1月7日，银华基金发布公告称，银华标普港股通低波红利交易型开放式指数证券投资基金将于1月12日 发售。 近年来，红利基金赛道不断升温，产品数量与管理规模双双扩容。在刚刚过去的2025年，公募机构加码 布局红利基金，全年新成立65只红利基金，合计募集规模突破300亿元，其中，有7只红利基金募集规模 在10亿元以上。从发行节奏来看，2025年公募机构对红利基金的布局呈现提速态势：相对于上半年新成 立26只产品，下半年新成立产品39只，体现出公募机构对红利策略的青睐。 作为以稳定分红为重要特征的产品，红利基金的积极分红行为受到投资者关注。1月7日，华泰柏瑞中证 红利低波ETF联接、中欧中证红利低波动100指数发起两只基金宣布进行2026年度第一次分红。从分红 方案来看，华泰柏瑞中证红利低波ETF联接A份额、C份额、I份额和Y份额，均按每10份份额分红0.05 元；中欧中证红利低波动100指数发起A份额和C份额，每10份份额分别分红0.031元、0.029元。 在受访业内人士看来，在中长期资金入市、无风险收益率走低等背景下，红利资产凭借高股息、分红稳 定等优势，已成为资产配置中不可或缺的重要标的。 展望2026年，上 ...

展望2026年，摩根资产管理中国副总经理兼投资总监杜猛指出，随着中国产业全球竞争力的提升，国际投资者正重新审视中国资产的配置价 值，中国资产的长期价值重估进程仍在持续，看好2026年市场结构性机会。他进一步强调，在当前市场分化格局下，判断优质资产应突破"新 旧行业"的传统框架，回归产业需求是否稳定增长以及现金流能否持续这一核心逻辑。 从细分投资风格来看，权益投资团队均衡成长组组长兼资深基金经理李博认为，2026年科技成长风格有望保持相对优势。一方面，中国经济处 在转型升级关键期，以科技为代表的新经济或是未来增长更快、更具活力的部分；另一方面，从产业趋势看，AI已进入实质性发展阶段，海 外科技巨头与国内大厂的持续资本开支，带动从能源基础设施到终端应用的全链条，产业发展趋势明确。在经济温和复苏与企业盈利回升的预 期下，运用"价值成长"策略，结合未来三年复合增速、合理估值水平及PEG等核心指标，仍有望筛选出较多增长潜力持续且估值合理的优质公 司。 权益均衡与价值组组长兼资深基金经理倪权生则从资产配置角度解析，认为随着经济基本面趋稳及部分行业格局优化，具备竞争优势的优质上 市公司有望提供更优的股东回报，使得股票资产的 ...

专题：2025基金行业年终大盘点：公募规模近36万亿元，主动权益重夺主场，"冠军基"揭榜倒计时 在岁末年初之际，2026年权益市场将如何演绎成为投资者关注的焦点。近日，摩根资产管理中国权益投 资团队在策略会上，以多元与国际视角，分享了对于2026年市场机会的研判。 摩根资产管理中国总经理王琼慧在开场致辞中表示，面对全球被动投资的浪潮，摩根资产管理始终坚持 发展主动投资能力，致力于打造"立足本土，与全球融会贯通"的投研平台。依托研究驱动、团队协作与 严谨的风险管理体系，公司持续为投资者提供高质量的产品与服务，挖掘长期价值。 银河证券数据显示，截至11月30日，摩根基金近1年、2年、3年及20年的主动股票投资管理能力均位列 行业前10（分别为6/130、6/127、8/122、7/29），其中近一年主动股票投资管理收益率超过50%。同时 近年来公司在指数及量化、固定收益、多资产解决方案、混合资产以及流动性管理等领域齐头并进，各 投资团队实力不断增强。 展望2026年，摩根资产管理中国副总经理兼投资总监杜猛指出，随着中国产业全球竞争力的提升，国际 投资者正重新审视中国资产的配置价值，中国资产的长期价值重估进程仍在持 ...

