Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for China Unicom [2][7]. Core Insights - In 2024, China Unicom achieved revenue of 389.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, with net profit reaching 9 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 10.5% [6][7]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its integrated communication and intelligent computing services, with significant growth in its cloud and IDC businesses [6][7]. - Capital expenditures (Capex) are being managed effectively, with a projected decrease in Capex for 2025 to 55 billion yuan, down 10% year-on-year [6][7]. Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024 was 389.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.6% [6]. - The net profit for 2024 was 9 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 10.5% [6]. - The company reported a free cash flow of 29.9 billion yuan in 2024, maintaining stability [6]. Business Segments - The integrated communication segment accounted for approximately 76% of service revenue, generating 263.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.5% [6]. - The intelligent computing segment contributed 24% to service revenue, achieving 82.4 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 24% [6]. Shareholder Returns - The dividend per share for A-shares was 0.16 yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.7%, with a payout ratio of 55% [7]. - For H-shares, the total dividend was 0.40 yuan, with a payout ratio of 60% [7]. Future Projections - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 9.8 billion yuan, 10.5 billion yuan, and 11.2 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 19.8, 18.5, and 17.3 [7][8].

Group 1 - The Ministry of Transport, National Development and Reform Commission, and Ministry of Finance support the scrapping and updating of old commercial vehicles that meet National III and IV emission standards, providing differentiated subsidies for early scrapping and purchasing new vehicles [2] - Xiaomi Group has raised its 2025 annual delivery target for electric vehicles to 350,000 units from the previous target of 300,000 units, indicating progress in production capacity [5] - The new stock N Hongjing listed on the ChiNext surged 282% on its debut, making it the most profitable new stock of the year with a profit of 59,100 yuan per lot [6] Group 2 - China Unicom reported a 10.5% year-on-year increase in net profit for 2024, with total revenue of 389.59 billion yuan, a 4.6% increase [11] - Daodaoquan achieved a net profit growth of 133.5% year-on-year for 2024, despite a 15.12% decline in revenue, and plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.28 yuan per 10 shares [12] - Fuyou Glass reported a 33.2% increase in net profit for 2024, with revenue of 39.252 billion yuan, a growth of 18.37%, and plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.8 yuan per share [14]

Core Viewpoint - China Unicom is embracing artificial intelligence (AI) as a transformative opportunity, expecting significant growth in revenue and profit in the coming years, particularly through increased investment in computing power [1][8]. Financial Performance - In 2024, China Unicom achieved operating revenue of 389.589 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.029 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.5% [2][3]. - The company plans to distribute a total dividend of 0.1580 yuan per share for the year, a 19.7% increase compared to the previous year [4]. Business Segments - The revenue from connected communication services accounted for 76% of service revenue, up 1.5% year-on-year, while the smart network business contributed 24%, increasing by 9.6% [3]. - By the end of 2024, the user base reached 470 million for mobile and broadband services, with a net increase of 19.52 million users [3]. - The IoT connections exceeded 620 million, with a net increase of 130 million, and the vehicle networking connections reached 76 million, maintaining industry leadership [3]. Investment Strategy - In 2024, capital expenditure was 61.37 billion yuan, a decrease of 17% year-on-year, while computing power investment rose by 19% [6]. - The company plans to reduce capital expenditure further in 2025, with computing power investment expected to grow by 28% [1][6]. - China Unicom is also increasing R&D spending by 9.1% and has allocated special budgets for AI infrastructure and major projects [6]. AI Transformation - The company is focusing on upgrading its infrastructure to support AI, including enhancing IDC to AIDC and creating a collaborative computing resource layout [8]. - China Unicom aims to build high-quality data sets to support AI development and is actively engaging in the open-source ecosystem for large models [8]. - The company plans to promote intelligent applications to various industries, facilitating digital transformation [8]. Security Measures - China Unicom is developing an internal security system for AI, ensuring reliability and traceability across computing power, data, models, and application services [9].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or companies involved [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant net inflows and outflows in the Hong Kong Stock Connect for the week of March 10 to March 16, 2025, indicating active trading and investor interest in specific sectors [1][3]. Summary by Sections Top Net Buy/Sell Companies - The top net bought company was Alibaba Group (9988.HK) in the consumer discretionary sector, with a net buy amount of 13.195 billion [6]. - The top net sold company was Geely Automobile (0175.HK) in the consumer discretionary sector, with a net sell amount of -1.11 billion [7]. Industry Distribution of Net Buy/Sell - The report provides insights into the distribution of net buying and selling across various industries, although specific data is not detailed in the provided text [8][10]. Top Active Stocks - The report lists the top active stocks, with Xiaomi Group (1810.HK) and Alibaba Group (9988.HK) being among the most traded, indicating high investor engagement [14][15]. - For the week, Xiaomi had a total trading volume of 51.84 billion in the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, with a net sell of -6.85 billion [14]. Hong Kong Stock Connect Overview - The report explains the mechanism of the Hong Kong Stock Connect, which allows mainland investors to trade Hong Kong-listed stocks through local brokers, enhancing cross-border investment opportunities [19][23]. - It also discusses the significance of southbound funds, which refer to mainland Chinese capital entering the Hong Kong market, highlighting their role in influencing market dynamics [24][26].

