2025 年 5 月 20 日 银河能化-20250520 早报 【银河期货】原油期货早报（25-05-20） 【市场回顾】 原油结算价：WTI2506 合约 62.69 涨 0.20 美元/桶，环比+0.32%；Brent2507 合约 65.54 涨 0.13 美元/桶，环比+0.20%。SC 主力合约 2507 涨 0.3 至 461.4 元/桶，夜盘涨 4.0 至 465.4 元/桶。Brent 主力-次行价差 0.72 美金/桶。 【相关资讯】 美国总统特朗普周一表示，俄罗斯和乌克兰将立即开始停火谈判，以解决长达三年之久的 冲突，但在两小时的通话中，他似乎并未从俄罗斯总统普京那里获得重大让步。 欧盟执委会副主席东布洛夫斯基表示，欧盟将于本周向 G7 财长提议降低目前每桶 60 美元 的俄罗斯海运石油价格上限，作为对俄罗斯新制裁方案的一部分。了解讨论情况的欧盟官 员说，欧盟将提议降至每桶 50 美元。 伊朗国家媒体周一援引伊朗副外长马吉德·塔赫特-拉万奇的话说，如果美国坚持要求伊朗 停止铀浓缩活动，伊朗和美国之间的核谈判将不会取得任何进展。 截止 5 月 13 日当周，交易商在纽约商品交易所和伦敦洲际 ...

Group 1 - Jiangsu Jiatai Evaporation Equipment Co., Ltd. has experienced a significant reduction in administrative inspections, allowing more focus on business development due to the "one enterprise, one inspection" reform implemented by the Nanjing Lishui District [1] - The province is a major hub for private enterprises, with measures introduced to enhance political supervision and address corruption affecting private businesses, thereby optimizing the business environment for high-quality development [1] - Nine Dragons Paper (Taicang) Co., Ltd. is investing 5 billion yuan in a special materials project, expected to produce 1 million tons of specialty paper annually with an estimated annual output value of 8.5 billion yuan, although project delays are occurring due to environmental assessment and coordination issues [1] Group 2 - The Taicang City Discipline Inspection Commission has initiated a "help agency" process to expedite the construction permit for the Nine Dragons project, resulting in the project starting over a month earlier than expected [2] - Continuous efforts are being made by various levels of discipline inspection and supervision agencies to streamline the administrative process and enhance the business environment, including the establishment of a contact point system for enterprises [2][3] - The implementation of a new management system in Suqian City has facilitated data sharing and simplified inspection processes, benefiting over 5,000 enterprises and leading to numerous joint inspections [3] Group 3 - The provincial discipline inspection agencies are focusing on rectifying illegal and improper enforcement actions that hinder business operations, promoting a more standardized and effective regulatory environment [3][4] - The emphasis on systemic governance aims to address institutional barriers and improve the overall support for private economic development [4] - The Jinhu County Discipline Inspection Commission has identified issues in the employment and entrepreneurship sector, leading to recommendations for improving training programs relevant to local industries [5] Group 4 - The focus on improving the conduct of officials is crucial for enhancing the business environment, with initiatives encouraging proactive engagement with private enterprises [5] - The establishment of a mechanism for accountability and error correction is intended to foster a more supportive relationship between government officials and businesses [5]

地球正在书写一部"绿色启示录"——北极冰川的消融、热带雨林的喘息，都在呼唤人类文明的觉醒。 站在"十四五"收官与"十五五"谋篇的历史交汇点，2025年，"双碳"目标迎来五周年里程碑，中国以"降 碳、减污、扩绿、增长"为笔锋，为造纸行业等八大高排放行业写下转型的史诗。在这里，每一张纸都 将被赋予生态的基因，每一片森林都在碳汇交易中焕发新生，见证造纸业从"资源消耗者"到"生态共建 者"的深刻蜕变。 与会嘉宾将走进北京绿交所，开启一场绿色之旅。十余位来自不同领域的重磅嘉宾还将围绕纸业可持续 发展等话题展开主题对话、行业碰撞，为企业打通生态资源到经济价值的转化通道提供新思路。 如今的造纸业不仅能"负碳"，更能成为生态价值的创造者。这是金光集团 APP（中国）对行业的承诺， 也是本次论坛的终极命题。5月22日，让我们共同见证这场思想盛宴，看中国造纸业如何在绿色与数智 的交织中，书写"向善未来"的新篇章。 这场以"智领纸业，向善未来"为主题的行业盛会，不仅是政策、技术与资本的碰撞场，更是金光集团 APP（中国）等领军企业向世界展示中国造纸业绿色突围路径的舞台。 "智领纸业 向善未来"的主题内涵深远："智"既指向人工智能、 ...

