Group 1: Electric Vehicle Market - In Germany, Tesla's sales in April decreased by 45.9% year-on-year, with a 60.4% decline from January to April 2025 [2] - In contrast, BYD's sales in Germany surged over 8 times in April, reaching 1,566 units, with total sales increasing nearly 5 times to 2,791 units since the beginning of the year [2] - Tesla's new car sales in the UK dropped by 62% in April, marking the lowest level in over two years [2] - The easing of EU restrictions on importing Chinese electric vehicles, coupled with rapid technological advancements in domestic new energy vehicles, is expected to boost the export growth of local automotive brands [2] Group 2: Semiconductor Industry - The recent reduction in production of DDR4 and LPDDR4X by storage manufacturers has led to a tight supply of certain DDR and LPDDR4X resources in the spot market [3] - Following a period of price decline, DDR5 prices have increased by over 10% from their low point at the beginning of the year, while DDR4 prices have risen by approximately 5% [3] - The ongoing rapid deployment of AI is anticipated to enhance the industry outlook for domestic storage-related companies [3] Group 3: Sportswear Industry - In 2024, the sports footwear and apparel retail sector achieved revenue of 141.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, with net profit reaching 21.49 billion yuan, up 35.1% [5] - The industry is showing signs of steady recovery, with improvements in key financial metrics such as gross margin and net margin, while maintaining healthy inventory levels [5] - There is a significant structural differentiation in growth momentum, with leading companies like Anta showing a notable profit increase, while other brands are experiencing a contraction in store numbers [5] - The upstream OEM sector for sportswear has also seen a significant recovery, with revenue of 119.92 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 11.7%, and net profit of 15.03 billion yuan, up 36.9% [5] - The industry is expected to maintain a high level of prosperity in 2025, with a focus on leading companies that target high-growth segments and emphasize product innovation [6]

Core Viewpoint - Skechers has agreed to be acquired by 3G Capital, which may provide new opportunities for the company amid challenges such as tariff pressures and business development issues [2][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - 3G Capital will acquire all outstanding shares of Skechers at a cash price of $63 per share, representing a 30% premium over the weighted average share price over the last 15 trading days [3]. - Following the acquisition, Skechers will become a private company and will continue to be led by its current executive team [3]. - Skechers aims to continue its existing strategic initiatives post-acquisition, leveraging 3G Capital's long-term investment experience [3][11]. Group 2: Tariff Impact - Skechers faces significant pressure from U.S. tariff policies, which could lead to decreased profit margins, increased shoe prices, and reduced consumer demand [4][5]. - The U.S. market accounts for 38% of Skechers' global sales, while a majority of its manufacturing capabilities are based in Asia, making it vulnerable to tariff impacts [4]. Group 3: Business Performance - Skechers has experienced fluctuating global sales growth, with a 12.1% increase in sales for the 2024 fiscal year and a 7.5% increase for the 2023 fiscal year [8]. - The company reported a sales figure of $24.1 billion for Q1 2025, a 7.1% increase year-over-year, but faced a 16% decline in sales in its largest overseas market, China [8]. - Skechers' sales in China decreased by 0.9% in 2024, with a notable 11.5% drop in Q4 [8]. Group 4: Market Strategy - Skechers is shifting its focus towards professional sports segments, aiming to increase the proportion of professional sports products in total sales to 30% [9][10]. - The company has signed lifetime global contracts with international sports stars and is launching specialized footwear lines in basketball and soccer [10]. - Competitors like Nike and Adidas are also targeting low-price and down-market segments, intensifying