Group 1 - The volatility of global risk assets is primarily due to liquidity issues and an over-reliance on AI narratives, leading to necessary valuation corrections when industrial development lags behind market expectations [1] - The recent adjustments in the US non-farm employment data and the downshift in interest rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve have amplified concerns regarding the sustainability of AI infrastructure in North America [1] - The current market environment may lead to a "sharp drop and slow rise" pattern in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, similar to the US market, as stable return-oriented funds continue to enter the market [1] Group 2 - The Chinese stock market is currently experiencing weakness due to year-end profit-taking and reduced positions by investors, compounded by a lack of internal policy support [2] - Despite the cautious consensus, there is a strong belief in the positive outlook for the Chinese market, with expectations for stabilization and upward momentum in the near future [2] - Key investment themes include AI applications, robotics, domestic consumption, and infrastructure development in Xinjiang [2] Group 3 - The market is in a "three-phase overlap" characterized by a mid-bull market consolidation, critical economic verification, and a policy vacuum, leading to increased volatility [3] - The recent fluctuations in the overseas environment, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate expectations, have affected market liquidity and investor sentiment [3] - Long-term bullish factors remain intact, with a focus on strategic positioning ahead of key meetings in December [3] Group 4 - The current market adjustment has created a preliminary sense of space, with expectations for improved overseas liquidity and reduced domestic funding pressure [4] - Emphasis on safety margins in high volatility environments, focusing on sectors such as seasoning products, leisure foods, and communication services [4] - Recommendations include increasing positions in traditional cyclical sectors and potential growth areas like domestic computing power and innovative pharmaceuticals [4] Group 5 - The recent adjustment in A-shares is attributed to weak domestic economic data, a strong dollar, and year-end performance pressures [6] - The market is expected to remain in a state of fluctuation until mid-December, when significant policy decisions are anticipated to provide direction [6] - The outlook for the first quarter of the following year suggests a potential return to an upward cycle, particularly for large-cap blue-chip and financial cyclical stocks [6] Group 6 - The recent market pullback is influenced by global financial vulnerabilities and concerns over the sustainability of AI capital expenditures [7] - The current state of the AI industry is compared to a critical juncture in the internet sector in 1997, highlighting the uncertainty of future applications [7] - Recommendations focus on sectors benefiting from physical asset consumption, including upstream resources and cyclical industries [7] Group 7 - The recent decline in the A-share index is viewed as a "clear sky turbulence," with expectations for limited future volatility [8] - The current bull market logic based on liquidity is approaching a turning point, necessitating a shift towards fundamental-driven growth [8] - The anticipated transition from a liquidity-driven bull market to a fundamental-driven one will require monitoring political and economic cycles [8] Group 8 - The recent global equity market weakness has led to a rotation in market dynamics, with a focus on three main investment directions: AI technology, economic recovery, and undervalued dividends [9] - The performance of low-valued dividends is closely tied to the progress of the AI industry, which is dependent on breakthroughs in both application and consumption [9] Group 9 - The recent adjustments in the A-share market are expected to stabilize as institutional investors begin to position for 2026 following the central economic work conference in mid-December [10] - The technical analysis suggests that the Shanghai Composite Index may find strong support around the 3700-point level, limiting further downside [10] - The long-term outlook remains positive, with expectations for a renewed buying opportunity in the market [10]

