Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the automotive industry, particularly focusing on the mid-to-high-end market and strong alpha companies [3][4]. Core Insights - The Chinese automotive market is transitioning between the third and fourth consumption eras, with a notable expansion in mid-to-large SUVs and personalized products, indicating untapped consumer potential [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of innovative supply to stimulate market demand, highlighting products like Yu7, Zun Jie S800, and upcoming models from Li Auto as key drivers [4]. - The report suggests continued attention to strong alpha manufacturers such as Li Auto, JAC, Xiaomi, and Seres, as well as their corresponding supply chain companies [4]. Industry Update - Retail sales of passenger cars reached 570,000 units in the 26th week of 2025, with a month-on-month decrease of 1.38%. Traditional energy vehicles sold approximately 274,000 units, down 7.43%, while new energy vehicles sold 296,000 units, up 4.96%, achieving a penetration rate of 51.93% [4]. - The automotive industry experienced a total transaction value of 425.645 billion yuan this week, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 5.01% [4]. - The automotive industry index rose by 0.10% this week, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index increased by 1.54%, indicating that the automotive sector's performance was below the broader market [11]. Market Conditions - The report notes that 123 automotive stocks rose while 159 fell this week, with the largest gainers being TaoTao Automotive, Hunan Tianyan, and Zhengyu Industrial, which saw increases of 29.8%, 21.0%, and 18.3%, respectively [15]. - Key events include the launch of the Xiaopeng G7, which exceeded pricing expectations and features advanced autonomous driving capabilities, and the opening of BYD's factory in Brazil, enhancing its presence in the Latin American market [5][8]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on domestic strong alpha manufacturers such as BYD, Geely, and Xiaopeng, as well as companies involved in the trend of smart technology, including Jianghuai Automobile and Seres [4]. - It also suggests monitoring state-owned enterprise reforms, particularly with SAIC Motor, and identifying component manufacturers with strong growth potential, such as Fuyao Glass and New Spring [4]. Key Events - Xiaopeng G7 was launched with a starting price of 195,800 yuan, featuring advanced AI capabilities and a significant increase in autonomous driving performance [5][41]. - BYD's new factory in Brazil aims for an annual production capacity of 150,000 vehicles, with plans to expand to 300,000 units, marking a significant step in its global strategy [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the automotive industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4]. Core Insights - The automotive industry saw a slight increase of 0.2% from June 29 to July 5, with various new energy vehicle manufacturers reporting significant sales growth [1][22]. - Notable performances include Leap Motor's delivery of 48,000 units in June, a year-on-year increase of over 138%, and Xiaopeng Motors' delivery of 35,000 units, a year-on-year surge of 224% [22]. - Changan Automobile plans to establish a factory in Europe to support its sales strategy, aiming to expand into at least 10 European markets by the end of 2025 [27]. - BYD launched its flagship luxury MPV, the M9, in Mexico, marking a significant step in its high-end new energy market strategy [23]. Market Performance Overview - The automotive sector's overall market performance was positive, with secondary segments like motorcycles and commercial vehicles showing notable increases of 5.1% and 1.5%, respectively [11]. - The report highlights that the automotive industry has a total of 259 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 4,051.4 billion [4]. Company-Specific Developments - Leap Motor's June deliveries reached 48,000 units, while Hongmeng Zhixing delivered 53,000 units, and the Wanjie brand delivered 45,000 units [22]. - The report emphasizes the strong sales potential of models like the Changan S800, which achieved over 6,500 pre-orders in its first month [23]. - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong sales performance or potential blockbuster vehicles, including BYD, Seres, Great Wall Motors, and Jianghuai Automobile [8]. Recent Vehicle Launches - Xiaopeng G7, a new AI smart family SUV, was launched with a price range of 195,800 to 225,800 yuan, featuring advanced AI capabilities [26]. - The report also notes the upcoming launches of new models from various manufacturers, including the i8 from Ideal Motors and the B01 from Leap Motor [21].

