Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant advancements in China's coal chemical industry, particularly through the development of the "Shenning Furnace," which represents a major breakthrough in coal-to-oil technology and showcases the shift from reliance on imported technology to domestic innovation [1][2]. Group 1: Technological Advancements - The "Shenning Furnace," developed by the company, can convert over 2,000 tons of coal per day and is a key component in the coal-to-oil project [1]. - The company has successfully implemented over 110 technological improvement projects, addressing various operational challenges and breaking foreign technology monopolies [2]. - The introduction of the "Shenning Furnace" has enabled the efficient and clean utilization of low-quality coal, generating technological benefits exceeding 136 million yuan [2]. Group 2: Operational Efficiency - The company has achieved a significant reduction in maintenance time for gasification furnaces, from a planned 45 days to just 25 days, resulting in continuous operation for over 200 days [3]. - The coal-to-oil project has consistently exceeded production targets for four consecutive years, demonstrating operational excellence [3]. Group 3: Workforce Development - The transformation of a previously underperforming workshop into a leading production facility was achieved through effective leadership and team motivation, resulting in multiple awards for operational excellence [4]. - The company emphasizes the importance of personal development within the coal chemical industry, encouraging employees to embrace challenges and contribute to the sector's growth [5].

Group 1 - The core focus of the training program is to cultivate skilled talents, particularly "great country craftsmen," to support industrial transformation and high-quality development in China [2][4] - The first "Great Country Craftsman Talent Training Camp" has enrolled 220 participants, primarily from key enterprises in manufacturing, with over 60% holding senior titles [2][3] - The training emphasizes practical problem-solving, with participants applying learned skills to real-world challenges, leading to innovative solutions that are cost-effective [3][4] Group 2 - The current skilled workforce in China exceeds 200 million, with over 60 million high-skilled workers, yet there is a pressing need for more skilled craftsmen to meet the demands of innovation-driven development [4] - The training program aims to produce approximately 2,000 "great country craftsmen" and 50,000 city-level craftsmen by 2035, as outlined in recent government initiatives [2][4] - The program encourages participants to share their knowledge and skills with peers, fostering a culture of continuous learning and improvement within their organizations [4]

Group 1 - The Yulin Economic Development Zone is experiencing rapid project construction, with various projects underway, including the National Energy Yulin Circular Economy Coal Comprehensive Utilization Project, which focuses on coal liquefaction and the development of a complete industrial chain from coal to methanol and various chemical products [1] - The Shanxi Coal 15 million tons/year clean and efficient coal conversion demonstration project utilizes coal pyrolysis and gasification technology to produce methanol and olefins, enhancing the overall value of coal resources through the integration of coal chemical and petroleum chemical industries [1] - The Yulin Hengshen New Materials Co., Ltd. is the first 10,000-ton-level carbon fiber production enterprise in Shaanxi Province, with plans to complete a 20,000 tons/year high-performance carbon fiber production line by the end of 2028 [2] Group 2 - The Yulin Economic Development Zone has established a "2+4+N" industrial structure, with significant projects emerging, including billion-level and hundred-million-level projects, contributing to high-quality development [2] - During the 9th Silk Road International Expo, the Yulin Economic Development Zone successfully attracted investments totaling 114.95 billion yuan, accounting for 58.42% of the total investment in Yulin City [2] - The Yulin Economic Development Zone emphasizes a "project-oriented" approach, focusing on the entire project lifecycle to ensure timely commencement, construction, and production of major projects, thereby driving economic growth [3]

一、研究观点 光大期货煤化工商品日报 光大期货煤化工商品日报（2025 年 6 月 20 日） | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 周四尿素期货价格继续上涨受阻，主力合约全天偏弱震荡，收盘价1780元/吨，微 幅下跌0.22%。现货市场走势分化，局部地区仍有小幅上涨，另有部分地区稳定或 | | | | 小幅回落。山东、河南地区市场价格昨日分别继续上涨至1840元/吨、1830元/吨， | | | | 江苏地区市场价格小幅回落10元/吨。基本面来看，尿素供应水平继续回落，昨日 | | | 尿素 | 行业日产量20万吨，日环比下降0.13万吨。需求端跟进力度进一步放缓，昨日主流 | 震荡 | | | 地区产销率回落至低位，多数位于5%~70%区间波动。另外，国际市场对国内情绪 | | | | 扰动力度逐渐减弱，尿素期货市场情绪逐渐回归理性。考虑到国内仍有追肥及出口 | | | | 作为支撑，短线盘面下跌空间或有限，建议以震荡思路对待。继续关注全球局势及 | | | | 国际尿素价格、国内需求跟进力度。 | | | | 周四纯碱期货价格坚挺震荡，主力09合约收盘价117 ...

