2025 年 6 月 23 日 星期一 每日大市点评 港股大盘上周波幅扩大，恒生指数全周下跌了 1.5%，收报 23,530 点。恒生科指全周下跌 2.0%，收报 5,133 点。尽管上周 五因富时罗素指数季检导致大市成交增加至 2,224 亿港元，但日均成交金额按周下跌 17.6%至 2,112 亿港元，反映人气开 始减弱。港股 IPO 市场延续火热，美元指数也处于相对弱势水平，但港股日均成交金额自 5 月以来却没有增加，值得警 惕。不过，港股通全周净流入 162 亿港元，继续支撑港股。上周仅信息科技指数能逆市上升，而医疗保健、能源及材料分 类指数大跌 7.8%、4.4%及 3.2%。 宁德(3750 HK)和恒瑞(1276 HK)上市初期的表现一度燃点 A+H 的 IPO 情绪，多只新股接连获得大幅超额申购，随着海天 味业(3288 HK)首两天上市表现差强人意，而三花智控(2050 HK)于上周五暗盘破发，市场对 A+H IPO 的信心可能会有所动 摇。当前 AH 溢价指数已跌至近五年低位，如果优质龙头 H 股新股上市初期表现也未如理想，可能会影响市场对 AH 溢价能 否再收窄的预期。前期升幅凌厉的生物 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhou Liufu Jewelry Co., Ltd. successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising funds to expand its sales network and enhance product design and brand building [1][2] Group 1: IPO Details - Zhou Liufu plans to globally offer 46.808 million shares at a price of HKD 24.00 per share, with 4.6808 million shares available in Hong Kong and 42.1272 million shares internationally [1] - The company attracted 8 cornerstone investors who subscribed approximately HKD 573 million, accounting for 51.04% of the total shares offered [1][2] Group 2: Market Position and Financial Performance - As of December 31, 2024, Zhou Liufu ranks sixth in total commodity transaction volume and tenth in revenue from gold jewelry products among all gold jewelry companies in China, with market shares of 6.2% and 1% respectively [2] - Revenue projections for 2022 to 2024 are CNY 3.102 billion, CNY 5.15 billion, and CNY 5.718 billion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.8%; net profit for the same period is projected at CNY 575 million, CNY 660 million, and CNY 706 million, with a CAGR of 10.8% [2] - By the end of 2024, the company is expected to operate 4,129 stores, with 4,038 being franchise stores, indicating a franchise store ratio of 97.80% [2] Group 3: Business Model and Challenges - Zhou Liufu's revenue from franchise stores comes from product sales and service fees, with product sales revenue projected at CNY 843 million, CNY 2.02 billion, and CNY 2.041 billion from 2022 to 2024, and service fee revenue at CNY 798 million, CNY 833 million, and CNY 849 million [3] - The company's gross margin has decreased from 38.7% in 2022 to 25.9% in 2024, attributed to the increasing proportion of sales from franchise stores and a decline in service fee revenue [3] - Industry experts suggest that Zhou Liufu needs to enhance consumer loyalty, improve supply chain efficiency, and focus on emotional branding to compete effectively against established brands like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Feng Xiang [2][3]

| 30.000 | | | 27.376(CNY) | | | | | 周六福 立即 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | +6.000 +25.00% | | | | | 6168 交易 | | HKEX HKD 16:08:09 | | | | | | | | 1 . . + | | 载 | 95.99% 357 | | | 8764 | 交生 | 0.00% 120日 | | 0.00% | | 菜五 买入 | | 30.250 | - | - ) | 5日 | 0.00% 250日 | | 0.00% | | 空内 | | 30.200 | 4500 | 6) | 20日 | | 0.00% 52周高 | 0.00 | | 一 | | 30.150 | 3500 | 5) | 60日 | | 0.00% 52周低 | 0.00 | | 三 | | 30.100 | 700 | 3) | | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | | 或 | | 30.050 | 800 | 1) | EPS | 1.57 ...

