来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 12月26日，中国稀土涨1.31%，成交额13.55亿元，换手率2.72%，总市值499.73亿元。 异动分析 稀土永磁+小金属概念+央企国企改革+中字头股票+国企改革 1、公司主要从事稀土氧化物等产品的生产运营，以及稀土技术研发、咨询服务。 2、公司主要从事稀土氧化物、稀土金属、稀土深加工产品经营及贸易，以及稀土技术研发、咨询服 务。公司主导产品包括高纯的单一稀土氧化物及稀土共沉物产品，其中80%以上的产品纯度大于 99.99%，高纯氧化镧、高纯氧化钇等部分稀土氧化物纯度可达99.9999%以上。 3、公司最终控制人为国务院国有资产监督管理委员会 资金分析 今日主力净流入5333.15万，占比0.04%，行业排名4/25，连续2日被主力资金增仓；所属行业主力净流 入-3.72亿，连续3日被主力资金减仓。 区间今日近3日近5日近10日近20日主力净流入5814.41万1.83亿1.33亿-1.27亿-6.13亿 主力持仓 主力没有控盘，筹码分布非常分散，主力成交额3.60亿，占总成交额的8.75%。 技术面：筹码平均交易成本为49.50元 4、公司为中字头股票，公司实控人为国资委或 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is leading the market, with the largest non-ferrous ETF, Huabao (159876), reaching a new high since its listing, reflecting strong investor confidence in the sector's future performance [1][10]. Fund Performance - As of the report, Huabao ETF (159876) has seen a net subscription of 3 million units, with a total inflow of 56.11 million yuan over the past two days, indicating positive market sentiment towards the non-ferrous metal sector [1][10]. Stock Performance - Key stocks in the sector include Guocheng Mining and Yongxing Materials, both rising over 6%, while Baotai Co. increased by more than 5%. Other notable stocks include Lichong Group, Baiyin Nonferrous, and Hunan Baiyin, which also saw gains [3][12]. - Major weighted stocks such as Luoyang Molybdenum and Zijin Mining rose over 2% and 3%, respectively, while Shandong Gold increased by over 1% [3][12]. Market Outlook - Looking ahead to 2026, Huabao Fund identifies three main themes that may drive non-ferrous metal prices higher: 1. "Green Inflation" related to basic metals like copper and aluminum, driven by the growth of new economies such as AI and renewable energy, which are expected to outpace traditional sectors [5][14]. 2. "Anti-Overcapacity" policies affecting lithium and other new energy metals, which may lead to a balance in supply and demand, with lithium prices projected to rise from a base of 90,000-100,000 to 120,000 [15]. 3. "Interest Rate Cuts" impacting precious metals like gold, with expectations of accelerated rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, enhancing gold's appeal as a monetary asset [6][15]. Industry Sentiment - Analysts generally believe that the non-ferrous metal sector is likely to continue its bullish trend, with firms like Zhongtai Securities and CITIC Securities expressing optimism about the ongoing commodity investment enthusiasm [6][16]. Investment Strategy - For investors looking to capitalize on the non-ferrous metal sector, a diversified approach through the Huabao ETF (159876) and its associated funds is recommended, as it covers a broad range of metals, reducing risk compared to investing in single metal sectors [8][17].

今日（12月25日）有色金属板块四连涨创新高后首次回调，同标的指数规模最大的有色ETF华宝 （159876）场内价格一度跌近2%，最终收跌0.93%，回踩5日线。 产业层面，商业航天概念反复活跃，火箭/卫星放量，带动钛、高温合金、稀土、钨、铝等材料需求， 同时重塑有色标的成长属性。例如，钛合金（宝钛股份）、高温合金（钢研高纳）、铝锂合金（立中集 团）用于箭体/发动机。此外，商业航天概念活跃时，资金从题材向上游材料扩散，钢研高纳、宝钛股 份等成份股因业绩确定性强，获资金青睐，并逆势上涨。 有色金属的超级周期能有多长？业内人士指出，取决于三个条件：美元信用恢复情况、战略收储进 度、"反内卷"政策效果。从这三个条件来看，2026年有色金属超级周期大概率还会持续。弱美元周期 +政策托底+产业升级，股市机会成本下降，风险溢价改善，面对即将迎来的"春季行情"，或可积极把 握。 【周期风口已至，"有色牛"或将持续】 不同的有色金属，景气度、节奏与驱动点不一致，分化在所难免，如果看好有色金属，一个比较轻松的 思路是通过全覆盖来更好地把握整个板块的贝塔行情。揽尽有色金属行业龙头的有色ETF华宝 数据显示，有色ETF华宝（159 ...

从资金流向上来看，当日小金属板块主力资金净流出6.22亿元，游资资金净流入1709.28万元，散户资金 净流入6.04亿元。小金属板块个股资金流向见下表： 证券之星消息，12月25日小金属板块较上一交易日下跌0.08%，浩通科技领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3959.62，上涨0.47%。深证成指报收于13531.41，上涨0.33%。小金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002149 | 西部材料 | 46.20 | 10.00% | 126.90万 | 56.25 Z | | 600456 | 宝钛股份 | 36.79 | 2.37% | 31.93万 | 11.72亿 | | 002428 | 云南猪业 | 30.95 | 1.98% | 52.93万 | 16.32亿 | | 000831 | 中国稀土 | 46.48 | 1.84% | 1 26.70万 | 12.32亿 | | 688750 | 金天钛业 | 19.55 | 1.61% | 9.04 ...