Group 1 - The company has terminated the financial service agreement with Yangquan Coal Industry Group Financial Co., Ltd. due to changes in its controlling shareholder and business needs [2][3] - The original financial service agreement was signed on July 30, 2022, and was set to provide various financial services, but as of the termination date, the company had a deposit and loan balance of zero with the financial company [3][4] - The termination of the financial service agreement will not affect the company's normal operations or its development, ensuring no harm to the interests of the company or its shareholders, particularly minority shareholders [4] Group 2 - The termination agreement was signed on June 17, 2025, and both parties confirmed that all matters under the original agreement had been fulfilled with no outstanding issues [3][4] - The agreement specifies that any disputes arising from the execution of the termination agreement should be resolved through negotiation, and if unsuccessful, either party may file a lawsuit in the court located in the company's jurisdiction [4] - The company will retain a copy of the termination agreement, which will have equal legal effect once signed by both parties [4]

光大期货煤化工商品日报 光大期货煤化工商品日报（2025 年 6 月 18 日） 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | 尿素 | 周二尿素期货价格继续走高，主力09合约收盘价1774元/吨，日内涨幅3.99%。现货 | 看涨 | | | 市场继续明显反弹，主流地区市场价格再度上涨10~50元/吨不等，目前山东、河南 | | | | 地区市场价格分别为1810元/吨、1790元/吨，日环比分别上涨50元/吨、40元/吨。基 | | | | 本面来看，尿素供应水平依旧高位波动，行业日产量昨日20.31万吨，日环比下降0. | | | | 02万吨。需求端在期、现市场情绪持续回暖带动下，现货成交氛围仍积极，昨日主 | | | | 流地区现货产销率均维持在100%以上，个别地区超200%。后续在国内追肥需求、出 | | | | 口有序推进的带动下，现货高成交短期或依旧维持。中东地缘政治对全球尿素供需 | | | | 及价格扰动仍存，但随着时间推移市场情绪或逐步回归理性。整体来看，尿素期货 | | | | 市场情绪短期依旧较为积极，主力期价也仍有继续上 可能。但尿素 ...

Report Overview - Report Date: June 18, 2025 [2] - Industry: Methanol [1] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] - Data Sources: Wind, Jianxin Futures Research and Development Department [5] 1. Report Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints - The methanol weighted contract decreased in price with reduced positions on Tuesday. The weighted contract decreased by 0.37%, with a reduction of 23,806 positions, and the 09 main contract reduced by 3,695 positions. The weighted contract showed a wide - range volatile trend after opening lower and finally closed with a small - bodied false positive line with upper and lower shadows [5]. - The average spot transaction price of methanol in Jiangsu Taicang was 2,615 yuan/ton, an increase of 30 yuan/ton from the previous day. The Iranian situation affects methanol prices. Currently, Iranian methanol ports and shipments are normal, but there are reports of Israeli air strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure, which may support methanol prices. Short - term geopolitical uncertainties increase price volatility. The short - term supply disruptions and the short - term rebound of upstream coal prices also support methanol prices, so it is expected to be volatile and slightly stronger in the short term [5]. - From a technical perspective, in the hourly cycle, the RSI indicator entered the overbought area for the second time and then corrected, the MACD fast and slow lines were still above the zero axis, and the red bars continued to shorten. In the daily cycle, the MACD fast and slow lines both crossed above the zero axis, the red bars continued to lengthen, and the RSI indicator was in the overbought area and showed signs of correction. Overall, it is expected to be in a wide - range volatile and slightly stronger trend in the short term [6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review and Outlook - **Futures Market Quotes**: The MA2501 contract opened at 2,445, closed at 2,455, with a high of 2,466, a low of 2,410, a decline of 0.37%, a trading volume of 175,703, an open interest of 208,776, and a decrease in open interest of 9,733. The MA2505 contract opened at 2,388, closed at 2,387, with a high of 2,395, a low of 2,354, a decline of 0.33%, a trading volume of 1,694, an open interest of 3,589, and an increase in open interest of 243. The MA2509 contract opened at 2,440, closed at 2,455, with a high of 2,466, a low of 2,397, a decline of 0.37%, a trading volume of 2,061,228, an open interest of 816,410, and a decrease in open interest of 3,696 [7]. 