Core Insights - The medical beauty industry is witnessing a competitive showdown between two leading companies, Juzhi Biotechnology and Huaxi Biotechnology, with contrasting financial performances in the first half of 2025 [1][8][14] - Juzhi Biotechnology reported a revenue of 3.113 billion RMB and a net profit of 1.182 billion RMB, achieving a net profit margin of 38%, while Huaxi Biotechnology experienced a 19.57% decline in revenue to 2.261 billion RMB and a 35.38% drop in net profit to 221 million RMB, marking its worst performance in seven years [1][8] Juzhi Biotechnology: Growth Drivers and Potential Concerns - Juzhi's growth is attributed to the synergy of products, channels, and brand, with professional skin care products accounting for 99.7% of total revenue [3][4] - The revenue from functional skin care products reached 2.410 billion RMB, a 24.2% increase year-on-year, primarily driven by the sales of key products [3][4] - Despite strong revenue growth, the company faces challenges such as a slight decrease in gross margin to 81.7% and increased sales and administrative expenses, leading to a rise in overall expense ratio to 38.8% [3][4][5] - The company heavily relies on its two main brands, Kefu Mei and Keli Jin, which together contribute 97.8% of revenue, raising concerns about its growth potential and risk exposure [5][6] Huaxi Biotechnology: Struggles and Strategic Reforms - Huaxi's performance has been under pressure, with a significant decline in its functional skin care segment, which accounts for over 40% of its business, down 34% [8][9] - The company has implemented drastic cost-cutting measures, reducing sales expenses by 39.86% in the second quarter, and has shifted its focus from scale to efficiency in brand promotion [9][10] - Huaxi has also streamlined its R&D efforts by eliminating 88 non-technical brand incubation projects and reallocating resources towards high-barrier products and medical terminal businesses [10][11] - Despite these reforms, Huaxi faces ongoing challenges, including a shrinking traditional hyaluronic acid market and the need for new high-end products to achieve significant sales [11][12] Industry Dynamics and Future Outlook - The competition between Juzhi and Huaxi reflects a broader shift in the medical beauty industry from marketing-driven growth to a focus on technological advancements and product innovation [14][15] - As regulatory scrutiny increases and consumer demand for genuine technological efficacy rises, both companies must adapt their strategies to maintain competitive advantages [14][15] - The outcome of this rivalry will serve as a critical case study for the industry, highlighting the importance of balancing marketing with substantial R&D investments to ensure long-term sustainability [15]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, driven by the performance of its brands and online sales channels [1][4]. Financial Performance - In 1H2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.11 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.5% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.18 billion yuan, up 20.2% year-on-year [1] - Adjusted net profit reached 1.21 billion yuan, reflecting a 17.4% increase compared to the previous year [1] Product Performance - The company's professional skincare products generated revenue of 3.10 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 22.5% [1] - Efficacy skincare products accounted for 2.41 billion yuan in revenue, growing by 24.2% and representing 77.4% of total revenue [1] - The medical dressings segment generated 690 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.1% [1] - The company's brands, 可复美 and 可丽金, reported revenues of 2.54 billion yuan and 500 million yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 22.7% and 26.9% [1][2] Sales Channels - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) online sales reached 1.82 billion yuan, up 13.3% year-on-year [2] - E-commerce platform sales surged to 390 million yuan, a significant increase of 133.6% [2] - Offline direct sales grew to 120 million yuan, reflecting a 74.3% increase [2] - The company has expanded its offline presence with 24 brand stores across various cities by the end of 1H2025 [3] Market Expansion - 可复美 has entered the Southeast Asian market by partnering with Watsons in Malaysia [3] - The company continues to enhance its online multi-platform strategy and refine operations, benefiting from the rapid expansion of beauty categories on platforms like JD.com [3] Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin slightly decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 81.7%, attributed to changes in product mix and a decline in the proportion of high-margin medical dressing revenue [3] - Sales, management, and R&D expense ratios were 34.0%, 2.7%, and 1.3%, respectively, with a decrease in sales