行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 非银行金融行业数据周报（20250818-20250822） 推荐（维持） 交投活跃度持续上行 推荐顺序：广发、国泰海通、中金 H、中信、华泰、东财，建议关注：银河 H、华林、湘财、建投 H。 推荐顺序：中国太保 H、中国人寿 H、中国平安 H，建议关注：中国人保 H、 中国财险. 风险提示：经济下行压力加大、创新改革节奏低于预期、利率较大波动。 重点公司盈利预测、估值及投资评级 | 简称 | 股价（元） | 2025E | EPS（元） | | | PE（倍） | | PB（倍） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 评级 | | 中国太保 | 41.57 | 4.87 | 4.99 | 5.10 | 8.53 | 8.34 | 8.16 | 1.21 | 推荐 | | 中国人寿 | 42.86 | 3.09 | 3.19 | 3.25 | 13.86 | 13.46 | ...

Group 1 - The market shows signs of localized overheating, but it is not fully overheated [2][3] - Short-term market may experience slight corrections, but the overall extent is manageable [3] - The technology sector is expected to present significant investment opportunities due to trends in advanced manufacturing [3] Group 2 - Current A-share sentiment index is at a historically high level [4] - Multiple dimensions such as market liquidity and trading activity indicate a crowded market, particularly in sectors like chemicals, machinery, and electronics [5] - A high number of industries are currently in a state of persistent crowding, which may lead to market adjustments [5] Group 3 - Short-term investment opportunities are recommended in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, real estate, and aerospace [6][7] - Policy support and a shift of household savings towards capital markets are expected to provide strong backing for the market [6] - The overall profit growth of A-share listed companies is projected to turn positive by 2025, with significant elasticity in the technology innovation sector [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that China Gold Group Jewelry Co., Ltd. has conducted a risk assessment of its financial subsidiary, China Gold Group Finance Co., Ltd., confirming its compliance and sound financial management practices [1][8] - China Gold Group Finance Co., Ltd. is a non-banking financial institution established with a registered capital of 2 billion yuan, with China Gold Group holding a 60% stake [1][2] - The financial company operates under the guidance and supervision of the National Financial Supervision Administration and the People's Bank of China, with a defined scope of business including deposit acceptance, loan processing, and financial advisory services [2][3] Group 2 - The internal control structure of the financial company includes a board of directors, supervisory board, and various committees to ensure effective governance and risk management [2][3] - Risk management is organized by the risk management department, which identifies and assesses various risks, including operational, liquidity, credit, market, and compliance risks [4][5] - The financial company has established a comprehensive internal audit department to oversee compliance and risk management, ensuring that all operations adhere to regulatory requirements [5][6] Group 3 - As of June 30, 2025, the financial company reported total assets of 27.69 billion yuan, total liabilities of 25.34 billion yuan, and a net profit of 79 million yuan [7][8] - The company maintains a good liquidity position with a bank deposit balance of 6.532 billion yuan, of which 6.241 billion yuan is deposited with the financial company [7][8] - The financial services provided by the financial company are in line with regulatory standards, ensuring fair pricing and protection of the company's interests [8]

中国旅游集团中免股份有限公司 关于对中旅集团财务有限公司的风险持续评估报告 根据《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第5号—交易与关联交易》《关于 规范上市公司与企业集团财务公司业务往来的通知》《企业集团财务公司管理办法》 的要求，中国旅游集团中免股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）通过查验中旅集团财 务有限公司（以下简称"中旅财务"）的《营业执照》与《金融许可证》等资料，并 审阅了包括2025年6月30日资产负债表、2025年上半年度利润表、2025年上半年度现 金流量表等在内的定期财务报告，对其经营资质、业务和风险状况进行了评估，具 体情况报告如下： 一、中旅财务基本情况 中旅财务成立于2012年7月10日，是经中国银行保险监督管理委员会（现"国家 金融监督管理总局"）（银监复[2012]312号文件）批准成立的非银行金融机构。中旅 财务企业信息如下： 注册地址：深圳市福田区深南路4011号香港中旅大厦19楼A-D 法定代表人：金鸿雁 金融许可证机构编码：L0153H244030001 企业法人营业执照注册号：914403000504698000 经营范围：（一）吸收成员单位存款；（二）办理成员单位贷款；（三 ...

