Group 1: Economic Performance - In the first four months of 2025, the cumulative profit of industrial enterprises increased by 1.4% year-on-year, up from 0.8% in the previous period[2] - Cumulative operating revenue for the same period rose by 3.2%, slightly down from 3.4% previously[2] - In April, the monthly revenue growth rate was approximately 2.6%, a decline of 1.8 percentage points from the previous value[3] Group 2: Profit Analysis - April's total profit increased by 0.4 percentage points to 3.0% year-on-year, continuing the improvement trend observed since the beginning of the year[3] - Private enterprises saw a profit increase of 4.3%, improving by 4.6 percentage points, while state-owned enterprises experienced a profit decline of 4.4%, worsening by 3.0 percentage points[3] - The contribution to April's profit growth from industrial value added, PPI, and profit margin was +6.0, -2.8, and -0.1 percentage points, respectively[3] Group 3: Sector Performance - In April, the profit share of upstream mining, midstream equipment, downstream consumption, and public utilities was 29.4%, 38.8%, 21%, and 10.8%, respectively[4] - Upstream profit growth declined by 2.2 percentage points to -9.6%, primarily due to reduced profits in non-ferrous metals and the petrochemical sector[4] - Midstream sectors benefited from policy support, with profit growth improving by 8.4% in computer and communication electronics, and 7.9% in electrical machinery[4] Group 4: Inventory and Future Outlook - Nominal inventory decreased slightly by 0.3 percentage points to 3.9%, while actual inventory fell by 0.1 percentage points to 6.6%[5] - The inventory growth rate remains higher than the revenue growth rate, indicating ongoing inventory pressure[5] - Future uncertainties in exports and potential challenges in various sectors may impact corporate profitability, necessitating attention to new fiscal policies and reserve measures[5]

以下文章来源于申万宏源宏观 ，作者赵伟 屠强等 申万宏源宏观 . 申万宏源证券研究所 | 宏观研究部 作者： 赵 伟 申万宏源证券首席经济学家 屠 强 资深高级宏观分析师 联系人： 屠强、耿佩璇 摘要 事件： 2025年3月，工企营收累计同比3.4%、前值2.8%；利润累计同比0.8%、前值-0.3%。3月末，产成 品存货同比4.2%、前值4.2%。 核心观点：利润回升主要源于营收改善，而成本压力等中期约束仍在。 3月利润增速回升主要源于营收改善，其他损益、费用等短期指标也有贡献；而成本压力等中期约束有所 增大。 3月，工业利润当月同比回升2.8pct至2.5%。拆分结构看，利润回升主要源于营收改善，实际营收 支撑利润同比上行6.2%。利润率的贡献主要体现在费用、其他损益（投资收益、营业税金及附加等杂项 支出）等短期指标回升，带动利润同比上行3.8%、0.3%。相比之下，成本对利润仍然构成较大约束，拖 累整体利润下行5.9%。 3月，营收增速回升较大的是煤炭冶金链与下游消费行业，主要受益于基建提速及以旧换新政策拉动。 分结构看，3月基建提速支撑冶金产业链实际营收改善幅度较大，当月同比较前月回升2.5pct至6 ...

作者： 赵 伟 申万宏源证券首席经济学家 屠 强 资深高级宏观分析师 联系人： 屠强、耿佩璇 摘要 事件： 2025年3月，工企营收累计同比3.4%、前值2.8%；利润累计同比0.8%、前值-0.3%。3月末，产成 品存货同比4.2%、前值4.2%。 核心观点：利润回升主要源于营收改善，而成本压力等中期约束仍在。 3月利润增速回升主要源于营收改善，其他损益、费用等短期指标也有贡献；而成本压力等中期约束有所 增大。 3月，工业利润当月同比回升2.8pct至2.5%。拆分结构看，利润回升主要源于营收改善，实际营收 支撑利润同比上行6.2%。利润率的贡献主要体现在费用、其他损益（投资收益、营业税金及附加等杂项 支出）等短期指标回升，带动利润同比上行3.8%、0.3%。相比之下，成本对利润仍然构成较大约束，拖 累整体利润下行5.9%。 3月，营收增速回升较大的是煤炭冶金链与下游消费行业，主要受益于基建提速及以旧换新政策拉动。 分结构看，3月基建提速支撑冶金产业链实际营收改善幅度较大，当月同比较前月回升2.5pct至6.3%；以 旧换新政策带动国内商品消费积极改善，也对消费制造业营收有拉动，行业实际营收增速同比边际上行 ...