发展动力深度变革，新旧动能实现平稳接续转换。新时代以来，中国经济的供需两侧经历深刻 变革，供给侧从传统要素驱动向创新驱动转变，新技术推动新业态、新产业、新模式加速成 长；需求侧内需的主动力愈发强劲，"十四五"时期消费对经济增长的贡献率预计将达到63%左 右，投资的贡献率将降至28%以内，消费日益成为当前中国经济增长的重要动力。 创新成为第一动力，国家核心竞争力不断提升。"谁走好了科技创新这步先手棋，谁就能占领 先机、赢得优势。"中国在全球创新指数排名中从2012年的第34位升至2025年的第10位，成为 10多年来创新力提升最快的经济体之一。2024年中国基于专利合作条约申请的专利数量达 70160件，比排名第二的美国和排名第三的日本分别多30%和45%。欧盟委员会2025年7月发布 的创新综合指数显示，中国得分较2020年提高31.6个百分点，提升幅度显著高于美国（15.8个 百分点）和欧盟（10.8个百分点）。 党的二十届四中全会将于10月20日至23日在北京召开。9月30日起，《人民日报》连续推出8 篇"习近平经济思想指引下的中国经济专论"系列"钟才文"文章，围绕"经济形势怎么看、经济 工作怎么干"，深 ...

Group 1 - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session will be held in Beijing from October 20 to 23, signaling strong confidence in China's economic development under Xi Jinping's economic thought [1] - Since the 18th National Congress, China's economy has maintained strategic stability and high-quality development, achieving a GDP growth from 54 trillion yuan to nearly 135 trillion yuan from 2012 to 2024, with an average annual growth rate of 6% [2][3] - The transformation of development concepts has led to higher quality economic growth, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) indicating a shift towards a more balanced and sustainable growth model [2] Group 2 - The supply and demand sides of China's economy have undergone profound changes, with innovation becoming the primary driving force, and domestic consumption expected to contribute approximately 63% to economic growth during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [3][4] - China's global innovation index ranking has improved significantly, moving from 34th in 2012 to 10th in 2025, with a notable increase in patent applications [3][4] - The rural population's income growth has outpaced that of urban residents, with nearly 100 million rural poor lifted out of poverty, showcasing effective regional development strategies [4][5] Group 3 - China's openness has increased, with the country becoming a major trading partner for over 150 countries, maintaining the world's largest goods trade volume [5][6] - The economic structure has shifted, with the proportion of GDP from the service sector rising, indicating a transition towards a more service-oriented economy [6][7] - The contribution of consumption to economic growth is expected to rise, while investment's contribution is projected to decrease to below 28% [3][4] Group 4 - The Chinese economy is expected to provide new opportunities for many countries, enhancing global economic stability and cooperation [6][7] - The focus on improving people's livelihoods has led to increased public safety and overall living standards, with life expectancy projected to reach 79 years by 2024 [6][7] - The government continues to prioritize social welfare, with significant investments in education, healthcare, and social security systems [6][7] Group 5 - China's economic transformation presents significant investment opportunities, particularly in traditional industries transitioning to high-end, intelligent, and green production [16][17] - The country is fostering innovation and talent, with substantial investments in research and development, positioning itself as a leader in global technology [17][18] - The expansion of consumer markets and infrastructure development is expected to create vast opportunities for both domestic and foreign investors [18][19]

钟才文 9月30日至10月5日，《人民日报》连续6天刊发钟才文署名文章。全文如下： 9月30日 从全球视角看新时代中国经济的跨越与蝶变 党的十八大以来，中国特色社会主义进入新时代。面对国际形势风云变幻、地缘政治冲突加剧、世纪疫 情叠加世界经济衰退、全球贸易保护主义盛行，在以习近平同志为核心的党中央坚强领导下，在习近平 经济思想指引下，中国经济始终保持战略定力，坚持高质量发展不动摇，着力构建新发展格局，走出了 一条与世界其他主要经济体形成鲜明对比的稳健发展之路，在充满不确定的世界里，展现出强大韧性和 活力，实现了历史性的跨越和蝶变。 发展理念深刻转变，引领中国经济发展质量更高。新时代以来，我们党深刻总结国内外发展经验教训和 发展大势，创造性提出创新、协调、绿色、开放、共享的新发展理念，科学回答了中国发展面临的一系 列理论和实践问题，为新时代中国经济的跨越与蝶变提供了根本指引。2012年至2024年，中国国内生产 总值（GDP）从54万亿元增长到近135万亿元，年均增长6%，接近世界经济年均增速（3.1%）的两倍。 国际货币基金组织（IMF）2024年11月发布报告指出，中国经济正逐步向更高质量、更加平衡、更具可 ...

