证券研究报告 AIDC&机器人趋势不改，继续看好第二增长曲线 —电网&工控2025中期策略报告 证券分析师：曾朵红、谢哲栋、司鑫尧； 研究助理：许钧赫 执业证书编号：S0600516080001、S0600523060001、S0600524120002、 S0600123070121 联系邮箱：zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 联系电话：021-60199798 2025年7月9日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 1 摘要 2 人形机器人：全球整机进入量产元年，重视供应链定点及零部件增量变化。1）整机：年初特斯拉Musk给予全年5000-10000台机器人 量的预期，供应链Tier1/2均陆续有小批量订单在下达，25Q2起贸易战、工程主管人事变动等导致量产节奏扰动，但不改产业大势。我 们认为H2重点是设计定型，关注Gen3产品发布及各零部件环节的增量变化，而后是量产节奏恢复和龙头定点。国内人形宇树、智元、 优必选量产走在前面，小鹏、小米、赛力斯等车企人形产品静待正式发布，华为目前或更关注下游垂类领域的落地。2）零部件：灵巧手 期待增量创新、方案变化斜率最陡（自由度提升，及微型丝杠、腱绳、电子皮肤、新型 ...

据了解，为反映沪深300指数样本中不同行业公司证券的整体表现，为投资者提供分析工具，将沪深300 指数300只样本按行业分类标准分为11个一级行业、35个二级行业、90余个三级行业及200余个四级行 业。沪深300行业指数系列分别以进入各一级、二级、三级、四级行业的全部证券作为样本编制指数， 形成沪深300行业指数。该指数以2004年12月31日为基日，以1000.0点为基点。 金融界6月17日消息，上证指数低开震荡，沪深300机械制造指数 (300机械，L11613)报5700.09点。 数据统计显示，沪深300机械制造指数近一个月下跌3.85%，近三个月下跌9.77%，年至今下跌0.92%。 从沪深300机械制造指数持仓的市场板块来看，上海证券交易所占比58.32%、深圳证券交易所占比 41.68%。 从沪深300机械制造指数持仓样本的行业来看，工程机械占比27.78%、船舶及其他航运设备占比 19.65%、商用车占比16.59%、电动机与工控自动化占比16.04%、城轨铁路占比15.09%、气液机械占比 4.86%。 资料显示，指数样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五 ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower and the CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index reported at 5816.79 points [1] - The CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index has decreased by 0.21% in the past month, 5.59% in the past three months, and increased by 1.11% year-to-date [1] - The CSI 300 Index is categorized into 11 primary industries, 35 secondary industries, over 90 tertiary industries, and more than 200 quaternary industries [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index are: Huichuan Technology (18.05%), Sany Heavy Industry (13.92%), CRRC Corporation (11.06%), Weichai Power (10.23%), China Shipbuilding (8.73%), XCMG (8.66%), China Heavy Industry (6.25%), Hengli Hydraulic (4.67%), Zoomlion (4.48%), and Yutong Bus (4.1%) [1] - The market share of the CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index is 54.88% from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and 45.12% from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [1] Group 3 - The industry composition of the CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index includes: Engineering Machinery (27.07%), Electric Motors and Industrial Control Automation (18.05%), Shipbuilding and Other Marine Equipment (18.04%), Commercial Vehicles (15.21%), Urban Rail and Railways (14.16%), Fluid Machinery (4.67%), and Other Specialized Machinery (2.80%) [2] - The index sample is adjusted every six months, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with temporary adjustments made in response to changes in the CSI 300 Index samples [2]

Market Overview - The overall automation market in China is projected to reach nearly ¥300 billion by 2024, with the OEM automation market exceeding ¥100 billion [3] - The humanoid robot market is expected to grow from approximately ¥2.76 billion in 2024 to ¥10.471 billion by 2026, and potentially reach ¥300 billion by 2035 [3] Company Strategy - The company aims for a revenue growth of 20%-30% and a net profit increase of 30%-50% in 2025 [4] - Key strategies include: 1. Capturing import market share 2. Expanding into mid-to-low-end markets 3. Deepening focus on strategic industries 4. Expanding channel networks 5. Seizing opportunities in humanoid robotics 6. Gradually advancing overseas market development [4] Robotics Business Development - The company has established subsidiaries focused on core components and solutions for humanoid robots, including Shanghai Leisai Robot Technology Co., Ltd. and Shenzhen Lingqiao Drive Control Technology Co., Ltd. [5][7] - The company has received significant commercial orders for its core components, although current revenue contribution remains small [8] Incentive and Repurchase Plans - A new equity incentive plan aims to attract and retain talent, aligning employee interests with company growth and shareholder value [10] - The company plans to implement a share repurchase program based on market conditions, with adjustments disclosed as per legal requirements [11] Project Developments - The company is investing in a headquarters and R&D base for humanoid robot components in Dongguan, enhancing its manufacturing capabilities and market competitiveness [12][13] - The project is progressing as planned, with the establishment of Dongguan Leisai Robot Technology Co., Ltd. to support this initiative [13]

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