expense ratio due to a higher proportion of low-cost channels [3] Future Outlook - The company anticipates accelerated growth in the second half of the year, driven by increased brand marketing efforts and the potential approval of new medical aesthetic products [4] - The adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 2.59 billion, 3.45 billion, and 4.48 billion yuan, respectively [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing steady growth in revenue and net profit, with a focus on cost control and the performance of key products and new launches [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 31.13 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.82 billion RMB, up 20.2% [1]. - The adjusted net profit for H1 2025 was 12.05 billion RMB, reflecting a 17.4% year-on-year growth [1]. - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 81.7%, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to changes in product mix and an increase in the proportion of skincare products [1]. Group 2: Cost Management - The company has effectively controlled expenses, with sales expense ratio, management expense ratio, and R&D expense ratio at 34%, 2.7%, and 1.3% respectively, showing a decrease of 1.1, an increase of 0.1, and a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was 38%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, but the gross sales difference improved year-on-year [1]. Group 3: Product Development and Market Performance - The company launched the upgraded Collagen Stick 2.0 under its main brand, which focuses on basal membrane barrier repair and achieved top sales during the 618 shopping festival [3]. - The company is focusing on new product launches, including the Rejuvenation Series and the Star Cream, which continue to perform well in the market [3]. - The DTC online direct sales channel and e-commerce platform sales saw significant growth, with revenue of 18.16 billion RMB and 3.91 billion RMB respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 13% and 134% [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][7] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 3.113 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.5%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.182 billion yuan, up 20.2% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 81.68%, a slight decrease of 0.72 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 37.99%, down 0.61 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The sales expense ratio improved by 1 percentage point year-on-year to 34.01%, while the management expense ratio increased by 0.07 percentage points to 2.65% [1] Revenue and Profit Growth - The company's brand "可复美" generated revenue of 2.54 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 22.7% [2] - The "可丽金" brand achieved revenue of 500 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 26.9% year-on-year [2] Channel Performance - Direct sales channels contributed 2.325 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 74.7% of total revenue, with DTC channels generating 1.816 billion yuan [3] - The company has expanded its offline presence, covering approximately 1,700 public hospitals and 3,000 private hospitals and clinics, along with over 130,000 pharmacy stores [3] Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.505 billion yuan, 3.102 billion yuan, and 3.732 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 21, 17, and 14 [4][6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the robust performance growth of the companies, with 巨子生物 achieving a revenue of RMB 3.11 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, and a net profit of RMB 1.18 billion, up 20.6% [1] - The revenue growth for 巨子生物 is attributed to deepening online and offline channels, enhancing operational capabilities, consolidating star products, upgrading core products, and strengthening brand marketing [1] - 可丽金 reported a sales revenue of RMB 502.7 million, a 26.9% increase compared to the same period in 2024, accounting for 16.1% of total revenue, driven by online channel expansion and successful upgrades of star products [2] Group 2 - 巨子生物 invested RMB 41 million in R&D, representing 1.3% of its revenue, with over 140 projects under research and 186 patents authorized or applied for [1] - 可丽金's products are available in approximately 1,700 public hospitals, 3,000 private hospitals and clinics, over 130,000 chain pharmacies, and around 6,000 CS/KA stores, utilizing various online platforms for sales and promotion [2] - Looking ahead to the second half of 2025, 可丽金 plans to strengthen its technological research and brand communication, ensuring sustainable and high-quality operational capabilities [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights the rapid development of the "New Oxygen Youth Clinic" and the significant changes in the shareholding