3.2 Industry News - A coal - chemical project worth 59 billion yuan started. Inner Mongolia Zhuozheng Coal - Chemical Co., Ltd.'s methanol project, methanol - acetic acid extension project, and new - material project's finished and semi - finished product tank area project began construction. The first - phase project, estimated to cost 25.5 billion yuan, plans to produce more than 30 main and by - products such as acetic acid, ethanol, polyglycolic acid, and polyoxymethylene, with an expected annual output value of about 11.7 billion yuan. It is scheduled to be put into production in October 2026, and the second - phase project construction will be launched simultaneously. The long - term plan covers about 7,800 mu of land, with an estimated investment of 59 billion yuan, targeting high - end fine - chemical products in the new energy and new - material fields [13]. 3.3 Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including the main contract basis, production - sales price difference, futures price and warehouse receipt quantity, MA09 - MA01 spread, three - process methanol profit, and overseas methanol market price, but specific data details are not described in the text [20][24][25]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the chemical industry is expected to see a recovery in profitability driven by policy support, particularly in upstream sectors closely related to domestic demand [1][2] - The report highlights specific sectors such as polyurethane, coal chemical, petrochemical, and fluorochemical as key areas for potential profit recovery [1][2] - The focus on new materials as a primary development direction for China's chemical industry includes high-value products like robot materials, AI & semiconductor materials, bio-aviation fuel, OLED materials, and COC materials [1][3] Group 2 - The expectation of domestic demand recovery is supported by recent policy measures aimed at revitalizing the economy, with a focus on the chemical industry's upstream sectors [2] - Key companies to watch include Wanhua Chemical (600309), Baofeng Energy (600989), and others in the coal chemical and petrochemical sectors, which are expected to benefit from infrastructure projects in regions like Xinjiang and Tibet [2] - The emphasis on developing new materials is driven by emerging demands from humanoid robots and AI applications, as well as ongoing domestic substitution efforts in the semiconductor field [3] Group 3 - High-quality companies with strong shareholder returns are expected to undergo a revaluation, including major state-owned enterprises in the oil and gas sector and firms in the compound fertilizer and amino acid industries [4] - The report suggests that many sub-sectors within the chemical industry are at a point where they can enhance shareholder returns to reshape investment value [4]

Report Summary 1. Investment Ratings - Urea: Bullish [1] - Soda Ash: Sideways [1] - Glass: Sideways [1] 2. Core Views - **Urea**: On Monday, the urea futures price continued to rise, with the main 09 contract closing at 1723 yuan/ton, an intraday increase of 3.48%. The spot market also rebounded. From a fundamental perspective, the urea supply remains at a high level, but the daily output decreased by 0.41 tons to 20.33 tons. Demand has improved due to the warming market sentiment, with the spot sales rate in the mainstream areas rising to over 100%. International market disturbances, such as production and operation disruptions in Russia, Egypt, and Iran, and high Indian tender prices, have boosted the domestic market. However, the upside of the futures price is limited, and follow - up attention should be paid to demand, raw material prices, international situations, and market sentiment [1]. - **Soda Ash**: On Monday, the soda ash futures price fluctuated strongly, with the main 09 contract closing at 1174 yuan/ton, a 0.86% increase. The spot market was weak, with prices in some regions dropping by 20 - 50 