AI 助 智绘新型工业化新图景 在不久前发布的"十五五"规划建议中，"新型工业化取得重大进展"被置于"十五五"时期经济社会主要目 标中的显著位置。新型工业化"新"在哪儿？人工智能无疑是重要抓手。"十五五"规划建议强调，全面实 施"人工智能+"行动，抢占人工智能产业应用制高点。 2017年，湖南籍科学家李泽湘返乡创业，依托家乡工程机械产业基础切入商用车自动驾驶赛道，创立希 迪智驾。如今，这家长沙智能驾驶龙头企业已递表港交所，冲刺"矿山自动驾驶第一股"。 "矿山场景无人化是刚需，能从根本上解决人员安全问题，又能大幅提升作业效率。"希迪智驾联合创始 人、副董事长马潍介绍，2024年公司交付全球最大规模无人驾驶矿卡与有人驾驶车辆协同作业车队，无 人驾驶矿卡运输效率最高达有人驾驶的104%。政策层面，2024年国家矿山安全监察局等部门印发的 《关于深入推进矿山智能化建设促进矿山安全发展的指导意见》明确，到2026年全国煤矿智能化产能占 比不低于60%，危险繁重岗位机器人替代率不低于30%，为行业发展划定清晰路径。 工业和信息化部党组书记、部长李乐成近日撰文指出，将牢牢把握智能化与工业化交汇融合的历史机 遇，锚定实现新型 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry [3]. Core Insights - Siemens Energy has raised its gas turbine production target, indicating strong demand for gas turbines, which benefits leading turbine blade manufacturer Yingliu. Siemens aims for a production capacity of 17GW in FY24, increasing to 22GW from 2025 to 2027, and exceeding 30GW from 2028 to 2030 [5][24]. - The tractor market showed stable data in October, with corn prices returning to positive year-on-year growth, suggesting a recovery in agricultural machinery demand [5][24]. - The robotics sector is approaching a pivotal moment with upcoming mass production from leading companies, highlighting the potential for domestic suppliers to break through [5][24]. - The general machinery sector remains under pressure, while engineering machinery is accelerating upward, and gas turbines are showing steady growth [5][24]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index fell by 4.78% in the week of November 17-21, 2025, ranking 13th among 31 primary industry categories. Year-to-date, the index has risen by 25.58%, ranking 6th [3][15]. Key Data Tracking - General Machinery: Continues to face pressure with a PMI of 49.0% in October, indicating contraction [23]. - Engineering Machinery: Sales of excavators reached 18,096 units in October, up 7.8% year-on-year, indicating a recovery [31]. - Railway Equipment: Steady growth with fixed asset investment maintaining around 6% [43]. - Gas Turbines: GEV's new gas turbine orders grew by 39% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting strong industry demand [55][56]. Industry Dynamics - The report highlights significant developments in various sectors, including the acquisition of Mitsubishi Electric's motor business by Ebara and advancements in 3D printing technology by INTAMSYS [59][60].

Core Viewpoints - Current risk release provides an opportunity for reallocating A-shares and Hong Kong stocks by year-end and planning for 2026 [2] - The AI sector is experiencing a "darkest hour," but long-term confidence remains unwavering [4] - The adjustment phase is merely a "doubtful bull market level" [11] Industry Insights - Focus on resource and traditional manufacturing opportunities, particularly in chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and new energy [3] - The AI industry is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with significant valuation growth potential for A-share companies [8] - The market is likely to experience a style switch, with increasing attention on low-valued sectors [6] Investment Recommendations - Emphasize sectors benefiting from physical asset consumption, such as upstream resources (copper, aluminum, lithium, oil, coal) and midstream industries [5] - Maintain a balanced allocation between growth sectors and undervalued value industries, particularly in the consumer sector as year-end approaches [10] - Focus on AI applications and sectors closely related to the "14th Five-Year Plan," such as hydrogen energy, nuclear energy, and quantum technology [14]

Group 1 - The market is entering a window of expectation for the Central Economic Work Conference, with a lack of clear direction and consensus, leading to high volatility [3][4] - It is anticipated that the GDP growth target for 2026 will remain the same as 2025, with an increase in macro policy strength, including a potential rise in the deficit ratio and special long-term bonds [4][12] - The banking sector is facing significant adjustment pressure after a recent rally, with a current dividend yield around 3.9%, which is below the critical support level of 4% for high dividend logic [6][30] Group 2 - Historical analysis shows that before market bottoms, banks typically experience a phase of rising followed by a decline, with an average rise of 5-10% and a subsequent drop of 3-9% [6][20] - The recent performance of banks has diverged from major indices, with the banking index rising 8.3% while the ChiNext and Shanghai Composite indices have seen declines of 10.5% and 2.5% respectively [18][19] - The AI industry is currently in a "darkest hour," but long-term confidence remains strong, with a focus on sectors with clear performance support such as energy storage, military, storage, and engineering machinery [31][32]

