Core Viewpoint - Beijing Yiswei Technology Group's subsidiary, Yiswei Computing, has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, while also pursuing an IPO for another subsidiary, Xi'an Yiswei Materials Technology [1][4]. Financial Performance - From 2022 to 2024, Yiswei Computing achieved a cumulative revenue of 5.777 billion yuan but recorded a net loss of 4.954 billion yuan, indicating significant concerns regarding profitability [1][9]. - The company has experienced a total cash outflow of approximately 3.463 billion yuan from operating activities over the past three years [11]. - Revenue figures for the past three years were 2 billion yuan, 1.752 billion yuan, and 2.025 billion yuan, with corresponding net losses of 1.57 billion yuan, 1.837 billion yuan, and 1.547 billion yuan [9]. Business Model and Market Position - Yiswei Computing specializes in intelligent solutions, utilizing the RISC-V architecture, and is recognized as the largest provider of RISC-V customized solutions in China by revenue as of 2024 [5][10]. - The company has completed four rounds of financing, raising over 9 billion yuan, with the latest D round in June 2023 bringing in over 3 billion yuan [7][11]. Customer Concentration - Yiswei Computing exhibits a high customer concentration, with the top five customers contributing 88.7%, 90.7%, and 88.5% of total revenue over the past three years [12]. - The largest customer accounted for approximately 78.9%, 82.1%, and 76.8% of revenue during the same period, raising concerns about dependency on a limited customer base [12]. Research and Development - The company employs 1,262 full-time R&D staff, representing 71.1% of its total workforce, with about 70% holding master's degrees or higher [9]. - R&D expenditures were significant, amounting to 1.44 billion yuan, 1.445 billion yuan, and 1.337 billion yuan over the past three years, constituting 72%, 82.5%, and 66% of total revenue respectively [9]. Competitive Landscape - Yiswei Computing faces intense competition in the RISC-V market, particularly from companies like Sifang Technology, which offers a range of RISC-V-based products and solutions [10]. - The company acknowledges the challenges of market adoption for its RISC-V solutions and the competitive nature of the technology landscape [10]. Future Plans - The funds raised from the IPO are intended for developing new intelligent terminal solutions across various sectors, enhancing software and hardware capabilities, and potential strategic acquisitions [11].

天胶观点 交产业期现日报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年5月30日 现货价格及基差 品种 5月29日 5月28日 涨跌 涨跌幅 单位 云南国营全乳胶(SCRWF):上海 13850 14050 -200 -1.42% 全乳基差(切换至2509合约) -30 245 -275 -112.24% 元/吨 泰标混合胶报价 13800 14400 -600 -4.17% 非标价差 -80 295 -675 -113.45% 品种 5月29日 5月28日 涨跌幅 单位 涨跌 杯胶：国际市场：FOB中间价 49.95 51.60 -1.65 -3.20% 泰铢/公斤 胶水:国际市场:FOB中间价 62.25 62.75 -0.50 -0.80% 天然橡胶:胶块:西双版纳州 12200 12800 -4.69% -600 天然橡胶：胶水：西双版纳州 13300 12600 -700 -5.26% 元/吨 原料：市场主流价：海南 12900 13100 -200 -1.53% 外胶原料：市场主流价：海南 9000 9000 0.00 0.00% 月间价差 合约 5月29日 5月28日 涨跌幅 单 ...

Core Viewpoint - The industrial silicon market is experiencing a downward trend in prices due to increased supply expectations and weak demand, leading to a significant impact on the spot market [1][2]. Price Trends - The main contract price for industrial silicon dropped from 7880 yuan/ton to 7340 yuan/ton, a decrease of 6.85% [1]. - The national average price is reported at 8961 yuan/ton, down by 98 yuan/ton [1]. - Specific grades show prices of 553 at 8652 yuan/ton, 441 at 9215 yuan/ton, and 421 at 9617 yuan/ton, each declining by 100 yuan/ton, 98 yuan/ton, and 98 yuan/ton respectively [1]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Supply is expected to increase as northern manufacturers resume production and the wet season approaches, although southern manufacturers are only preparing to start limited operations [1]. - Demand from organic silicon monomer plants is stable, with expectations of increased production due to fewer maintenance plans in June [1]. - The overall demand from downstream sectors, including aluminum alloy manufacturers, is increasing, but the market remains generally pessimistic [2]. Market Sentiment - The market sentiment is increasingly bearish, with the spot price under significant pressure from weak demand and continuous declines in futures prices [1][2]. - The overall market is characterized by difficulty in inventory reduction and a lack of signs for price recovery [2].

