2026 年 1 月 6 日 公司研究 一体化产业链优势凸显，2025Q4 单季度净利润有望创历史新高 ——华友钴业（603799.SH）2025 年业绩预告点评 要点 事件 :华友钴业于 2026 年 1 月 5 日公告 2025 年业绩预增公告，预计 2025 年实 现归属于上市公司股东净利润 58.5-64.5 亿元，同比增长 40.8%-55.2%；实现归 属于上市公司股东扣除非经常性损益净利润 57-63 亿元，同比增长 47.6%-66%。 2025Q4 预计可实现归母净利润 16.3-22.3 亿元，中值为 19.3 亿元，环比+28%， 同比+70%。 点评： 业绩：印尼华飞镍项目投产，一体化产业链优势释放。业绩增长主要源于：（1） 镍湿法产能逐步释放，印尼华飞项目实现达产超产，华越项目持续稳产高产；（2） 下游材料业务恢复增长，锂电材料自上游到下游一体化带来的优势逐步释放， "产品领先、成本领先"的竞争战略成效凸显。（3）钴价、锂价上涨，2025Q4 MB 钴价（标准级）均价为 23 美元/磅，环比+45%；2025Q4 国内碳酸锂均价 8.8 万元/吨，环比+21%。 项目：12 万吨金属 ...

"十四五"时期，我国新能源汽车站上世界舞台的中央。比亚迪成长为全球最大的新能源汽车企业，年销量实现了十倍的跨越发展。 进入"十五五"，我国新能源汽车将进入技术迭代、智电融合和全球化发展的新阶段。站在新的起点，比亚迪在技术上，将继续保持大量研发和 资金投入，巩固电动化、推进智能化，用技术带来新的增长曲线；在产业协作上，将站在全球产业链的肩膀上，整合全球资源合作创新；在全 球化上，抢抓中国品牌出海机遇乘势而上，加快推进全球化产业布局，打造世界级中国品牌。 新岁已至，未来可期。面向"十五五"，比亚迪将牢记上市公司主体责任，持续发展壮大新质生产力，为汽车强国梦贡献更大力量！新的一年， 祝朋友们心想事成、幸福相伴！ 东方财富信息有限公司董事长其实：做金融变革浪潮中的"扬帆者" 新元肇启、万象更新，我谨代表东方财富向所有投资者、合作伙伴及社会各界朋友致以诚挚的问候和美好的祝愿。 上市公司掌门人筹谋"十五五"。 比亚迪董事长兼总裁王传福：打造世界级中国品牌 新年伊始，我谨代表比亚迪公司，向大家致以诚挚的新年祝福！起航"十五五"，比亚迪满怀希望、充满期待，将与所有上市公司一起，永葆创 新创业的激情和艰苦奋斗的精神，共同谱写新 ...

上银丰益混合A（011504）成立日期2021年4月28日，最新规模2570.44万。今年以来收益27.83%，同类 排名3387/8087；近一年收益26.36%，同类排名3342/8085；成立以来收益34.17%。 上银丰益混合A（011504）基金经理为高永。 12月30日，华友钴业涨1.06%，截至发稿，报65.81元/股，成交6.32亿元，换手率0.52%，总市值1248.24 亿元。 资料显示，浙江华友钴业股份有限公司位于浙江省桐乡经济开发区二期梧振东路18号，成立日期2002年 5月22日，上市日期2015年1月29日，公司主营业务涉及新能源锂电材料和钴新材料产品的研发制造。主 营业务收入构成为：镍产品34.54%，正极材料16.28%，贸易及其他15.55%，镍中间品14.91%，铜产品 5.95%，三元前驱体5.25%，锂产品4.18%，钴产品3.33%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，上银基金旗下1只基金重仓华友钴业。上银丰益混合A（011504）三季度持有股数1.6万股， 占基金净值比例为1.13%，位居第六大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约1.1万元。 截至发稿，高永累计任职时间9 ...