competition for Skechers [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Anta Sports, Tabo, and others, indicating a positive outlook for their performance in 2025 [5][14][30]. Core Insights - Adidas reported a 13% year-on-year revenue growth in Q1 2025, reaching €6.153 billion, with a significant operating profit increase of 82% to €610 million [1][18]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and quality brands, anticipating performance recovery and valuation increases in 2025 [4][27]. - The textile and apparel sector is expected to benefit from supportive national policies and increased participation in sports activities, leading to resilient growth for related brands [4][27]. Summary by Sections Adidas Performance - In Q1 2025, Adidas' revenue grew by 13% to €6.153 billion, with a gross margin increase of 0.9 percentage points to 52.1% and an operating profit surge of 82% to €610 million [1][18]. - The company maintains its guidance for 2025, expecting high single-digit revenue growth, with double-digit growth for the Adidas brand [1][18]. Regional Performance - North America saw a 2.8% revenue increase to €1.184 billion, while Europe experienced a 14% growth to €1.986 billion, with Adidas brand revenues growing by 13% and 16% respectively [2][21]. - The Greater China region reported a 12.7% revenue increase to €1.029 billion, with Adidas brand revenue up by 14%, marking it as Adidas' third-largest market globally [2][24]. - Emerging markets and Latin America showed robust growth, with revenues increasing by 23.4% to €870 million and 26.2% to €698 million respectively, with Adidas brand revenues growing by 25% and 27% [3][24]. Industry Outlook - The report highlights a stable global demand for apparel, with a focus on companies that can optimize their competitive positions amid changing market dynamics [28]. - It recommends companies like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group for their attractive valuations and growth potential, with projected P/E ratios of 11x and 15x for 2025 respectively [28][30]. - The report also notes the importance of product differentiation and brand strength in the jewelry sector, with companies like Chow Tai Fook and Chow Hong Ki expected to perform well [28].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 05 年 月 日 纺织服饰 周专题：adidas 公司 2025Q1 营收增长 13%，表现优异 【本周专题】 adidas 公司 2025Q1 营收增长 13%，表现超预期。adidas 披露 2025Q1 季 报，货币中性基础上营收同比增长 13%至 61.53 亿欧元，毛利率同比提升 0.9pcts 至 52.1%，经营利润同比大幅增长 82%至 6.1 亿欧元。截至 3 月末公司 库存同比增长 15%至 50.72 亿欧元，库存增加主要为了支持业务发展，库存处于 健康状态。 展望 2025 年：公司维持此前对于 2025 年的指引，预计 2025 年公司营收同比 增长高单位数，其中 adidas 品牌营收同比增长双位数。2025Q1 整体表现超公司 预期，然而当前美国关税问题或对公司业绩造成负面影响，综合考虑 Q1 表现以 及关税事件的不确定性因素后，公司维持此前指引。 分地区看：2025Q1 欧洲/大中华区业务增长亮眼，拉丁美洲业务持续快速增长。 1）欧洲&北美：货币中性基础上 2025Q1 北美业务营收同比增长 2.8%至 11 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the textile and apparel industry, including Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Bosideng [5][11][24]. Core Insights - Adidas is expected to achieve a revenue of €6.153 billion in Q1 2025, representing a 13% year-on-year growth, with a 17% growth for the Adidas brand excluding Yeezy [1][16]. - The textile and apparel sector is anticipated to experience a recovery in demand in 2025, supported by government policies and increased participation in sports activities [3][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and quality brands for potential investment opportunities [3][22]. Summary by Sections Adidas Performance - Adidas forecasts a 13% year-on-year revenue growth for Q1 2025, with a gross margin increase of 0.9 percentage points to 52.1% [1][16]. - The company expects double-digit growth across all consumer markets [1][16]. Market Trends - The retail sales of clothing, shoes, and textiles in China grew by 3.4% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025, with the sportswear segment expected to outperform overall textile consumption [3][22]. - The report suggests a volatile recovery in demand for the textile sector throughout 2025 [3][22]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong fundamentals, such as Shenzhou International and Huayi Group, with respective 2025 PE ratios of 11x and 15x [4][23]. - Key companies highlighted for investment include Anta Sports, with a projected 2025 PE of 18x, and Bosideng, expected to deliver strong performance in 2025 [24][25]. Company Performance - Anta Sports reported significant growth in Q1 2025, with terminal sales increasing by high single digits, and other brands showing a 65%-70% year-on-year increase [24]. - For the home textile sector, Luolai Life expects a 20% growth in 2025, with a net profit of CNY 520 million [24][41].