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - No industry investment ratings are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views Natural Rubber - Supply in Southeast Asian producing areas is affected by heavy rainfall, but there is an expectation of increased supply after the rainy season, and raw material pressure may gradually emerge. Demand from tire enterprises is in a state of restorative improvement, but tire factory inventories have resumed accumulating, with significant inventory pressure on semi - steel tires. It is expected that rubber prices will mainly fluctuate weakly, and previous short positions should be held. Attention should be paid to the performance at the 14,000 level [1]. Industrial Silicon - The industrial silicon fundamentals continue to face pressure from high supply and high warehouse receipts. The spot price in East China has continued to decline by 50 - 100 yuan/ton, while the price in Xinjiang has stabilized. With an expected increase in supply, the price of industrial silicon futures SI2507 has decreased by 305 yuan/ton to 7,610 yuan/ton. The supply side is expected to grow despite weak demand, mainly due to the resumption of production of small enterprises in Southwest China, the commissioning of new production capacities, and the resumption of production of large enterprises. The main demand, the photovoltaic industry chain, continues to weaken, but the organic silicon industry shows some signs of improvement. With limited demand growth, declining raw material costs, and an expected increase in production, the fundamentals remain bearish, and prices are still under pressure [3]. Polysilicon - The spot price of polysilicon is gradually stabilizing, but the far - month futures price has dropped significantly due to the decline in the price of raw material industrial silicon and the expected increase in supply. The price of PS2507 has decreased by 1,205 yuan/ton to 34,885 yuan/ton, a decline of over 3%. Some polysilicon enterprises are resuming production in conjunction with capacity replacement or are still in the commissioning phase. The 06 contract is relatively firm as the first delivery is approaching in June, with a position of about 14,000 lots and no increase in warehouse receipts, which remain at 470 lots. Technically, the polysilicon futures price is still under pressure, and attention should be paid to changes in polysilicon production [5]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Soda Ash**: Despite the negative pressure of the commissioning of Lianyungang Alkali Industry last week, it will take time to produce products. The recent production decline due to maintenance is significant, and there is a strong expectation of maintenance in June. Therefore, the downward trend in the futures market has slowed. Considering short - term supply changes, it is more likely that inventories will remain stable. Fundamentally, the resumption of production in the photovoltaic industry has brought some demand for soda ash, but the overall demand has not increased significantly due to the stable and slightly decreasing float glass production capacity. In the medium - to - long term, there is still pressure for inventory accumulation after the maintenance period ends. From May to June, the implementation of maintenance can be monitored. If maintenance occurs, it will be beneficial for the June - July contracts. Short - term operations can involve short - selling on rebounds for far - month contracts, and calendar spreads between July and September can be considered [6]. - **Glass**: The spot market for glass is performing poorly, and market sentiment remains pessimistic. This week, the spot price of glass has mainly continued to weaken, with widespread price cuts in various regions. During the decline in the futures market, spot - futures traders have mainly sold, affecting the production and sales rate of manufacturers. From April to May, downstream deep - processing orders have gradually improved, and the demand from processing plants has seasonally recovered, leading to a phased improvement in glass supply and demand. However, market expectations are poor, with an expected slowdown in demand after June due to the summer rainy season. The actual fundamentals have marginally improved, but expectations and sentiment are moderately