Investment Focus - The report emphasizes that both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks are in an upward trend with a phase of consolidation, indicating a healthier market environment [1][35] - The first trading week of February showed signs of stabilization in A-shares with reduced turnover, while the Hang Seng TECH Index experienced a decline of approximately 6.5% [1][35] Market Outlook - The report is optimistic about a potential recovery in the Chinese equity market leading up to the Spring Festival, driven by proactive policy support and a stabilizing "policy put" below 4,100 points for the Shanghai Composite [2][36] - The overall short-selling turnover in Hong Kong is around 19%, with the Hang Seng TECH Index seeing a quick rebound in short-selling turnover to 21%, suggesting a potential for a near-term rebound [2][36] - Strategic investors, particularly insurers, are increasing their exposure to Chinese equities due to the low risk-free yield in China, making equities more attractive compared to bonds and real estate [2][36] Investment Strategy - The recommended strategy is to remain invested through the holiday, taking advantage of the Spring Festival "red-envelope" rally and using recent market pullbacks as an opportunity to increase exposure [2][37] - The report highlights the importance of focusing on structural investment opportunities within the Chinese equity market [2][37] Sector Focus - The report suggests a focus on technology sectors, particularly commercial aerospace, AI hardware, and sectors benefiting from the "anti-involution" and "going abroad" trends, which are expected to show performance recovery [3][4] - Consumer sectors such as automotive, tourism, and textiles are highlighted as key areas for investment during the Spring Festival [4] - The report also points to the potential for recovery in cyclical industries, including chemicals, engineering machinery, and real estate, as seasonal policies are expected to boost demand [4]

行业研究丨深度报告丨投资银行业与经纪业 [Table_Title] 轮动对比视角复盘，当前非银子行业如何择时选 股？ %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 历史上 A 股牛市中保险及券商表现如何？不同类型牛市下表现何异？节奏及持续性如何？站 在当前如何展望？我们梳理了 2012 年以来几次 A 股上涨周期中保险及券商指数涨跌及行业相 对表现，并进一步梳理一级行业月度涨跌轮动以探究行情节奏，最后结合当前时点进行分析展 望。我们认为当前估值上非银进入配置性价比区间，择时应合理配合政策及监管节奏增配，配 置上推荐高弹性保险与金融 IT。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490519080007 SFC：BUV596 吴一凡 盛晓双 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 21 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 投资银行业与经纪业 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 轮动对比视角复盘，当前非银子行业如何择时 2] 选股？ [Table_Summary2] 历史 ...

Group 1 - Shanghai's GDP growth target for this year is set at around 5%, with a focus on enhancing the capabilities of the "Five Centers" [3] - The Shanghai government aims to strengthen the international financial center by advancing financial system reforms and improving cross-border financial services [3][4] - There is a push for the development of offshore financial functions to enhance Shanghai's global competitiveness in the financial sector [5][6] Group 2 - The Shanghai government is initiating a pilot program for purchasing second-hand homes to expand the supply of affordable rental housing, with support from China Construction Bank [7] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange has announced adjustments to margin levels and price limits for silver and other futures contracts due to significant price volatility [9] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange is working on creating a multi-layered ETF market, with projections indicating that the domestic ETF market will exceed 6 trillion yuan by 2025, surpassing Japan [10] Group 3 - The People's Bank of China reported that cross-border RMB transactions reached 32.4 trillion yuan in 2025, marking a 9% year-on-year increase [10] - The first commercial real estate REITs projects have been accepted for review, indicating an expansion of the REITs market into commercial properties [10] - A biodiversity loan for forest economy has been successfully issued, supporting the construction of a world-class ecological island in Chongming [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the insurance sector [11]. Core Insights - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from a stable interest rate environment and a slow bull market, leading to improved interest spreads and valuations. If new premium growth remains strong, profitability is likely to improve, further enhancing sector valuations. The report recommends specific stocks including New China Life, Ping An, China Life, and China Pacific Insurance [3][10]. Summary by Sections Insurance Market Outlook - Historical data indicates that the insurance index typically shows positive returns in the five trading days before the Spring Festival, with a success rate of approximately 71.4%. The report anticipates a potential repeat of this trend in 2026, as the conditions appear favorable for premium growth [8][9]. Premium and Profitability Analysis - The report projects that the life insurance market could reach a scale of 4.8 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of about 10%. The asset side is expected to benefit from a strong stock market performance, while the focus should be on long-term profitability improvements driven by policy and market changes [9][10]. Long-term Valuation Recovery - The insurance industry's ability and willingness to allocate equity will significantly increase in the foreseeable future, leading to improved interest spreads and enhanced policy profitability. The report emphasizes the importance of long-term perspectives on profitability improvement, suggesting that the sector has substantial room for valuation recovery [10].

