Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The report highlights that cost reduction and incremental growth are offsetting the decline in coal prices, leading to stable performance and potential for increased dividends [5] - The company reported a significant decrease in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue at 744.4 billion yuan, down 19.9% year-on-year, and net profit at 77.0 billion yuan, down 21.3% year-on-year [6] - The coal division's net profit decreased by 32.6% year-on-year due to falling coal prices, despite a slight increase in production and sales volume [6] - The company is expected to maintain a high proportion of long-term contracts, which stabilizes performance amid market fluctuations [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a coal production of 67.34 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, with sales volume also increasing by 1.4% [6] - The average selling price of self-produced coal was 470 yuan per ton, down 19.5% year-on-year [6] - The company managed to reduce its unit sales cost to 263 yuan per ton, a decrease of 10.2% year-on-year [6] Business Segments - The chemical business faced challenges due to maintenance of the olefin unit, but the decline in coal prices helped reduce costs for methanol and urea [6] - The company is progressing with new projects, including coal and electricity integration and renewable energy initiatives, which are expected to contribute to future growth [7] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 15.4 billion, 16.8 billion, and 17.96 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding growth rates of -20.3%, +9.2%, and +6.8% [7] - The current price-to-earnings ratio is projected to be 10.6, 9.7, and 9.0 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7]

Economic Outlook - Several foreign institutions have raised their economic growth forecasts and stock index targets for China, indicating optimism about the Chinese economy and assets [2] - Morgan Stanley has increased its target for Chinese stock indices, while Goldman Sachs maintains an overweight stance on Chinese stocks due to the strengthening of the RMB against the USD [2] - The positive outlook is supported by improved corporate earnings prospects and relatively low valuations of Chinese assets, enhancing their long-term appeal to global investors [2] Macro Economy - From January to April, the value added of large and medium-sized industrial enterprises in China grew by 8.2% year-on-year, with total operating income reaching 25.8 trillion yuan [3] - The equipment manufacturing and raw materials manufacturing sectors have seen significant demand growth due to technological upgrades, with 28 out of 31 manufacturing categories experiencing growth [3] - The average number of participants in new stock subscriptions (excluding the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and Beijing Stock Exchange) has approached 12 million this year, significantly higher than in 2023 and 2024 [4] Investment News - The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority are actively promoting the interconnectivity of rapid payment systems between the two regions, with some services expected to launch mid-year [4] - The trend of mainland companies listing in Hong Kong is gaining momentum, with 28 mainland companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange this year, raising a total of 561 million HKD in May alone, the highest monthly total since March 2021 [4] - Central state-owned enterprises (SOEs) are shifting from policy advocacy to substantive implementation of market value management, with expectations for improved valuations and market confidence as assessment mechanisms are refined [4][5] Company Movements - Atour Group has issued a statement regarding an incident at its Hangzhou hotel, attributing the issue to a mistake by the laundry supplier, and has temporarily closed the affected store for comprehensive rectification [6] - Zhongying Electronics' controlling shareholder is planning a change in company control, leading to a suspension of its stock [6] - Ruoyuchen's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 4,768,071 shares, not exceeding 3% of the total share capital [7] - Wuliangye has introduced younger-targeted products and plans to accelerate the development of such products based on market conditions [8]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5][80]. Core Views - The company is a state-owned coal giant with stable profitability and growth driven by joint ventures, highlighting its value in dividends [5][10]. - The company has a robust coal resource base, ranking third in total coal reserves and second in recoverable reserves among listed coal companies [7][29]. - The company is actively expanding its coal chemical business, which is expected to contribute to new growth drivers [7][67]. - The company has a strong cash flow and a low debt ratio, indicating potential for increased dividends in the future [10][76]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price of the company's stock is 10.71 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 142 billion yuan [3]. Financial Data - The company’s revenue for 2023 is projected at 192.97 billion yuan, with a net profit of 19.53 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.09% [6]. - The company’s debt-to-asset ratio stands at 44.80% [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 15.40 billion, 16.82 billion, and 17.96 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.2, 8.4, and 7.9 [8][72]. Investment Logic - The company benefits from high-quality coal resources and a high proportion of long-term contracts, ensuring stable coal prices and low sales costs [10][75]. - The company is diversifying into downstream industries, forming a coal-chemical integrated growth model [10][75]. Dividend Policy - The company has maintained a stable dividend payout ratio of around 30% from 2017 to 2022, with plans to increase dividends in 2023 and 2024 [10][76].

