Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the AI and semiconductor industry, focusing on companies like Broadcom and NVIDIA, and their respective products and market performance [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9]. Core Insights and Arguments Broadcom - Broadcom's AI revenue is expected to continue its growth trajectory into FY2026, benefiting from resilient AI demand [1][2]. - The Tomahawk 6 switch chip has begun mass production, supporting AI clusters with a capacity of up to one million cards, reinforcing Broadcom's leadership in the AI networking sector [2][7]. - In Q2 FY25, Broadcom's AI revenue reached $4.4 billion, accounting for 29% of total revenue, with semiconductor business revenue at 52% [7][8]. - Broadcom anticipates a significant increase in AI revenue, projecting a 60% growth rate for FY25 and FY26 [8]. NVIDIA - NVIDIA reported a Q1 FY2026 revenue of $44.1 billion, a 69% year-over-year increase, despite challenges from the H20 product line affecting gross margins [3][4]. - The company expects a median revenue of $45 billion for Q2, with a potential of $53 billion if H20-related losses are excluded [3][4]. - AI demand is driven by four key areas: post-training and data synthesis, real-time inference, sovereign AI, and industrial AI [4][5]. - NVIDIA's Chinese operations are impacted by H20 shipment issues, but there remains significant potential for domestic alternatives to fill the gap [5]. Market Trends - North America's four major cloud providers have revised their capital expenditures upward, projecting a 35.4% year-over-year increase in total capital spending for 2025 [1][9]. - The AI server, switch, and accelerator card iterations are driving demand for high-end PCB materials, with a shift towards lower dielectric constant materials [1][22]. - The light module industry is expected to see significant growth, with 800G demand projected between 32 to 35 million units and 1.6T demand expected to exceed 3 to 4 million units by 2026 [27]. Other Important Insights - The AI Ethernet switch market is anticipated to grow due to the economic and open nature of Ethernet, with Cisco and Arista Networks already achieving mass production [16][17]. - The PCB sector is experiencing a resurgence due to increased demand from AI and automotive electronics, with significant price increases noted in raw materials [20][21]. - The development of customized AI chips is expected to continue, with major players like Google and Amazon ramping up production [15]. - The overall market sentiment is shifting towards a focus on mid-tier companies with strong performance in overseas markets, indicating a potential for significant returns [29]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the performance and outlook of major players in the AI and semiconductor industry, as well as broader market trends and investment opportunities.

国金证券近日发布电子行业研究：在AI服务器及交换机的带动下，AI-PCB需求高增 长，ASIC所用PCB的单GPU对应的PCB价值量更高，有望带来PCB价值量的提升。目前多家 AI-PCB公司订单强劲，满产满销，正在大力扩产，二、三季度业绩高增长有望持续，看好 核心受益公司。 以下为研究报告摘要： GB200/300+ASIC需求共振，继续看好AI-PCB受益公司。博通6日发布2025财年第二季 度财报（截至2025年4月），实现营收150亿美元，同比增长20%，再创历史新高，其中AI营 收44亿美元，同比增长46%，公司CEO强调AI业务强劲增长，预计下个季度将增长至51亿美 元，根据智通财经报道，博通正在和三家大型云计算客户，合作开发定制AI芯片，目前进 展非常顺利，而且这些客户在AI基础设施方面的投入毫不动摇，这个增长趋势将持续到 2026财年，公司预测FY25、FY26AI营收均可以保持60%增速，即FY25AI营收约190-200亿 美元，FY26AI营收超300亿美元。英伟达GB200良率积极提升，出货有望加快，并开始下订 GB300产业链订单，研判接下来将密集拉货，CSP厂商资本开支继续增长，需 ...

Group 1: Business Growth Drivers - The growth of the company's multi-layer PCB business is driven by the expansion of automotive electronics and consumer electronics applications [5] - The demand for PCBs in the automotive sector is significantly increasing due to the rising penetration of new energy vehicles and the electrification of applications [5] - Major global technology companies are increasing their investments in AI, leading to a surge in PCB application demand [5] Group 2: Market Coverage and Product Layout - The company has covered all mainstream automotive brands through a supply chain model involving Tier 1 and Tier 2 suppliers [6] - The company has made progress in high-end server applications, particularly in BBU power supply and optical communication modules [7] Group 3: Revenue and Profitability Insights - The overseas revenue growth in 2024 is attributed to the automotive electronics sector and collaboration with major clients in Southeast Asia [8] - The slight decline in gross profit in 2024 is due to lower utilization rates of single-sided boards, price adjustments from major clients, and rising costs of raw materials [9][10] - The company aims to maintain profitability in 2025 through capacity expansion and product structure optimization [10] Group 4: Future Developments - The Thai subsidiary is expected to begin construction in Q3 2025 and complete its first phase by Q3 2026 to meet global supply chain demands [11] - The demand for PCBs is anticipated to grow due to large-scale shipments of AI servers and the transition of Chinese new energy vehicles from L2 to L3 levels [12]