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 纺织服饰 周专题：adidas 发布 2025Q1 业绩预告，经营表现超预期 【本周专题】 adidas 披露 2025Q1 业绩预告，营收同比增长 13%。根据公司披露 2025Q1 公司预计实现营收 61.53 亿欧元，货币中性基础上同比增长 13%，剔除 Yeezy 业务影响后公司预计 adidas 品牌营收同比增长 17%， 整体表现优异，超公司预期，分地区看公司预计各消费市场均有双位数 的增长表现。从利润率层面来看，公司 2025Q1 毛利率同比提升 0.9pcts 至 52.1%，其中 adidas 品牌毛利率提升 1.6pcts，经营利润率同比提升 3.7pcts 至 9.9%，经营利润大幅增长至 6.1 亿欧元。 此前公司发布 2024 年报时，曾预计 2025 年公司营收增长高单位数。 公司此前预计 2025 年营收同比增长高单位数，其中 adidas 品牌营收同 比增长双位数，分地区看预计 2025 年 adidas 品牌在北美/大中华区/新兴 市场/拉丁美洲营收同比增长双位数，欧洲/日韩营收增长高单位 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the historical evolution of tariffs as a policy tool, highlighting the lessons learned from past tariff implementations and their impacts on the economy, particularly in the context of the current trade tensions between the U.S. and China. Group 1: Historical Context - The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 significantly raised import tax rates, increasing the average tariff level in the U.S. from 13.5% in 1929 to 19.8% in 1933, leading to a 45% decline in nominal GDP and a 67% drop in total exports over four years, with unemployment reaching nearly 25% [1]. - Compared to the 1930s, the current global trade is characterized by international value chains, making the imposition of trade barriers more challenging and likely to disrupt supply chains [4]. Group 2: Current Trade Policies - Starting in 2018, the U.S. initiated multiple rounds of tariffs against China, escalating from $50 billion to $200 billion with a tax rate of 25%, resulting in a weakening of U.S.-China export ties and a temporary "export rush" effect in certain industries [6]. - The 2025 tariff policy under the Trump administration is expected to be more intense, with an average effective tariff rate projected to reach 22.4%, surpassing the levels seen during the Great Depression, and covering a broader range of products from consumer goods to high-tech items [10]. Group 3: Economic Impact - The macroeconomic impact of tariffs is typically gradual, with initial market reactions being severe, leading to a "rush to export" effect, as seen in 2018 when China's exports to the U.S. surged [12]. - In the medium term, as tariffs take effect, profit margins for companies reliant on imported raw materials will be squeezed, leading to reduced capital expenditure and declining consumer confidence [15]. - Long-term effects may include a restructuring of global supply chains as companies seek to mitigate costs and risks, potentially leading to a decrease in U.S.-China trade and a shift towards regionalization [18]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Companies in high-risk export industries, such as home appliances, automotive, and textiles, should be avoided due to their vulnerability to profit margin compression from tariffs [19]. - Focus should be on brand-name consumer goods with strong pricing power, as these companies can often pass on costs to consumers, mitigating the impact of tariffs [22]. - Industries with localized production capabilities, such as HVAC systems and large appliances, are less sensitive to tariff fluctuations and should be prioritized for investment [23]. - Sectors driven by domestic consumption, like food and beverage, exhibit relative stability and should be considered for medium to long-term investment [24]. - Technology and high-end manufacturing sectors, particularly those with domestic substitution potential, are key areas for investment focus [25]. - Resilient consumer sectors, including low-cost, high-frequency items and elder care products, are expected to perform well despite economic uncertainties [26].

