T a l e [Table_Title] 美丽田园战略升级，珀莱雅入局 PDRN ——商社美护行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告要点： 市场表现 i n 本周（2025.11.17-2025.11.21），商贸零售/社会服务/美容护理分别- 7.24%/-4.86%/-4.53%，在 31 个一级行业中排名第 28/15/12,同期上 证综指-3.90%，深证成指-5.13%，沪深 300-3.77%。 ] 细分子板块来看，本周消费重点申万二级子行业普跌，其中贸易/一般 零售/旅游景区行业跌幅居前，分别-9.12%/-7.49%/-5.75%。 本周行业重点事件及资讯 [ 行业研究|可选消费 证券研究报告 可选消费行业周报、月报 2025 年 11 月 26 日 （1）美护：欧莱雅集团宣布对中国纯净护肤品牌 LAN 兰进行少数股 权投资。珀莱雅启用全新商标"PROYA MED"，首次切入 PDRN 赛 道。逸仙电商 Q3 净营收人民币 9.98 亿元，同比增长 47.5%。美丽田 园医疗健康举行战略升级发布会，官宣超级品牌、超级连锁、超级数 字化三大战略。2025Q3 新氧自营轻医美品牌新氧青春 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][12]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong revenue growth in FY26H1, with a total revenue of 4.047 billion RMB, representing a year-over-year increase of 32.7% and a half-year increase of 10.8% [5]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic offline ticketing market, with significant IP licensing capabilities, including partnerships with major brands like Sanrio and Chiikawa [12]. - The report highlights the robust growth potential in the live performance and IP sectors, driven by a stable supply of top-tier artists and successful events [6][12]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profitability**: In FY26H1, the company achieved a gross profit margin of 35.7%, with a net profit of 520 million RMB, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 54.3% [5]. - **Segment Performance**: The live performance and technology segment generated 1.339 billion RMB in revenue, up 14.5% year-over-year, while the IP derivatives segment saw a remarkable 105.2% increase in revenue, reaching 1.16 billion RMB [6][7]. - **Cost Management**: The company has effectively reduced both sales and management expenses, leading to improved operational efficiency [10]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 8.107 billion RMB in FY2026, with a net profit forecast of 996 million RMB, indicating a significant growth trajectory [11][12]. - The expected growth rates for revenue and net profit are 21% and 174% respectively for FY2026, showcasing strong financial health and operational performance [12][13].

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.947 billion yuan for FY26H1, representing a 33% year-on-year increase, primarily driven by strong growth in IP derivative products, particularly from Alibaba Fish [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 520 million yuan, up 54% year-on-year, due to the excellent performance of Alibaba Fish and a reduction in investment losses [1] - Adjusted EBITA was 550 million yuan, down 14% year-on-year, mainly due to a one-time financial asset impairment reversal of 160 million yuan in the same period last year; excluding this, adjusted EBITA increased by 14% [1] IP Derivative Business - The IP derivative business generated 1.16 billion yuan in FY26H1, a significant increase of 105.31% year-on-year; segment performance was 235 million yuan, up 44.17% [2] - The slower growth in segment performance compared to revenue was attributed to a one-time loss from the shutdown of Jinli Naju during the reporting period [2] - The rapid growth in IP licensing is driven by the continued success of multiple IP matrices, including Sanrio, Chiikawa, Pokémon, and Crayon Shin-chan; the company has also opened several offline themed pop-up and flagship stores in collaboration with upstream copyright holders and trendy toy brands [2] Ticketing and Live Entertainment - The revenue from the company's live content and technology business reached 1.339 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.54%; segment performance (after deducting costs and sales expenses) was 754 million yuan, up 4.72% [3] - Revenue growth was primarily driven by ticketing business, although growth was somewhat constrained by a slowdown in the supply of live content and limited venue resources; live entertainment content revenue grew by over 50% year-on-year due to the expansion into major concert projects and participation in music festivals, stand-up comedy, and theater [3] Film and Series Production - Revenue from the company's film content and technology business was 1.064 billion yuan, down 15.22% year-on-year; segment performance was 95 million yuan, down 22.76% [3] - Despite the overall pressure in the film market, the company maintained a prudent investment strategy, achieving excellent returns from the film "Chasing the Wind" [3] - The series production business saw a revenue increase of 693.44% to 484 million yuan, with segment performance improving from a loss of 10 million yuan to 38 million yuan, driven by increased investment in high-quality content [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Based on the continuous deepening of cooperation in the IP derivative business and the ongoing high growth phase, the profit forecast has been raised, with expected net profits for FY26-FY28 at 915 million, 1.16 billion, and 1.374 billion yuan respectively [4] - The average PE of comparable companies for 2025 is 34X, up from a previous estimate of 26X; given the sustained high demand in the derivative business, a valuation of 36X for FY26 has been assigned, with a target price of 1.21 HKD [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, with a focus on new consumption sectors such as beauty care, IP derivatives, and gold jewelry [5][31]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the overall retail sales in September 2025 reached 4.2 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 3.05%, which is below the consensus expectation of 3.1% [21]. - The beauty care sector is experiencing significant