Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Leading the Market - A" with a maintained rating [6]. Core Views - The report suggests that the metal bull market may begin due to rising overseas inflation expectations, with precious metals, industrial metals, and strategic metals being the primary beneficiaries [1]. - The report highlights that the Federal Reserve may overlook secondary inflation risks to support employment, which could lead to favorable conditions for metal prices [1]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices have shown positive trends, with COMEX gold and silver closing at $3646.3 and $42.3 per ounce, respectively, reflecting increases of 0.9% and 2.9% [2]. - The U.S. job market shows signs of weakness, with a downward revision of 911,000 in non-farm employment and an increase in initial jobless claims [2]. - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is expected to maintain a rate cut expectation of about three times this year, which is likely to support gold prices reaching new highs [2]. - Silver has been proposed for inclusion in the U.S. USGS critical mineral list, indicating potential price resilience [2]. - Recommended stocks include Shandong Gold, Shandong International, China National Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Hunan Gold [2]. Industrial Metals - Copper prices have increased, with LME copper closing at $10,064.5 per ton, up 2.0% from the previous week [3]. - Supply constraints are noted, particularly with Freeport Grasberg's mining operations halted due to an accident, and negotiations for the Panama copper mine are underway [3]. - Demand is expected to improve with the traditional peak season approaching, and copper social inventory has increased slightly to 144,300 tons [3]. - Recommended stocks include Luoyang Molybdenum, Jincheng Mining, Western Mining, Hebei Steel Resources, Jiangxi Copper, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, and Yunnan Copper [3]. Aluminum - LME aluminum closed at $2,701 per ton, reflecting a 3.78% increase, while SHFE aluminum closed at 21,285 yuan per ton, up 2.95% [4]. - The report indicates a favorable macroeconomic environment and a reversal in fundamentals, leading to rising aluminum prices [4]. - Domestic electrolytic aluminum production capacity remains high, and downstream demand is gradually recovering as the peak season approaches [4]. - Recommended stocks include Yunnan Aluminum, Zhongfu Industrial, China Hongqiao, Hongchuang Holdings, Tianshan Aluminum, Shenhuo Holdings, and China Aluminum [4]. Tin - SHFE tin closed at 273,180 yuan per ton, with a slight increase of 0.5% [8]. - Supply remains tight due to routine maintenance at Yunnan Tin, with expectations of limited output until November [8]. - Total social inventory across three regions is reported at 9,389 tons, with a decrease of 21.8% from the year's high [8]. - Recommended stocks include Yunnan Tin, Huaxi Nonferrous, and Xingye Silver Tin [8]. Strategic Metals - Rare earth prices are showing a mixed trend, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide at 572,500 yuan per ton and terbium oxide at 7,175,000 yuan per ton, reflecting decreases of 1.3% and 2%, respectively [9]. - The report anticipates significant tightening in supply for both light and heavy rare earths, leading to potential price increases [9]. - Recommended stocks include Northern Rare Earth, China Rare Earth, Guangsheng Nonferrous, Shenghe Resources, Jinkeli Magnetic, Ningbo Yunsheng, and Zhenghai Magnetic Materials [10]. - Cobalt prices are on the rise, with current prices at 273,000 yuan per ton, amid uncertainties regarding the extension of the cobalt export ban from the Democratic Republic of Congo [10]. - Recommended stocks include Huayou Cobalt, Liqin Resources, Luoyang Molybdenum, Tengyuan Cobalt, Hanrui Cobalt, and Greeenme [10].