【导读】中外资机构：期待中国股市"盈利牛"，短期波动不会改变黄金、白银避险属性 【编者按】 中国基金报每月会邀请中外资金融机构的代表，分享他们对全球经济及重大事件的分析与评判。 进入2026年，地缘政治风云突变，各类资产坐上史诗级"过山车"，全球尤其是中国的经济及金融市场将 如何发展？中国基金报记者采访了以下机构专业人士。 贝莱德大中华区投资策略师 陆文杰 汇丰环球私人银行及财富管理中国首席投资总监 匡正 南方东英CIO 王毅 惠理集团投资组合总监 盛今 中国银河国际首席宏观策略师 成亚曼 全国两会重点关注 政策取向如何匹配中长期目标 中国基金报：全国两会即将举行，你会关注哪些热点？ 陆文杰：中国政策连续性强，方向明确，不会因两会而发生根本性转向。 在基础性周期性政策上，如财政赤字、发债额度等占GDP的比重，预计与去年大致相当，不会有太大意 外。 我们真正关注的是政策取向如何与"十五五"规划等中长期目标配合。例如，"投资于人"的具体含义是什 么？财政支出是更侧重民生保障，还是通过给中小企业减税来促进就业和收入？这些具体的结构性安排 是最值得关注的。 成亚曼：2026年作为"十五五"开局之年，政策或趋于务实，淡 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong IPO market has seen a surge in activity since the beginning of 2026, with insurance capital accelerating its investments in this market, indicating a strategic shift towards global asset allocation and a preference for undervalued quality assets [1][2]. Group 1: Insurance Capital Participation - Since January 2026, insurance capital has participated in cornerstone subscriptions for 10 Hong Kong IPOs, with a total subscription amount of HKD 1.558 billion, compared to HKD 2.620 billion for 12 IPOs in 2025 [1]. - Major cornerstone investors in recent IPOs include Ping An Life and Taikang Life, with Ping An Life acquiring 6 million shares of Muyuan Foods, representing 2.2% of the base issuance, and Taikang Life acquiring 943,100 shares of Dongpeng Beverage, representing 2.31% of the H-share issuance [3][4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Preferences - The current low-interest-rate environment makes the Hong Kong market an attractive avenue for insurance capital seeking global asset diversification, especially given the lower valuations and higher dividend yields of H-shares compared to A-shares [2]. - Insurance capital is increasingly focusing on "hard technology" and new consumption sectors, aligning with national strategic priorities, and has shown a tendency to engage in competitive bidding for select IPO projects [3]. Group 3: Long-term Investment Logic - In 2025, Hong Kong's capital market regained its position as the global leader in IPO fundraising, with a total of USD 37.4 billion raised, marking a new high since 2021 and surpassing the total of the previous three years [5]. - The average first-day increase for new stocks was 23.8%, with a cumulative first-month increase of 30.7%, particularly strong in the biotech and healthcare sectors, making the IPO market appealing for insurance capital seeking stable returns [5]. - Tax advantages for insurance companies, such as exemptions on dividend income from H-shares held for over 12 months, enhance the attractiveness of investing in Hong Kong stocks compared to individual investors and mainland public funds [5].