Group 1 - The electronic sector has become the most favored area for broker research, with 97 companies receiving attention, the highest among all sectors [1] - Despite a market pullback in May, several sub-sectors, including PCB, are seen as having opportunities for investment, with significant events like the merger of Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang expected to boost market interest [1][3] - Companies such as Anji Technology and Shenzhen South Circuit have highlighted their competitive advantages and R&D investments during broker meetings, indicating a focus on enhancing product stability and competitiveness [2] Group 2 - The stock performance of the 97 electronic companies has been mixed, with many experiencing negative returns, while some, like Luyuan Technology, have seen significant gains, rising 34.70% since May [3] - The semiconductor market is expected to maintain optimistic growth through 2025, with specific segments like AI SoC chips and ASIC chips projected to benefit from increasing demand and new product releases [4] - Analysts recommend focusing on low-entry opportunities in sectors such as PCB, ODM, AIOT, and AIDC, especially in light of recent market corrections [4]

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the industry investment rating to "Recommended" [1] Core Insights - The semiconductor industry faces reduced visibility in the second half of 2025 due to tariff uncertainties, while the storage market shows positive trends in Q2 [1][3] - AI hardware demand remains strong, driven by cloud service providers and government sectors, suggesting a focus on leading companies in the AI hardware segment such as NVIDIA and TSMC [1][3] Semiconductor Sector - IC Design: In April 2025, MediaTek reported revenue of NT$48.8 billion, a month-on-month decrease of 12.9% but a year-on-year increase of 16.0%. The company noted uncertainty due to tariffs [3][11] - IC Manufacturing: TSMC achieved record revenue of NT$349.6 billion in April 2025, with a month-on-month increase of 22.2% and a year-on-year increase of 48.1% [3][14] - IC Testing: ASE Technology's revenue in April 2025 was NT$52.2 billion, a month-on-month decrease of 2.9% but a year-on-year increase of 13.9% [3][22] PC/Server Sector - The PC market is affected by tariff uncertainties, with companies like Hon Hai reporting April revenue of NT$641.4 billion, a month-on-month increase of 16.2% and a year-on-year increase of 25.5% [3][25] - Quanta's April revenue was NT$154 billion, a month-on-month decrease of 20.0% but a year-on-year increase of 58.2% [3][25] PCB Sector - The PCB manufacturing sector saw overall revenue increase by 5.6% month-on-month and 18.6% year-on-year in April 2025, driven by demand for AI servers and high-end networking [3][27] - Zhen Ding's revenue reached NT$13.6 billion in April, a year-on-year increase of 22.9% [3][27] Optical Components Sector - The optical components sector is experiencing a traditional off-season, with Largan Precision reporting April revenue of NT$4.4 billion, a month-on-month decrease of 10.6% but a year-on-year increase of 26.5% [3][28] Storage Sector - The storage market is showing positive signs, with companies like Nanya Technology reporting a month-on-month revenue increase of 13.3% in April 2025 [3][4] - DRAM prices are expected to rise, with TrendForce adjusting its Q2 price forecast from -5% to +8% [3][4]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **PCB (Printed Circuit Board)** and **passive components** industries, along with insights into the **LCD panel** market and **display screen** demand trends. Key Points on PCB Industry - **Significant Growth in Q1 2025**: The PCB sector experienced remarkable growth in Q1 2025, with companies like Shenghong reporting a net profit increase of **339%**, Semyung Electronics over **600%**, and Semyung Technology at **43%**. This growth is attributed to rising demand in AI computing and smart driving sectors, indicating a recovery in the PCB product market [3][1][2]. - **Raw Material Price Increases**: In H1 2025, PCB raw material prices saw widespread increases, with companies like Jiantao issuing price hikes due to rising costs of copper and fiberglass, leading to an increase of **5 yuan** per unit. Major players are leading price increases across all categories of electronic fabrics and cloths [4][1][2]. - **High Demand for HDI Products**: The demand for high-end HDI (High-Density Interconnect) products is driven by AI servers, switches, and AI accelerator cards, which require high stability and precision in manufacturing processes [7][1][2]. - **Advantages of PTFE Materials**: PTFE materials are highlighted for their low dielectric constant and low loss characteristics, making them ideal for AI high-speed interconnect applications, particularly in GPU interconnections [8][1][2]. - **Future Outlook for CCL and PCB Industries**: The CCL (Copper Clad Laminate) and PCB industries are expected to continue seeing investment opportunities, driven by high demand for HDI products and the advantages of PTFE materials [9][1][2]. Key Points on Passive Components Industry - **Steady Growth in 2024 and 2025**: The passive components industry is projected to experience robust growth, with revenue and profit expected to increase by approximately **18%** and **17%** in 2024, respectively, and a continuation of this trend into 2025 [10][1][2]. - **Stable Demand for Small-Sized Components**: The market for small-sized chip components remains stable, with MLCC (Multi-Layer Ceramic Capacitor) and upstream suppliers achieving double-digit revenue growth [11][1][2]. Key Points on LCD Panel Market - **Current Market Conditions**: The LCD panel market has stabilized after previous price increases, with expectations for steady performance in H1 2025. Companies like BOE and TCL are anticipated to improve profitability due to their financial optimization strategies [15][1][2]. - **Price Trends**: LCD panel prices have shown slight increases but are expected to stabilize or face downward pressure in certain sizes due to inventory and demand fluctuations [16][1][2][17][1][2]. - **Display Screen Demand**: The demand for display screens is expected to follow a pattern of high initial demand followed by a decline, influenced by new policies and emerging applications [23][1][2]. Additional Insights - **Investment Opportunities**: Companies like BOE and TCL are highlighted as key players in the current competitive landscape, with potential for low-position investments as their profitability is expected to recover [25][1][2]. - **Technological Advancements**: The advancements in AI technology and its applications in various sectors are driving significant changes in the PCB and passive components markets, indicating a shift towards more sophisticated manufacturing processes and materials [9][1][2][8][1][2].