江淮汽车 20250701 摘要 江淮汽车与华为合作，旨在超豪华车市场（60 万以上）建立国内品牌地 位，该市场虽小但利润率高，盈亏平衡线较低。 尊界 S800 自 2025 年 5 月 30 日上市至 6 月 30 日，大定数量超 6,500 台，超出预期，定价约 100 万元，高端版本占比较高，显示其在高端市 场的潜力。 尊界品牌计划推出高端 MPV 和 SUV，有望填补中国高端 MPV 市场空白， 满足家用和商务需求，预计 2025 年底或 2026 年初推出，将带动销量 和利润增长。 江淮汽车在上海成立研发中心，组建 5,000 人团队，并在飞西建设超级 工厂，与华为深度融合供应链，使用华为系核心零部件，以保证尊界品 牌的高品质。 销售服务方面，江淮汽车对标迈巴赫等超豪华品牌，组建专业团队提供 销售和交付服务，提升品牌形象和服务质量。 江淮汽车通过与大众等企业合作及出口业务实现盈利，预计 2025- 2027 年归母净利润分别为 5.4 亿、8.037 亿和 16.06 亿元，对应 PE 分别为 169、89 和 57 倍。 随着尊界品牌贡献利润，江淮汽车整体估值有望被消化，从而带动公司 整体业绩提升 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月01日 公司传统业务近年成功把握出海趋势，未来有望全面合作华为。公司商用车 业务营收和产品销量在 2023/2024 年回升，核心产品线包含轻中重卡，其中 以轻卡产品为主；公司通过开拓海外市场，以及发力皮卡、多功能商用车， 逆势实现了商用车业务的增长。公司自主乘用车业务营收在 2024 年下滑， 但单车营收显著提升；自主乘用车积极出海，开辟新的市场，显著提升单车 价值；自主乘用车在国内优化产品结构、出清低效资产，提升运营效率。2025 年 6 月 17 日，公司与华为在合肥签署战略合作协议，深化战略合作伙伴关 系，公司传统业务未来有望全面得到赋能。 超豪华赛道是自主品牌蓝海市场。50 万元以上的乘用车市场，国产车（自主 品牌+合资品牌）和进口车都占据着重要的份额；但其中国产车除了宝马 X5 以外，几乎集中均价在 60 万元以下的豪车市场；价格中枢在 70 万元以上的 进口车有一定销量规模。超豪车赛道目前以进口车为核心，属于自主品牌蓝 海市场。鸿蒙智行凭借问界 M9 在高端豪车市场取得成功，进入超豪华赛道 具备一定优势。公司与华为合作的尊界系列首款车型 S800 于 2025 ...

2025 年 06 月 26 日 Robotaxi 开启试运营，人形机器人中长期信心 不改 表现 1M 3M 12M 汽车(申万) -1.4 -2.6 30.6 沪深 300 2.6 1.0 13.8 市场表现 20 30 40 50 (%) 汽车 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -20 相关研究 1、《汽车行业周报：人形机器人渠 道+应用场景加速落地，汽车供应链 迎来 60 天账期新变革》2025-06-16 2、《汽车行业周报：Figure 展示强 大物流分拣能力，尊界 S800 上市七 天大定突破 3,600 台》2025-06-10 3 、 《 汽 车 行 业 周 报 ： 特 斯 拉 Optimus2027 年将登上火星，人形机 器人实用性有望得到进一步验证》 2025-06-04 ▌中长期信心不改，依旧看好特斯拉人形机器人产 业链 历史角度来看，创新产品量产初始阶段往往困难重重。2017 年 7 月，马斯克承诺，Model 3 在年底前将达到每月生产 2 万辆，也就是周产能 5000 辆。 但三个月后，Model 3 仅生 产了 2425 台，产能受限于总装、油漆、车身、模块生产、包 ...

2025 年 06 月 23 日 行业研究 评级：推荐(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 戴畅 S0350523120004 daic@ghzq.com.cn 以旧换新"国补"将[Ta持ble续_T ， itle]理想汽车完成 2500 座 5C 超充站建设以及 i6 工信部产品公告 ——汽车行业周报 | 行业相对表现 | | | 2025/06/20 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 汽车 | | -6.8% | -10.8% | 24.3% | | 沪深 | 300 | -1.3% | -3.2% | 9.8% | 相关报告 《汽车行业周报：多家车企发布"60 天账期宣言"， 特斯拉暂定 6 月 22 日正式运营 Robotaxi（推荐）* 汽车*戴畅》——2025-06-15 《汽车行业周报：兵器装备集团汽车业务将成为独 立央企，小米集团举办 2025 投资者日（推荐）* 汽车*戴畅》——2025-06-09 《汽车行业专题报告：Robotaxi 景气度加速上行， 商业化拐点渐近（推荐）*汽车*胡惠民，戴畅》— — ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [80]. Core Insights - Jianghuai Automobile and Huawei have deepened their strategic partnership, focusing on the integration of Huawei's intelligent automotive solutions into Jianghuai's vehicle platforms, enhancing AI applications across various operational scenarios [3][13]. - The first flagship luxury electric sedan, the Zun Jie S800, has commenced mass production, with significant pre-order success, indicating strong market demand [4][15]. - The automotive sector has experienced a decline of 2.6% from June 16 to June 20, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.1 percentage points, although it ranks 4th among 31 sectors year-to-date with a 5.1% increase [16][23]. Summary by Sections Strategic Cooperation - Jianghuai and Huawei signed a strategic cooperation agreement on June 17, 2025, to enhance the application of intelligent automotive solutions, including AI-driven features and clean energy initiatives [3][13]. - The Zun Jie S800 project, a result of this collaboration, has a dedicated team of over 5,000 and a newly built factory equipped with advanced automation technology [4][14]. Market Performance - The automotive sector's performance from June 16 to June 20, 2025, showed a decline of 2.6%, while the CSI 300 index fell by only 0.5%, highlighting the sector's underperformance [16]. - Year-to-date, the automotive sector has increased by 5.1%, ranking 4th among all sectors [16]. Sales Data - From June 1 to June 15, 2025, retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 706,000 units, a 20% increase year-on-year, while wholesale sales were 714,000 units, up 24% year-on-year [6][36]. - New energy vehicle retail sales during the same period were 402,000 units, reflecting a 38% year-on-year growth [6][36]. Production and Delivery Plans - The Zun Jie S800 is set for initial deliveries on June 26, 2025, with plans for mass production to reach 3,000 units per month by September and 4,000 units by year-end [4][15].