activity, with major brands like Proya and Winona showing strong sales performance during the Tmall Double 11 event [24]. - The travel sector is recovering, with nearly 106,000 passenger flights executed in the week of October 20-26, 2025, marking a 2.9% increase year-on-year [4][26]. Market Performance - For the week of October 20-24, 2025, the performance of the retail, social services, and beauty care sectors was +0.46%, +2.60%, and -0.09%, respectively, ranking them 26th, 14th, and 29th among 31 primary industries [13][15]. - The report notes that the trade, education, and professional services sectors performed well, with increases of +4.89%, +3.02%, and +2.70% [15]. Key Company Announcements - Juzi Biotechnology's recombinant type I α1 collagen facial injection has passed the joint review by the medical device and drug regulatory authorities [29]. - Runben Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 1.238 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.28% [29]. - Bubble Mart's Q3 revenue grew by 245%-250% year-on-year, with significant contributions from both domestic and international markets [27]. Consumer Behavior Trends - The report indicates that sales of products related to the "trade-in" program are growing rapidly, with retail sales of communication equipment, furniture, and cultural office supplies increasing by 16.2%, 16.2%, and 6.2%, respectively [21].

Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing recovery in the A-share market, with structural opportunities emerging in various sectors, particularly technology and energy [14][15][16] - The report emphasizes the importance of long-term capital in enhancing market stability and supporting high-quality development in the capital market [11][12] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,950.31, with a daily increase of 0.71%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 2.02% to 13,289.18 [4] - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext Index are 16.02 and 48.28, respectively, indicating a favorable environment for medium to long-term investments [13][15] International Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 30,772.79, down 0.67%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also experienced declines of 0.45% and 0.15%, respectively [5] Industry Analysis - The report notes a significant decline in the media sector, with a 6.65% drop in the media index from September 29 to October 22, underperforming compared to the broader market indices [19] - The automotive industry achieved record production and sales figures in September, with production reaching 3.28 million vehicles and sales at 3.23 million, marking year-on-year increases of 17.15% and 14.86% respectively [24][25] - The new energy vehicle penetration rate reached 49.72% in September, reflecting strong growth in this segment [24] Technology and AI Developments - The report discusses advancements in AI applications, particularly the release of OpenAI's latest video generation model, which enhances the capabilities of AI in content creation [22] - The software industry in China saw a revenue increase of 12.6% year-on-year in the first eight months of 2025, indicating a robust growth trajectory [26] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as gaming, which is expected to benefit from favorable policies and strong market demand, as well as the publishing sector, which offers stable returns due to its low volatility and high dividend yields [21][25] - In the automotive sector, the report recommends attention to companies that are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing transition to smart and electric vehicles [25]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, with a focus on new consumption sectors such as beauty care, IP derivatives, and gold jewelry [5][28]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant market movements, with the retail trade, social services, and beauty care sectors showing varied performance, ranking 19th, 27th, and 25th respectively among 31 primary industries during the week of September 8-12, 2025 [14][16]. - Key events include Huaxi Biological's strategic investment in Saint Pharma, which focuses on small nucleic acid drugs, and Jinbo Biological's approval for a new injectable collagen product [3][23]. - The report notes a substantial increase in domestic and international flight searches ahead of the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays, indicating a recovery in travel demand [4][24]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The retail trade sector increased by 0.85%, while social services and beauty care sectors decreased by 0.28% and 0.23% respectively, compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's increase of 1.52% [14][16]. 2. Key Industry Data and News - The Chinese government allocated 100 billion yuan for childcare subsidies and plans to gradually implement free preschool education [3][23]. - Huaxi Biological invested approximately 138 million HKD in Saint Pharma, acquiring a 9.44% stake, while Jinbo Biological's new collagen product is the first of its kind to enter the pharmaceutical excipient market [23][24]. 3. Key Company Announcements - Jinbo Biological announced management changes, with founder Yang Xia appointed as CEO, and plans for a cash acquisition by Langzi Co. for a controlling stake in a cosmetic surgery hospital [27][28]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Shangmei Co., Juzi Biological, and Marumi Biological, among others, as potential investment opportunities in the beauty care and new consumption sectors [5][28].