yuan/ton. The supply of soda ash remains high, with the industry's operating rate slightly increasing to 87.73%. Demand is still weak, and there is no new driving force in the supply - demand situation. The futures market is driven by related commodities, but there is no trend - upward driver. It is recommended to treat it with a wide - range sideways thinking at the bottom [1]. - **Glass**: On Monday, the glass futures price fluctuated widely, with the main 09 contract closing at 980 yuan/ton, a slight increase of 0.1%. The spot market continued to weaken. The actual supply of glass increased slightly, and the daily melting volume was 15.66 tons. Demand has not improved significantly, with the number of downstream deep - processing orders decreasing by 5% compared to the end of May and 5.48% year - on - year. The glass market has no turning - point driver, and the price will be under long - term pressure due to weak terminal demand [1]. 3. Market Information Summary Urea - On June 16, the urea futures warehouse receipts were 5922, a decrease of 40 from the previous trading day, and the effective forecast was 0 [4]. - On June 16, the daily output of the urea industry was 20.33 tons, a decrease of 0.41 tons from the previous working day and an increase of 2.43 tons compared to the same period last year. The operating rate was 88.41%, a 5.76 - percentage - point increase from the same period last year [4]. - On June 16, the spot prices of small - particle urea in various domestic regions showed an upward trend, with Shandong at 1760 yuan/ton (+50), Henan at 1750 yuan/ton (+30), etc [4]. Soda Ash and Glass - On June 16, the number of soda ash futures warehouse receipts was 6565, a decrease of 77 from the previous trading day, with an effective forecast of 476; the number of glass futures warehouse receipts was 877, unchanged from the previous trading day [6]. - On June 16, the spot prices of soda ash in some regions decreased, with the light - alkali price in Central China dropping by 20 yuan/ton and the heavy - alkali price in South China dropping by 50 yuan/ton [6]. - On June 16, the operating rate of the soda ash industry was 87.73%, up from 86.81% the previous working day [7]. - On June 16, the average price of the float glass market was 1189 yuan/ton, a daily decrease of 8 yuan/ton, and the daily output was 15.66 tons, unchanged from the previous day [7]. 4. Chart Analysis The report includes multiple charts showing the closing prices, basis, trading volume, positions, price spreads, and spot price trends of urea, soda ash, and glass futures, as well as the price spreads between urea - methanol and glass - soda ash futures [9][11][12][15][17][19][21] 5. Research Team The research team consists of Zhang Xiaojin, Zhang Linglu, and Sun Chengzhen, who are responsible for different aspects of resource - product research and have rich experience and many honors [24]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Methanol**: Coal prices are weakly stalemated with limited cost support. Supply is relatively stable, downstream demand follows mainly for rigid needs, and inventory accumulates slowly. With some Iranian devices shut down, imports may shrink later, and the methanol futures price has rebounded strongly. In the short - term, the center of gravity may continue to rise, but considering the high - temperature off - season, chasing the rise is not recommended. [3] - **PVC**: The cost side remains low, the market has abundant available goods, and demand follows generally, resulting in a slow market de - stocking speed. The upward trend of PVC futures price is hard to sustain. [4] - **Urea**: Daily production remains high, supply is abundant, and demand is weak with gradually accumulating enterprise inventory. With the expectation of improved agricultural demand, the urea futures have gradually stabilized. [5] - **Caustic Soda**: Enterprise profits are declining, the current capacity utilization rate is relatively high, downstream demand follows slowly, and market de - stocking is not smooth. Fundamentally, there is a lack of driving force, and it may fluctuate at a low