Group 1 - The report highlights that the real estate index has shown a zigzag pattern of excess returns over the past year, characterized by short cycles, high volatility, and strong policy correlation. The average excess return during the last six upward waves reached 13%, lasting an average of 18 days [2][28][29] - It is suggested that if the upcoming political bureau meeting or related policies signal more aggressive real estate stimulus, the real estate index may initiate a new round of upward movement. However, the long-term outlook remains dependent on the stabilization of the fundamental market conditions [2][28][29] - Key themes identified include the push for orderly exit of backward production capacity to achieve high-quality development, significant investment in the Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project, and the high demand in the AIDC sector driven by policy [2][28][29] Group 2 - The report indicates that the domestic fiscal situation showed a slight decline in June, but land transaction recovery has led to an increase in government fund income. The overall fiscal revenue remained flat year-on-year, while tax revenue showed a positive trend [4][32] - Internationally, ongoing ceasefire negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Middle East are being monitored, with significant political figures expressing their views on interest rate policies [4][32] - The report emphasizes the importance of maintaining a cautious approach in the current market environment, as the market may experience overheating and increased volatility following recent highs [4][32] Group 3 - The report on the bond market suggests that the current "triple concerns" may be alleviating, with marginal improvements in the fundamentals and policy expectations boosting market sentiment. The bond market is expected to stabilize as the central bank's supportive stance continues [10][12] - It is noted that the bond market's rapid adjustment phase may be nearing its end, with the long-end interest rates expected to fluctuate between 1.65% and 1.8%, indicating potential value in allocations above 1.75% [10][12] - The report also highlights the need for ongoing observation of policy outcomes from the upcoming political bureau meeting and changes in funding and deposit pricing [10][12] Group 4 - The report on the construction materials sector indicates that signs of stabilization in the real estate chain are emerging, with non-traditional building materials showing higher demand. The focus is on structural optimization and growth opportunities [21][22] - Recommendations include investing in cement companies benefiting from policy-driven capacity recovery, consumer building materials with strong growth potential, and fiberglass companies anticipating significant demand increases [21][22] - The report also mentions the potential for explosive growth in the civil explosives market driven by coal mining activities in Xinjiang [21][22]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a day of fluctuation with the Sci-Tech 50 index showing resilience, closing at 1054.20, up 2.07% [1] - Major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index saw slight declines of 0.33%, 0.22%, and 0.23% respectively [1][3] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Electronics (1.37%), Computers (1.26%), and Real Estate (0.63%), while the worst performers were Construction Decoration (-2.06%) and Food & Beverage (-1.65%) [2] - Concept indices such as Sora Concept (2.98%) and Photolithography (2.79%) performed well, whereas sectors like Hainan Free Trade Zone (-3.77%) and Pumped Storage (-2.55%) lagged [2][3] Future Outlook - The market is expected to remain volatile, with a cautious bullish outlook as the overall market momentum is still strong, particularly around the 3600-point mark [5] - The report suggests focusing on sectors with strong mid-year performance expectations, particularly Machinery, Consumer Goods, TMT, and Financials [5] AI Sector Insights - The AI sector is witnessing a rebound, particularly in AI application stocks, with a projected global market size for AI video generation expected to grow from $615 million in 2024 to $717 million in 2025, reflecting a 17% year-on-year increase [4] - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for AI video generation from 2025 to 2032 is estimated at 20%, indicating strong future demand [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - North - Exchange convertible bonds have certain special features in terms of clause settings and transfer transactions, with relatively low overall issuance scale. In the current policy environment encouraging mergers and acquisitions, private placement convertible bonds may become an important tool for North - Exchange listed companies to introduce strategic investors and be widely used as a payment instrument for M&A. With the slowdown of new supply of public convertible bonds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, continuous attention to North - Exchange related investment opportunities is recommended [2][13]. - Considering the impact of refinancing policies, the subsequent issuance pressure of convertible bonds is expected to be low. As the stock market recovers, the return of incremental funds in convertible bonds drives the valuation to a relatively high historical level, and attention should be paid to the risk of valuation correction. In terms of clauses, continue to focus on the space for lower - revision games, be vigilant against call risks, and appropriately focus on short - term game opportunities of near - maturity convertible bonds. Industries to focus on include popular themes, domestic demand - oriented sectors, central state - owned enterprises under the Chinese characteristic valuation system, and the military industry [16]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1.