Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Report's Core View - This week, the price of lithium carbonate futures contracts showed a range-bound trend. The 2511 contract closed at 72,880 yuan/ton, down 1,080 yuan/ton week-on-week, and the 2601 contract closed at 72,820 yuan/ton, down 1,220 yuan/ton week-on-week. The spot price increased by 100 yuan/ton to 73,600 yuan/ton [1]. - The supply of lithium ore increased, with the weekly output reaching a new high of 20,516 tons. The demand from the domestic energy storage market exceeded expectations, but the cathode materials maintained inventory accumulation. The weekly lithium carbonate inventory decreased to 136,800 tons, and the de-stocking speed slowed down for three consecutive weeks [2]. - In the future, it is expected that the price will maintain a range-bound trend. The de-stocking speed of lithium carbonate has slowed down, and the downstream inventory preparation for the National Day is almost over. However, the demand on the consumer electronics and energy storage sides is expected to remain strong [3]. - For single - sided trading, the price of the futures main contract is expected to run in the range of 70,000 - 76,000 yuan/ton. For cross - period trading, due to strong demand but increasing warehouse receipts, arbitrage is not recommended. For hedging, considering the significant price fluctuations caused by the change of lithium ore mining rights, it is recommended to increase the hedging ratio and use options for hedging [4][5][6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Data - The report presents various price data of lithium - related products, including the prices of lithium ore, lithium salts, electrolytes, positive electrode materials, and lithium batteries, as well as their week - on - week changes [9]. 3.2 Lithium Salt Upstream Supply - Side (Lithium Ore) - The shipment volume of Australian lithium ore increased significantly, with 230,000/441,000 tons shipped in the first four weeks of August and September respectively. The price of lithium ore was firm but not significantly stronger [2]. - The weekly production of lithium carbonate reached a new high of 20,516 tons. The disk profit and spot profit weakened, but the spot price remained strong. The shipment volume of lithium salts from Chile was 25,600/27,400 tons in August and September [2]. 3.3 Lithium Salt Mid - stream Consumption - Side (Lithium Salt Products) - The report provides multiple charts showing the price trends, production, inventory, and import - export volume of lithium carbonate, including battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, as well as the price difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate [10][11][12]. 3.4 Lithium Salt Downstream Consumption - Side (Lithium Batteries and Materials) - The report shows the apparent consumption, inventory available days, monthly production, and monthly operating rates of lithium - battery - related products such as lithium iron phosphate, ternary materials, and various types of lithium batteries through multiple charts [15][16][17].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing policy efforts to regulate energy consumption in the polysilicon sector, which is expected to accelerate the elimination of high-energy-consuming production capacities and optimize the supply chain [1][14][15] - The offshore wind power sector is projected to see significant growth, with an average annual installation capacity expected to exceed 20GW during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [2][18] - The hydrogen energy sector is witnessing substantial investment, with a notable project in Xinjiang valued at 44.5 billion yuan, focusing on green hydrogen production [3][20] - The report emphasizes the increasing interest in lithium iron phosphate batteries among international automakers, indicating a shift in the electric vehicle battery market [4][31][32] Summary by Sections 1. New Energy Generation - **Photovoltaics**: The National Standardization Administration has released draft standards for polysilicon energy consumption, aiming for stricter energy limits that are below the current industry average [1][14][15] - **Wind Power & Grid**: The report discusses the environmental impact assessment for a major offshore wind project in Qingdao, indicating a growing demand for subsea cables and foundations [2][16][18] - **Hydrogen & Energy Storage**: A significant green hydrogen project has been initiated, with a focus on integrating solar energy for hydrogen production [3][20][21] 2. New Energy Vehicles - **Lithium Iron Phosphate Supply**: A supply agreement has been established between Longpan Technology and CATL for lithium iron phosphate cathodes, indicating a strategic move towards enhancing profitability through international sales [4][31][32] 3. Price Dynamics in the Photovoltaic Industry - The report provides insights into the price fluctuations of polysilicon and solar cells, reflecting the current market trends and potential impacts on the supply chain [34][35] 4. Weekly News Highlights - The report summarizes key developments in the new energy sector, including strategic partnerships and significant project announcements that could influence market dynamics [37][41][43]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant growth and competitive landscape of the lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery industry in China, emphasizing the increasing market share of LFP batteries over ternary batteries due to their cost-effectiveness, safety, and evolving performance characteristics [1][3][7]. Group 1: Industry Overview - In Q1 2025, China's LFP cathode shipment reached 746,000 tons, marking an 88.9% year-on-year increase, driven primarily by demand in the power and energy storage sectors [1]. - The competitive landscape of the LFP cathode industry is characterized by a "one strong, many strong" structure, with Hunan Youneng leading the market with a share of 29.8%, followed by Wanrun New Energy, Defang Nano, Youshan Technology, and Guoxuan High-Tech, with a combined market share of 61.1% [1][3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The installation ratio of LFP batteries in China's power battery market reached 80.8% in Q1 2025, a 17 percentage point increase year-on-year, while the share of ternary batteries dropped to 19.2%, a decrease of 17 percentage points [3]. - The energy storage sector predominantly utilizes LFP batteries, with over 94% of installations being LFP, indicating a strong future demand for LFP technology [3][7]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The LFP cathode has evolved through four generations, with the latest generation achieving a powder density of approximately 2.60 g/cm³ and a sheet density of about 2.75 g/cm³, enhancing energy density and performance [4][6]. - Companies are focusing on high-density LFP products, with several firms like Hunan Youneng and Wanrun New Energy making significant advancements in production techniques and partnerships to enhance product offerings [6][7]. Group 4: Future Projections - The LFP cathode shipment in China is projected to reach 3.3 million tons in 2025, representing a 36.3% year-on-year growth, with expectations to reach 7.1 million tons by 2030, indicating a compound annual growth rate of 19.6% over the next six years [6][7].