Core Insights - The total margin balance of ETFs in the two markets reached 121.29 billion yuan, an increase of 370 million yuan from the previous trading day, representing a 0.31% increase [1] - The financing balance of ETFs increased by 986 million yuan, while the margin short balance decreased by 616 million yuan [1] Summary by Category Total ETF Margin Balance - As of November 21, the total ETF margin balance was 1212.89 billion yuan, with a financing balance of 1142.66 billion yuan, reflecting a 0.87% increase from the previous day [1] - The Shenzhen market's ETF margin balance was 368.30 billion yuan, with a financing balance of 359.87 billion yuan, showing a 4.34% increase [1] - The Shanghai market's ETF margin balance was 844.59 billion yuan, with a financing balance of 782.79 billion yuan, indicating a 5.53 billion yuan increase [1] Notable ETFs by Financing Balance - The ETF with the highest financing balance was Huaan Gold ETF at 8.032 billion yuan, followed by E Fund Gold ETF and Huaxia Hang Seng ETF at 5.725 billion yuan and 4.025 billion yuan, respectively [2] - The ETFs with the largest increases in financing balance included Bosera CSI A500 ETF, E Fund SSE STAR Market New Energy ETF, and ChiNext ETF, with increases of 310.19%, 159.54%, and 109.53%, respectively [2] Margin Trading Activity - The top three ETFs for net financing purchases were E Fund ChiNext ETF, Huatai-PB SSE 300 ETF, and Guotai CSI All-Share Securities Company ETF, with net purchases of 329 million yuan, 186 million yuan, and 137 million yuan, respectively [5] - The ETFs with the highest net financing sales included Hang Seng Technology ETF, Bosera Convertible Bond ETF, and Huaan Gold ETF, with net sales of 93.07 million yuan, 83.99 million yuan, and 75.51 million yuan, respectively [4] Margin Short Balance Changes - The latest margin short balance was highest for Southern CSI 1000 ETF, Southern CSI 500 ETF, and Huaxia CSI 1000 ETF, with balances of 2.206 billion yuan, 2.119 billion yuan, and 402 million yuan, respectively [5] - The largest increases in margin short balance were seen in Huaxia Hang Seng Internet Technology ETF, Huaxia Hang Seng Technology ETF, and Photovoltaic 50, with increases of 883,700 yuan, 414,400 yuan, and 286,000 yuan, respectively [6]

Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of dividend-themed ETFs has been remarkable, with significant net inflows and growth in scale, indicating strong investor interest in high-dividend assets in a low-interest-rate environment [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 21, the net inflow for dividend-themed ETFs reached 6.318 billion yuan in November alone, with a total net inflow of 35.623 billion yuan since the beginning of the year, marking a 49.31% increase in scale to 166.171 billion yuan [1]. - The largest dividend-themed ETF, the Huatai-PB Fund's Low Volatility ETF, set a record of 26.603 billion yuan in scale on November 14, leading the current dividend trend [2]. - Other notable ETFs, including the Morgan Stanley S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF and the E Fund CSI Dividend ETF, also reached record sizes of 17.007 billion yuan and 11.166 billion yuan, respectively [2]. Group 2: Investment Insights - Analysts highlight that high-dividend assets offer both cash returns and potential for valuation recovery, making them attractive in a low-interest-rate environment [2][3]. - The average net value growth rate for Hong Kong dividend-themed ETFs has reached 18.41% this year, with a net inflow of 4.742 billion yuan in November [2]. - The overall valuation level of Hong Kong stocks enhances the allocation value of dividend-themed ETFs, particularly those with low volatility factors that select less volatile stocks [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Experts suggest that low-volatility dividend assets are a rare asset class in A-shares and can reduce portfolio volatility in the short term while being positively correlated with cash generation capacity in the long term [3]. - Investors are encouraged to pay attention to the tracking capabilities of fund managers in these products, especially given the potential for changes in the profitability and cash flow of underlying stocks affecting dividend payments [4].

Core Viewpoint - The issuance and inflow of dividend funds are increasing, reflecting a preference for stable equity assets among investors, with dividend funds expected to serve as a key entry point for conservative capital into the equity market [2][3]. Group 1: Fund Issuance and Inflow - Since the beginning of the fourth quarter, the scale of dividend funds has increased by 8 billion yuan, with 14 new products established [2]. - As of November 12, there has been a net subscription of 7.05 billion units for ETFs with "dividend" in their names, with the combined scale reaching 106.05 billion yuan, an increase of over 8 billion yuan from the end of the third quarter [3]. Group 2: Investor Preferences - Investors with lower risk tolerance are attracted to dividend strategies that focus on stable cash flow and continuous dividends, which can lower the psychological barrier for participating in the equity market [3]. - The demand for dividend funds is rising as they transition from being a supplementary option for "fixed income+" funds to becoming core assets capable of independently achieving return objectives [4]. Group 3: Institutional Demand - Institutions such as insurance and pension funds find dividend funds appealing due to their ability to match cash flow needs and control risks, as they offer a compounding effect and counter-cyclical attributes [4]. - The recent performance of the dividend sector has been positive, with the CSI Dividend Index rising over 6% as of November 13, benefiting from increased defensive demand amid market volatility [4]. Group 4: Future Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to maintain a balanced allocation, focusing on sectors with stable price increases, such as coal and solar energy, while also considering dividend assets for hedging against market fluctuations [5].