深 度 有色金属行业 标配 （维持） 小金属系列追踪报告 新能源与 AI 双轮驱动，关注供需平衡与政策助力 2025 年 12 月 25 日 S0340523120001 电话：0769-23320072 邮箱： xuzhengkun@dgzq.com.cn 行 业 研 究 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 新质生产谱新章—许正堃， 先进制造绽锋芒—许正堃， 2025.02.24 研 究 2024.12.27 潜龙待云升—许正堃， 2025.11.24 分析师：许正堃 SAC 执业证书编号： 投资策略： 钨：我国钨资源储量、产量全球主导，目前供给端受开采指标收缩、 环保限产及海外增量有限等约束，使得供应量持续偏紧；需求端在硬 质合金刚性支撑，以及光伏钨丝、核聚变等新兴需求助推下，供需格 局快速转好，推动钨价年内大幅上升。短期在年末备货、低库存等支 撑下预计钨价或高位震荡，中长期随着供需缺口扩大，钨产品价格中 枢有望继续上移。 研 究 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 有色金属行业指数走势 钼： ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Zhongtung High-tech has experienced significant price increases this year, with a year-to-date rise of 215.14%, indicating strong market interest and performance [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 25, Zhongtung High-tech's stock price was 28.52 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 649.86 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has seen a 4.81% increase over the last five trading days, a 33.27% increase over the last 20 days, and a 63.06% increase over the last 60 days [1]. - The company has appeared on the "龙虎榜" (a stock trading list) six times this year, with the most recent appearance on November 5, where it recorded a net buy of 1.90 billion CNY [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Zhongtung High-tech reported a revenue of 12.755 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.70% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 846 million CNY, showing a substantial year-on-year increase of 310.28% [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 103,100, up by 120.14% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 54.28% to 12,170 shares [2]. - The top circulating shareholders include institutions such as Yinhua Xinjia Mixed Fund and Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, with notable changes in their holdings [3].

Group 1 - The small metal sector experienced a decline of 0.28% on December 24, with Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3940.95, up 0.53%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13486.42, up 0.88% [1] - Notable gainers in the small metal sector included Tiangong Co., which rose by 16.15% with a closing price of 20.86, and Xibu Materials, which increased by 8.47% to 42.00 [1] Group 2 - The small metal sector saw a net outflow of 1.029 billion yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 1.143 billion yuan [2] - The top losers included Caoyuan Tungsten Industry, which fell by 7.75% to 15.00, and Xianglu Tungsten Industry, down 6.63% to 14.08 [2] - The trading volume for major stocks in the sector varied, with Xiamen Tungsten Industry recording a volume of 713,100 shares and a turnover of 2.906 billion yuan [2] Group 3 - Major net inflows were observed in Xibu Materials with 118 million yuan, while Tiangong Co. had a significant retail net inflow of 958,600 yuan [3] - Conversely, Guoyan Platinum Industry experienced a net outflow of 66.75 million yuan from retail investors [3] - The overall market sentiment reflected a mixed response, with some stocks like Zhongkuang Resources seeing a net inflow of 32.55 million yuan from speculative funds [3]

Group 1 - The small metal sector experienced a short-term surge, with Tian Gong Co., Ltd. rising over 10% [1] - Other companies that followed the upward trend include Guiyan Platinum Industry, BaoTi Co., Ltd., Haotong Technology, Xingye Silver Tin, and Western Materials [1]

Core Viewpoint - Guangsheng Nonferrous Metal Co., Ltd. has experienced significant stock price fluctuations and changes in shareholder composition, reflecting both challenges and opportunities in its financial performance and market positioning [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, Guangsheng Nonferrous reported a revenue of 4.634 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 46.97% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 128 million yuan, showing a substantial year-on-year increase of 146.30% [2]. - The company has cumulatively distributed 4.268 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3]. Stock Market Activity - On December 24, Guangsheng Nonferrous's stock price fell by 2.00%, trading at 52.86 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 17.784 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has increased by 90.08% year-to-date, with a 5.68% rise over the last five trading days [1]. - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" twice this year, with the most recent occurrence on June 4 [1]. Shareholder Composition - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 60,900, a rise of 9.77% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 8.90% to 5,522 shares [2]. - New significant shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and several mutual funds, indicating a shift in institutional investment [3].

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metals sector is experiencing a strong upward trend, with significant increases in various metal prices and a notable performance of the Huabao ETF (159876) since its low point in April 2023, indicating potential investment opportunities [1][6][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Huabao ETF (159876) has seen a cumulative increase of 91.08% since its low on April 8, 2023, with a recent intraday gain of 1.25% [1]. - The ETF has broken through its historical high since its listing, suggesting a potential buying signal, with a net subscription of 3 million units reported [1]. - The non-ferrous metals index has shown varied annual performance, with a notable decline in 2022 and 2023, but a positive outlook for 2024 [3]. Group 2: Key Stocks Performance - Major stocks in the sector include Zhongkuang Resources, which rose by 6.20%, and Xinye Silver Tin, which increased by 5.76% [4]. - Other notable performers include Yongxing Materials and Huayou Cobalt, both rising over 3% [3][4]. - The overall market capitalization and trading volume of these stocks indicate robust investor interest and activity [4]. Group 3: Price Trends and Influencing Factors - Precious metals like gold and silver have reached historical highs, with platinum and copper also hitting significant price milestones [6][7]. - The ongoing global monetary easing and strategic importance of non-ferrous metals are expected to drive prices higher, with forecasts suggesting a bullish trend in the coming years [7][8]. - The Chinese government's policy initiatives aim to stabilize and grow the non-ferrous metals industry, targeting an average annual growth of 5% in industry value added from 2025 to 2026 [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the non-ferrous metals sector is entering a new cycle driven by supply-demand balance, with prices likely to continue rising [8]. - The Huabao ETF is positioned to provide diversified exposure across various metals, making it a suitable option for investors looking to capitalize on the sector's growth [9].