2月25日，腾远钴业涨5.24%，截至发稿，报73.95元/股，成交4.28亿元，换手率2.92%，总市值217.94亿 元。 资料显示，赣州腾远钴业新材料股份有限公司位于江西省赣州市赣县区赣州高新技术产业开发区稀金大 道9号，成立日期2004年3月26日，上市日期2022年3月17日，公司主营业务涉及危险化学品生产、肥料 生产与销售,常用有色金属冶炼,基础化学原料制造,新能源汽车废旧动力蓄电池回收及梯次利用,再生资源 回收,石灰和石膏制造与销售,石墨及碳素制品制造与销售,新型建筑材料制造(不含危险化学品),轻质建筑 材料制造与销售,建筑材料销售,货物进出口,技术进出口,信息咨询服务。主营业务收入构成为：钴产品 47.56%，铜产品44.39%，其他8.05%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，富国基金旗下1只基金重仓腾远钴业。富国久利稳健配置混合型A（003877）四季度持有股 数13.51万股，占基金净值比例为0.78%，位居第十大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约49.72万元。 富国久利稳健配置混合型A（003877）成立日期2016年12月27日，最新规模7.08亿。今年以来收益 4.11%，同类排名 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [1] Core Insights - The supply and demand expectations for lithium and cobalt are reversing, indicating the start of a new price cycle [2][3] - Lithium demand is expected to recover, leading to a replenishment cycle, while supply disruptions will create a medium-term gap [2] - Cobalt supply is dominated by export quotas from sovereign nations, leading to a raw material shortage that supports prices [3] Summary by Sections Lithium - Supply disruptions from African lithium projects and stable production from South American salt lakes are expected, while China's regulatory management will lead to a temporary supply contraction of lithium mica [2] - Demand for lithium is driven by the growth of energy storage as a second growth driver after electric vehicles, with solid-state batteries opening up potential for increased lithium consumption [2] - From the second half of 2025, supply disruptions in Jiangxi and strong downstream demand will lead to a price rebound for lithium, maintaining a tight supply situation through 2026-2027 [2] Cobalt - The supply side is significantly influenced by the export quota system in the Democratic Republic of Congo, resulting in a definitive raw material shortage [3] - Demand for cobalt products is currently weak due to high prices, and the recovery of demand hinges on the adoption of solid-state batteries [3] - The Congolese government has a strong ability and willingness to support prices, with expectations for cobalt prices to remain strong in the medium term [3] Investment Strategy - In an upward cycle, it is essential to consider the self-reinforcing attributes of stock prices and commodity prices, alongside fundamental factors [4] - The interplay between stock prices, futures, and spot prices creates a positive feedback loop, where stock prices often react first to anticipated changes [4] Investment Recommendations - Recommended lithium-related stocks include Yongxing Materials, Ganfeng Lithium, and Tianqi Lithium, among others [5] - Recommended cobalt-related stocks include Huayou Cobalt and others [5]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in electronic prices is driven by a structural transformation due to explosive growth in the AI industry and rising upstream raw material costs, rather than simple cyclical fluctuations. The demand for AI is expected to continue growing rapidly, and under the backdrop of a weak dollar and resource nationalism, metal prices are likely to rise further, extending the electronic price surge into the end of this year and possibly early next year [1] Information Technology - By Q2 2025, memory prices are expected to reach a cyclical turning point due to production cuts by manufacturers and improved end-user demand. As major manufacturers shift capacity towards high-margin products like HBM, the supply of consumer-grade memory chips will continue to shrink, leading to an expanding supply-demand gap and rising prices. By the end of 2025, the rising costs of industrial metals and other raw materials will cause price increases to spread from memory chips to passive components, testing, packaging, and other segments of the entire industry chain, thereby increasing cost pressures on consumer electronics [2] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, Taiwan Semiconductor Industry Index, and DXI Index have all risen this week, along with increases in DRAM and NAND memory prices. The three-month rolling year-on-year growth rate of semiconductor manufacturing equipment shipments