level. [6][7] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 First Part: Variety Strategy Views | Variety | Logic | View | Strategy | Support Level | Pressure Level | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Methanol | Import concerns | Steady upward exploration | Reduce long positions | 2330 - 2350 | 2530 - 2550 | | PVC | Insufficient demand | Upward pressure | Light - position short - trial | 4730 - 4750 | 4850 - 4900 | | Caustic Soda | Spot premium | Low - level wash - trading | Temporarily wait and see | 2200 - 2210 | 2330 - 2350 | | Urea | Loose supply and demand | Weak oscillation | Stop loss and exit short positions | 1650 - 1670 | 1730 - 1750 | [14] 3.2 Second Part: Futures Market Review | Variety | Highest Price | Lowest Price | Closing Price | Trading Volume | Open Interest | Increase/Decrease | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Methanol | 2511 | 2367 | 2464 | 2593634 | 820106 | 0.00% | | PVC | 4866 | 4792 | 4860 | 1194646 | 978942 | 0.00% | | Urea | 1727 | 1680 | 1723 | 411867 | 279024 | 0.00% | | Caustic Soda | 2278 | 2237 | 2276 | 410848 | 201021 | - 6.32% | [14] 3.3 Third Part: Spot Market Trends - **Methanol**: Spot prices in different regions are as follows: Central China 2255 yuan/ton (up 10 yuan/ton), Northwest 2010 yuan/ton (up 63 yuan/ton), South China 2450 yuan/ton (up 105 yuan/ton), North China 2055 yuan/ton (unchanged) [21] - **PVC**: Spot prices in different regions are as follows: North China market 4493 yuan/ton (unchanged), East China market 4755 yuan/ton (unchanged), South China market 4823 yuan/ton (down 25 yuan/ton) [24] - **Urea**: Small - particle urea ex - factory prices in different regions vary, such as 1693 yuan/ton in North China (up 5 yuan/ton), 1781 yuan/ton in East China (up 6 yuan/ton), etc. [26] - **Caustic Soda**: Spot prices in different regions are as follows: Shandong market 870 yuan/ton (unchanged), Jiangsu market 960 yuan/ton (unchanged), Zhejiang market 1160 yuan/ton (unchanged) [29] 3.4 Fourth Part: Futures - Spot Basis Changes | Variety | Basis | Change | | --- | --- | --- | | Methanol | 121 | 30 | | PVC | - 105 | - 1 | | Caustic Soda | 22 | - 5 | | Urea | - 3 | - 72 | [36] 3.5 Fifth Part: Industry Startup Levels | Variety | Soda Ash | Methanol | PVC | Urea | Caustic Soda | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Startup Rate | 84.90% | 87.98% | 79.25% | 87.80% | 80.90% | | Month - on - Month Change | 4.14% | - 0.14% | - 1.47% | - 1.63% | - 2.60% | [41] 3.6 Sixth Part: Inventory Data Tracking | Variety | Soda Ash | Methanol | PVC | Urea | Caustic Soda | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Inventory | 170.95 | 65.22 | 35.48 | 117.71 | 40.09 | | Weekly Change | 2.32 | 7.10 | - 0.66 | 14.17 | - 1.50 | [52] 3.7 Seventh Part: Market Supply and Demand Status - **Methanol**: The spot market atmosphere is warm, with prices rising. The spot is at a premium to futures, and the basis has expanded. The upstream coal market is stalemated, and the cost side changes little. The industry startup rate is high, and production is stable. Coastal inventory has increased significantly compared to the same period last year [57] - **PVC**: The spot market atmosphere is poor, with prices slightly loosening. The spot is at a discount to futures, and the basis has slightly expanded. The upstream raw material calcium carbide market has a small increase, and the PVC industry startup rate is expected to decline slightly. Social inventory has decreased significantly compared to the same period last year [58] - **Caustic Soda**: The spot market atmosphere has cooled, with prices falling in some regions. The spot is at a large premium to futures, and the basis has fallen from a high level. The startup rate has decreased slightly, and the profitability of chlor - alkali enterprises has shrunk significantly. Supply is generally stable, and downstream demand is average [59][60] - **Urea**: The spot market atmosphere is stable, with prices rising. The spot is at a small premium to futures, and the basis has converged. The startup rate has decreased slightly, and inventory has increased significantly. Downstream demand has improved slightly [61]