Summary of Baosteel Co., Ltd. Conference Call Industry Overview - The steel industry experienced significant losses in the first half of 2024, but saw a rebound at the end of September due to policy drivers. However, it faced a weak supply-demand situation again by year-end [2][4] - In the first four months of 2025, industry profits showed some recovery, but the second half of Q2 is expected to face downward pressure on steel prices due to insufficient demand and trade war tariffs [2][4] Company Performance - Baosteel Co., Ltd. reported a total profit of 9.3 billion yuan for the entire year of 2024, with a profit of 3.29 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing an 18% year-on-year increase, primarily due to lower raw material costs [2][5] - The company maintained its leading position in the domestic industry despite a challenging environment [4][21] Strategic Initiatives - Baosteel has increased its stake in Maanshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. to enhance product competitiveness and sales capabilities, transitioning from a 1+1+n strategy to a 2+2+m strategy focusing on automotive sheets, silicon steel, and high-end long products [2][6] - The Baowu Group aims to add nearly 30 million tons of new capacity through investments in Maanshan (16 million tons), Rizhao (9 million tons), and a joint venture in Saudi Arabia (planned 2.5 million tons DRI capacity) [2][7][8] Product Focus - The choice to focus on thick plates is driven by local demand in Saudi Arabia for marine engineering and shipbuilding, aligning with the country's 2030 vision for large-scale infrastructure development [8] - Baosteel's product lines include automotive and silicon steel, with good order intake in Q2 2025, although competition in low-grade silicon steel remains intense [10][11] Market Challenges - The steel market has been characterized by weak demand and price fluctuations, with cold-rolled product prices peaking in Q1 2025 before declining due to demand exhaustion and trade war impacts [12][19] - The company is actively responding to international tariffs and trade conflicts by exploring new markets and adjusting export structures to mitigate risks [14][21] Financial Outlook - Capital expenditures are expected to decrease significantly from 2026 onwards, potentially enhancing the company's ability to increase dividends [15][16] - The company aims to optimize existing capacity rather than expand further, focusing on improving efficiency and profitability [9][20] Collaboration and Competition - Baosteel is addressing competition with Maanshan by enhancing collaboration in marketing and sales, aiming to reduce reliance on intermediaries and improve overall profitability [17] - The company remains vigilant regarding international trade policies and their potential impacts on sales and market dynamics [13][14] Conclusion - Baosteel Co., Ltd. is navigating a challenging steel market with strategic investments, a focus on product optimization, and proactive measures to mitigate external risks, while maintaining profitability and preparing for future growth opportunities [21]

Group 1 - The central government aims to establish a modern enterprise system suitable for China's conditions within approximately five years, emphasizing the integrity obligations of controlling shareholders and encouraging the introduction of institutional investors with over 5% shareholding as active shareholders in listed companies [1] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) previously proposed incorporating market value management into the performance assessment of central enterprise leaders, leading to a significant increase in the market value of state-owned enterprises [1] - Central enterprises are crucial in key industries such as finance, electronics, biomedicine, power equipment, national defense, and public utilities, and their performance is closely correlated with major stock indices [1] Group 2 - The "Kotevaluation" concept focuses on strategic emerging industries and advanced technologies that can transform into future industries, emphasizing high innovation, low valuation, and international competitiveness, particularly in critical areas like semiconductors and biotechnology [2] - China National Chemical Equipment Corporation focuses on chemical equipment and rubber machinery as a central enterprise [3] - CITIC Heavy Industries is a leading company in mining machinery and is developing special robots as a second growth curve [4]