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a "Recommended" rating, with a focus on new consumption sectors such as beauty care, IP derivatives, and gold jewelry [6][32]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant performance increase in the retail, social services, and beauty care sectors, with respective weekly gains of +4.55%, +4.55%, and +5.35%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [2][13]. - Key companies in the beauty care sector reported mixed results, with some showing declines in revenue while others experienced growth, indicating a varied recovery across the industry [3][23][28]. - The IP derivatives segment, particularly Bubble Mart, demonstrated exceptional growth with a 204.4% increase in revenue year-on-year, showcasing strong market demand for collectible products [25][26]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The retail, social services, and beauty care sectors ranked 8th, 9th, and 5th respectively among 31 primary industries during the week of August 18-22, 2025, with notable increases in sub-sectors like internet e-commerce, education, and cosmetics [2][13][15]. Key Industry Data and News - Beauty Care: Estee Lauder reported a net sales decline of 8% for the fiscal year 2025, with a notable recovery in the Chinese market, achieving net sales of $2.741 billion [23]. - Travel Chain: Xiangyuan Culture achieved a revenue increase of 35.41% in H1 2025, indicating a strong recovery in tourism [4][28]. - IP Derivatives: Bubble Mart's revenue reached 13.88 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 204.4% increase, with significant contributions from various regions [25][26]. Company Announcements - Lao Pu Gold reported a revenue of 12.354 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 251.0% increase, with a net profit growth of 285.8% [27]. - Shanghai Jahwa achieved a revenue of 3.478 billion yuan, growing by 4.75%, with a net profit increase of 11.66% [30]. - Marubi Biological reported a revenue of 1.769 billion yuan, a 30.83% increase, with a net profit growth of 5.21% [30]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Shangmei, Juzi Biological, Marubi Biological, Runben, Proya, Chaohongji, Buluko, and Furida as potential investment targets within the recommended sectors [6][32].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the media sector relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [1] Core Views - The report expresses a positive outlook on sub-sectors such as gaming, publishing, and IP derivatives, highlighting strong performance and growth potential in these areas [12][13] - The gaming market in H1 2025 reached new highs in both market size and user data, supported by favorable policies and the integration of AI technology [12][42] - The publishing sector shows stable demand for educational materials, with a recommendation to focus on state-owned companies with high dividend yields [13] - The film sector is expected to see improved performance in Q3 due to the summer box office demand, despite a weaker Q2 [14] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - Continuous optimism for gaming, publishing, and IP derivative sectors due to strong performance and growth potential [12] - Emphasis on the gaming sector's resilience and AI's role in enhancing valuation [12][42] - Recommendations to monitor companies with positive fundamentals ahead of the upcoming mid-year reports [12] Market Review - From July 21 to August 15, 2025, the media sector rose by 6.56%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [15][16] - The gaming and broadcasting sectors saw significant increases of 12.55%, while the publishing sector grew by 1.35% [16] - The overall PE ratio for the media sector as of August 15, 2025, is 31.11, significantly above the historical average [22] Industry News - New policies from the Shanghai Municipal Government aim to support high-quality internet content creation [23] - The approval of 127 domestic game licenses in July 2025 indicates a robust regulatory environment for the gaming industry [25] - The central government emphasizes the importance of artificial intelligence in driving economic growth and innovation [25] Monthly Data Film Market - In July 2025, the domestic film market generated a box office of 4.067 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 24.38% [26] - The total box office for the first seven months of 2025 reached 33.299 billion yuan, reflecting a 13.72% increase year-on-year [26] Game Market - The