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the non-bank financial sector [1] Core Views - The non-bank financial sector has shown resilience, with various sub-sectors outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index recently [9][10] - The report highlights the ongoing regulatory tightening on virtual currencies by eight government departments, which may impact market dynamics [16] - The insurance sector is expected to see significant growth in new business value (NBV) and profitability in 2026, driven by favorable market conditions and product demand [23][33] - The securities industry is undergoing transformation, with potential new growth points emerging from market recovery and supportive policies [21] - The trust industry is entering a stable transition phase, while the futures market continues to maintain high transaction volumes [40][41] Summary by Sections 1. Recent Performance of Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sectors - All sub-sectors of non-bank financials outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index in the last five trading days [9] - The multi-financial sector rose by 0.49%, while the securities and insurance sectors fell by 0.63% and 0.73%, respectively [9] 2. Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sector Insights 2.1 Securities - February trading volume decreased month-on-month, with average daily stock trading at 28,613 billion yuan, a 17.64% decline from the previous month but a 40.43% increase year-on-year [14] - The margin balance reached 26,809 billion yuan, up 49.43% year-on-year [14] - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio for the securities industry is projected at 1.2x for 2026 [21] 2.2 Insurance - The insurance sector is projected to see a significant increase in NBV, with expectations of a 50% year-on-year growth in net profit for 2025 [23] - The total premium income for life insurance is expected to reach 52,696 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting an 8.5% year-on-year increase [27] - The "insurance + health care" model is gaining traction, with ongoing developments in commercial health insurance [30] 2.3 Multi-Financial - The trust industry saw its asset scale reach 32.43 trillion yuan by mid-2025, a 20.11% year-on-year increase [34] - The futures market recorded a transaction volume of 9.51 billion contracts and a transaction value of 90.81 trillion yuan in December 2025, marking a 45.17% and 58.55% year-on-year growth, respectively [41] 3. Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The non-bank financial sector is currently undervalued, providing a safety margin for investors [21] - The insurance sector is favored due to its recovery potential and improving liability side, while the securities sector is expected to benefit from market recovery and policy support [21] - Recommended companies include China Life, Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CITIC Securities, and Tonghuashun [21]

一、同意中国人寿保险股份有限公司梁河县支公司曩宋乡营销服务部将营业场所变更为：云南省德宏傣 族景颇族自治州梁河县曩宋阿昌族乡曩宋村四位一体项目商铺(一楼大门右边第三间)。 二、中国人寿保险股份有限公司应按照有关规定及时办理变更及许可证换领事宜。 2026年2月5日，梁河金融监管支局发布批复称，《中国人寿（601628）保险股份有限公司德宏分公司关 于中国人寿保险股份有限公司梁河县支公司曩宋乡营销服务部变更营业场所的请示》(国寿人险德发 〔2026〕8号)收悉。经审核，现批复如下： ...

——周末五分钟全知道（2 月第 2 期） [Table_Summary] 报告摘要： [分析师： Table_Author]刘晨明 SAC 执证号：S0260524020001 SFC CE No. BVH021 010-59136616 liuchenming@gf.com.cn [Table_ 相关研究： DocReport] | 创业板 50 指数：龙头出海， | 2026-02-04 | | --- | --- | | 链动全球:指数研选系列报告 | | | "沃什预期"与美元潮落： | 2026-02-01 | | 全球股市定价锚的切换与重 | | | 构:——港股&海外周聚焦（2 | | | 月第 1 期） | | | 中美最新财报中的行业配置 | 2026-02-01 | | 线索 | | [联系人： Table_Contacts] 毕露露 18600442697 bilulu@gf.com.cn [Table_Page] 投资策略|专题报告 2026 年 2 月 8 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 天时地利人和：新一轮上涨周期 识别风险，发现价值 请务必阅读末页的免责声明 1 / ...

| 排名 | 保险公司 | 2025年 | 2025年 | 2024年 | 2024年 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 投资收益率 | 综合投资收益率 | 投资收益率 | 综合投资收益率 | | 1 | 君龙人寿 | 10.85% | 9.85% | 4.67% | 8.44% | | 2 | 小康人寿 | 8.17% | 11.64% | 8.86% | 11.50% | | 3 | 北京人寿 | 6.54% | 4.09% | 5.16% | 7.13% | | 4 | 信美相互 | 6.02% | 2.70% | 4.20% | 10.77% | | 5 | 德华安顾 | 6.01% | -0.85% | 3.62% | 12.27% | | б | 财信人寿 | 5.91% | 4.53% | 4.26% | 5.47% | | 7 | 国富人寿 | 5.85% | 5.52% | 5.23% | 7.01% | | 8 | 利安人寿 | 5.56% | 2.46% | 5.10% | 10.45% | | 9 | 陆家嘴国泰 | 5.54% ...