证券研究报告 2025 年 12 月 23 日 核心结论 分析师 【有色金属】华友钴业（603799.SH）首次覆盖报告：镍处周期底部、钴业 绩确定性强，一体化布局优势彰显 我们预测，2025-2027 年公司归母净利润分别为 57.52、67.48、80.84 亿元， EPS 为 3.03、3.56、4.26 元，PE 为 21、18、15 倍，给予 2025 年 26 倍 PE，目标价为 78.98 元/股，首次覆盖，给予"买入"评级。 【有色金属】有色金属行业周报（2025.12.15 -2025.12.21）：美国 CPI 低 于预期叠加劳动市场降温，降息预期升温 晨会纪要 国家统计局数据显示，11 月份，规模以上工业增加值同比实际增长 4.8%。 从环比看，11 月份，规模以上工业增加值比上月增长 0.44%。1—11 月份， 规模以上工业增加值同比增长 6.0%。 【北交所】北交所市场周报——251215-251219：政策预期引领市场活跃， 关注结构性投资机会 短期可重点关注北证 50 权重股及新调入指数成分股，这些标的可能受益于 指数基金的被动配置需求。同时，临近年末市场震荡结构特征或将延续， ...

公司深度研究 | 华友钴业 镍处周期底部、钴业绩确定性强，一体化布局优势彰显 证券研究报告 2025 年 12 月 22 日 华友钴业（603799.SH）首次覆盖报告 【核心结论】我们预测，2025-2027 年公司归母净利润分别为 57.52、67.48、 80.84 亿元，EPS 为 3.03、3.56、4.26 元，PE 为 21、18、15 倍，给予 2025 年 26 倍 PE，目标价为 78.98 元/股，首次覆盖，给予"买入"评级。 【报告亮点】市场认为公司是跟随钴价的β品种，但是我们认为公司更大的 看点在于镍，目前镍价处于底部区域附近，2027-2028 或有望迎来周期拐点； 镍项目投资规模都较大，具备明显的资金和规模壁垒；公司已实现镍矿-镍中 间品-镍产品全产业链布局，核心竞争优势彰显，是比较稀缺的α型公司。 【主要逻辑】 一、镍：价格处于底部区域、或有望迎周期拐点，全产业链布局彰显竞争 力。镍无论是储量还是产量，供给都较为集中，目前镍价处于底部区域附近， 根据我们的测算，2027-2028 供需情况或有望迎来周期拐点。无论是镍中间 品、还是镍产品环节，项目投资规模都较大，具备明显的资金和 ...

格隆汇12月12日丨寒锐钴业(300618.SZ)在投资者互动平台表示，公司经营管理团队密切结合刚果(金)的 当地政策与钴行业的市场动态，持续对经营策略进行审慎调整和优化，以切实保障公司股东权益。在业 务运营方面，公司积极拓展多元化采购渠道，并依据原料供应状况及库存水平，科学合理地签订销售订 单，确保向下游客户稳定供货；同时，公司紧跟市场趋势，有序推进产线升级改造，进一步丰富产品矩 阵，提升市场竞争力。目前公司的钴产品库存分布于国内和境外刚果(金)。 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd. [2][7] Core Views - The company has established an integrated layout across the entire new energy industry chain, enhancing the flexibility of its cobalt and lithium businesses [6][7] - The report forecasts significant profit growth driven by the company's nickel, cobalt, and lithium projects, with expected net profits of 57.91 billion, 101.08 billion, and 156.3 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively [5][7] Summary by Sections 1. Integrated Layout Progress - Huayou Cobalt has developed a comprehensive industry chain from resource development to recycling, evolving from primary product processing to upstream resource expansion and integrated layout [17][18] 2. Nickel: Continuous Expansion of Wet Process Capacity - The company has established a significant presence in the Indonesian nickel industry, with a current capacity of 245,000 tons and plans for further expansion [60][67] - The wet process nickel production has a cost advantage over traditional methods, allowing the company to maintain profitability even during price downturns [62][66] 3. Cobalt: Supply Control and Price Increase - The report highlights the impact of the Democratic Republic of Congo's (DRC) export control policies on cobalt prices, which are expected to rise due to reduced supply [6][7] - The company benefits from diversified cobalt sources, mitigating supply chain risks [6][7] 4. Lithium: Improving Supply and Cost Optimization - Huayou Cobalt is developing a lithium sulfate project in Zimbabwe, which is expected to significantly increase lithium recovery rates and reduce costs [6][7] - The anticipated rise in lithium prices due to growing demand in energy storage applications is expected to enhance profitability [6][7] 5. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company reported total revenue of 60.95 billion yuan in 2024, with a projected increase to 106.3 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [5][6] - The report indicates a significant increase in net profit margins, driven by strategic product focus and cost management [31][33]

