箱、高清电视、节能空调等产品整齐陈列。不少消费者专门 进店咨询"国补"政策,购买心仪的家电。导购员忙着为顾客讲解政策内容与产品性能,现场一派热火朝 天的景象。家住赛力乡的图尔荪古丽•阿布来提了解完补贴政策后,很快就订购了一台全空间保鲜冰 箱。 虽然今年电动自行车已移出国家大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策目录,但是制造企业推出的"工 厂补贴"同样吸引了不少消费者的目光。在泽普县某电动自行车旗舰店内,安全性能更好、续航时 ...
带动3.92万亿元消费!九部门20项举措发力绿色消费
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 08:50
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government, through the Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments, has launched a comprehensive initiative to promote green consumption, outlining 20 measures across seven areas to enhance sustainable practices during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [6]. Group 1: Green Consumption Initiatives - The initiative aims to achieve the replacement of 18.3 million old cars with new ones, with nearly 60% being electric vehicles, and to replace 192 million home appliances, with 90% meeting high energy and water efficiency standards [3]. - The "old-for-new" policy is expected to drive consumer goods sales worth 3.92 trillion yuan, benefiting approximately 494 million consumers [3]. - The plan includes the recovery of 17.67 million scrapped vehicles and the trading of 39.686 million second-hand cars, with a 45.8% annual growth rate in vehicle recovery [3]. Group 2: Green Supply Chain Development - The Ministry of Commerce is promoting the use of recyclable packaging materials and standardized pallets, which can reduce loading times by 80% and decrease damage rates by over 50%, leading to a 20% reduction in supply chain costs [4]. - The standardization rate of pallets has reached 37.8%, with an estimated saving of 250 million single-use pallets, equivalent to protecting 50 million trees and reducing carbon emissions by over 2 million tons [4]. - A notification has been issued to improve the recycling system for waste electrical appliances and furniture, with 32 pilot cities and 78 enterprises identified to enhance the recycling network [4]. Group 3: Green Business Practices - The Ministry of Commerce is fostering the development of green businesses in retail, catering, and accommodation sectors, with 1,161 green markets and 3,500 green hotels established [5]. - E-commerce platforms are collaborating with upstream and downstream businesses to create green alliances and promote low-carbon operational standards [5]. - Various events are being organized to promote green consumption habits among consumers, including exhibitions and seasonal campaigns [5]. Group 4: Future Directions - The initiative emphasizes the need for a collaborative approach involving government, businesses, and consumers to effectively promote green consumption [7]. - The Ministry of Commerce plans to enhance coordination and detail the implementation of measures to ensure the policies are effectively executed, aiming to integrate green and low-carbon principles into all aspects of production and lifestyle [7].
覆盖10大类产品,每件最高补贴1500元!济南家电数码补贴活动正式启动
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 08:46
Group 1 - The Jinan Municipal Bureau of Commerce has officially launched a subsidy program for the replacement of old home appliances and the purchase of new digital and smart products, set to cover six categories of home appliances and four categories of digital products [2] - Consumers can receive a subsidy of 15% on the final sales price when purchasing energy-efficient home appliances and digital products, with specific limits on the subsidy amounts for each category [2] - The subsidy program allows each individual to purchase one item per category to qualify for the subsidy, with a maximum subsidy of 1,500 yuan for home appliances and 500 yuan for digital products [2]
商务部:2024年至2025年全国报废汽车回收1767.3万辆
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2026-01-06 08:27
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is promoting green consumption through policies that incentivize the replacement of old consumer goods with new, energy-efficient products, particularly in sectors like home appliances, furniture, building materials, and electric vehicles [1] Group 1: Policy Initiatives - The Ministry of Commerce, in collaboration with the National Development and Reform Commission, is implementing a program for replacing old consumer goods to stimulate green consumption [1] - Subsidies will be provided for high-efficiency green appliances, green home products, green building materials, and new energy vehicles to further boost green consumption demand [1] Group 2: Market Projections - From 2024 to 2025, it is projected that 17.673 million scrapped vehicles will be recycled, with an average annual growth rate of 45.8% [1] - The transaction volume of second-hand vehicles is expected to reach 39.686 million units [1] - Approximately 53 million old home appliances and mobile phones will be properly dismantled, with an average annual growth rate of about 12% [1]
2024至2025年以旧换新带动消费品销售额3.92万亿元 惠及4.94亿人次
Xin Hua She· 2026-01-06 08:04
同期,全国报废汽车回收1767.3万辆,年均增速45.8%;二手汽车交易3968.6万辆;规范拆解废旧家电 及手机约5300万台,年均增速约12%。(记者谢希瑶、向定杰) 记者从国务院新闻办公室1月6日举行的新闻发布会上获悉,2024年至2025年,我国实现汽车以旧换新 1830万辆,其中新能源汽车占比近60%。实现家电以旧换新1.92亿台,其中一级能效(水效)占比达到 90%以上,以旧换新政策带动消费品销售额3.92万亿元,惠及消费者4.94亿人次。 ...