Key Points - The article discusses various government initiatives aimed at boosting consumption and stabilizing the economy, including measures to enhance housing loan limits and support for the stock market [2][3][23] - It highlights the recent performance of the A-share market, with significant gains in major indices and a focus on core assets as potential investment opportunities [3][13] - The article also covers international market trends, including the impact of central bank decisions on stock and commodity prices, particularly in the context of the U.S. economy [6][31][34] Group 1: Government Initiatives - The Central Government has issued a "Special Action Plan to Boost Consumption," which includes measures to stabilize the stock market and enhance the management of state-owned enterprises [2] - Shenzhen has increased housing provident fund loan limits, allowing individuals to borrow up to 60 million yuan and families up to 110 million yuan, with additional benefits for families with multiple children [3] - The government aims to support the real estate market by promoting urban village and dilapidated housing renovations to release housing demand [23] Group 2: Stock Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index has recently surpassed the 3400-point mark, with a total market capitalization exceeding 99 trillion yuan, marking a historical high [13] - Analysts suggest that the A-share market is experiencing a shift towards core assets, with sectors like wind power components and automotive electronics gaining attention [3][14] - There is an ongoing crackdown on false information and illegal stock recommendations in the market to protect investor rights and restore market credibility [13] Group 3: International Market Trends - U.S. stock indices faced declines due to uncertainties surrounding trade policies and economic conditions, with significant market volatility observed [6][31] - The article notes that gold prices have surged past the $3000 mark, driven by market uncertainties and changing economic expectations [34] - Central banks, including the Federal Reserve, are expected to provide insights into economic outlooks and monetary policies, influencing global markets [6][31]