关税冲击也延伸出了许多投资机会，从自主可控角度来看，经过这么多年的建设，从六代机的试飞，以 及民用飞机的国产替代来看，目前国内军工行业自主可控的水平是非常高的。从军贸角度来看，在特朗 普上台"脱钩退群"之后，可能推动中国成体系的先进武器装备会成为其他国家优先考虑的选项，未来军 贸方面也会有比较大的空间。从军转民角度来看，军转民是历史的趋势，一方面军工的研发在基础的领 域和前沿的技术中都有比较好的能力，另一方面产业链中军民企业是相互融合渗透的，带来了许多领域 的机会。从央企市值管理角度来看，市值管理不仅使得投资者可以及时了解板块的基本面，还可以改善 企业的经营能力，这对军工板块有着积极正面的影响。 政策面来看，首先政策把不确定性给消除了，今年"十四五"规划在国防军事领域的建设必须完成，这是 一颗定心丸。此外近年的政府工作报告中提到了低空经济、深海经济这些热词，这些领域的建设周期、 对国民经济的贡献和应用领域的拓展都是随着技术发展逐步展开的，会带来中长期的利好影响。从投资 角度来看，投资者其实还是要坚信政策对于军工行业的支持，尤其是在错综复杂的国际环境下，我们对 国防军事的建设要坚定不移地看好。 基本面方面，从行 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" investment rating for the company [4][9]. Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with operating income at 189.40 billion yuan, down 1.85% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 19.32 billion yuan, down 1.08% year-on-year [4]. - The coal business remains the primary revenue driver, accounting for 84.51% of total revenue, with both production and sales increasing despite a decrease in average selling prices [5][6]. - The company is focused on a full industry chain layout in coal, coal power, coal chemical, and new energy, which is expected to stabilize operational performance and enhance valuation [8]. Market Performance - As of March 25, 2025, the company's closing price was 10.49 yuan, with a market capitalization of 1390.83 billion yuan [2]. - The stock reached a yearly high of 15.92 yuan and a low of 9.77 yuan [2]. Financial Data - Basic earnings per share for 2024 were reported at 1.46 yuan, with a return on equity of 12.98% [3]. - The company’s total assets as of the end of 2024 were 3579.65 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.5% [4]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was 341.40 billion yuan, down 20.5% year-on-year [4]. Future Projections - Expected earnings per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 1.38 yuan, 1.55 yuan, and 1.77 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 7.6, 6.8, and 5.9 [9][11]. - Revenue is expected to grow gradually, with projections of 192.10 billion yuan in 2025, 199.45 billion yuan in 2026, and 211.90 billion yuan in 2027 [11][15].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (首次) [4] Core Views - The company is a leading player in infrastructure and construction, benefiting from policy support and overseas market expansion [4][7] - The company has shown steady growth in revenue and profit, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.8% in revenue and 10.3% in net profit from 2013 to 2023 [7] - The company is expected to maintain robust growth driven by fiscal expansion and the Belt and Road Initiative [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2022 was 2,055,052 million RMB, with a projected increase to 2,371,844 million RMB by 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 3.59% [5] - The net profit for 2022 was 50,950 million RMB, expected to rise to 54,620 million RMB by 2025, with a growth rate of 4.33% [5] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 1.23 RMB in 2022 to 1.32 RMB in 2025 [5] Business Segments - The construction segment has seen a new contract value of 4.08 trillion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [7] - The infrastructure business has benefited from fiscal expansion, with a revenue growth of 11.7% in the first half of 2024 [7] - The real estate development segment is strategically acquiring quality land in first-tier cities, with a leading sales amount in the industry [7] Market Position and Strategy - The company is ranked 14th in the Fortune Global 500 and operates in over 100 countries, showcasing its global reach [7] - The company has a strong focus on high-end construction, particularly in industrial facilities, which has seen a significant increase in demand [7] - The company has maintained a consistent dividend policy, with a dividend payout ratio of 20.82% in 2023, ranking 5th among 164 companies in the industry [7] Valuation and Future Outlook - The company is expected to have a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 4.3 in 2024, which is lower than the average P/E of 5.93 for comparable companies [7] - The ongoing international expansion and participation in the Belt and Road Initiative are expected to provide substantial long-term growth opportunities [7]