国信财务公司成立于 2010 年 12 月 14 日，是经原中国银行业监督管理委员 会批准设立的非银行金融机构，基本情况如下： 公司名称：江苏省国信集团财务有限公司 类型：有限责任公司 江苏省新能源开发股份有限公司 关于与江苏省国信集团财务有限公司关联存贷款业 务的风险持续评估报告 根据《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 5 号——交易与关联交易》 的要求，江苏省新能源开发股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）查验了江苏省国 信集团财务有限公司（以下简称"国信财务公司"、"财务公司"）的《金融许 可证》、《营业执照》等，取得并审阅了国信财务公司 2025 年半年度财务报表， 对国信财务公司的经营资质、业务和风险状况进行了评估，具体情况报告如下： 一、国信财务公司基本情况 住所：南京市玄武区长江路 88 号 24 楼 法定代表人：张书璟 统一社会信用代码：9132000056685112XE 金融许可证机构编码：L0118H232010001 注册资本：200000 万元人民币 成立日期：2010 年 12 月 14 日 经营范围：许可项目：企业集团财务公司服务（依法须经批准的项目，经相 关部门批准后方可开展经营 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market opened lower and fluctuated, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly up by 0.11% to 3888 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.73% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 169.98 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - Strong performing sectors included gaming, aquaculture, beauty care, chemical fiber, agricultural product processing, IT services, environmental protection equipment, logistics, and software development [1] - Weaker sectors included small metals, new materials, medical services, military equipment, banking, electric machinery, and semiconductors [1] Concept Stocks - Notable concept stocks that saw gains included poultry, pork, Huawei's Euler, and Huawei's Ascend [1] Market Sentiment - Current A-share market sentiment is at a historically high level, with various indices such as the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 experiencing high volatility [2] - The VIX for the E Fund ChiNext ETF has shown a phase of decline, indicating potential market stabilization [2] Institutional Focus - Institutions are currently focusing on the retail trade and non-bank financial sectors, while interest in the transportation sector has decreased from previous highs [2] - Many industries are approaching crowded indicator thresholds, indicating potential shifts in market dynamics [2] Future Outlook - Looking ahead to August 2025, there is optimism for relative returns in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, banking, electricity and utilities, construction, and food and beverage [2]

Group 1 - Current A-share market sentiment is at a historically high level, characterized by liquidity, asset pricing differences, and trading activity [1] - Several industries, including chemicals, building materials, light manufacturing, machinery, defense, automotive, home appliances, textiles, non-bank financials, electronics, communications, computers, and media, are triggering congestion indicators [1] - A high number of industries are in a sustained congestion state, indicating potential for market adjustments [1] Group 2 - A-share market showed strong fluctuations with sectors like liquor, non-ferrous metals, communication equipment, and aerospace performing well, while electronic chemicals, automotive, beauty care, and utilities lagged [2] - There is a notable shift of household savings towards capital markets, providing a continuous source of incremental funds [2] - The overall profit growth expectation for A-share listed companies is projected to turn positive by 2025, ending a four-year decline, with significant elasticity in the technology innovation sector [2] Group 3 - Following stabilization of overseas liquidity disturbances, the A-share market continued its trend of rising volume and price, with the Shanghai Composite Index nearing 3900 points and total market turnover exceeding 30 trillion [3] - There is a focus on the rotation opportunities in recently popular sectors and potential rebounds in relatively low-positioned sectors supported by recent policies [3] - The "anti-involution" policy and demand-side policies are expected to significantly influence the A-share market, with household savings entering the market being a crucial support for index strength [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report evaluates the ongoing risk assessment of the financial relationship between AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation and AVIC Financial Company, confirming that the latter operates within regulatory compliance and maintains effective risk management practices [1][9]. Group 1: Basic Information about AVIC Financial Company - AVIC Financial Company was established in May 2007, with a registered capital of 395.138 million RMB, and is jointly funded by 12 member units of China Aviation Industry Corporation [2]. - The company is a non-bank financial institution approved by the National Financial Supervision Administration and has a legal entity status [2]. Group 2: Risk Management Overview - AVIC Financial Company has established a robust governance structure, including a board of directors and specialized committees for strategic development, risk management, and internal audit [3]. - The company employs a three-line defense model for risk management, with clear roles and responsibilities across departments to ensure effective risk control [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2023, AVIC Financial Company reported total assets of approximately 220.15 billion RMB and total revenue of approximately 3.16 billion RMB for the year 2022 [8]. - The net profit for the year ending December 31, 2022, was approximately 560.89 million RMB, reflecting a significant increase from the previous year [8]. Group 4: Regulatory Compliance - AVIC Financial Company meets all regulatory requirements, including a capital adequacy ratio of 13.44% as of December 2024, exceeding the minimum requirement of 10.5% [8]. - The company has not encountered any major operational risks and adheres to all relevant financial regulations and internal control measures [6][9]. Group 5: Relationship with AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation - As of June 30, 2025, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation's deposits with AVIC Financial Company are secure, with no delays in payments due to cash flow issues [8]. - The financial transactions between the two entities are conducted in compliance with national regulations, ensuring that risks associated with these transactions are manageable [9].