中原期货研究所 晨会纪要 2025 第（109c）期 发布日期：2025-06-19 | 投资咨询业务资格 | | | --- | --- | | 证监发【2014】217 | 号 | | 中原期货研究所 | 0371-58620081 | | 0371-58620083 | | | 公司官方微信 | | 1 公司官方微信 中原期货研究所 | 化工 | 主力合约 | 2025/6/19 | 2025/6/18 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅/% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 8:00 | 15:00 | | | | | 焦煤 | 785.00 | 790.50 | -5.50 | -0.696 | | | 焦炭 | 1,364.00 | 1,375.00 | -11.0 | -0.80 | | | 天然橡胶 | 13,985.00 | 14,010.00 | -25.0 | -0.178 | | | 20号胶 | 12,290.00 | 12,330.00 | -40.0 | -0.324 | | | 塑料 | 7,428.00 | 7.418.00 | 1 ...

投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -14% 0% 14% 29% 43% 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 汽车 沪深300 相关研究报告 《整车竞争加剧，智驾有望构筑差异 化竞争力—行业周报》-2025.6.8 《限定场景 L4 热潮起，自动驾驶逻辑 持续演绎—行业点评报告》-2025.5.29 《关注智驾商业落地及优质主机厂和 零部件公司 — 汽 车 行 业 周 报 》 -2025.5.25 车企优化供应商支付账期，产业走向规范化 ——行业点评报告 汽车 2025 年 06 月 16 日 | 赵旭杨（分析师） | 徐剑峰（联系人） | 王镇涛（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | zhaoxuyang@kysec.cn | xujianfeng@kysec.cn | wangzhentao@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790523090002 | 证书编号：S0790123070014 | 证书编号：S0790124070021 | 本周观点：关注智驾商业落地及优质主机厂和零部件公司 （1）本周多家车企承诺优化供应商账期，利于行业逐步走向规范 ...

江淮汽车 20250612 摘要 尊界 S800 上市后市场反馈积极，大定数量超过预期，上市两周后，月 销量预估从最初的 1,000 辆上调至 1,500-2000 辆，反映市场对其高端 定位和科技配置的认可。 豪华车市场中，60 万以上车型年销量约为 27-28 万辆，轿车占约 9 万 辆。尊界 S800 定位为商务兼顾家用的高端车型，目标用户为追求稀缺 性、高端驾乘体验和先进科技配置的消费者。 豪华车市场可细分为城市家庭类、商务类、硬派类和驾控类。商务类豪 华车如奔驰 S 级和迈巴赫 S 级月销量在 1,000-1,500 辆之间，是评估尊 界 S800 早期销售的重要参考。 豪华车品牌稀缺性与销量表现密切相关，品牌通常只能在少数品类做到 优秀。尊界 S800 的用户群体主要来自奔驰 S 级、迈巴赫 S 级等车型的 升级换购用户，以及 M9 增换购客户。 江淮汽车与华为合作的鸿蒙智行模式中，华为负责产品定义、渠道和广 宣，江淮主导供应链管理和生产制造，双方共同承担研发责任，整车开 发费用巨大，价值创造不仅体现在代工费用，还包括供应链管理和整车 开发等环节的投入。 Q&A 尊界 S800 上市后的市场表现如 ...