domestic gaming market's actual sales revenue for the first half of 2025 was 168 billion yuan, marking a 14.08% year-on-year increase [42] - The user base for games reached 679 million, a 0.72% increase from the previous year [42]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, with a focus on new consumption sectors such as beauty care, IP derivatives, and gold jewelry [6][32]. Core Insights - The beauty care sector is expected to see significant growth, with companies like Shangmei Co. projecting a revenue of approximately 4.09-4.11 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of about 16.8%-17.3% [3][30]. - The report highlights key events such as the announcement of free preschool education by the State Council, which may impact consumer spending patterns [3][25]. - The report notes a rise in core CPI by 0.8% year-on-year in July 2025, indicating inflationary pressures that could affect consumer behavior [3][25]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - During the week of August 4-8, 2025, the retail trade, social services, and beauty care sectors experienced declines of -0.38%, -0.11%, and an increase of +1.70%, respectively [15][18]. - Among sub-sectors, jewelry, personal care products, and trade saw notable gains of +5.53%, +4.23%, and +2.09% [18][21]. Key Industry Data and News - The report discusses the impact of the government's free preschool education policy, which will take effect in the fall semester of 2025 [3][25]. - Notable company announcements include Shangmei Co.'s positive earnings forecast and the planned H-share listing by Ruoyuchen [30][32]. - The report also covers the performance of major companies like Shiseido and Marubi, with Shiseido reporting a 7.6% decline in net sales for the first half of 2025 [3][25]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Shangmei Co., Juzi Biotechnology, Marubi, and others within the beauty care and new consumption sectors [6][32].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The traditional light industry investment logic is diverse, categorized into three main directions: stable growth with high dividends (e.g., Yutong Technology, Yongxin Co.), growth potential (export chain companies like Jiangxin Home), and cyclical (paper and metal packaging) [1][3][4] - The new consumption industry is currently in a high prosperity and growth phase, with opportunities particularly in information tobacco, trendy toys, and personal care sectors [2] Core Insights and Arguments - **IP Derivative Market Potential**: The market is driven by rising GDP per capita and increasing demand for spiritual consumption, with emotional, social, and collectible values propelling industry growth [1][5] - **Bubble Mart's Growth**: Expected revenue of 30 billion yuan and profit of 10 billion yuan this year, with projections of 45 to 50 billion yuan in revenue and 15 to 17 billion yuan in profit in the coming years. The company is expanding its product matrix and global market presence [1][7] - **Blucor's Short-term Decline**: The recent drop in Blucor's stock price presents a buying opportunity, with a focus on expanding its IP offerings to girls and adults, potentially increasing revenue to 8 to 10 billion yuan [1][8][9] - **Tobacco Industry Shift**: The global tobacco industry is transitioning to new tobacco products due to the decline of traditional cigarettes, with major companies like Philip Morris and British American Tobacco increasing investments in this area [1][12][13] Additional Important Insights - **Export Sector**: Companies like Jiangxin Home have significant growth potential in the U.S. market, with a focus on brand recognition and global market expansion [1][24] - **Packaging Industry**: Yutong Technology and Yongxin Co. are highlighted for their high dividend yields and international expansion strategies, with Yutong aiming for a balanced domestic and international sales ratio [1][22] - **Paper Industry Outlook**: The paper industry is currently at a historical low in pricing, with expectations for demand recovery in the coming years, particularly for companies like Sun Paper [1][21] - **Environmental Packaging**: New companies in the environmental packaging sector, such as Zhongxin Co., are emerging, with potential for significant growth if new production capacities are realized [1][25] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call records, providing insights into the light industry, new consumption trends, and specific company performances and strategies.