凤凰光学股份有限公司 关于中国电子科技财务有限公司的风险持续评估报告 根据《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 5 号——交易与关联交易》 的要求，凤凰光学股份有限公司（以下简称"凤凰光学"或"本公司"）通过查验中 国电子科技财务有限公司（以下简称"财务公司"） 《金融许可证》 《企业法人营业 执照》等证件资料，并审阅了财务公司包括资产负债表、利润表、现金流量表等 财务报告，对财务公司的经营资质、业务和风险状况进行了评估，现将风险持续 评估情况报告如下： 一、财务公司基本情况 中国电子科技财务有限公司经国家金融监督管理总局（原中国银行保险监督 管理委员会）批准（金融许可证编号：L0167H211000001）、北京市市场监督管 理局登记注册（统一社会信用代码：91110000717834993R）的非银行金融机构， 依法接受国家金融监督管理总局的监督管理。 企业名称：中国电子科技财务有限公司 注册地址：北京市石景山区金府路 30 号院 2 号楼 101 1、3-8 层 法定代表人：杨志军 二、财务公司内部控制的基本情况 （一）控制环境 根据现代金融企业公司治理的要求，财务公司设立股东会、董事会。董事会 下设 ...

Core Insights - The liquidity bull market in Chinese assets continues, with Hong Kong stocks lagging due to external influences and the US dollar, but the last factor affecting relative returns has been eliminated following Powell's dovish remarks at the Jackson Hole conference, suggesting a positive outlook for core Hong Kong assets [2][3] - The report recommends a focus on sectors such as non-bank financials, automotive, internet platforms, consumer goods, non-ferrous metals, and real estate in Hong Kong, with a preference for mid to large-cap growth stocks [2][3] - The strategy of style rotation has reached new highs, with a successful concentration on the ChiNext and small-cap indices in June and July, leading to a maintained growth style exposure while adjusting market capitalization exposure to mid and large-cap indices like CSI 300 and CSI 500 [2][3] A-Share Market Strategy - The A-share market is advised to maintain a medium position, with significant inflows from northbound capital into Hong Kong stocks, indicating a strong trend continuation probability before any overheating signals appear [7][44] - The report highlights the rapid rotation of sectors, with a focus on mid-cap growth indices and opportunities in AI software, domestic computing power, and robotics [44][51] Hong Kong Market Strategy - The Hong Kong market is upgraded to a higher position, supported by independent funding logic and significant net buying from southbound capital, particularly in non-bank financials, media, and pharmaceuticals [46][47] - The report notes that the absolute return of selected Hong Kong stocks has reached 71.18%, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 44.86% [49] US Market Strategy - The US market position is adjusted to a medium level, with ongoing observations regarding the market's pricing of the September rate cut, following Powell's dovish signals [3][38] - The report identifies biopharmaceuticals as the primary beneficiaries of rate cuts, along with small-cap stocks sensitive to liquidity and economic recovery [3][41] Gold Market Strategy - Gold is upgraded to a higher position, with expectations of continued bullish sentiment leading up to the September FOMC meeting, as the market anticipates a rate cut [8][55] - The report emphasizes the ongoing increase in China's gold reserves, which reached 7,396 million ounces by the end of July 2025, marking a continuous increase for nine months [55][56]