bearish. It is expected that the short - term glass price will continue to be under pressure and will operate weakly with fluctuations. Attention should be paid to whether the 09 contract can break through the 1,000 level, as a breakthrough may lead to further decline [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Natural Rubber Spot Price and Basis - The price of Yunnan state - owned whole - latex (SCRWF) in Shanghai has decreased from 14,700 yuan/ton on May 23 to 14,300 yuan/ton on May 26, a decrease of 400 yuan/ton or 2.72%. The basis of whole - latex (switched to the 2509 contract) has decreased from 165 yuan/ton to - 100 yuan/ton, a decrease of 265 yuan/ton or 160.61%. The price of Thai standard mixed rubber has decreased from 14,400 yuan/ton to 14,350 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan/ton or 0.35%. The non - standard price difference has increased from - 135 yuan/ton to - 50 yuan/ton, an increase of 85 yuan/ton or 62.96% [1]. Month - to - Month Spreads - The 9 - 1 spread has increased from - 785 yuan/ton to - 760 yuan/ton, an increase of 25 yuan/ton or 3.18%. The 1 - 5 spread has decreased from - 105 yuan/ton to - 125 yuan/ton, a decrease of 20 yuan/ton or 19.05%. The 5 - 9 spread has decreased from 890 yuan/ton to 885 yuan/ton, a decrease of 5 yuan/ton or 0.56% [1]. Fundamental Data - In April, the production in Thailand decreased by 29.16% to 105,700 tons, the production in Indonesia decreased by 7.26% to 194,100 tons, the production in India decreased by 14.34% to 45,400 tons, and the production in China decreased by 58.10% to 15,800 tons. The weekly operating rate of semi - steel tires for automobile tires has decreased by 0.11 percentage points to 78.22%, and the weekly operating rate of full - steel tires has decreased by 0.13 percentage points to 64.96%. Domestic tire production in April decreased by 5.07% to 102.002 million units, and the export volume of new pneumatic rubber tires decreased by 7.87% to 57.39 million units. The total import volume of natural rubber in March increased by 18.07% to 594,100 tons, and the import volume of natural and synthetic rubber (including latex) in April decreased by 9.21% to 690,000 tons [1]. Inventory Changes - The bonded area inventory (bonded + general trade inventory) has decreased by 0.73% to 614,189 tons, and the factory - warehouse futures inventory of natural rubber on the SHFE has decreased by 38.02% to 43,544 tons [1]. Industrial Silicon Spot Price and Basis - The price of East China oxygen - enriched S15530 industrial silicon has decreased from 8,650 yuan/ton to 8,600 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan/ton or 0.58%. The basis (based on oxygen - enriched SI5530) has decreased from 770 yuan/ton to 685 yuan/ton, a decrease of 85 yuan/ton or 11.04%. The price of East China SI4210 industrial silicon has decreased from 9,500 yuan/ton to 9,400 yuan/ton, a decrease of 100 yuan/ton or 1.05%. The basis (based on SI4210) has decreased from 820 yuan/ton to 685 yuan/ton, a decrease of 135 yuan/ton or 16.46%. The price of Xinjiang 99 - silicon has remained unchanged at 8,020 yuan/ton [3]. Month - to - Month Spreads - The 2506 - 2507 spread has remained unchanged at - 30 yuan/ton, the 2507 - 2508 spread has decreased from - 30 yuan/ton to - 35 yuan/ton, a decrease of 5 yuan/ton or 16.67%, the 2508 - 2509 spread has decreased from - 25 yuan/ton to - 30 yuan/ton, a decrease of 5 yuan/ton or 20.00%, the 2509 - 2510 spread has increased from - 25 yuan/ton to - 15 yuan/ton, an increase of 10 yuan/ton or 40.00%, and the 2510 - 2511 spread has decreased from - 25 yuan/ton to - 30 yuan/ton, a decrease of 5 yuan/ton or 20.00% [3]. Fundamental Data (Monthly) - In April, the national industrial silicon production decreased by 12.10% to 300,800 tons, the production in Xinjiang decreased by 20.55% to 167,500 tons, the production in Yunnan increased by 9.35% to 13,500 tons, and the production in Sichuan increased by 145.65% to 11,300 tons. The national operating rate decreased by 11.37% to 51.23%, the operating rate in Xinjiang decreased by 22.18% to 60.74%, the operating rate in Yunnan decreased by 9.21% to 18.13%, and the operating rate in Sichuan increased by 1389.80% to 7.30%. The production of organic silicon DMC in April decreased by 8.04% to 172,800 tons, the production of polysilicon decreased by 