structure of "Beautiful Garden" following the exit of major shareholder CPE [5][24] - The report emphasizes the importance of emotional consumption themes and recommends high-quality companies in high-growth sectors [8][29] Summary by Sections Retail Market Overview - The retail industry index closed at 2152.72 points, down 0.16%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index which rose by 1.40% [7][14] - The retail sector has seen a decline of 3.85% year-to-date [14][17] Industry Dynamics - CPE plans to sell approximately 51.33 million shares (about 21.77%) of "Beautiful Garden," leading to a significant change in the company's shareholding structure [5][24] - "New Oxygen" has transformed from an online platform to a chain of clinics, with a 551% year-on-year increase in revenue for its chain business in Q1 2025 [5][27] Investment Recommendations - Investment Theme 1: Focus on differentiated product capabilities and consumer insights in the gold and jewelry sector, recommending companies like "Old Shop Gold," "Chao Hong Ji," and "Zhou Dafu" [8][29] - Investment Theme 2: Emphasize retail companies that actively adapt to trends, recommending "Yonghui Supermarket" and "Aiying Room" [8][29] - Investment Theme 3: Highlight domestic beauty brands with strong differentiation, recommending "Mao Ge Ping," "Po Lai Ya," and "Shang Mei" [8][30] - Investment Theme 4: Focus on differentiated medical beauty product manufacturers, recommending "Ai Mei Ke" and "Ke Di-B" [8][30] Company-Specific Insights - "Zhou Dafu" reported a revenue of 896.56 million HKD for FY2025, down 17.5%, with a focus on improving product structure and store quality [36][37] - "Old Shop Gold" achieved a revenue of 8.506 billion CNY for FY2024, up 167.5%, with a strong brand expansion strategy [31][32] - "Chao Hong Ji" reported a revenue of 2.252 billion CNY in Q1 2025, up 25.4%, driven by differentiated product offerings [39][40] - "Zhou Da Sheng" faced revenue pressure with a 47.3% decline in Q1 2025, but future growth potential is anticipated through brand optimization [42]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on **Juzhibio** and its brand **Kefumei**, which operates in the **recombinant collagen protein** market, currently valued at approximately **400 billion RMB** [4][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Sales Impact from Public Relations Incident**: A recent incident involving a video by a chemist questioning the collagen content in Kefumei's products led to a significant drop in sales. The target growth rate for the 618 sales period was **60%**, but actual growth was only **20%-30%**. Sales on Douyin dropped by **50%** following the incident [2][22]. - **Long-term Market Potential**: Despite short-term setbacks, the long-term outlook for the recombinant collagen market remains positive, driven by market segmentation and the introduction of new collagen products (types IV and XVII) [1][4]. - **Product Performance**: The **Kefumei collagen stick** is a core product, with a pre-pandemic growth expectation of **50%**. It has a high repurchase rate of **70%-80%**, with new customer acquisition at nearly **50%** [1][6]. The **Focus Cream**, launched eight months ago, generated **200 million RMB** in revenue but has a low repurchase rate of **20%** due to its long improvement cycle [7][8]. - **Brand Loyalty and Customer Retention**: The brand enjoys a high level of recognition and loyalty among existing customers, with a repurchase rate of **40%** during key sales events, indicating strong customer satisfaction [12][11]. Additional Important Insights - **Channel Strategy**: Juzhibio is enhancing its online and offline channel operations, with plans to open **20 new direct stores** to improve customer engagement and service capabilities [16][14]. - **Market Competition**: The recombinant collagen market is becoming increasingly competitive, with several brands entering the space. However, the lack of regulatory barriers in the cosmetics sector allows for market expansion rather than intensified competition [24][25]. - **Impact of Pricing and Promotions**: The pricing strategy for the collagen stick has seen a **25%** increase in consumer feedback during the 618 period, indicating a shift in consumer perception and potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum [6][25]. - **Future Growth Opportunities**: The company is exploring new growth points through product bundling and marketing strategies, particularly for the Focus Cream, which is positioned as a secondary growth driver [23][19]. Conclusion - Juzhibio's long-term growth potential in the recombinant collagen market remains strong despite recent challenges. The company is actively working to enhance its product offerings, customer engagement strategies, and market positioning to navigate the competitive landscape and capitalize on future opportunities.

