Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a slight decline of 0.1%, closing at 3296.36 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index saw increases of 0.67% and 1.07%, respectively [1] - The total trading volume across the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached 12,626 billion yuan, indicating active market participation [1] - Various sectors such as food and beverage, logistics, tourism, and real estate faced declines, while the automotive supply chain, chemical fiber, and home appliance sectors showed strong upward movement [1] Group 2 - The market remains stable under the support of state-owned funds, with passive capital continuing to flow in, although at a reduced scale compared to the previous week [2] - The upcoming Central Political Bureau meeting at the end of April is highlighted as a key event for observing potential increases in domestic demand policies [2] - There is an expectation for a shift in A-share market style from defensive value to growth as risk preferences stabilize [2]

Group 1: Market Overview - The domestic stock indices showed mixed performance last week, with the CSI 300, SSE 50, and SSE Composite Index rising by 0.59%, 1.45%, and 1.19% respectively, while the CSI 500, CSI 1000, and ChiNext Index fell by -0.37%, -0.52%, and -0.64% respectively [2][9] - The style indices also exhibited mixed results, with financial, cyclical, consumer, growth, and stability style indices changing by 2.76%, 0.35%, -0.05%, -0.54%, and 1.10% respectively [2][9] - The trading volume of the comprehensive ETF last week was 1014.99 billion yuan, a decrease of 1255.55 billion yuan from the previous week [27] Group 2: ETF Performance - Among the 32 thematic ETFs, the average weekly change was -0.10%, with large-cap style ETFs averaging a weekly change of 1.14% and small-cap style ETFs averaging -1.04% [3][28] - The top three performing comprehensive ETFs were the 50ETF, 300ETF, and another 300ETF, with changes of 1.61%, 0.86%, and 0.80% respectively, while the bottom three were ChiNext, 1000ETF, and 500ETF, with changes of -0.74%, -0.47%, and -0.41% respectively [4][32] - In the thematic ETFs, the top performers were the banking ETF, real estate ETF, and financial ETF, with changes of 4.03%, 3.25%, and 2.92% respectively [32] Group 3: Fund Flows - The comprehensive ETFs continued to see inflows, particularly in the SSE 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000, indicating ongoing support for these weighted indices [32] - In the thematic sectors, there was notable inflow into banking, real estate, and pharmaceutical sectors, suggesting a bottom-fishing strategy by investors [32] Group 4: Bond and Commodity Markets - In the bond market, the Shanghai Stock Exchange convertible bonds fell by -0.43%, while the pure bond indices showed slight increases of 0.02%, 0.06%, and 0.08% for government, corporate, and local government bonds respectively [16][17] - The commodity market showed mixed results, with the Nanhua precious metals index, CRB commodity index, and CRB poultry spot changing by 3.64%, 2.05%, and 1.88% respectively [19][22]

首先，贸易冲突的进展仍主导市场短期运行。上周贸易冲突虽然没有明显升级，但是当前高额的关 税，使得全球贸易面临重大挑战，投资者的关注重心逐渐转向其对实体经济的影响。当前国际环境下， 国内积极的宏观经济政策如何进一步推进，成为市场关注的焦点和投资线索。与此同时，国内一季度的 经济数据和上市公司的年报、季报正在进入密集披露期，投资者需要密切关注具体数据是否能够达到市 场的预期。此外，上周美国人工智能芯片的出口政策有进一步收紧的趋势，科技领域的竞争和突围势在 必行，国内科技行业的进展也将很大程度上影响市场的风险偏好。 上周，两市震荡分化，成交大幅萎缩。沪指延续了上周的反弹，总体呈现继续修复的特征。但深圳 市场表现偏弱，周一开盘几乎就是最高点，随后一路小幅回落。量能方面，上周未能延续上周的放量格 局，量能出现了明显萎缩。上周市场热点主要集中在银行地产等低估值行业以及大消费行业。投资风格 方面，大盘蓝筹明显强于中小盘和科技风格。 从市场运行节奏看，沪指在周线箱体中轨线找到支撑，正在展开超跌反弹。沪指于三月中下旬，在 去年四季度的密集成交区间遇到较强技术阻力，开始进入调整。最终在周线的箱体中轨线附近找到支撑 并展开反弹。目 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market exhibited significant structural differentiation from April 14 to April 18, with major indices showing mixed performance. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.19%, while the Shenzhen Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.54% and 0.64%, respectively [1] - The market sentiment was influenced by a shift in investment style, with funds moving from high-volatility technology sectors to traditional industries with stable cash flows. Blue-chip and high-dividend strategies performed well, while growth sectors continued to decline [1] Industry Performance - Concerns over supply chain disruptions led to a slowdown in economic recovery, affecting sectors such as industrials, consumer discretionary, healthcare, and information technology, with the latter experiencing the largest decline, though not exceeding 0.8% [1] - Real estate, telecommunications services, and utilities showed relatively strong performance, with real estate rising by 3.47% [1] Fund Issuance and Performance - A total of 25 funds were issued last week, including 17 equity funds, 7 bond funds, and 1 fund of funds (FOF), with a total issuance of 20.476 billion units [2][18] - The total index for Chinese funds increased by 0.02%, while the ordinary equity fund index decreased by 0.08%, and the mixed equity fund index fell by 0.04% [2] Global Asset Review - Global asset prices showed mixed performance, with U.S. indices under pressure, while European markets strengthened. The Dow Jones and Nasdaq indices fell by over 2%, while major Asian indices rose by over 2% [4] - In commodities, the energy sector led gains, while industrial metals showed mixed results. Gold prices rose nearly 3% due to increased risk aversion, reaching over $3,300 per ounce [4] Domestic Bond Market - The bond market remained stable, with the 10-year government bond futures rising by 0.04% and the 30-year futures increasing by 0.03%. Domestic long-term interest rates remained at historical lows [16]

Overall Market Performance - The market experienced narrow fluctuations throughout the day, with mixed results across the three major indices. The total trading volume reached 914.6 billion, marking a new low since the "924" market surge last year. The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.11%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.23%, and the ChiNext Index increased by 0.27% [1]. Industry Sectors - The 5G, real estate, marine economy, and new urbanization sectors showed strong gains, while tourism, food, retail, and agriculture sectors faced declines. Notably, 5G concept stocks surged, with companies like Wuhan Vango and Hainengda hitting the daily limit. Real estate stocks continued their strong performance, with firms such as Yucheng Development and Financial Street also reaching the limit. The marine economy concept saw stocks like Jili Rigging and Shenkai Co. also hitting the daily limit. Conversely, consumer stocks in tourism, food, and retail experienced collective adjustments, with companies like Beiyinmei and Maiqu'er hitting the daily limit [2].

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - In March 2025, the decline of PPI widened, with a year - on - year decrease of 2.5% and a month - on - month decrease of 0.4%. The decline was mainly due to international input factors, seasonal decline in energy demand, and price drops in some raw material industries [1]. - China may reduce the import of American films in response to the US tariff measures [1]. - The industry credit spread showed a slight fluctuation [4]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Mid - view Event Overview - **Production Industry**: Concerns about the impact of tariff conflict escalation on exports. The decline of PPI was affected by international input factors, seasonal energy demand, and raw material industry price trends [1]. - **Service Industry**: China may moderately reduce the import of American films and introduce more excellent films from other countries [1]. 3.2. Industry Overview - **Upstream**: International oil prices fluctuated due to tariffs; prices of copper, zinc, and nickel dropped; cement and building material prices continued to fall [2]. - **Midstream**: PTA's operating rate increased, PX's operating rate declined recently, and the operating rates of polyester and urea were at a high level this year. The asphalt operating rate reached a three - year low [2]. - **Downstream**: The sales of commercial housing in first - and second - tier cities were weaker than the same period. International flight frequencies increased, while domestic flight frequencies decreased compared to the same period [3]. 