Core Insights - The manufacturing PMI for November increased to 49.2%, up by 0.2 percentage points, remaining below the threshold for eight consecutive months, while the non-manufacturing PMI decreased to 49.5%, marking the first contraction since 2024 [12][14][21] - The report highlights improvements in the resource, consumer services, and information technology sectors, with notable price increases in industrial and precious metals, as well as in the new energy supply chain [1][21] - Recommendations are made for sectors with high or improving sentiment, including non-ferrous metals, steel, chemicals, batteries, traditional Chinese medicine, film, and semiconductors [1][21] Industry Overview Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing sector shows a slight recovery with a production index at 50.0%, and new orders index at 49.2%, indicating a marginal improvement in demand despite remaining in contraction territory [14][15] - The purchasing price index rose to 53.6%, driven by increases in coal, metals, and new energy materials, reflecting a rebound in prices due to supportive policies and improved supply [14][15][21] Information Technology - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index and Taiwan Semiconductor Industry Index both increased, with the Philadelphia index rising by 6.48% to 7149.47 points [24] - Prices for DDR4 and DDR5 DRAM memory increased, with 8GB DDR4 prices rising by 13.66% to $16.51 and 16GB DDR5 prices up by 3.95% to $27.20 [27][28] Consumer Services - The film industry saw a significant increase in box office revenue, with a ten-day average up by 250.53%, while ticket prices decreased slightly [19][21] - The price index for traditional Chinese medicine increased, indicating a positive trend in this sector [19][21] Resource Sector - Industrial metal prices generally increased, with copper, zinc, and nickel prices rising, while coal prices showed mixed trends with some declines in specific regions [23] - The national cement price index decreased, while glass prices increased, reflecting varied trends across different materials [23] Financial and Real Estate Sector - The real estate market showed signs of improvement with an increase in land transaction premium rates and total area sold, despite a decline in the number of second-hand homes listed for sale [23] - The monetary market experienced a net withdrawal, with a decrease in A-share turnover rates and daily transaction volumes [23] Public Utilities - Natural gas prices in China decreased, while electricity generation from key power plants showed a widening year-on-year decline [23]

Core Viewpoint - Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd. has seen a stock price increase of 5.03%, reaching 61.13 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 3.746 billion CNY and a market capitalization of 115.908 billion CNY as of November 25 [1] Company Overview - Huayou Cobalt, established on May 22, 2002, and listed on January 29, 2015, is located in Tongxiang Economic Development Zone, Zhejiang Province. The company specializes in the research and manufacturing of new energy lithium battery materials and cobalt new materials [1] - The revenue composition of Huayou Cobalt includes: nickel products (34.54%), cathode materials (16.28%), trading and others (15.55%), nickel intermediates (14.91%), copper products (5.95%), ternary precursors (5.25%), lithium products (4.18%), and cobalt products (3.33%) [1] Fund Holdings - One fund under Dongzheng Asset Management holds a significant position in Huayou Cobalt. The Dongfanghong Industrial Upgrade Mixed Fund (000619) held 1.3773 million shares in the third quarter, accounting for 3.02% of the fund's net value, ranking as the tenth largest holding. The estimated floating profit from this position is approximately 4.0355 million CNY [2] - The Dongfanghong Industrial Upgrade Mixed Fund (000619) was established on June 6, 2014, with a current scale of 3.007 billion CNY. Year-to-date returns are 20.57%, ranking 3442 out of 8136 in its category; the one-year return is 23.14%, ranking 3190 out of 8058; and since inception, the return is 326.2% [2] Fund Manager Information - The fund managers of Dongfanghong Industrial Upgrade Mixed Fund (000619) are Miao Yu and Wang Zhuo. Miao Yu has a tenure of 10 years and 290 days, managing assets totaling 11.576 billion CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 194.53% and the worst being -24.91% [3] - Wang Zhuo has a tenure of 2 years and 296 days, managing assets of 3.007 billion CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 24.18% and the worst being -11.61% [3]

Core Viewpoint - Jinling Mining (000655.SZ) currently does not have any cobalt products available [1] Company Summary - The company has communicated through its investor interaction platform regarding the absence of cobalt products [1]