Core Viewpoint - Guojin Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Juzi Bio (02367), projecting EPS for 2025-2027 to be 2.40/2.93/3.54 HKD, with corresponding PE ratios of 23/19/16 times, indicating confidence in the company's product matrix and recovery in sales growth post-public sentiment impact [1][2]. Group 1 - Juzi Holding currently holds approximately 54.26% of the company's shares and plans to increase its stake by at least 200 million HKD within 3-6 months, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future [2]. - The company aims to enhance brand building, channel expansion, and regulatory approvals, focusing on increasing R&D investment for medical device products and meeting diverse market needs [2][3]. Group 2 - The company will intensify marketing efforts for its main brands and incubate new brands to elevate its skincare business, with notable products like collagen sticks and the focus cream showing promising growth [3]. - Juzi Bio plans to initiate commercialization preparations for three categories of medical devices, emphasizing market education and training to support its second growth curve [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the beauty and personal care industry, highlighting the continued growth of leading domestic brands [2]. Core Insights - The beauty and personal care sector has shown a divergence in performance, with leading domestic brands achieving good growth due to their competitive pricing, differentiated products, and effective online operations [1][10]. - The upcoming 618 shopping festival is expected to further catalyze growth for domestic brands, particularly in the cosmetics sector [1][6]. Summary by Sections Cosmetics - In 2024 and Q1 2025, leading domestic brands continued to show strong growth, with significant revenue increases reported: - Molybdenum Biological: +33% revenue, +32% net profit - Giant Biological: +57% revenue, +42% net profit - Upper Beauty: +62% revenue, +69% net profit [11][13]. - The overall performance of the cosmetics sector is characterized by a mix of growth and decline among various companies, with some like Proya showing resilience in profit despite revenue slowdowns [12][13]. - The report suggests focusing on brands with strong single-product strategies and innovative ingredients, such as Giant Biological and Molybdenum Biological, as well as those with strong brand positioning like Mao Geping [1][6]. Personal Care - The personal care segment has seen robust performance from leading domestic brands, with notable revenue growth in Q1 2025: - Baiya: +30% - Stable Medical: +36% - Hao Yue Care: +42% [6][12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of product upgrades and channel expansion for these brands, which have outperformed OEM companies [1][6]. - The ongoing trend of online expansion and the shift towards mid-to-high-end branding remains strong, with companies like Baiya and Stable Medical showing promising developments [6][12]. Market Trends - The overall market for cosmetics in early 2025 showed a slight increase in retail sales, with a year-on-year growth of 4.0% in the first four months [23]. - Online platforms like Tmall and Douyin have seen varying performance, with Douyin showing higher growth rates in certain categories compared to Tmall [26][29]. Key Brand Performance - Key brands have demonstrated significant growth in both Tmall and Douyin platforms, with notable increases in GMV for brands like Mao Geping and Kefu Mei [33]. - The report highlights the competitive landscape, with domestic brands increasingly capturing market share from international brands due to their pricing and innovative marketing strategies [1][6].

Group 1: Consumption Policy and Market Trends - The government is expected to implement policies to promote childbirth, with significant subsidies announced in Hohhot, which may catalyze demand in the maternal and infant sector, benefiting companies like Aiyingshi and Haiziwang [6][8] - The retail sector is seeing a shift towards quality supermarkets, driven by consumer demand for better product quality, with companies like Yonghui Supermarket and Chongqing Department Store expected to expand [7][8] - The "AI + Consumption" initiative is being emphasized, with potential growth in sectors like AI-integrated eyewear and e-commerce, highlighting companies such as Mingyue Optical and Ruoyuchen [2] Group 2: Company-Specific Developments - Aimeike plans to acquire REGEN Biotech, which could enhance its market position and valuation, as the acquisition is expected to provide significant growth opportunities in both domestic and international markets [3] - The 3.8 promotion event on platforms like Tmall and Douyin showed strong performance, with brands like Juzi and Marubi exceeding expectations, indicating a robust recovery in the beauty sector [4][5] - Gaode Beauty reported a 9.3% increase in net sales for 2024, with significant growth in its aesthetic injection segment, particularly in China, where new products are expected to drive further growth [6]