3.3. Market Pricing - The industry credit spread showed a slight fluctuation. The credit spreads of various industries had different trends, with some showing a decline and others showing an increase or remaining stable [4][47]. 3.4. Key Industry Price Index Tracking - **Agriculture**: The prices of corn, eggs, palm oil, cotton, pork, etc. had different year - on - year changes, with some rising and some falling [48]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: The prices of copper, zinc, aluminum, silver, etc. mostly declined year - on - year [48]. - **Metals**: The prices of steel products such as rebar, iron ore, and wire rod had different trends, with some showing a slight decline and some remaining stable year - on - year [48]. - **Non - metals**: The prices of natural rubber, glass, etc. had different year - on - year changes [48]. - **Energy**: The prices of WTI crude oil, Brent crude oil, and liquefied natural gas had different trends, with some rising and some falling year - on - year [48]. - **Chemical Industry**: The prices of PTA, polyethylene, urea, etc. had different year - on - year changes [48]. - **Real Estate**: The cement price index, building material comprehensive index, and concrete price index had different year - on - year trends [48].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the systematic and practical analysis of various industrial sectors, highlighting opportunities for investment in pharmaceuticals, food and beverage, and textile sectors while noting challenges in other areas [2]. Group 1: Industrial Sector Monthly Tracking - Revenue, industrial added value, product price (PPI), and profit growth rates were matched across various industrial sectors, identifying high-growth sectors such as non-ferrous metal mining, transportation equipment manufacturing, and machinery repair [2]. - Sectors facing profit growth pressure include coal, black metal mining, pharmaceuticals, food and beverage, textiles, and light industry manufacturing [2]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - As of March 2025, the overall manufacturing PMI is at 50.5%, with strong performance in equipment manufacturing (52%) and strategic emerging industries (59.6%) [3][11]. - Consumer demand remains resilient, with durable goods showing a decline in external demand but stable internal demand [4]. Group 3: High-Frequency Indicators - In the automotive sector, sales showed significant recovery in February 2025, supported by policies and a low base from the previous year [4]. - The white goods sector is expected to see stable production in Q2 2025, although external demand is weakening due to increased tariffs and previous export surges [4]. Group 4: Advanced Manufacturing - The photovoltaic and lithium battery sectors are experiencing price recovery, with engineering machinery sales improving both domestically and internationally [5][6]. - Industrial robot production has accelerated, indicating a positive trend in the machinery sector [6]. Group 5: Financial Sector - Banks are maintaining stable net interest margins and non-performing loan ratios, with Q1 2025 showing active loan issuance despite pressures on retail lending [6][7]. - Insurance premiums are under pressure due to demand front-loading and weak acceptance of new product structures [7]. Group 6: Real Estate and Construction - Real estate prices and sales are stabilizing, with a slight recovery in the second-hand housing market [7]. - The construction materials sector is benefiting from increased demand, with cement prices continuing to rise [7]. Group 7: Commodity Markets - Oil and coal prices are under pressure due to supply-demand imbalances, while precious metals are experiencing high volatility [8]. - Industrial metals are expected to see price increases due to tightening supply conditions [8].