Group 1 - The industrial metals sector is significantly boosted by policy support, with the "Work Plan" expected to expand demand and optimize supply, enhancing industry confidence [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology aims to promote structural adjustments in key industries, optimize supply, eliminate outdated capacity, and implement high-quality development plans for copper and aluminum industries to stabilize growth and promote transformation [1] - In the strategic metals sector, prices for praseodymium and neodymium oxides have rebounded from a low point, while black tungsten concentrate prices have reached a historical high, indicating potential valuation reconstruction opportunities amid global supply chain autonomy pursuits [1] Group 2 - The Nonferrous 60 ETF (159881) tracks the CSI Nonferrous Metals Index (930708), which is compiled by the China Securities Index Company and includes listed companies involved in the mining, smelting, and processing of precious and industrial metals, reflecting the overall performance of the nonferrous metals industry [1] - The index exhibits significant cyclical characteristics, providing investors with an effective tool to measure the development status of the nonferrous metals industry [1] - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Guotai CSI Nonferrous Metals ETF Initiated Link C (013219) and Guotai CSI Nonferrous Metals ETF Initiated Link A (013218) [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights that geopolitical uncertainties are driving an increase in risk aversion, which supports the rise in precious metal prices, particularly gold and silver [1] - The gold stock ETF (517400) has risen over 1.1%, reflecting the strengthening of precious metals due to heightened risk aversion [1] - The SSH Gold Stock Index (931238), tracked by the gold stock ETF, includes companies involved in gold mining, smelting, and sales, providing a representative performance of the gold industry chain [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the benchmark interest rate has led to continued fluctuations in industrial metal prices, with strong long-term support for copper prices [1] - In the energy metals sector, cobalt prices are expected to continue rising, while strategic metals like neodymium oxide have seen a price recovery from a low point [1] - The black tungsten concentrate price has reached a historical high, indicating a potential revaluation opportunity for strategic minor metals like antimony and tungsten amid supply chain autonomy trends [1]

Strategic Metals - The Chinese government is enhancing control over strategic mineral exports to prevent illegal outflow, with a focus on various strategic metals such as rare earths, cobalt, and tungsten [1] - Analysts from Zheshang Securities and CITIC Securities suggest that the valuation of strategic metals is expected to rise due to resource scarcity and increasing demand from sectors like new energy and military [1] Beer Industry - In the first four months of 2025, China's beer production from large enterprises decreased by 0.6% year-on-year, but April saw a 4.8% increase compared to the previous year, indicating a recovery trend [2] - Analysts expect the beer industry to improve in 2024, driven by increased consumption in dining channels and low inventory levels [2] Smart Cleaning Industry - The launch of MOVA's lawn mowers in Europe has gained significant market traction, achieving top sales rankings on Amazon in France and Germany [3] - The smart cleaning industry is entering a phase of technological commercialization and policy support, with advancements in AI and sensor technology enhancing operational efficiency [3] Toy Industry - Miniso is planning to spin off its TOPTOY brand for an IPO in Hong Kong, following the success of similar companies like Pop Mart [4] - The rapid expansion of TOPTOY, which has grown to 280 stores, reflects Miniso's commitment to the trendy toy market [4] Insurance Industry - The insurance sector reported a premium income of 25,955 billion yuan in the first four months of 2025, a 2.3% increase year-on-year, with a notable 9.6% growth in April [5] - The market acceptance of dividend insurance products is rising, contributing to the industry's growth [5] Exoskeleton Robots - The development of a new lower-limb exoskeleton robot by the Chinese Academy of Sciences aims to assist patients with lower limb paralysis, showing promising results in clinical trials [6] - The exoskeleton robot market is transitioning from medical applications to consumer markets, driven by technological advancements and cost reductions [6] Aviation Industry - China is considering a significant order for Airbus aircraft, potentially ranging from 200 to 500 units, which could become the largest aircraft purchase in Chinese aviation history [7] - The order is expected to benefit Airbus at a time when Boeing faces challenges in the Chinese market due to ongoing trade tensions [7] Macro and Industry News - The central government plans to support urban renewal actions in 20 cities, including Beijing and Tianjin [8] - The National Energy Administration is initiating pilot projects for new power system construction [9] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is focusing on promoting the development of the artificial intelligence industry [10]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a rebound on Wednesday, with the ChiNext Index leading the gains. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3376.20 points, up 0.42%, with a trading volume of 446.8 billion yuan. The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10144.58 points, up 0.87%, with a trading volume of 706.2 billion yuan. The ChiNext Index closed at 2024.93 points, up 1.11%, with a trading volume of 319.5 billion yuan [1]. Sector Performance - The consumer sector showed strong performance, with beauty care and beer concepts leading the gains. Stocks like Lehui International hit the daily limit. Solid-state battery concept stocks also surged, with companies like Chuan Yi Technology reaching the daily limit. The computing power concept stocks rebounded, with Tai Chen Guang rising over 10%. Conversely, the unmanned vehicle concept stocks faced adjustments, with Fu Long Ma nearing the daily limit [2]. Institutional Insights - According to Jifeng Investment Advisory, the market is currently consolidating below the 3400-point level, with policy support and long-term capital inflows expected to drive further upward movement in the A-share market. Investors are advised to buy on dips, focusing on sectors like consumer goods, semiconductors, and robotics that benefit from policy support [3]. - CITIC Construction expressed optimism about strategic metals such as antimony, bismuth, tungsten, and molybdenum, which have shown significant price increases due to resource scarcity and rigid supply. The demand from new energy, new materials, and military industries is expected to continue driving these trends, suggesting a focus on investment opportunities in strategic metals [3]. Market Sentiment - According to Furong Fund, the equity market remains in a volatile range, with fluctuations driven by the relative positions of capital and stock prices. The previously high-performing technology sector has seen a decline in trading volume, but the industry continues to develop positively. The technology sector may be entering a mid-term layout phase, with a focus on AI, semiconductors, and robotics as key growth areas [4].

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates a divergence in the performance of various indices in the energy and materials sectors since early 2025, with expectations of complex commodity price trends in the second half of 2025 due to anticipated fluctuations in U.S. tariff policies [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - Focus on "hedging" and "supply disruptions" as the main investment themes, suggesting a sequential allocation in the following order: gold, strategic metals, steel, industrial metals, coal, and oil [1] - Gold remains the preferred investment direction, with attention on companies' production growth and cost optimization prospects [1] - The strategic metals sector should focus on rare earths, tungsten, antimony, and cobalt [1] - The steel sector presents a good opportunity for allocation due to its valuation advantages and profit redistribution expectations [1] - It is recommended to accumulate positions in industrial metals, coal, and crude oil during price dips [1]

Market Overview - The three major indices opened higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.33%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.92%, and the ChiNext Index up 1.55% [1] - Key sectors showing significant gains include CPO, consumer electronics, and textiles [1] Index Performance - Shanghai Composite Index: Latest at 3352.97, up 0.33%, with 1758 gainers and 315 losers [2] - Shenzhen Component Index: Latest at 10220.33, up 0.92%, with 2326 gainers and 372 losers [2] - ChiNext Index: Latest at 2042.90, up 1.55%, with 1148 gainers and 180 losers [2] Sector Insights - China Galaxy Securities suggests that the A-share market will maintain a range-bound pattern, recommending focus on three areas: stable dividend-paying sectors, clear "technology narrative" opportunities, and consumer sectors supported by policy [3] - Huatai Securities is optimistic about the passenger car sector maintaining high prosperity in Q2, with expected revenue and net profit growth of 8% and 19% year-on-year, respectively [4] - CITIC Securities highlights four key areas in the food and beverage sector: recovery in demand for leading liquor brands, rebound in beer sales, growth in restaurant chains, and sustained high demand for snacks [5] - CITIC Securities also notes that strengthened export controls on strategic metals may lead to a revaluation of these assets, with prices for rare earths, tungsten, and antimony expected to rise [6]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the recent strengthening of export controls on strategic metals may lead to a revaluation of these assets due to their significant strategic importance in the current international political context [1] Group 1: Export Control Measures - On May 9, a meeting was held by the National Export Control Work Coordination Mechanism Office, involving the Ministry of Commerce and other departments, to discuss the crackdown on the smuggling and export of strategic minerals [1] - The meeting emphasized that strengthening export controls on strategic mineral resources is crucial for national security and development interests [1] Group 2: Market Implications - The crackdown on smuggling exports is seen as an urgent and important task, which is expected to enhance supply rigidity in the market [1] - Prices for strategic metals such as rare earths, tungsten, and antimony are anticipated to continue rising, suggesting a potential revaluation of the strategic metals sector [1] - The report continues to recommend investment in the strategic metals industry chain due to its perceived value [1]