0.73% to 95,400 tons, the production of recycled aluminum alloy decreased by 5.28% to 610,000 tons, and the export volume of industrial silicon increased by 1.64% to 60,500 tons [3]. Inventory Changes - The factory - warehouse inventory in Xinjiang has decreased by 6.95% to 187,400 tons, the factory - warehouse inventory in Yunnan has increased by 1.26% to 24,100 tons, the factory - warehouse inventory in Sichuan has decreased by 0.44% to 22,500 tons, the social inventory has decreased by 2.84% to 582,000 tons, the warehouse - receipt inventory has decreased by 1.00% to 324,600 tons, and the non - warehouse - receipt inventory has decreased by 5.06% to 257,400 tons [3]. Polysilicon Spot Price and Basis - The average price of N - type reclaimed feedstock, P - type cauliflower feedstock, and N - type granular silicon has remained unchanged at 36,500 yuan/ton, 30,000 yuan/ton, and 34,000 yuan/ton respectively. The basis of N - type feedstock (average price) has increased from 410 yuan/ton to 1,615 yuan/ton, an increase of 1,205 yuan/ton or 293.90%, and the basis of cauliflower feedstock (average price) has increased from 5,910 yuan/ton to 7,115 yuan/ton, an increase of 1,205 yuan/ton or 20.39% [5]. Futures Price and Month - to - Month Spreads - The price of PS2506 has decreased from 36,090 yuan/ton to 34,885 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1,205 yuan/ton or 3.34%. The PS2506 - PS2507 spread has increased from 1,105 yuan/ton to 2,100 yuan/ton, an increase of 995 yuan/ton or 90.05%, the PS2507 - PS2508 spread has increased from 735 yuan/ton to 852 yuan/ton, an increase of 117 yuan/ton or 16.33%, the PS2508 - PS2509 spread has increased from 265 yuan/ton to 320 yuan/ton, an increase of 55 yuan/ton or 32.08%, the PS2509 - PS2510 spread has decreased from 270 yuan/ton to 115 yuan/ton, a decrease of 155 yuan/ton or 57.41%, the PS2510 - PS2511 spread has increased from 80 yuan/ton to 190 yuan/ton, an increase of 110 yuan/ton or 137.50%, and the PS2511 - PS2512 spread has decreased from - 1,715 yuan/ton to - 1,735 yuan/ton, a decrease of 20 yuan/ton or 1.17% [5]. Fundamental Data (Weekly and Monthly) - Weekly: The silicon wafer production increased by 7.09% to 13,300 GM, and the polysilicon production increased by 0.47% to 21,500 tons. Monthly: In April, the polysilicon production decreased by 0.73% to 95,400 tons, the polysilicon import volume decreased by 69.49% to 10,000 tons, the polysilicon export volume decreased by 37.06% to 13,000 tons, the net polysilicon export volume increased by 127.44% to 3,000 tons, the silicon wafer production increased by 14.95% to 58,350 GM, the silicon wafer import volume increased by 46.90% to 900 tons, the silicon wafer export volume increased by 7.13% to 6,300 tons, and the silicon wafer net export volume increased by 2.64% to 5,500 tons [5]. Inventory Changes - The polysilicon inventory increased by 4.00% to 260,000 tons, the silicon wafer inventory decreased by 2.52% to 18,950 GM, and the polysilicon warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 470 [5]. Glass and Soda Ash Glass - Related Prices and Spreads - The North China glass price remained unchanged at 1,180 yuan/ton, the East China price remained unchanged at 1,310 yuan/ton, the Central China price decreased by 0.88% to 1,120 yuan/ton, and the South China price remained unchanged at 1,320 yuan/ton. The price of Glass 2505 increased by 1.25% to 1,130 yuan/ton, and the price of Glass 2509 increased by 1.90% to 1,019 yuan/ton. The 05 basis decreased by 21.88% to 50 yuan/ton [6]. Soda Ash - Related Prices and Spreads - The North China soda ash price remained unchanged at 1,500 yuan/ton, the East China price remained unchanged at 1,450 yuan/ton, the Central China price remained unchanged at 1,400 yuan/ton, and the Northwest price remained unchanged at 1,120 yuan/ton. The price of Soda Ash 2505 decreased by 0.85% to 1,288 yuan/ton, and the price of Soda Ash 2509 increased by 0.08% to 1,254 yuan/ton. The 05 - 7 spread increased by 5.47% to 212 yuan/ton [6]. Supply - The soda ash operating rate decreased by 2.04% to 78.63%, the weekly soda ash production decreased by 2.05% to 663,800 tons, the float glass daily melting volume remained unchanged at 156,700 tons, and the photovoltaic daily melting volume remained unchanged at 99,990 tons. The price of 3.2mm coated glass decreased by 2.33% to 21 yuan [6]. Inventory - The glass factory - warehouse inventory decreased by 0.46% to 67,769,000 weight boxes, the soda ash factory - warehouse inventory decreased by 2.06% to 1.6768 million tons, the soda ash delivery warehouse inventory increased by 0.82% to 368,000 tons, and the glass factory's soda ash inventory days remained unchanged at 18.1 days [6]. Real Estate Data (Year - on - Year) - The new construction area increased by