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing an upward trend with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking a 10-year high at 4030.40 points, leading to discussions on whether investors should switch sectors as the year-end approaches [1] Market Trends - The market is currently in a policy vacuum period, with strong sectors like semiconductors, AI, and chips showing lackluster performance recently [1] - Historical patterns indicate that value stocks such as banks, non-bank financials, and food and beverage sectors have a win rate exceeding 70% during the year-end period (November-December) [3] - The banking sector saw a 9.36% increase in December 2024, while technology sectors like computers and electronics gained a 15% increase in January 2023 [3] Sector Performance - The Consumer sector, particularly the liquor segment, has shown strong performance despite pressure from fundamentals after the third-quarter reports [1] - The China Securities Dividend Index tends to perform well before year-end, indicating a potential shift in market focus [1] Investment Strategies - Two key investment tracks are highlighted: 1. **Cyclical Recovery in Undervalued Industries**: Traditional industries are seeing improvements in supply-demand dynamics, with sectors like white goods, engineering machinery, and commercial vehicles being identified as having global competitive advantages [6] 2. **Defensive High-Dividend Strategies**: High-dividend assets are viewed as a stabilizing force in investment portfolios, particularly in uncertain market conditions [10] Fund Performance - The China Securities Major Consumer Index has nearly doubled in size since 2023, with the Huatai-PineBridge China Securities Major Consumer ETF leading with a scale exceeding 20 billion [7] - The demand for long-term dividend investments remains strong, driven by the ongoing asset shortage in the banking sector [11] Index and Fund Recommendations - The S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend Index and the Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility Index are recommended for investors seeking stable growth and risk diversification [12][13]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a surge in investment, with significant inflows from southbound funds and public funds, indicating strong market interest despite recent volatility [2][4][6] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index has shown a slight increase of 0.81% as of November 13, with a maximum drawdown of -8.17% and a maximum increase of 8.89% in the fourth quarter [3] - The Hang Seng Technology Index has seen a decline of 7.49% with a maximum drawdown exceeding 15% [3] - Both indices have outperformed major global markets with annual gains exceeding 33% [3] Group 2: Fund Inflows - Southbound funds have recorded a net inflow of 1.31 trillion HKD year-to-date, marking a historical high and a 60% increase compared to last year's total inflow of 807.87 billion HKD [4] - Public funds have significantly increased their holdings in Hong Kong stocks, reaching a market value of 1.36 trillion HKD by the end of Q3, a more than 40% increase from the previous quarter and a doubling from the same period last year [4][5] - Over half of the active equity funds have increased their allocation to Hong Kong stocks, with some funds raising their positions by over 20% in a single quarter [4] Group 3: ETF Trends - The trend of investing in Hong Kong stocks through ETFs has intensified, with 79 Hong Kong Stock Connect-themed ETFs seeing a net inflow of nearly 300 million HKD in the fourth quarter, totaling 2.184 billion HKD for the year [5] - The total size of these ETFs has surged to 352.87 billion HKD, a 3.4-fold increase from the end of last year [5] Group 4: Investment Preferences - Dividend-paying assets are gaining popularity, with significant net subscriptions to various dividend-focused ETFs [5] - There is a noticeable shift in capital flows, with previous high-growth sectors like technology and innovative pharmaceuticals experiencing a slowdown in inflows [5][9] Group 5: Market Dynamics - The alternating activity between A-shares and Hong Kong stocks is attributed to industry cycle rotations rather than significant capital shifts between the two markets [6] - The Hong Kong market is seen as attractive due to its valuation advantages, structural benefits, and the ongoing appeal of Chinese assets [6][7] Group 6: Growth and Value Considerations - The Hong Kong market offers a dual appeal for defensive and growth-oriented investments, with blue-chip stocks providing stable dividends and innovative sectors presenting growth opportunities [7][8] - Concerns about potential bubbles in growth assets are countered by the argument that recent price increases are corrections of previous undervaluations rather than speculative bubbles [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a significant influx of capital, with southbound funds and public funds increasing their investments, indicating a strong interest in the market despite recent volatility [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index has shown a "first decline then rise" pattern in Q4, with a cumulative increase of 0.81% as of November 13, and a maximum drawdown of -8.17% [3]. - The Hang Seng Technology Index has seen a decline of 7.49% during the same period, with a maximum drawdown exceeding 15% [3]. - Both indices have outperformed major global markets this year, with annual increases exceeding 33% [3]. Group 2: Capital Inflow - Southbound funds have net purchased 1.31 trillion HKD this year, a historical high, representing a more than 60% increase compared to last year's total inflow of approximately 807.87 billion HKD [3][4]. - The cumulative net purchase of southbound funds has surpassed 5 trillion HKD [3]. - Public funds have significantly increased their holdings in Hong Kong stocks, reaching an investment value of 1.36 trillion HKD by the end of Q3, a more than 40% increase from the previous quarter and a doubling from the same period last year [4]. Group 3: Fund Strategies - Over half of the active equity funds have increased their allocation to Hong Kong stocks, with notable increases in positions for several funds [5]. - The trend of using ETFs to invest in Hong Kong stocks has surged, with 79 Hong Kong Stock Connect-themed ETFs seeing a net inflow of nearly 300 million HKD in Q4 alone, and a total of 218.4 billion HKD for the year [5]. - The total scale of these ETFs has increased 3.4 times from 799.57 billion HKD at the end of last year to 3.5287 trillion HKD [5]. Group 4: Investment Preferences - Dividend-paying assets are increasingly favored, with specific ETFs attracting significant net subscriptions [6]. - There is a noticeable shift in capital flows, with reduced interest in previously popular sectors like technology and innovation drugs, indicating a rebalancing of investment styles [6]. Group 5: Market Dynamics - The alternating activity between A-shares and Hong Kong stocks is attributed to industry cycle rotations rather than significant capital shifts between the two markets [8]. - The Hong Kong market is seen as attractive due to its dual appeal for defensive and growth-oriented investments, with high dividend yields and innovative sectors [9]. - Concerns about potential bubbles in growth assets are tempered by the view that recent price increases are corrections of previously low valuations rather than speculative bubbles [10].

