钇价的暴涨既是市场对稀缺资源的自然反应，也暴露了美国在战略资源保障体系中的盲目性与脆弱性。事实上，美国及其盟友早已察觉到稀土供应链的风 险，纷纷推出自救计划。美国国防部通过收购本土唯一稀土生产商MP Materials公司优先股成为其最大股东，助力该公司推进重稀土相关产能建设。但稀土 全球经济格局愈发复杂的当下，稀土金属市场已然成为风波聚焦的核心领域。尤其是被誉为"隐形顶梁柱"的钇，在短短一年内价格飙涨15倍，部分西方市场 涨幅更是高达4400%。这股剧烈的价格浪潮不仅让美国航空和半导体巨头陷入被动，更引发了国际社会对中国稀土出口管制政策深层意图的广泛探讨。 钇的独特地位是理解这场市场波动的核心切入点。钇并非日常生活中高频提及的元素，但其在高科技领域的战略价值无可替代。作为美国、日本等国家航空 航天、医疗设备、半导体等高端制造业的关键原料，钇的化合物在高温超导材料、LED照明器件及精准医疗设备中发挥着不可替代的作用。在军事领域，钇 更是航空发动机涡轮叶片的"耐高温护盾"，缺少这一核心材料，战斗机动力系统的正常运转将无从保障。 中国在全球氧化钇产能中的主导地位，叠加2025年4月实施的严格出口管制措施，直接引发 ...

2025年12月17日稀土市场行情： 根据包头稀土产品交易所显示，今日稀土主流产品价格保持弱稳。氧化镨钕均价57.70万元/吨，下跌 0.04万元/吨；金属镨钕均价69.89万元/吨，下跌0.34万元/吨；氧化镝均价140.10万元/吨，下跌0.04万元/ 吨；氧化铽均价621.17万元/吨，下跌3.00万元/吨。今日询价氧化钕、氧化镨、氧化镧铈、氧化铕、氧 化钇等产品成交信息较少，请慎重参考。目前，镨钕市场成交僵持，价格继续保持弱稳运行，下游采购 有限，商家观望持续。中重稀土市场保持少量刚需成交，近期氧化镝刚需采购增多，活跃度继续提升。 整体来看，稀土市场整体氛围依旧偏淡，近期稀土价格或继续保持弱稳走势，同时应提高对中重稀土市 场的关注。 作者：行情君 A股市场部分稀土永磁概念股行情表现（2025年12月17日） 代码名称最新价（元）涨跌幅（%）成交额002738中矿资源67.448.5824.86亿元600549厦门钨业 41.595.9331.08亿元002497雅化集团23.05.8415.03亿元301092争光股份37.174.562.70亿元002056横店东磁 19.463.954.94亿元 ...

涨疯了。 今年，战略稀土金属原料氧化钇的价格暴涨。 从今年初的每公斤6美元，到6月中旬涨到每公斤11美元。 到11月底，99.999%纯度的氧化钇欧洲到岸价暴涨至每公斤220到320美元。 在不到一年时间里，涨幅最高达到50倍！ 超九成的氧化钇靠进口的美国，这次要被卡脖子了吗？ 01 少但重要 钇（Yttrium）是一种银白色金属，原子序数是39，元素符号为Y。 | | 7 | | | | 6 | | 55 | | | 5 | | | | | 4 | | 19 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | (223) | fang 仿 | Fr | 132. 91 | 艳 | sè | Cs | | 85. 47 | 彻 | rú | Rb | | 39.1 | स | jiă | K | | 22. 99 | | | | | 88 | | | | 56 | | | | | | | | | | 20 | | | 2 ...