Group 1: Institutional Research Trends - Since May, 317 A-share listed companies have been investigated by institutions, with a focus on mechanical equipment and medical biology sectors [1] - BeiGene, Ltd. received the highest number of institutional visits at 256, followed by Shenzhen Santech Circuit Co., Ltd. and Fujian Hengda New Materials Co., Ltd. [1] - Institutions are concentrating their research on key technology areas, particularly in emerging technology industry chains, from foundational hardware support to terminal application expansion [1] Group 2: Pharmaceutical Industry Insights - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors are seeing a focus on innovation breakthroughs and international expansion, with BeiGene reporting strong growth in its European business and increasing market share [1] - BeiGene's drug, BeiZaiAn®, has successfully launched in Germany and Austria, with reimbursement expanding in multiple countries [1] Group 3: Traditional Chinese Medicine Performance - Traditional Chinese medicine companies, such as Guangyuyuan Traditional Chinese Medicine Co., Ltd., reported significant growth in Q1, with revenue and net profit increasing by 21.48% and 53.94% respectively [2] - The Chinese innovative drug sector is entering a phase of realization, with expectations for continued investment opportunities through 2025 [2] Group 4: Emerging Technology Companies - Companies involved in AI, humanoid robots, and low-altitude economy sectors are becoming focal points for institutional research [2] - Xiangxin Technology Co., Ltd. has received 170 institutional visits since May, focusing on precision stamping molds and metal structural components [2] Group 5: Future Growth Projections - Shenzhen Rease Intelligent Control Co., Ltd. aims for a revenue growth of 20% to 30% year-on-year by 2025, focusing on motion control markets [3] - Shenzhen Santech Circuit Co., Ltd. is benefiting from the increasing demand for high-performance PCB products driven by advancements in AI technology [3] - Institutions are signaling investment opportunities in innovative drugs, AI, and humanoid robots, indicating strong growth potential in these sectors [3]