from Japan has narrowed, while the three-month rolling year-on-year decline in optical cable production has also narrowed. Panel prices have increased, and the three-month rolling year-on-year growth rate of NB LCD shipments has expanded [2] Midstream Manufacturing - This week, prices for some positive electrode materials, lithium raw materials, and cobalt products have increased, while the prices of lithium hexafluorophosphate and DMC have decreased. The photovoltaic price index has risen, with prices for silicon materials increasing, while prices for silicon wafers and components have remained stable. The three-month rolling year-on-year decline in the production of packaging equipment has narrowed, and the three-month rolling year-on-year growth rate of metal forming machine tool production has also narrowed. The four-week rolling average of port cargo throughput and container throughput has increased year-on-year [3] Consumer Demand - Prices for fresh milk have risen, while the comprehensive price of sugar has decreased. Pork prices have increased, with the wholesale price of piglets remaining stable compared to last week, and the average price of live pigs has decreased. In terms of pig farming profits, both self-bred and purchased pig farming profits have increased. In the broiler farming sector, the price of broiler chicks has decreased. The vegetable price index has decreased, while the futures settlement price of corn has increased, and the futures settlement price of cotton has decreased. The ten-day average of box office revenue has increased, while the ten-day average of movie ticket prices has decreased [3] Resource Products - The ten-day average transaction volume of construction steel has decreased, while the prices of steel billets have remained stable and rebar prices have decreased. In terms of coal prices, the price of Qinhuangdao mixed power coal has decreased, while the price of Shanxi coking coal at Jingtang Port has increased. The futures settlement prices of coke and coking coal have both decreased. In terms of inventory, coal inventory at Qinhuangdao Port has increased, while coking coal inventory at Jingtang Port has decreased, and coke inventory at Tianjin Port has increased. The national cement price index has decreased. Brent crude oil prices have increased, and the national chemical product price index has risen week-on-week, with chemical prices generally increasing, particularly for fuel oil and asphalt. This week, industrial metal prices have generally risen, with prices for copper, aluminum, zinc, tin, cobalt, and nickel increasing, while lead prices have decreased, and most inventories have risen. The prices of gold and silver in the spot and futures markets have increased [4] Financial Real Estate - The net injection in the money market has occurred. The turnover rate and daily transaction volume of A-shares have decreased. The land transaction premium rate has increased, while the transaction area of commercial housing has decreased. The number of second-hand houses listed for sale nationwide has decreased, while the listing price index has increased [4] Public Utilities - The ex-factory price of natural gas has increased. The year-on-year decline in the average daily power generation of key national power plants over a 12-week rolling period has narrowed [4]

2025年2月，刚果（金）战略矿产市场监管控制局宣布，为应对全球钴市场供应过剩的局面，暂停钴产 品出口四个月；6月，宣布出口禁令延期3个月；9月，刚果（金）宣布结束钴出口禁令，并于10月15日 开始执行配额出口制度。 据刚果（金）披露的钴出口配额明细，洛阳钼业2025年四季度获得的钴出口配额达6650吨。上月，洛阳 钼业方面在接受智通财经采访时表示，公司正按照刚果（金）政府程序，落实各种出口安排。（智通财 经记者 高菁） 1月28日，智通财经记者独家获悉，洛阳钼业刚果（金）钴产品已实现出口。 刚果（金）是全球最大的钴生产国，产量在全球占比超七成。 ...

r Q 44,44 Divil F 17-1 Schip PP 2017 6 1000 E t f 91 . 17 CA BOS TO 8 4 =529 1 1 1 Children t 17 r and the state the on E the production 4 call 一方面是海外业务拓展成效显著，阴极铜产能稳步提升并逐步释放，实现量价齐升，直接带动公司业绩增长；另一方面受益于钴价格回升的积极影响，公司 钴产品盈利能力得到明显提升。 此外，公司聚焦固态电池材料赛道，构建了正负极材料、碳材料等产品协同发展的矩阵体系，向固态电池全材料解决方案提供商稳步迈进，系统优势逐步彰 显，同时坚持"人才引领，AI驱动研发，以创新铸造一流新材料企业"为导向，持续提升技术实力，优化生产与经营管理，提高运营效率，为业绩增长提供了 有力支撑。 对于业绩大幅增长的核心原因，公司明确表示主要得益于两大方面： 1月23日，道氏技术发布2025年度业绩预告，预计2025年归属于上市公司股东的净利润预计为4.8亿元至5.8亿元，同比增长206.01%至269.76%；扣除非经常 性损益后的净利润为4.6亿元至5.6亿元，同比 ...