多晶硅：波动放大，关注下周资金动向 张 航 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0018008 zhanghang2@gtht.com 二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 05 月 25 日 工业硅：上游复产，盘面底部震荡 工业硅运行情况：本周工业硅盘面整体呈下行态势，周五收于 7915 元/吨。现货市场价格亦下跌，SMM 统计新疆通氧 Si5530 报价 8050 元/吨（环比-250），内蒙 99 硅报价 8250 元/吨(环比-450)。 多晶硅运行情况：本周多晶硅盘面先跌后涨，上半周受现货弱势而下跌，但下半周开始交易仓单逻辑， 盘面有小幅提升，周五收于 36090 元/吨。多晶硅现货市场而言，上游报价亦有下降，预计实际成交价将下 降。 供需基本面：工业硅本周行业库存高位去库；多晶硅上游库存有所去库 工业硅供给端，周度行业库存有所去库。据百川统计，本周新疆部分工厂开工抬升，甘肃部分硅厂开工 回落。西南地区而言，后续进入丰水期当地硅厂具备复产驱动，四川 5 月份继续提高开炉数，云南预计 6 月 份提高开工率，一体化硅厂亦有新增开工情形，而就非一体化硅厂来看，虽然盘面价格并无法给到西南硅厂 复产的理论现金利润，但实际上 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - The silicon market has strong supply and weak demand, with high inventory pressure in the industry. The industrial silicon price is expected to maintain a weak trend in the short - term, with an operating range of 7,500 - 9,000 yuan/ton. It is recommended to short on rebounds. For polysilicon, the fundamentals are weak, the transaction price is moving down, and it is advisable to short on the 07 contract. [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Content 1. Price Data - Industrial silicon: The average price of oxygen - free 553 (East China) dropped 1.16% to 8,500 yuan/ton, and the 421 (East China) dropped 1.04% to 9,500 yuan/ton. The futures main contract closed at 7,880 yuan/ton, up 0.19%. [1] - Polysilicon: N - type dense material remained flat at 35.5 yuan/kg. The futures main contract closed at 36,080 yuan/ton, up 0.61%. [1] - Other products: Most silicon wafer, battery piece, and component prices remained unchanged, while the price of single - crystal PERC battery piece M10 - 182mm dropped 1.04% to 0.29 yuan/watt. [1] 2. Industry News - Shaanxi Wuke Jinsilicon New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. plans to invest 200 million yuan to produce 1,000 tons of silicon - carbon anode materials annually. [1] - In May 2025, Shengquan Group completed a 10,000 - ton hard - carbon anode production line and plans to invest 2.48 billion yuan to expand production. [1] 3. Supply and Demand Analysis - Industrial silicon supply: In April, the overall output dropped to about 300,000 tons. In May, it is expected to increase slightly due to复产 in the southwest and new capacity ramping up, but the increase is limited. [1] - Industrial silicon demand: Polysilicon enterprises continue to cut production, and restart may be delayed; organic silicon enterprises have a strong willingness to cut production to support prices, but demand is weak, and the开工 rate is expected to drop below 55% in May; silicon - aluminum alloy enterprises buy on demand. [1] - Polysilicon supply: Silicon material enterprises maintain production cuts, and some new capacity may be put into production, with output expected to stay within 100,000 tons. [1] - Polysilicon demand: The photovoltaic market is weak, with inventory rising and prices of silicon wafers, battery pieces, and components falling. [1] 4. Investment Strategies - Industrial silicon: It is recommended to short on rebounds, with a short - term operating range of 7,500 - 9,000 yuan/ton. Follow silicon enterprises' production dynamics. [1] - Polysilicon: Consider shorting on the 07 contract and follow the evolution of "high positions and low warehouse receipts". [1]

身的来源于被广发期货有限公司认为可售的已公开资料，但广发期货对这些信息的精确性及完整生不化任何民证。本报告反映研究人员的不同观点 见解及分析方法，并不代表广发期货或其他周机构的立场。在任何情况下，报告内容仅供参考，提告中的信息或所表达的意见并不构成所选品种买卖的出价或损 管锯此投资,风险自慰。本报告音在发送给广发期货特定客户及其他专业人士，版权归广发期货所有，未经广发明货书面授权，任何人不得对本报告进行 t的发布、复制。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为"广发期货" 交产业期现目报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年5月20日 Z0021810 寇帝斯 | 现货价格及基差 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品中 | 5月19日 | 5月16日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 云南国营全到胶(SCRWF):上海 | 15000 | 14950 | 50 | 0.33% | | | 全乳基差(切换至2509合约) | -5 | 45 | -50 | -111.11% | 元/吨 | | 泰标混合胶报价 | 14600 ...