根据香港法例第571W章《证券及期货(稳定价格)规则》第9(2)条，公司宣布，有关全球发售的稳定价格 期已于2025年11月22日(星期六)(即提交香港公开发售申请的截止日期后第30日)结束。有关稳定价格经 办人中信里昂证券有限公司或其联属人士或代其行事的任何人士于稳定价格期采取的稳定价格行动的进 一步资料载于本公告内。 格隆汇11月23日丨三一重工(06031.HK)公告，公司宣布，整体协调人(为彼等本身及代表国际包销商)已 于2025年11月22日(星期六)部分行使招股章程所述的超额配股权，涉及合共89,015,600股H股，占于任何 超额配股权获行使前全球发售项下初步可供认购发售股份总数约14.09%。超额配发股份(定义见下文)将 由公司按每股H股21.30港元(即全球发售项下每股H股的发售价，不包括1.0%经纪佣金、0.0027%证监会 交易徵费、0.00015%会财局交易徵费及0.00565%联交所交易费)发行及配发。 ...

Core Insights - The company, SANY Intelligent Equipment, has successfully shipped two SWDE200N arm-type down-the-hole drilling rigs to South America, marking its first entry into the local mining equipment market [1][3] - This shipment signifies a significant step in the global expansion of Chinese high-end engineering machinery [1][4] Product Overview - The SWDE200N arm-type down-the-hole drilling rig is designed for medium to large-scale mining and major engineering projects, featuring advanced concepts of efficiency, energy saving, and environmental protection [3] - The drilling rig can achieve a drilling diameter range of 115–203 millimeters and a maximum drilling depth of 36 meters, showcasing excellent rock drilling capabilities and high operational efficiency [3] - The equipment is adaptable to various complex geological conditions, capable of drilling vertical, inclined, and horizontal blast holes [3] Market Context - The operational area for the newly shipped rigs is characterized by high altitude, thin air, and cold conditions, presenting significant challenges for equipment stability, structural strength, and low-temperature performance [3] - The successful export of the SWDE200N rigs demonstrates the solid capabilities of manufacturing in Changsha under extreme working conditions [3] Strategic Direction - In the context of increasing global competition in the engineering machinery sector, the company emphasizes technological innovation as a driver for product upgrades [3] - The development and application of the SWDE200N enrich the company's international product matrix and reflect the determination of Chinese manufacturing enterprises to strengthen their core competitiveness [3][4] - The company aims to deepen its international layout and actively participate in the global sustainable development of the mining industry, providing high-performance and adaptable equipment to inject new vitality into the global mining sector [4]

三一集团副总裁、非洲大区事业部董事长郭瑞广表示，三一集团最早从非洲开启全球化布局，目前在非 洲累计销售设备超过30亿美元，服务网络已覆盖非洲所有国家。他进一步表示，这不仅是一座产业园， 更是集制造、物流及人才培养于一体的综合平台，将为当地创造100多个新的就业岗位。 记者了解到，该产业园于2023年动工，占地2.8万平方米，预计可年产1000台挖掘机，将辐射整个非洲 市场。该产业园竣工标志着三一集团在非洲本土化战略迈出关键一步，将进一步强化其在非洲市场的供 应链能力与品牌影响力。南非是中国在非洲最重要的投资目的地之一，中国企业在当地创造就业岗位， 并为两国共同发展创造了机遇。 本报讯 （记者肖伟）近日，三一集团有限公司（以下简称"三一集团"）南非产业园在南非约翰内斯堡 市竣工。该产业园集制造、物流、人才中心于一体，将进一步助力南非制造业发展和工业化进程。 ...