转债周度专题与展望 3.1.1. 北交所转债怎么看？ - As of July 25, there were 5 convertible bond proposals on the North - Exchange. The current proposals are all private placement convertible bonds with an issuance scale within 150 million yuan. North - Exchange private placement convertible bonds usually do not have a "downward revision clause", suspend transfer 10 trading days before the end of the conversion period, have a clear 18 - month conversion restriction requirement, and a non - call period of at least 6 months [1][10]. - Taking the private placement convertible bonds of Youji Co., Ltd. as an example, it has obvious features in the initial conversion price, conditional call clause, non - downward revision clause, and put period. Other clauses are relatively conventional, with an issuance term of 6 years and a put trigger threshold of 70% [11][13]. 3.1.2. 周度回顾与市场展望 - This week, the three major stock indices fluctuated upward, with active trading and obvious rotation of hot sectors. The A - share market valuation is recovering. Measures such as large - scale equipment renewal and consumer goods replacement are expected to boost domestic demand, while export growth may decline. A weak resonance between the domestic economic fundamentals and the capital market is expected to gradually start [14][15]. - In terms of convertible bonds, considering the impact of refinancing policies, the subsequent issuance pressure is expected to be low. As the stock market recovers, the return of incremental funds drives the valuation to a relatively high historical level, and attention should be paid to the risk of valuation correction. Industries to focus on include popular themes, domestic demand - oriented sectors, central state - owned enterprises under the Chinese characteristic valuation system, and the military industry [16]. 3.2. 转债市场周度跟踪 3.2.1. 权益市场收涨，建材煤炭钢铁领涨 - This week, the major equity market indices rose. The market style was more inclined to small - cap value stocks. Among the 27 Shenwan industry indices, 27 rose and 4 fell. Building materials, coal, and steel industries led the market [19][22]. 3.2.2. 转债市场大涨，百元溢价率中位数抬升 - This week, the convertible bond market rose. The average daily trading volume increased. Most industries in the convertible bond market rose, with coal, building materials, and petroleum and petrochemical industries leading the gains. Only bank convertible bonds fell. Most individual bonds rose. In terms of price, the number of absolute low - price convertible bonds decreased, and the median price increased significantly. The weighted conversion value of the whole market increased, and the premium rate decreased [24][31][36]. 3.2.3. 不同类型转债高频跟踪 3.2.3.1. 分类估值变化 - This week, the valuations of equity - biased and balanced convertible bonds increased significantly, with a higher increase in balanced convertible bonds. The valuations of convertible bonds with a parity of 0 - 80 yuan and above 130 yuan decreased, while those of other parity convertible bonds increased. The valuations of most convertible bonds of each rating decreased, and the valuations of convertible bonds in each scale category decreased [51]. 3.2.3.2. 市场指数表现 - This week, convertible bonds of all ratings rose. Since 2023, high - rating AAA convertible bonds have shown stable performance, while low - rating convertible bonds have shown weaker anti - decline attributes and greater rebound strength. Convertible bonds of all scales rose this week [62][64]. 3.3. 转债供给与条款跟踪 3.3.1. 本周一级预案发行 - Two new convertible bonds were listed this week, and one was issued but not yet listed. The first - day closing prices of Libo Convertible Bonds and Guanghe Convertible Bonds were 129.46 yuan and 129.80 yuan respectively, with reasonable pricing. The scale of the to - be - listed Bo 25 Convertible Bonds is 2.802 billion yuan. There were 9 first - level approvals this week [69]. 3.3.2. 下修&赎回条款 - This week, 9 convertible bonds were expected to trigger downward revision, 9 announced no downward revision, 2 proposed downward revision, and 1 announced the downward - revision result. Thirteen convertible bonds were expected to trigger call, 4 announced no call, and 4 announced early call. As of the end of this week, 3 convertible bonds were still in the put declaration period, and 19 were in the company's capital reduction and settlement declaration period [73][77][79].