Investment Ratings - Electric Equipment New Energy: Buy (Maintain) [1] - Public Utilities: Buy (Maintain) [1] - Environmental Protection: Buy (Maintain) [1] Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on investment opportunities in wind power, virtual power plants, nuclear fusion, and solid-state batteries, highlighting the potential for significant advancements and investments in these areas [3][4]. - The European Union's initiative to develop a fusion energy strategy is expected to enhance Europe's leadership in the ITER project and attract social investment, indicating a competitive edge in fusion technology development [3]. - The market remains focused on the "Document 136" and "Green Electricity Direct Connection," with a noted decline in overall electricity prices, particularly in photovoltaic sectors, while wind power prices remain stable [3]. Summary by Sections Electric Equipment New Energy - The report emphasizes the importance of high-quality assets in the context of "Document 136," recommending investments in wind power, virtual power plants, and energy storage [3][4]. - The wind power sector is expected to see a recovery in sales and profit margins due to improved output curves and the restructuring of new energy installation logic [4]. Public Utilities - The report notes stable coal prices, with domestic coal prices remaining unchanged at 618 CNY/ton as of June 13, 2025, while imported coal prices have slightly decreased [37]. - The focus on energy storage systems is highlighted, with several significant projects and tenders in the pipeline, indicating robust growth potential in this area [36]. Environmental Protection - The report suggests that the market may continue to speculate on controllable nuclear fusion and solid-state batteries, with a focus on domestic experimental projects and technological advancements in these fields [4]. - The report also indicates that the energy storage market is experiencing high growth, particularly in Europe and Southeast Asia, with a recommendation to monitor monthly data for household storage [4].

Core Viewpoint - Gotion Power Morocco plans to start the construction of a super battery factory in Kenitra, Morocco, with an initial capacity of 20GWh, aiming to expand to 40GWh in the future, primarily targeting the European market, especially Germany and France, which plan to ban fuel vehicles by 2035 [1][4]. Group 1: Project Details - The project will cover approximately 100 hectares and is expected to commence production in Q3 2026, creating 2,300 direct jobs and hundreds of indirect jobs in transportation, logistics, and supporting small businesses [1]. - The initial investment for the project is 12.8 billion dirhams (approximately 9.3 billion RMB), with plans to increase capacity to 100GWh and total investment reaching 65 billion dirhams (approximately 6.5 billion USD) [4]. Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - Gotion has received bulk orders from various European automakers, indicating strong market interest [2]. - A strategic investment agreement was signed between the Moroccan government and Gotion in June 2024, further solidifying the partnership [3]. - Gotion has also partnered with ACWA Power to develop a large wind power project in Morocco, which will provide stable and low-cost electricity to the battery factory [4]. Group 3: Supply Chain and Industry Collaboration - Morocco's rich phosphate resources, with proven reserves of 50 billion tons (73% of global reserves), will supply raw materials for lithium iron phosphate cathodes [4]. - Several Chinese battery material companies, including BTR, Zhongwei, and Tianci Materials, are also investing in Morocco, contributing to a complete supply chain from cathodes to anodes and electrolytes [5]. - The collaboration among domestic industry chain enterprises in Morocco accelerates supply chain construction, ensuring stable material supply for battery project implementation [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price compared to the benchmark index of over 20% [6][11]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 22.599 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 45.36%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.594 billion yuan, down 62.45% year-on-year. The decline in revenue is attributed to falling prices of upstream raw materials like lithium carbonate, which affected the prices of cathodes [4][6]. - The company leads the industry in single-ton net profit, with an estimated net profit of approximately 0.08 million yuan per ton in 2024, indicating strong profitability despite industry pressures [4]. - The company’s sales volume of lithium iron phosphate cathodes reached 710,600 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 40%, maintaining the top market share for five consecutive years [4][5]. - The company is actively pursuing a global strategy, with its first overseas production base in Spain, planning a capacity of 50,000 tons of lithium battery cathode materials [5]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 32.373 billion yuan, 39.205 billion yuan, and 44.640 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 43.25%, 21.10%, and 13.86% [6][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 1.849 billion yuan, 2.415 billion yuan, and 2.950 billion yuan for the same years, with significant growth rates of 211.49%, 30.63%, and 22.15% [6][8]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 0.78 yuan in 2024 to 3.90 yuan by 2027 [8].