Industry Overview - The domestic market prices for gadolinium and europium remain stable, with gadolinium oxide priced at 185,000 yuan/ton, europium oxide at 180,000 yuan/ton, gadolinium iron alloy at 180,000 yuan/ton, and yttrium oxide at 49,000 yuan/ton [1] - The light rare earth market is experiencing price increases, but downstream demand is still in a stage of on-demand procurement, indicating that prices are likely to fluctuate in the short term [1] Global Market Dynamics - Global production of rare earth permanent magnets is still highly concentrated in China, and the release of overseas production capacity will take time. China remains the only country with a complete rare earth industrial chain [1] - The overall scale of the rare earth industry chain in the West is significantly lower than that of China, with notable shortcomings in their industrial chains [1] Supply and Demand Outlook - As of December, smelting plants may face mass shutdowns due to policy and raw material issues. In October, China's magnetic material exports increased by 16% year-on-year but decreased by 5% month-on-month [1] - Expectations for more relaxed export conditions in the future lead to a more optimistic outlook on demand. The combination of external export competition and ongoing supply-side reforms suggests a potential resonance in rare earth supply and demand, with expectations for continued valuation and performance growth in the rare earth sector [1] Company Insights - Jinli Permanent Magnet is identified as a leading supplier of high-performance rare earth permanent magnet materials [1] - Inlohua primarily engages in the production and sales of neodymium-iron-boron magnetic materials, micro-special motors, health equipment, and electronic acoustic products. Currently, the company's motors and reducers have limited applications in industrial robots [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that despite the perceived victory of the U.S. in the tariff agreement with China, underlying geopolitical tensions are being exacerbated, particularly regarding rare earth resources [1] - China is adhering to the bilateral agreement made in Kuala Lumpur, but the U.S. is still facing a rare earth crisis [1][5] - The price of rare earth elements, especially yttrium oxide, has surged dramatically, with a reported increase of 44 times, leading to significant cost pressures for U.S. companies [3][5] Group 2 - China has not violated any terms of the agreement, as there are no restrictions on price increases, which has led to a substantial rise in prices, particularly in yttrium oxide, which has increased by over 4400% [5] - The shift in pricing strategy by China is a response to Western criticism of low prices, indicating a potential end to the era of cheap Chinese goods [5][7] - The Chinese government is planning to enhance social welfare and change its economic development model, moving away from excessive competition, which may lead to a new era of increased export prices for Chinese goods [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the new materials industry [7]. Core Insights - The new materials sector underperformed the CSI 300 index in November 2025, with a decline of 4.03% compared to the CSI 300's decline of 2.70%, resulting in a 1.33 percentage point lag [7][11]. - The sector's trading volume was 22,734.18 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.55% decrease from the previous month [7]. - The semiconductor materials segment continues to show growth, with global semiconductor sales reaching $69.47 billion in September 2025, marking a 25.1% year-on-year increase [42][43]. - The report highlights significant growth in the export volume and value of industrial diamonds in October, with exports amounting to 1.39 million tons and a value of $19.7 million, representing a 16.91% year-on-year increase [51]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance Review - The new materials index's performance in November was weaker than the CSI 300, with a decline of 4.03% [11]. - Most stocks in the new materials sector experienced declines, with 113 out of 170 stocks falling [18]. - The sector's valuation decreased, with the new materials index's PE ratio at 28.96, down 6.81% from the previous month [22]. 2. Key Industry Data Tracking - In October, the CPI turned from decline to growth, increasing by 0.2% year-on-year, while the PPI's decline narrowed to 2.1% [30][31]. - Basic metal prices showed mixed results in November, with copper down 0.81% and tin up 3.54% [37]. - The global semiconductor market continues to grow, with a 25.1% year-on-year increase in sales [42]. - The export of superhard materials showed a significant increase in October, with a notable rise in export value [51]. 3. Industry Dynamics - The report notes the issuance of an action plan for the upgrade of the non-ferrous metal industry in Henan Province [1]. - The establishment of a diamond wafer factory by Diamond Foundry is highlighted as a significant development in the new materials sector [1].

Core Insights - The price of yttrium, a rare earth element widely used in military, aerospace, and semiconductor industries, has surged due to supply constraints, with prices rising from approximately $6 per kilogram to between $220 and $320 per kilogram, representing an increase of 3600% to 5300% [1] - Yttrium is essential for high-performance applications such as special alloys in jet engines and dielectric layers in semiconductor manufacturing [1] - The supply chain for yttrium is heavily reliant on imports from China, with over 90% of yttrium oxide imports to the U.S. coming from China in the past four years [1] Supply Chain and Market Dynamics - The U.S. aerospace industry is significantly affected by the yttrium supply shortage, leading to increased costs due to reliance on Chinese imports [1] - The semiconductor industry is also facing severe concerns regarding yttrium shortages, with one industry insider indicating the shortage's severity at "nine out of ten" [2] - Inventory levels in the yttrium market are highly variable, with reports of one trader's stock dropping from 200 tons to just 5 tons [2] Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that unless there is a significant increase in supply, yttrium prices are unlikely to decrease substantially [3] - Companies like MP Materials and Lynas Rare Earths are working to increase yttrium production, with MP Materials extracting yttrium from its Mountain Pass project and Lynas expanding capacity at its Mount Weld mine and processing plant in Malaysia [3] - ReElement Technologies plans to boost yttrium oxide production to 200 tons annually by December, with ambitions to double that output in the following year [3]