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a significant influx of capital, with southbound funds reaching a record net purchase of 1.31 trillion HKD this year, surpassing 5 trillion HKD in total net purchases historically [1][2] - Public fund holdings in Hong Kong stocks have also surged, reaching 1.36 trillion HKD by the end of Q3, marking a more than 40% increase from the previous quarter and doubling from the same period last year [2][3] - The market is witnessing a shift in investment preferences, with dividend-paying assets gaining popularity over technology stocks, indicating a potential change in investment themes [1][7] Fund Flows and Performance - The Hong Kong stock market has shown a "first decline, then rise" pattern in Q4, with the Hang Seng Index up 0.81% as of November 13, despite a maximum drawdown of 8.17% [2] - Southbound funds experienced a net outflow of 35.21 million HKD on November 13, ending a streak of 16 consecutive days of net buying, although the year-to-date net inflow remains at a historic high [2][3] - Public equity funds have increased their exposure to Hong Kong stocks, with over half of the 1980 products analyzed raising their allocations significantly [3][4] ETF Growth and Investment Trends - The total size of Hong Kong stock ETFs has exploded, increasing 3.4 times from 799.57 billion HKD at the end of last year to 3.53 trillion HKD, making them a key channel for capital allocation [4][5] - Dividend-themed ETFs are particularly popular, with significant net subscriptions recorded for various funds, indicating a strong preference for stable income-generating assets [5][6] Market Dynamics and Sector Rotation - The alternating activity between A-shares and Hong Kong stocks is attributed to industry cycle rotations rather than significant capital shifts between the two markets [6][7] - The current market environment allows for both defensive and growth-oriented investments, with blue-chip stocks offering high dividend yields and innovative sectors attracting substantial capital [7][8] - Concerns about potential bubbles in growth assets are countered by the argument that recent price increases are corrections from previously low valuations rather than speculative bubbles [7][8]