Group 1 - Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd. successfully completed its initial public offering on June 26, 2025, raising approximately HKD 1.292 billion prior to the exercise of the over-allotment option [2][4] - The company has a nationwide sales network with a total of 4,129 stores as of December 31, 2024, covering 31 provinces and 305 prefecture-level cities in China, along with four franchise stores overseas [5][6] - Zhou Liu Fu has maintained its position as one of the top five brands in the Chinese jewelry market for eight consecutive years from 2017 to 2024, based on the number of stores [5][6] Group 2 - In the year ending December 31, 2024, Zhou Liu Fu ranked sixth and tenth among all gold jewelry companies in China in terms of gross merchandise value and revenue from gold jewelry products, respectively [5][6] - Zhong Lun Law Firm provided comprehensive legal services for Zhou Liu Fu's listing process, which was highly recognized by the client and stakeholders [3][4]

年内已有40只港股上市。 在港股市场持续的打新赚钱效应下，投资者对新股的认购热情极为高涨，不少个股在公开发售中都获得了数百倍的认购，国际发售也都是 10倍以上，这也表明不论是散户还是机构投资者，都对打新充满热情和期待。 本次上市的周六福和圣贝拉也获得了不少投资者的青睐和"抢筹"。 招股书显示，周六福是一家中国珠宝公司，通过线下门店和在线销售渠道提供各种珠宝产品，主要为黄金珠宝产品及钻石镶嵌珠宝。根据 弗若斯特沙利文的资料，以中国门店数目计，周六福于2017年至2024年连续八年维持于中国珠宝市场前五大品牌之列。截至2024年12月 31日止年度，以商品交易总额及来自黄金珠宝产品的收入计，周六福在中国所有黄金珠宝公司中分别排名第六及第十，市场占有率分别为 6.2%及1.0%。 周六福公布的配发结果显示，公司全球发售5382.92万股H股股份，香港公开发售占43.48%，国际发售占56.52%。每股发售价24港元， 全球发售净筹约11.93亿港元。预期股份于2025年6月26日开始在联交所买卖。 6月26日，港股市场再次迎来3只新股上市，打新的赚钱效应仍在持续。 | | 30.000 +6.000 +25.00% ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhou Li Fu has successfully completed its long-awaited IPO journey, officially listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking a significant milestone for the company founded by the Li brothers [1][3]. Company Overview - Zhou Li Fu, established in 2004, is a prominent Chinese jewelry brand engaged in the research, design, production, and sales of jewelry, operating through both offline stores and online channels [5][9]. - The company originated from the Shenzhen Luohu area, known for its concentration of jewelry businesses, and has grown to become a major player in the industry [5][9]. IPO Details - The IPO price was set at 24 HKD per share, with the stock opening at 26.7 HKD, reflecting a rise of over 10% [3]. - As of 10:37 AM on the listing day, the stock price reached 27.45 HKD, marking a 14.38% increase and a total market capitalization exceeding 118.73 billion HKD [3]. Financial Performance - Zhou Li Fu's revenue has shown strong growth, with figures of 31.02 billion RMB in 2022, 51.50 billion RMB in 2023, and 57.18 billion RMB in 2024, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.8% [13][17]. - The net profit for the same years was 5.75 billion RMB, 6.60 billion RMB, and 7.06 billion RMB, with a CAGR of 10.8% [13][17]. - Despite the growth, the company experienced a significant slowdown in revenue growth from 66% to approximately 11% in 2024, indicating a potential decline in growth momentum [17]. Business Model - Zhou Li Fu primarily operates through a franchise model, with 97.8% of its 4,129 stores being franchisee-operated, which contributes to 90.5% of its total revenue [17][18]. - The company has been adjusting its business structure to reduce reliance on franchise income, with online sales contributing significantly to its revenue [18]. Market Position - Zhou Li Fu is the only major jewelry brand among its peers, such as Chow Tai Fook and Lao Fu Huang, that has not been publicly listed until now [20]. - The current market environment for gold and jewelry is favorable, with rising consumer demand, positioning Zhou Li Fu to potentially become a standout stock in the market [21].