Group 1: Market Overview - The price of yttrium oxide (Y2O3) has surged dramatically, with global prices reaching approximately $126 per kilogram, marking an increase of nearly 1500% compared to the end of 2024, a historical high [1] - In Europe, yttrium oxide prices are around $270 per kilogram, reflecting a rise of over 4400% since the end of 2024 [1] - In China, yttrium oxide prices are approximately 49,000 yuan per ton, with an annual increase of about 16% to 28% [1] Group 2: Demand Drivers - The demand for light rare earths is primarily driven by the explosive growth in sectors such as new energy vehicles and wind power, coupled with supply constraints due to quotas and imports [2] - The penetration rate of permanent magnet synchronous motors in new energy vehicles has reached 95%, with significant demand for praseodymium and neodymium materials [2] - In October 2025, domestic new energy vehicle sales are projected to reach 980,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 32%, driving an additional demand of over 2,000 tons of praseodymium [2] - The wind power sector is also experiencing a surge, with a planned addition of 25 million kilowatts of new capacity in Q4, a 45% increase from Q3 [2] - Emerging fields like humanoid robots are expected to further boost demand, with a projected 200% year-on-year increase in light rare earth demand [2] Group 3: Supply Constraints - China's strict control over rare earth quotas significantly impacts supply, with a total mining control indicator of 145,000 tons for 2025, a mere 5% increase year-on-year [4] - The supply of praseodymium is estimated at only 90,000 tons against a projected demand of 120,000 tons for the year [4] - Recent political instability in Myanmar has led to a 15% decrease in rare earth imports, further tightening supply [5] - As of October 2025, domestic rare earth industry inventory has decreased by 38%, with major companies having only about one month of production capacity left [5] Group 4: Impact on Companies - Upstream rare earth resource companies are experiencing significant profit increases, with companies like Shenghe Resources reporting a net profit growth of 748.07% in the first three quarters of 2025 [6] - Midstream processing companies face cost pressures due to rising raw material prices, with some smaller firms struggling to pass on costs, leading to reduced profit margins [6] - Downstream recycling companies are investing in technology and projects, with companies like GreeenMei achieving a 95.2% recovery rate in their recycling processes [7] - The recycling sector is expected to alleviate 15% of the rare earth supply pressure, with future projections indicating an increase to 25% [7]

Core Insights - The price of yttrium, a critical rare earth element, has surged nearly 1500% this year due to severe supply imbalances, highlighting the fragility of global supply chains for key materials [1][4] - Yttrium's price has reached a historical high of $126 per kilogram, while projections for the end of 2024 suggest prices may drop to below $8 [1] - The rare earth market is experiencing significant supply constraints, with ongoing trade tensions between major economies exacerbating the situation [4] Supply Chain Dynamics - The reliance on a single source for over 90% of U.S. yttrium imports has rendered the supply chain particularly vulnerable to disruptions [4] - Western producers are ramping up efforts to address supply shortages, but short-term solutions are unlikely to fill the gap [4] - MP Materials Corp., supported by the Pentagon, is extracting yttrium at its Mountain Pass project but is currently stockpiling materials for future expansion rather than supplying the market [4] Production Expansion Efforts - Lynas Rare Earths Ltd. in Australia is increasing production capacity at its Mount Weld mine and processing plant in Malaysia to boost yttrium output [5] - The establishment of a diversified rare earth supply chain is expected to take time, indicating ongoing challenges in meeting demand [5]

Core Viewpoint - The price of yttrium oxide has surged to $126 per kilogram, with projections indicating it will drop to less than $8 by the end of 2024 [1] Group 1: Price Trends - Yttrium oxide price has increased significantly, reaching $126 per kilogram [1] - Forecasts suggest a dramatic decline in price, expected to fall below $8 by the end of 2024 [1] Group 2: Applications - Yttrium is utilized in various sectors, including medical technology, aerospace equipment, ceramics, lasers, and superconductors [1]