Market Performance - As of July 25, 2025, the North Exchange A-share component stocks totaled 268, with an average market capitalization of 3.184 billion yuan[16] - The North Exchange 50 Index rose by 2.85% to close at 1458.98 points, compared to the previous week's closing[16] - The average daily trading volume for North Exchange A-shares reached 31.082 billion yuan, an increase of 41.81% from the previous week[16] Sector Comparison - The PE ratios for North Exchange A-shares, ChiNext, Shanghai Main Board, Shenzhen Main Board, and Sci-Tech Innovation Board are 55.14, 38.43, 21.81, 23.69, and 35.79 respectively as of July 25, 2025[25] - The North Exchange A-share turnover rate was 7.04%, up by 1.83 percentage points from the previous week, indicating improved liquidity[16] Investment Insights - The report suggests focusing on sectors with strong mid-year report expectations and high thematic interest[25] - The North Exchange continues to expand, with a total of 11 new companies listed in April 2024 and 12 in July 2025, reflecting a trend of increasing average net profit among new listings[16] Risks - Potential policy risks may affect investor enthusiasm and market heat[26] - Liquidity risks exist due to smaller trading volumes compared to other boards, which could negatively impact the market[26] - There is a risk of companies not meeting profit expectations due to external market changes, potentially affecting stock prices[26]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the construction and decoration industry, indicating a positive outlook for major projects and regional development strategies [4][10]. Core Insights - The initiation of the Yaxia Hydropower Station signals a clear trend of central government leveraging, with expectations for further major projects and regional development strategies to stabilize overall infrastructure investment and total demand [1][9]. - The report highlights that infrastructure and manufacturing investments are experiencing a high-level continuous decline, with real estate investment, sales, and funding showing significant drops, indicating a core issue of insufficient demand [1][14]. - It is anticipated that fiscal policies will continue to strengthen in the second half of the year, improving the funding situation for infrastructure and accelerating the implementation of physical workloads [1][14]. Summary by Sections Major Projects and Regional Development Strategies - Significant transportation projects are expected, including the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan Railway and the New Tibet Railway, with total investments of approximately $8 billion and 960 billion yuan respectively [2][21]. - The report outlines several large canal projects, such as the Pinglu Canal, with a total investment of about 72 billion yuan, which is expected to enhance logistics efficiency and stimulate economic growth [3][26]. - The Xinjiang regional strategy is highlighted, with over 800 billion yuan in coal chemical projects planned, driven by the region's abundant coal resources [7][10]. Key Recommendations - The report recommends major construction enterprises that will benefit from large-scale transportation and water conservancy projects, including China Energy Engineering, China State Construction, and China Railway Construction [10][11]. - It also emphasizes companies involved in coal chemical development in Xinjiang, such as China Chemical Engineering and Donghua Technology, as key beneficiaries of the regional strategy [10][11]. - Companies like Sichuan Road and Bridge are recommended due to their involvement in the construction of the national strategic hinterland [10][11].

Group 1 - The report maintains an optimistic long-term outlook for the index, suggesting a "slowly rising oscillating market" pattern, with short-term risks of adjustment as the index approaches key levels [2][11][19] - There are two main doubts regarding the market breakthrough: "the fundamentals have not yet bottomed" and "the fiscal support for anti-involution is weak" [12][30] - The central Huijin is identified as a core driving force behind the current market breakthrough, providing stability and support through sustained long-term capital inflows [13][19] Group 2 - The trading heat is currently high, with a significant number of industries showing increased trading activity, particularly in anti-involution sectors [20][21] - The report highlights that the trading volume in several anti-involution industries has surpassed warning thresholds, indicating heightened market activity [23][28] - The report notes that while the overall trading heat is elevated, it does not necessarily indicate the end of the market rally, as seen in previous years [21][30] Group 3 - The anti-involution market phase is characterized by skepticism regarding the strength of fiscal support, despite