Group 1: Market Performance - In March, global asset performance ranked as follows: commodities (2.62%) > global bonds (0.61%) > RMB (0.30%) > 0% > USD (-3.16%) > global stocks (-4.45%) [2] - The "Terrific 10" index of Chinese tech stocks increased by 58% from 2024 to March 2025, outperforming the "Magnificent 7" index of US tech stocks, which rose by 41% [3] - The A-share margin balance reached 2.55% of the A-share circulating market value, the highest since 2017 [5] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The correlation coefficient between the Russell 2000 index and the NFIB small business confidence index was 0.77 from 2016 to September 2024, indicating a close relationship [3] - Since October 2024, the NFIB small business confidence index has risen while the Russell 2000 index has underperformed the S&P 500 index [3] - The A-share industry rotation speed reached the 94th percentile of historical levels over the past 10 years as of March 2025 [8] Group 3: Investment Insights - 58% of global fund managers expect gold to be the best-performing asset in a scenario of comprehensive trade conflicts, followed by long-term US bonds (16%) and short-term US bonds (9%) [4] - The valuation of the "Magnificent 7" in the US shows a negative correlation with the actual yield of 10-year Japanese government bonds, indicating concerns over high valuations and liquidity [4] - The price of rebar has decreased by 13.8% since 2023, while copper prices have increased by 4.2%, reflecting differing demand in construction and manufacturing sectors [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [7][18]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 was impacted by industry fluctuations, but its diversified business model provides solid support for profits. The debt structure continues to improve, gradually alleviating repayment pressure [6][7]. - The company achieved a total revenue of 127.47 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 29.6% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.40 billion yuan, down 19.1% year-on-year [1][2]. - The operational and service segments contributed significantly to the company's profits, with service revenue increasing by 7.4% year-on-year, accounting for 21% of total revenue [2][5]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 127.47 billion yuan, down 29.6% year-on-year. The core profit was 6.97 billion yuan, a decline of 38.6% year-on-year. The gross margin was 16.0%, a decrease of 0.9 percentage points from 2023 [1][2]. - The operational and service business segments showed resilience, with a gross margin of 75.0% for the service segment [2][5]. Sales Performance - The company recorded a contract sales amount of 101.12 billion yuan in 2024, down 41.7% year-on-year, with a sales area of 7.124 million square meters, a decrease of 34.0% year-on-year [3]. - The average sales price per square meter was 14,200 yuan, down 11.7% year-on-year [3]. Debt and Cash Flow - As of the end of 2024, the company's interest-bearing debt was 176.32 billion yuan, down 8.5% year-on-year, with cash on hand at 49.42 billion yuan, a decrease of 18.2% [4]. - The net debt ratio stood at 51.7%, with a cash-to-short-term debt ratio of 1.03 times [4]. Operational Resilience - The company's rental income from operational businesses reached 13.52 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 4.5% year-on-year, with shopping center rental income rising by 7% to 10.98 billion yuan [5]. - The company opened 11 new shopping centers in 2024, bringing the total to 89, with an occupancy rate of 97% [5]. Financial Forecasts - The report adjusts the forecast for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 and 2026 to 7.06 billion yuan and 7.25 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 7.51 billion yuan [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][17]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of approximately 185.15 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.58%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 15.64 billion RMB, down 38.95% year-on-year [1][5]. - The company has become the industry leader in equity sales, with a contract sales amount of 310.6 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a slight increase of 0.3% year-on-year, while the sales area decreased by 13.8% [2]. - The company has a strong financial position, with cash on hand amounting to 124.71 billion RMB, an increase of 17.6% year-on-year, and a debt repayment of 17.55 billion RMB in 2024 [3]. - The commercial property revenue grew by 12.1% year-on-year to 7.13 billion RMB, indicating robust growth in the company's light asset management business [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 17.7%, down 2.6 percentage points from 2023, and a net margin of 9.6%, a decline of 3.8 percentage points [1]. - The basic earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 was 1.43 RMB, a decrease of 38.9% year-on-year [1][5]. Sales and Market Position - The company's market share increased to 3.21%, up 0.55 percentage points from 2023, with a sales average price of 27,000 RMB per square meter, an increase of 3,800 RMB per square meter [2]. - The company acquired 22 plots of land in 12 cities in 2024, with a total land price of 80.61 billion RMB, a decrease of 40% year-on-year [2]. Financial Strength - The company’s asset-liability ratio stood at 55.8% at the end of 2024, with a net debt ratio of 29.2% [3]. - The weighted average financing cost for 2024 was 3.1%, the lowest in the industry, and the company received a credit rating upgrade from S&P, becoming the only domestic property company with a dual A international credit rating [3]. Commercial Operations - The company opened nine new commercial property projects in 2024, expanding its footprint in first and second-tier cities [4]. - The light asset management business continues to expand, with 18 light asset projects acquired by the end of 2024 [4].