Core Viewpoint - Daoshih Technology (300409.SZ) is expected to achieve strong growth in 2025, with projected net profit increasing by 206.01% to 269.76% year-on-year, driven by overseas business expansion and improved profitability in cobalt products [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of 480 million to 580 million yuan for 2025, with a non-GAAP net profit of 460 million to 560 million yuan, reflecting significant year-on-year growth [1][2]. - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 7.752 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.25%, and turned a profit with a net profit of 157 million yuan [2]. - Quarterly performance shows accelerating growth, with Q2 2025 net profit at 187 million yuan (up 93.57% year-on-year) and Q3 2025 net profit at 185 million yuan (up 408.27% year-on-year) [2][4]. Group 2: Business Expansion and Strategy - The company has successfully expanded its overseas business, with significant increases in cathode copper production capacity, contributing to overall performance growth [3][5]. - The company is transitioning to become a "full-material solution provider" for solid-state batteries, with a focus on developing core components such as cathodes, anodes, electrolytes, and conductive agents [5][6]. - The overseas revenue increased from 1.059 billion yuan in 2021 to 5.1 billion yuan in 2024, representing a growth of 382% and accounting for 65.8% of total revenue [5]. Group 3: Profitability and Margins - The company's gross margin has improved, reaching 21.25% in the first three quarters of 2025, the highest in nearly four years [1][5]. - The gross margins from 2022 to 2024 were 16.35%, 15.97%, and 17.71%, indicating a positive trend in profitability [5]. Group 4: Future Investments - The company plans to invest 165 million USD in a copper wet smelting plant in the Democratic Republic of Congo, aiming to increase self-sufficiency in copper and cobalt resources to 40%-50% [7].

Core Viewpoint - Daoshi Technology (300409.SZ) forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders of 480 million to 580 million yuan for the fiscal year 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 206.01% to 269.76% [1] Group 1: Business Focus and Strategy - The company is focusing on the solid-state battery materials sector, developing a matrix system that includes anode and cathode materials, as well as carbon materials, to become a comprehensive provider of solid-state battery solutions [1] - The company is actively expanding its overseas core copper and cobalt resource business, which has shown significant results during the reporting period [1] Group 2: Performance and Market Impact - The company's cathode copper production capacity is steadily increasing and gradually being released, leading to a rise in both volume and price, which contributes to the overall performance growth [1] - The profitability of the company's cobalt products has improved due to the positive impact of rising cobalt prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Daoshi Technology, expects a significant increase in net profit for 2025, driven by its focus on solid-state battery materials and expansion in overseas copper and cobalt resources [1] Financial Performance - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is between 480 million yuan and 580 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 206.01% to 269.76% [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between 460 million yuan and 560 million yuan, indicating a year-on-year increase of 280.94% to 363.75% [1] Business Strategy - The company is concentrating on the solid-state battery materials sector, developing a matrix system that includes positive and negative electrode materials and carbon materials, aiming to become a comprehensive solution provider for solid-state battery materials [1] - The company emphasizes talent leadership and AI-driven research and development, focusing on innovation to enhance its status as a leading new materials enterprise [1] Operational Highlights - The overseas business expansion has shown significant results, with steady increases in cathode copper production capacity, contributing to both volume and price growth, which in turn boosts overall performance [1] - The profitability of cobalt products has improved due to the positive impact of rising cobalt prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Daoh's Technology, forecasts a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a range of 480 million to 580 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 206.01% to 269.76% [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The expected net profit for 2025 is between 480 million and 580 million yuan [2] - This projection indicates a substantial year-on-year growth of 206.01% to 269.76% [2] Group 2: Business Expansion - The company has made notable progress in expanding its overseas business [2] - The production capacity of cathode copper has been steadily increasing and is gradually being released, contributing to the overall performance growth [2] Group 3: Product Profitability - The profitability of the company's cobalt products has improved due to the positive impact of rising cobalt prices [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Dao's Technology, anticipates significant growth in net profit for 2025, projecting an increase of 206.01% to 269.76% year-on-year, driven by its focus on solid-state battery materials and expansion in overseas copper and cobalt resources [1] Financial Performance - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is between 48,000 million and 58,000 million [1] - The projected net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses is between 46,000 million and 56,000 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 280.94% to 363.75% [1] Business Strategy - The company is concentrating on the solid-state battery materials sector, developing a matrix system that includes positive and negative electrode materials and carbon materials, aiming to become a comprehensive supplier of solid-state battery materials [1] - The company emphasizes "talent-driven, AI-powered R&D, and innovation to forge a first-class new materials enterprise," continuously enhancing its technical capabilities and optimizing production and management [1] Growth Drivers - Significant growth in profitability is attributed to the successful expansion of overseas operations, with steady increases in cathode copper production capacity leading to simultaneous volume and price increases [1] - The company benefits from the rebound in cobalt prices, which has positively impacted the profitability of its cobalt products [1]