生物基产业下游市场需求在哪里？终端品牌想要的生物基解决方案是什么？ 2025（第十届）生物基大会暨展览（Bio-based 2025，5月25-27日，上海） 立足终端可持续转型与 实际需求，将邀约 100+终端品牌参与 ，并关注其可持续规划与生物基材料需求。 现公布 近40家终端品牌 ，如下图所示。品牌涉及 运动鞋服、纺织工业、汽车与零部件、消费品与商 超、胶黏剂、电子等 ，企业将携相关需求而来。部分企业负责人将参与 大会演讲 、 圆桌交流 、 战略 研讨会 以及 终端品牌需求对接会 ！欢迎生物基材料解决方案企业参与洽谈！ 下游市场需求在哪里? 终端想要的生物基解决方案? |已确认出席品牌 | ANTA | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 波司登 | 安踏 | 李宁 | 特步 | | 中纺院 | | ESQUEL GROUP | | | | | | | 桐昆集团 | | 同辉纺织 | 溢达纺织 | 小鹏汽车 | 蔚来汽车 | | () 零跑汽车 | | ZEEKR | | | | | 上汽大众 | 零跑汽车 | 极氪汽车 | 非를 | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 18.25 [1][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of CNY 28.68 billion for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.9%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 5.5% to CNY 3.01 billion, resulting in a net profit margin of 10.5% [1][3]. - The company declared a final dividend of CNY 0.2073 per share, bringing the total annual dividend to CNY 0.5848 per share, with a payout ratio of 50%, an increase of 5 percentage points year-on-year [1][3]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Growth**: The company achieved a total revenue of CNY 28,676 million in 2024, with a projected growth of 3.5% in 2025 and 1.0% in 2026 [3][10]. - **Net Profit**: The net profit for 2024 was CNY 3,013 million, with a forecasted decline of 9.1% in 2025, followed by a recovery of 10.8% in 2026 [3][9]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS for 2024 was CNY 1.17, expected to decrease to CNY 1.06 in 2025, before rising to CNY 1.17 in 2026 and CNY 1.29 in 2027 [3][9]. - **Valuation Ratios**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 11.9 in 2024, increasing to 13.1 in 2025, and then decreasing to 11.8 in 2026 and 10.8 in 2027 [3][9]. Product and Channel Strategy - **Product Focus**: The company is concentrating on core categories, with a 30%-40% increase in product matrix width and a focus on professional products, which accounted for approximately 60% of revenue in 2024 [7]. - **Channel Performance**: - Wholesale channel revenue increased by 2.6% to CNY 12.9 billion, with 4,820 wholesale stores by the end of 2024. - Direct sales channel revenue slightly decreased by 0.3% to CNY 6.9 billion, with 1,297 direct sales stores. - E-commerce channel revenue grew by 10.3% to CNY 8.3 billion, indicating strong online performance [7]. Future Outlook - The management anticipates that revenue will remain stable in 2025, with a high single-digit net profit margin. The company has become the official sportswear partner for the Chinese Olympic Committee and the Chinese sports delegation, which is expected to enhance brand value [7].

大家好,我们开始今天的录演,今天的录演主题是运动鞋服行业的趋势以及公司的业绩前瞻主题是本土与国际品牌相抗衡,气氛垂泪崛起那么两会开始以来整个消费板块的布置都得到有效的修复那今天我们就来分享一下关于运动行业的见解还有公司的一个业绩的前瞻那么我们首先简要的快速看一下运动行业整个行业的概览 我们预期是未来三年能够保持一个中单位数左右的行业的负荷增速那么主要的驱动力就是来源于全民健身的理念带来的运动参与率提升然后居民对舒适度以及功能性的要求提升以及运动协服的渗透率上行目前的话中国的整个运动参与率是远低于成熟市场包括美国、日本以及韩国的美国是79%然后日本是56%韩国是62% 在这个时间段,对于美国本土而言,它的本土品牌耐克也是借着这一波运动慢跑的风潮来抵占了阿迪的市占率,完成了对它市占率的超越。 然后我们简单的看一下竞争格局,整个运动鞋服行业竞争的格局是维持高集中度,但是整个格局是持续变化的,并不是说强者就一直很强,中小品牌没有出头的机会。相反而言中小品牌其实是可以借助每一波运动风潮的这个改换的机会来来 从细分的品类切入然后逐渐破比类成为一个规模大的运动品牌那么中国的整个运动鞋服行业我们看到近几年的这个行业趋势而言可 ...