recent policy changes that may extend the definition of anti-involution [30][31] - Future prospects for the anti-involution market depend on the strength of demand-side policies; insufficient support may lead to a temporary rebound rather than a sustained reversal [34][35] - The report outlines three advantages driving the anti-involution trend: high-level policy attention, clean chip distribution in industries, and increased market risk appetite [31][32] Group 4 - The report recommends a diversified investment strategy focusing on technology, military, finance, and stable dividend stocks, alongside gold [35][36] - Specific sectors highlighted for investment include AI, robotics, semiconductors, and consumer goods, with an emphasis on areas showing marginal improvement in profit growth [36][37] - The report suggests that the current market environment requires a "bull market mindset" while maintaining a cautious approach to avoid blind chasing of highs [35][36]

Group 1: Market Performance - The average daily change for the North Exchange (北证) and A-shares (A股) shows significant fluctuations, with a peak of 30% for Tianrun Technology (天润科技) on July 25, 2025[8] - The trading volume for the North Exchange reached a total of 600 billion CNY, with an average turnover rate of 16% as of July 25, 2025[6] - The average price-to-earnings ratio (PE) for companies listed on the North Exchange varies significantly across industries, with some sectors showing a PE as high as 516.07[12] Group 2: Stock Performance - The top-performing stocks on July 25, 2025, include Tianrun Technology with a 30% increase and a market capitalization of 29.19 billion CNY[8] - Conversely, the worst-performing stock, Jikang Technology (基康技术), saw a decline of 12.56% with a market capitalization of 52.76 billion CNY[9] - The average daily change for the North Exchange was notably higher than that of the A-share market, indicating a more volatile trading environment[7] Group 3: Risks and Challenges - The report highlights risks including lower-than-expected policy support, insufficient technological innovation, and increased market competition[13] - Market volatility remains a significant concern, impacting investor sentiment and stock performance across various sectors[13]

还有易明医药，今天干脆涨停了，换手率23.9%，成交额9.49亿，3家机构凑在买一、买三、买四的位置，合计净买入2700多万。涨停板上机构还愿意掏钱， 说明短期趋势可能被他们认可，但也别光高兴，得看看这涨停是突发消息还是真有业绩撑着，毕竟咱做中长线，得看实在的东西。 更有意思的是中化岩土，今天跌停了，成交额21.74亿，换手率25.9%，按理说跌成这样该没人敢碰吧？可偏偏有两家机构在买二、买四的位置往里砸钱，净 买入近2500万。巧的是深股通在这票上净卖出5400多万，机构和深股通对着干，这种分歧往往藏着机会或风险，得跟踪看看后续谁能占上风。 再看机构净卖出的票，头三名挺扎眼。昂利康一天振幅快20%，还跌了近10%，4家机构排在卖一到卖五的位置，合计净卖出3个亿。这种大振幅加暴跌，机 构跑这么快，大概率是在避险，怕后续还有波动，咱散户碰这种票可得攥紧缰绳。 华新水泥也被机构甩了1.77亿，还跟着沪股通净卖出4900多万，不过营业部席位倒净买入5700多万。这就有意思了，机构和外资在卖，游资却在接，说明不 同资金对这票的看法差得远，可能和近期水泥行业的预期变化有关，咱得看看是不是行业逻辑真的变了。 各位老铁，我 ...

Group 1 - The State Intellectual Property Office of China granted a patent for a method related to deep foundation pit tower crane base reinforcement and displacement control, with the announcement number CN120006790B and application date of April 2025 [1] - Xinxiang Wanxing Road and Bridge Co., Ltd. was established in 2004, located in Xinxiang City, primarily engaged in construction decoration and other construction industries, with a registered capital of 43.448 million RMB [1] - Henan Provincial Institute of Architectural Science was established in 1994, located in Zhengzhou, primarily engaged in housing construction, with a registered capital of 51.68 million RMB [1] Group 2 - Henan Hengshi Construction Management Co., Ltd. was established in 2019, located in Zhengzhou, primarily engaged in civil engineering construction, with a registered capital of 1 million RMB [2] - Beijing Sairisi International Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd. was established in 1995, located in Beijing, primarily engaged in professional technical services, with a registered capital of 20 million RMB [2] - Xinxiang Wanxing Road and Bridge Co., Ltd. has participated in 2,768 bidding projects and holds 4 patents [1] - Henan Provincial Institute of Architectural Science has participated in 1,045 bidding projects and holds 275 patents [1] - Beijing Sairisi International Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd. has participated in 5,000 bidding projects and holds 16 patents [2]

全筑股份(603030)今日涨停，全天换手率9.34%，成交额3.45亿元，振幅10.08%。龙虎榜数据显示，营 业部席位合计净买入2113.52万元。 上交所公开信息显示，当日该股因日涨幅偏离值达10.41%上榜，营业部席位合计净买入2113.52万元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，上榜的前五大买卖营业部合计成交1.04亿元，其中，买入成交额为6249.51 万元，卖出成交额为4135.99万元，合计净买入2113.52万元。 具体来看，今日上榜营业部中，第一大买入营业部为开源证券股份有限公司西安西大街证券营业部，买 入金额为1555.95万元，第一大卖出营业部为国泰海通证券股份有限公司总部，卖出金额为1071.33万 元。 近半年该股累计上榜龙虎榜5次，上榜次日股价平均涨3.01%，上榜后5日平均跌0.13%。 资金流向方面，今日该股主力资金净流入9449.38万元，其中，特大单净流入1.08亿元，大单资金净流出 1378.46万元。近5日主力资金净流入9049.69万元。 | 买/ | 会员营业部名称 | 买入金额（万 | 卖出金额（万 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 卖 | ...