工业硅：底部震荡态势，关注上游变量 多晶硅：短期空配思路 张 航 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0018008 zhanghang2@gtht.com 报告导读： 本周价格走势：工业硅盘面震荡偏弱，现货价格下跌；多晶硅盘面亦偏弱，现货报价下移 工业硅运行情况：本周工业硅盘面走势先涨后跌，但整体呈下行态势，周五收于 8145 元/吨。现货市 场价格亦下跌，具体而言，SMM 统计新疆通氧 Si5530 报价 8300 元/吨（环比-100），内蒙 99 硅报价 8700 元/吨(环比-150)。 多晶硅运行情况：本周多晶硅盘面受上游工厂联合减产等消息有所提振，但周五受新能源板块影响亦大 幅回落，周五收于 36850 元/吨。多晶硅现货市场而言，上游报价亦有下降，关注本月后续的签单情况。 二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 05 月 18 日 供需基本面：工业硅本周行业库存高位去库；多晶硅上游库存有所去库 工业硅供给端，周度行业库存小幅去库。据百川统计，本周西南地区如四川硅厂继续复产，云南硅厂后 续亦有复产计划，新疆、河南地区工厂小幅减产，整体周度产量边际递减。开工角度来看，西北地区，新疆 工厂开工未见明显缩减，部分原因 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Daqo New Energy with a target price of RMB 20.64, reflecting a potential upside of 2% from the closing price of RMB 20.22 as of May 15, 2025 [7]. Core Insights - Daqo New Energy reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with revenue at RMB 741 million and a net loss of RMB 272 million, representing year-on-year changes of -54.6% and -147.2% respectively. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of RMB 141 million, down 59.3% year-on-year [2]. - The first quarter of 2025 continued to show weak performance, with revenue dropping to RMB 91 million, a decrease of 69.6% year-on-year, while the net loss narrowed to RMB 56 million, a year-on-year decline of 268.8% [2]. - The report anticipates that industry policies will be more effective than market expectations, potentially alleviating supply-demand imbalances in the future [2]. - Daqo New Energy is positioned as a leading player in the domestic silicon material sector, demonstrating cyclical resilience due to its strong liquidity buffer [2]. Financial Performance - The company experienced a significant drop in production and sales volumes in early 2025, with production falling to 250,000 tons and sales to 280,000 tons in the first quarter, reflecting a 27.5% and 33.6% decline respectively [3]. - The average selling price (ASP) of polysilicon increased to RMB 35.9 per kilogram in the first quarter of 2025, up 8.2% from the previous quarter, driven by increased downstream installation demand [3]. - As of the end of the first quarter of 2025, Daqo held RMB 3.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents, along with RMB 1.22 billion in trading financial assets, totaling RMB 4.32 billion, with no short-term or long-term debt [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to ongoing supply-demand imbalances, the report has lowered its expectations for 2025 polysilicon ASP, shipment volumes, and gross margins. However, it anticipates a recovery in profitability by 2026 as industry conditions normalize [5]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB -489.67 million, RMB 2.76 billion, and RMB 3.11 billion respectively, with significant improvements expected in 2026 [5]. - The report assigns a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 16 times for 2026, reflecting a premium over the industry average of 11.72 times, with a revised target price of RMB 20.64 [5].

二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 05 月 11 日 工业硅：西南复产，基本面弱势 多晶硅：关注下周仓单故事 供需基本面：工业硅本周行业库存去库，高库存压力反噬价格；多晶硅上游库存有所去库 工业硅供给端，周度行业库存小幅去库。据百川统计，本周西南地区如四川硅厂继续复产，甘肃、宁夏、 云南地区硅厂减产，整体周度产量边际递减。开工角度来看，新疆地区硅厂本周仍未出现大规模减产，表明 当地硅厂对利润挤压的耐受度偏高，亦有多数工厂签订了后点价模式，对盘面上方构成较大掣肘。西南地 区，进入平水、丰水期当地硅厂具备提开工动能，一体化硅厂亦有新增开工情形，而就非一体化硅厂来看， 虽然盘面价格并无法给到西南硅厂复产的理论现金利润，但实际上硅厂复产仍会结合库存、订单、工人维系 等综合考量，且 2025 年一体化产能布局进一步挤压西南硅厂的生存空间，多重角度来看西南硅厂仍具备复 产的强驱动。仓单视角，盘面下跌期现仓单具备出货性价比，使得本周期货仓单环比上周持续减少，本周仓 单去库共 0.94 万吨。从库存来看，SMM 统计本周社会库存去化，厂库库存累库，整体行业库存有所去化。 工业硅需求端，下游仍按需采购。多晶硅视角，硅粉招标 ...