证券研究报告 点评报告 2025 年 5 月 14 日 晨会纪要 第一创业证券研究所 分析师：郭强 证书编号：S1080524120001 电话：0755-23838533 邮箱：guoqiang@fcsc.com 核[心Ta观bl点e_：Summary] 一、策略和先进制造组： 正在中东访问的特朗普透露，美国正在考虑一项允许阿联酋进口超过 100 万颗先进 英伟达公司芯片的协议，这一数量远远超出了拜登时代人工智能芯片法规的限制。 从现在到 2027 年，阿联酋每年可以进口 50 万颗市场上最先进的芯片。其中五分之 一将留给阿布扎比人工智能公司 G42，其余的将留给在阿联酋建设数据中心的美国 公司。同时 AMD 与沙特人工智能公司 Humain 达成 100 亿美元的战略合作，双方将投 资高达 100 亿美元，在未来 5 年内部署 500 兆瓦的人工智能算力。同时昨天新闻有 传美国将取消拜登时代人工智能芯片法规的限制，因此我们看好 AI 基础设施的需求 景气度持续。 胜宏科技公告，公司及子公司 2025 年度拟使用合计不超过人民币 30 亿元用于固定 资产、无形资产购买，投资范围包括新厂房及工程建设、设备购置 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the Taiwan Electronics and Semiconductors sector, particularly favoring TSMC as the most preferred stock in the semiconductor space [1][2]. Core Insights - April sales in the technology sector were robust, with TSMC reporting NT$349.6 billion in revenue, reflecting a 48% year-over-year increase and a 22% month-over-month increase [2][10]. - The semiconductor supply chain is expected to face challenges in the second half of 2025 due to early order pull-ins and tariff uncertainties, although supply constraints are easing [1][2]. - Companies like Gold Circuit and Quanta are highlighted for their strong sales momentum and improving product mix and margins, particularly in the AI ASIC and server supply chain segments [1][3]. Summary by Sections Semiconductor - TSMC's April revenue was significantly above expectations, driven by solid AI demand and a healthy order flow, with a year-over-year growth of 48% [2][10]. - UMC and other fabless companies are also showing steady recovery, with April revenues tracking positively [2]. Server and ODMs - Server sales in April increased by 167% year-over-year, with companies like Wiwynn and Accton outperforming expectations due to strong ASIC server demand [3][14]. - ODMs reported a 1% month-over-month increase and a 33% year-over-year increase in sales, indicating a positive trend in the server supply chain [3]. Component and PCB - Largan is noted for its 28% year-over-year growth, attributed to market share gains and resilient ASP trends [5]. - Gold Circuit is expected to benefit from rising AI ASIC demand, while Unimicron is projected to capture a significant market share in AI GPU applications [6][10]. Overall Market Trends - The overall revenue trend for the Taiwan technology supply chain shows a 24% year-over-year increase, with significant contributions from the semiconductor and server sectors [14]. - The report anticipates a decline in sales for May due to NTD appreciation, but the long-term outlook remains positive as demand for AI-related products continues to grow [2][3].

Core Insights - The report highlights the coal industry facing weak demand and price declines, with a focus on the upcoming summer peak demand and potential recovery in non-electric coal usage [8][10][19] - The human-shaped robot industry is expected to enter a mass production phase in 2025, driven by advancements in AI and hardware, with significant investment opportunities emerging [10][13] - The container coating segment of the company has seen substantial growth, with revenue and sales reaching historical highs, indicating a positive trend in the market [12][14] Coal Industry Analysis - The coal market is experiencing a rise in inventory levels and a decline in prices, with the average price of thermal coal at 643 RMB/ton, down 2.13% week-on-week [8][10] - Metallurgical coal demand is expected to improve as the industry enters its traditional peak season, supported by recent monetary policy easing [8][10] - The report suggests that while coal prices are under pressure, the overall economic policies may stabilize the market, with a focus on companies with strong performance and attractive dividend yields [10][11] Company-Specific Insights - The report on 麦加芯彩 (603062.SH) indicates a significant increase in revenue and net profit for 2024, with container coatings and wind power coatings showing recovery in prices [12][14] - 淮北矿业 (600985.SH) reported a decline in revenue and net profit due to lower coal prices, but maintains a relatively high gross margin of 44.56% [16][19] - The company 晶升股份 (688478.SH) is facing challenges due to changes in product structure but is expanding into new application areas such as photovoltaics [20][21] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on undervalued companies with strong earnings support in the coal sector, particularly those with minimal non-coal business exposure [10][11] - For 麦加芯彩, projections indicate continued revenue growth through 2027, with a "buy" rating maintained based on strong market positioning [12][14] - The report suggests that companies like 容知日新 (688768.SH) are well-positioned for growth due to successful strategic initiatives and improved profitability metrics [27][28]