国泰君安期货·能源化工 胶版印刷纸周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·高琳琳 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002332 日期：2025年5月18日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint CONTENTS 综述 01 行情走势 02 供需数据 03 行情研判 04 行情研判 行业资讯 现货价格 成本利润 季节性特征 供给 需求 库存 进出口 行情研判 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 综述 1 行情研判 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 4 资料来源：Qinrex ➢ 行情回顾：上周双胶纸市场心态有所好转，交投仍显清淡。据卓创资讯数据显示，本周70g木浆高白双胶纸市场均价为5233元/吨，环比 下跌38元/吨，跌幅0.72%，本周跌幅环比扩大0.08个百分点；70g木浆本白双胶纸市场均价为4949元/吨，环比下跌19元/吨，跌幅 0.38%，本周跌幅环比收窄0.26个百分点。影响市场价格走势的主要因素有：第一，纸厂接单未见明显好转，库存压力继 ...

2025 年 5 月 16 日 银河能化-20250516 早报 【银河期货】原油期货早报（25-05-16） 【市场回顾】 原油结算价：WTI2506 合约 61.62 跌 1.53 美元/桶，环比-2.42%；Brent2507 合约 64.53 跌 1.56 美元/桶，环比-2.36%。SC 主力合约 2507 跌 6.6 至 471.7 元/桶，夜盘跌 10.1 至 461.6 元/桶。Brent 主力-次行价差 0.50 美金/桶。 【相关资讯】 美国总统特朗普周四表示，美国非常接近与伊朗达成核协议；德黑兰也"在某种程度上"同 意了协议条款。然而，一位伊朗消息人士称，与美国的谈判仍然存在需要弥合的差距。伊 朗和美国谈判代表为解决德黑兰核计划争端而举行的会谈周日在阿曼结束，官员表示，由 于德黑兰公然坚持继续进行铀浓缩活动，预计还将进一步谈判。 俄罗斯总统普京拒绝周四在土耳其与泽连斯基面对面会谈，而是派出一个二级官员组成的 代表团参加计划中的和平谈判，而泽连斯基表示，基辅将派出由国防部长率领的代表团。 这将是自 2022 年 3 月以来双方首次直接会谈，但美国总统特朗普表示，如果他与普京不 举行会谈，就 ...

纸浆周报 2025年05月第2周 大宗商品研究所 潘盛杰 投资咨询从业证号：Z0014607 木片下跌成纸累库，关注短期超跌机会 ◼ 目前纸浆的基本面不太乐观。从上游来看，木片成本出现下滑，像CME木材期货结算价格下跌，俄罗斯木制品商业信心指数下降，针叶木片进口量增加，木片 木粒进口价值指数也下滑。下游方面，成纸库存不断积压，3月国内造纸业产成品存货环比增加，达到764.5亿元，同比上升4.5%，并且已经连续12个月呈逐月 增加态势；同时，3月美国纸品批发商库销比环比上升至1.06%，同比增加5.8%，连续10个月呈逐月上升态势，这些情况都对浆价产生了下行压力。 ◼ 不过，也可以从其他角度来分析浆价短期内是否会触底。 ◼ 阔叶浆仍有望相对企稳，支撑纸浆整体估值回升。 GALAXYFUTURES 1 ➢ 若不考虑基本面因素，只看价格周期规律，从1990年至今的7年周期里的第1年（1990年、1997年、2004年、2011年、2018年和2025年），浆价都会从同比 上涨转为同比下跌，且跌幅一般不会超过-23%。现在浆价同比下跌-19%，从统计角度来看，已经接近低估值水平，可能存在超跌的情况。 ➢ 从国际油价角 ...