Economic Overview - The overall sentiment regarding China's economic situation is positive, with a belief in its resilience and potential for future growth [1] - Economic indicators such as growth, employment, prices, and international balance of payments are performing well, with GDP growth in the first half of the year significantly higher than most economies [1][3] - Exports have shown strong resilience, with an export growth rate of 6.9% in the first eight months, particularly in sectors like integrated circuits and new energy vehicles, which saw growth rates exceeding 20% [1] Innovation and Transformation - Innovation is highlighted as the primary driver of development, with significant advancements in key technologies and the emergence of notable tech products [2] - The transition from old to new economic drivers is accelerating, with high-tech manufacturing growth outpacing overall industrial growth [2] - The green and low-carbon transition is making progress, with a continued decrease in energy consumption per unit of GDP [2] Risk Management and Social Welfare - There are recognized risks in the current economic environment, including external uncertainties and domestic challenges such as weak consumer demand [3] - Despite these challenges, measures have been taken to safeguard livelihoods, with real disposable income growth for residents outpacing economic growth [3] - Social safety nets have been strengthened, with increases in pensions and healthcare subsidies, alongside efforts to ensure food and energy security [3] Sectoral Disparities - The process of industrial transformation is uneven, with some sectors and regions advancing more rapidly than others, leading to disparities in economic experiences [4] - Industries that effectively utilize technology, such as artificial intelligence, are seeing significant improvements in employee compensation compared to traditional sectors like real estate [4] - There is a call for policies to address these disparities and ensure broader access to economic benefits [4] Future Potential - China's economy still holds substantial potential in areas such as technology, labor, and capital, with a strong emphasis on research and development [5] - The complete and robust industrial system, along with significant consumer and investment potential, supports domestic circulation [5] - The leadership and institutional advantages of the socialist system are seen as critical for maintaining stable economic growth [5]

文/人民日报 钟才文 看经济要坚持两点论，用好辩证法。 总的看，我国经济形有分化、势在 向好、未来可期。 关于我国当前经济形势，主流是看好的，但也有唱衰的声音。我们认为，看经济要坚持两点论，用好辩证法。 总的看，我国经济形有分化、势在向好、 未来可期。 底盘很稳固，韧性在增强。 今年以来，在习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想特别是习近平经济思想的科学指引下，全国上下攻坚克难、努力拼搏，我 国经济运行稳中有进、好于预期，高质量发展取得新成效，宏观经济四大指标即经济增长、就业、物价和国际收支等表现良好。数据反映经济。上半年， 我国经济增速明显高于绝大部分经济体，仍是世界经济增长的稳定锚。就业和物价总体稳定。 今年年初，中美网友在社交平台上展开生活成本"大对账"，彰显我国商品和服务质优价廉，体现了人民群众生活水平的"货真价实"。外贸展现强大韧性， 出口竞争力持续提升，前8个月出口增速达6.9%，集成电路、新能源汽车等新动能产品出口增速超过20%。 社会信心增强，人民币汇率基本稳定，股市稳中有升，越来越多国际资本看好中国市场前景、"做多"中国资产。重点领域风险有力有效防范化解，守住了 不发生系统性风险的底线。中国经济是 ...

科学客观看待我国当前经济发展态势(习近平经济思想指引下的中国经济专论) 关于我国当前经济形势，主流是看好的，但也有唱衰的声音。我们认为，看经济要坚持两点论，用好辩 证法。总的看，我国经济形有分化、势在向好、未来可期。 底盘很稳固，韧性在增强。今年以来，在习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想特别是习近平经济思想的 科学指引下，全国上下攻坚克难、努力拼搏，我国经济运行稳中有进、好于预期，高质量发展取得新成 效，宏观经济四大指标即经济增长、就业、物价和国际收支等表现良好。数据反映经济。上半年，我国 经济增速明显高于绝大部分经济体，仍是世界经济增长的稳定锚。就业和物价总体稳定。今年年初，中 美网友在社交平台上展开生活成本"大对账"，彰显我国商品和服务质优价廉，体现了人民群众生活水平 的"货真价实"。外贸展现强大韧性，出口竞争力持续提升，前8个月出口增速达6.9%，集成电路、新能 源汽车等新动能产品出口增速超过20%。社会信心增强，人民币汇率基本稳定，股市稳中有升，越来越 多国际资本看好中国市场前景、"做多"中国资产。重点领域风险有力有效防范化解，守住了不发生系统 性风险的底线。中国经济是一片大海，而不是一个小池塘，能够经 ...

关于我国当前经济形势，主流是看好的，但也有唱衰的声音。我们认为，看经济要坚持两点论，用 好辩证法。总的看，我国经济形有分化、势在向好、未来可期。 前景有支撑，潜力在释放。展望未来，在科技、劳动力、资本等方面，我国经济发展仍然具有很大 潜力。我国研发人员总量连续多年保持世界第一，研发支出占国内生产总值的比重超过很多发达国家水 平，科技创新厚积薄发。人民勤劳智慧，企业敢闯敢拼，适应环境变化的能力强。我国产业体系完整、 配套能力强，消费和投资潜力巨大，供给和需求两侧能够支撑国内大循环。人类命运共同体理念得到国 际社会广泛认同，我国国际影响力、感召力、塑造力显著提升。最重要的是，我们有党的坚强领导和社 会主义制度集中力量办大事的优势，能够确保我国经济航船行稳致远。 《 人民日报 》（ 2025年10月02日 02 版） 相关链接： 从全球视角看新时代中国经济的跨越与蝶变（习近平经济思想指引下的中国经济专论） 底盘很稳固，韧性在增强。今年以来，在习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想特别是习近平经济思 想的科学指引下，全国上下攻坚克难、努力拼搏，我国经济运行稳中有进、好于预期，高质量发展取得 新成效，宏观经济四大指标即经济增 ...