银河证券:维持美的集团“推荐”评级,2B业务成为重要增长驱动力
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 07:08
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Midea Group's 2B business has become a significant growth driver, with ongoing organizational restructuring and continuous mergers and acquisitions [1] - The acquisition of Carestream International will enable Midea Group to gain access to Ricoh Medical's overseas sales network, radiology imaging technology platform, and overseas R&D team [1] - Concerns regarding the impact of domestic appliance subsidy reductions and rising copper prices on costs have been alleviated recently [1] Group 2 - The company continues to emphasize shareholder returns, having completed a share repurchase plan of 10 billion yuan by December 8, 2025, with a total of 135 million shares repurchased, of which 95 million shares will be canceled [1] - The expected dividend payout ratio is projected to reach 70%, making the combined effect of share cancellation and dividends attractive in terms of yield [1] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 13.1, 11.8, and 10.7 times, maintaining a "recommended" rating [1]
研报掘金丨银河证券:维持美的集团“推荐”评级,2B业务成为重要增长驱动力
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-06 07:00
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Midea Group's 2B business has become a significant growth driver, with ongoing organizational restructuring and continuous mergers and acquisitions [1] - The acquisition of Carestream International will enable Midea Group to gain access to Ricoh Medical's overseas sales network, radiology imaging technology platform, and overseas R&D team [1] - Concerns regarding the impact of domestic appliance subsidy reductions and rising copper prices on costs have recently eased [1] Group 2 - The company continues to prioritize shareholder returns, having completed a share repurchase plan of 10 billion yuan by December 8, 2025, with a total of 135 million shares repurchased, of which 95 million shares will be canceled [1] - The expected dividend payout ratio is projected to reach 70%, making the combined effect of share cancellation and dividends attractive in terms of yield [1] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 13.1, 11.8, and 10.7 times, maintaining a "recommended" rating [1]
被停职审查、转移资产、搞办公室恋情,董明珠身上的标签是真是假
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 06:40
董明珠这个名字,提到家电行业,大家脑海里第一个浮现的便是格力空调。她从基层做起,一步步奋斗到今天的董事长位置,这一路走来经历了不少波折。 但随着她的名气越来越大,网络上也不断有各种关于她的争议和标签。比如,有人说她曾被停职审查、转移资产、还有办公室恋情的传闻。这些听起来非常 劲爆,但究竟是真是假,还是大家随便编造的呢? 董明珠的起步和坚持 1954年,董明珠出生在南京一个普通家庭,她是家里七个孩子中的最小一个。大学毕业后,她先在南京的化工研究所做行政工作,结婚生子,日子过得平淡 安稳。1984年,丈夫去世后,她独自带着两岁的儿子,1990年36岁时,她决定南下珠海寻找机会。起初,她在化工厂工作,后来看到海利空调厂招聘销售 员,于是便转行加入了空调行业。那时公司还不大,她从追讨欠款做起,短短40天就追回了42万,之后又负责了安徽市场,年销售额达到了1600万。经过几 年努力,她开拓了南京等地市场,销售业绩不断攀升,1994年,她被任命为销售部长,并提出了先款后货和淡季返利等政策,使得格力的销量迅速成为全国 领先。2001年,她被任命为总经理,着力推进技术研发和海外市场发展。2012年,她成为董事长,格力的市值突 ...