Group 1 - The mechanical industry is experiencing dual opportunities from technological iteration and demand expansion, becoming a core pillar for high-quality development of the real economy [2] - Domestic companies are accelerating breakthroughs in key technologies such as high-end machine tools and industrial robots, leading to a simultaneous increase in volume and price, providing rich investment targets for the capital market [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes high-level technological self-reliance and the autonomy of the industrial chain, indicating strong policy support for the basic components industry over the next five years, significantly accelerating the process of domestic substitution [3] Group 2 - The engineering machinery sector has significant cyclical attributes, with core demand drivers being the replacement of existing equipment and export expansion, especially as the previous investment cycle from 2016-2021 will lead to a new equipment replacement cycle starting in 2025 [5] - The engineering machinery industry is expected to enter an upward cycle starting in 2024, with major products showing continuous positive growth, confirming the recovery trend in the industry [10] Group 3 - The shipbuilding industry is in a recovery cycle, with significant improvements in corporate profitability, as evidenced by a 17.57% year-on-year increase in revenue to 1191.5 billion yuan in Q3 2025, and a substantial 88.5% increase in net profit [15] - China's shipbuilding industry maintains a leading global position, with a completion volume of 38.53 million deadweight tons in the first nine months of 2025, accounting for 53.8% of the global market [12] Group 4 - The lithium battery equipment sector is witnessing a recovery, with a revenue increase of 8.75% year-on-year to 263.32 billion yuan in Q3 2025, and a significant turnaround in net profit [25] - The industry has completed a bottoming out and is entering a recovery phase, with leading companies experiencing nearly doubled net profit growth [28] Group 5 - The investment outlook for the mechanical industry indicates a new cycle of investment and growth, with engineering machinery, shipbuilding, and lithium battery equipment sectors all showing signs of recovery and demand improvement [30]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for companies in the engineering machinery and forklift sectors, emphasizing undervalued growth potential [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of NVIDIA in FY26Q3, with revenue reaching $57.01 billion, a year-on-year increase of 62.5%, and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.0%, indicating robust demand in the AI equipment sector [2][3]. - The engineering machinery sector is expected to see a recovery in demand, with domestic excavator sales projected to grow at an annual rate of over 30% from 2025 to 2028, despite current funding challenges affecting sales conversion [4]. - The forklift industry shows a positive trend with October sales reaching 114,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 16%, driven by low domestic demand baselines and recovering overseas demand [4]. Summary by Sections Recommended Companies - The report recommends a focus on companies such as Northern Huachuang, Sany Heavy Industry, and others in the engineering machinery and AI equipment sectors [1][14]. AI Equipment - NVIDIA's strategic partnerships with OpenAI and other tech giants are expected to enhance AI infrastructure, with significant revenue growth anticipated in the upcoming quarters [3]. - Recommendations for AI equipment include Dazhu CNC for PCB drilling equipment and Hongsheng for liquid cooling solutions [4]. Engineering Machinery - October data shows a significant improvement in domestic sales of various machinery types, with excavator sales expected to peak at 250,000 units by 2028 [4]. - Key companies recommended in this sector include Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and others [4]. Forklift Industry - The forklift sector is experiencing steady growth, with a notable increase in both domestic and export sales, indicating a recovery in demand [4]. - Recommended companies include Hangcha Group and Anhui Heli [4]. Lithium Battery Equipment - The report anticipates a 40% growth in energy storage demand from 2025 to 2026, driven by the increasing penetration of new energy vehicles and AI data centers [4]. - Key recommendations include suppliers like Xian Dao Intelligent and Hangke Technology [4]. General Market Trends - The overall machinery industry is expected to benefit from a recovery in fixed asset investment and a rebound in demand across various sectors, including construction and logistics [4].