纸浆早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/05/08 | 日期 | | | 全国均价 | | | | 山东地区均价 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 针叶浆 | 阔叶浆 | 本色浆 | 化机浆 | 针叶浆 | 阔叶浆 | 本色浆 | 化机浆 | | 2025/04/28 | 6073.75 | 4810.75 | 5415.00 | 3686.25 | 6245.00 | 4775.00 | 5400.00 | 3600.00 | | 2025/04/29 | 6073.75 | 4810.75 | 5415.00 | 3686.25 | 6245.00 | 4775.00 | 5400.00 | 3600.00 | | 2025/04/30 | 6073.75 | 4810.75 | 5415.00 | 3686.25 | 6245.00 | 4775.00 | 5400.00 | 3600.00 | | 2025/05/06 | 6073.75 | 4810.75 | 5415.00 | 3686.25 | 6245 ...

Group 1 - The 137th China Import and Export Fair (Canton Fair) showcased a record number of participants, with Jiangsu exhibiting 3,348 companies and a total of 7,020 booths [1] - The Covos Robotics booth featured the GOAT A3000 LIDAR lawn mower, which incorporates a multi-technology navigation system, including satellite positioning and LiDAR, enhancing its performance in various grass types [1] - Suzhou Customs organized experts to provide policy consultations and support for local enterprises, aiming to expand their international networks and promote regional cooperation [2] Group 2 - Suzhou Pulutong Textile Technology Co., Ltd. participated for the first time, highlighting its eco-friendly and high-quality yarn products that have gained popularity among foreign clients [2] - Jiangsu Changjiang Paper Industry Co., Ltd. reported a 17.5% year-on-year increase in exports, amounting to 69.549 million yuan in the first quarter, supported by a strong supply chain and a dedicated R&D team [2][3] - Nanjing Customs implemented a "pre-declaration single consumption" policy to help companies reduce capital occupation and improve customs efficiency, enhancing their operational confidence [3]

2025.05. 06 本文字数：2836，阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 高雅 封图 | 新华社 特朗普政府的关税政策给美国大小企业带来了棘手的业务危机。 从对冲基金巨头阿克曼（Bill Ackman）、桥水基金创始人达利欧（Ray Dalio），到佛罗里达州的造 纸公司和纽约市的一家酒水零售商，美国企业家不得不使用诉讼、公开喊话以及私下游说等一切途径 劝阻特朗普收回"对等关税"。 目前，全美范围内至少有七起案件以《国际紧急经济权力法》（IEEPA）为依据挑战特朗普的关税措 施，旨在推翻特朗普的关税政策。 牛津经济研究院美国副经济学家兹维默（Grace Zwemmer）对第一财经记者表示，4月美国消费者信 心指数已降至2020年5月以来的最低水平，这主要源于对关税可能导致未来价格上涨的担忧。后续更 多负面影响需要一段时间才能显现，而供应链中断的不确定性将延长通胀高企的周期。 美关税政策遭遇多起诉讼 自特朗普政府提出所谓"对等关税"政策一个月以来，一场跨州、跨行业的法律合围正在形成。从州政 府到原住民部落，从造纸企业到桌游制造商，美国企业和律师开始挑战总统随意设定关税的权力合法 性。 在州层面，4月1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration's tariff policy has led to significant business crises for American companies, prompting various stakeholders to challenge the legality of these tariffs through lawsuits and lobbying efforts [1][3]. Group 1: Legal Challenges - At least seven lawsuits have been filed across the U.S. challenging Trump's tariff measures under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), aiming to overturn the tariffs [1][3]. - California was the first state to file a lawsuit against the tariffs, claiming they severely harm the state's economy, followed by a coalition of 12 states alleging that the tariffs disrupt constitutional order and create economic chaos [3][4]. - Various businesses, including a Florida paper company and a Native American tribe, have also filed lawsuits, citing increased costs and violations of treaty rights due to the tariffs [3][4]. Group 2: Business Reactions - Executives from major companies, including Home Depot and German automakers, have engaged directly with the Trump administration to seek tariff exemptions, highlighting the tariffs' potential to disrupt supply chains and inflate prices [5][7]. - Influential business figures, such as Harold Hamm, have leveraged their connections to persuade Trump to reconsider certain tariffs, particularly those affecting energy imports from Canada [7][8]. Group 3: Economic Implications - Experts argue that the tariffs are unlikely to achieve their intended goal of bringing manufacturing back to the U.S., as established global supply chains cannot be easily reestablished domestically [10][11]. - The tariffs are expected to increase production costs in the U.S., potentially harming the international competitiveness of American manufacturing [10][11]. - Consumer confidence has dropped to its lowest level since May 2020, indicating that the tariffs may lead to a slowdown in consumer demand and economic growth [1][11].