Core Viewpoint - The three major telecom operators in China have collectively responded to media reports regarding issues in telephone marketing practices, emphasizing their commitment to self-examination and improvement in service quality [1][2][3]. Group 1: Company Responses - China Mobile has initiated a targeted self-examination in response to the reports, pledging to uphold customer interests and improve service quality by addressing any identified issues [2]. - China Unicom has also expressed its commitment to a thorough self-check, promising to rectify any problems found and to standardize telephone marketing practices to ensure transparency for consumers [3]. - China Telecom has stated its intention to conduct a comprehensive self-assessment and to strengthen marketing service standards, ensuring that user rights are protected [3]. Group 2: Industry Context - The telecom industry is currently undergoing significant reforms and modernization efforts, with a focus on addressing consumer complaints related to misleading marketing practices and ensuring compliance with regulations [4][5]. - A recent investigation by Xinhua News Agency highlighted various deceptive marketing tactics used by telecom operators, including misleading offers and hidden fees, which have led to numerous consumer complaints [6][7]. - Experts have called for improved legal regulations and better management practices within telecom companies to address the persistent issues in marketing and enhance service quality [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current macroeconomic environment in China, highlighting the importance of improving microeconomic expectations, innovation capabilities, and credit expansion to support market risk appetite and overall economic growth. Group 1: Microeconomic Conditions - The improvement in microeconomic expectations, particularly among private enterprises, has contributed to a significant increase in market risk appetite, with the Wind All A Index rising by 17.4% as of the end of February [1] - Technological breakthroughs, exemplified by innovations like Deep Seek and Spring Festival robots, have drawn attention to the innovation capabilities of Chinese enterprises [1] - The high opening of credit at the beginning of the year has opened up expectations for broad liquidity and credit expansion [1] Group 2: Economic Growth Conditions - The central economic work conference emphasizes the need to balance quality improvement and total volume expansion, indicating that corporate profitability will become a constraint as total pressure increases in the second and third quarters of 2024 [1] - The article outlines three necessary conditions for achieving nominal growth rates: effective recovery of consumption, stabilization of the construction industry, and reasonable price recovery [2][3] - In 2024, consumption is expected to recover effectively, with retail sales growth projected at only 3.5%, indicating significant potential for improvement [2] Group 3: Global Economic Context - The article notes a global "risk-off" sentiment, with major stock markets experiencing declines, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which fell by 0.98% and 3.47% respectively [4] - The U.S. economy is facing risks of slowdown, with consumer confidence indices falling below expectations and personal consumption expenditures declining by 0.2% in January [5] - The potential for U.S. fiscal contraction is highlighted, with discussions around reducing the deficit from over 6% to 3% [5] Group 4: Liquidity and Investment - Narrow liquidity is expected to enter a phase of temporary easing, with broad liquidity likely to continue expanding due to government and corporate bond issuance [7] - The article mentions that the financing scale of government and corporate bonds in February is expected to approach 2 trillion yuan, significantly increasing year-on-year [7] - The focus on infrastructure projects is expected to accelerate, with the construction industry showing signs of recovery as funding rates turn positive [8] Group 5: Sectoral Insights - The manufacturing sector, particularly equipment manufacturing, is showing leading indicators of recovery, with industries like electrical machinery and automotive returning to pre-holiday highs [9] - The construction industry is experiencing improved conditions, with a notable increase in the recovery rate of construction sites and labor utilization [8] - The article indicates that while industrial raw material prices are generally declining, consumer goods prices are experiencing seasonal slowdowns, with no consistent improvement in inflation signals [10]

【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】银行戴志锋：4Q24 货币政策执行报告点评：宽松继续， 节奏审慎 证券研究报告 2025 年 2 月 17 日 | [Table_Industry] [T[分Taa析bbl师lee__：TMi戴tlea志]in锋] | [b_Suy 今日预览 | | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号：S0740517030004 | | | 电话： | | | Email： | | | | 研究分享>> | | |  【银行】戴志锋：4Q24 货币政策执行报告点评：宽松继续，节奏审慎 | | |  【通信】陈宁玉：Deepseek+带来的运营商云与 AIDC 价值重估 | | |  【科技】孙行臻：国家数据集团组建在即，数据要素市场化改革步入深 | | | 水期 | 对稳汇率的表态更为强硬，关注度有提升。将 3Q24 货币政策报告中"防止形成单边一致性预期并 自我实现，坚决防范汇率超调风险"，修订为"增强外汇市场韧性，加强外汇市场管理，坚决对市 场顺周期行为进行纠偏，坚决对扰乱市场秩序行为进行处置，坚决防范汇率超调风险"，表态更为 强硬，对稳汇率的关注度有提升。 对压降实体融资成本的目标未 ...