Core Viewpoint - Zhou Shifu's stock opened over 10% higher on its first day of trading in Hong Kong, currently priced at 26.7 HKD [1] Company Overview - Zhou Shifu was founded in 2004 and is recognized as one of China's leading jewelry brands [1] - The company is primarily engaged in the research and design, production and processing, chain sales, and brand operation of jewelry [1] - Zhou Shifu offers gold jewelry products and diamond-set jewelry through both offline stores and online sales channels [1]

周六福发行获得市场热捧。公开发售部分，融资认购倍数达到594.92倍，融资认购金额达到668.33亿港元，其中富途证券认购275亿港元， 辉立证券认购228亿港元。 周六福计划全球发售4680.8万股，每股发售价24港元，净筹约10.24亿港元。公司还引入了罗湖投资、永诚贰号香港、灵宝黄金(03330.HK) 等8家企业作为基石投资者。 周六福(06168.HK)今日暗盘，股价上涨12.92%，市值超115亿港元。 招股书显示，从2022年至2024年周六福珠宝的毛利率持续下滑，分别录得38.7%、26.2%和25.9%。 周六福珠宝收入主要由自营销售、加盟商服务费以及线上销售三个部分构成。加盟商收入贡献最大。从2022年至2024年，周六福珠宝加盟 费模式收入分别占比52.9%、55.4%和50.5%。这部分收入分别是产品销售和服务费，服务费包括加盟服务费、产品入网费和其他服务费。 2022年、2023年、2024年周六福珠宝向加盟商收取服务费所产生的毛利分别是7.476亿元、7.605亿元、8.014亿元。这是周六福的主要利润 来源。 从品牌力上看，周六福与老铺黄金相差甚远。早在2015年，周六福就被六福 ...

今年一季度，现货黄金价格上涨约19%，创下1986年9月以来国际金价最大季度涨幅。在这个节骨眼上，作为中国珠宝前五大品牌中 唯一一家未上市的公司，周六福珠宝正式通过主板上市聆讯。 在世界各国央行增持黄金分散外汇风险；为应对国际复杂多变的局面、提前布局避险资产的趋势下，国际金价在近期得到持续上涨的 支撑。 然而，作为黄金珠宝企业，周六福和一众同行一样，黄金价格大涨，自身利润并没有跟上涨幅。曾一度比肩老铺黄金的净利率水平， 也成了回不去的昨天。 一、增收难增利 在传导机制上，由于黄金价格太透明，很难有差价空间，黄金珠宝类的企业赚的基本是固定比例的加工费。所以，当金价疯狂上涨 时，企业率先承受的是原材料成本提高的负担，以及金价过高导致消费意愿降低的客流减少，收入增速短期承压的风险。 2022年至2024年，周六福收入分别为31.02亿元、51.5亿元、57.18亿元；同期年内利润分别约为5.75亿元、6.60亿元、7.06亿元。收入 增速分别为66.02%和11.03%；利润增速14.78%和6.97%，均呈现大幅下降。 此外，公司毛利率也由2022年的38.7%下跌至2024年的25.9%，净利率从18.5%下跌 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhou Li Fu's long-awaited IPO is set to launch on June 26, 2025, with a global offering of 46.808 million shares at a price of HKD 24.00 per share, aiming to raise approximately HKD 1.024 billion [1] Company Overview - Zhou Li Fu, established in 2004, is a well-known jewelry brand in China, primarily engaged in the design, production, and sales of jewelry through both offline and online channels [2] - As of the end of 2024, Zhou Li Fu had 4,129 stores, ranking fifth among Chinese jewelry brands, with 4,125 located in China and 4 overseas [2] Financial Performance - In 2024, Zhou Li Fu's revenue reached RMB 5.718 billion, but the growth rate plummeted to 11% from 66% the previous year, indicating a significant slowdown [2] - The company's net profit for the year was RMB 706 million, with a net profit margin dropping from 18.5% in 2022 to 12.4% in 2024, a decline of 6.1 percentage points [2] Market Position and Challenges - Zhou Li Fu faces a differentiation dilemma, lacking a unique brand identity compared to competitors like Lao Pu Gold and Chow Tai Fook, leading to severe product homogeneity [3] - Despite rising gold prices, the jewelry industry is experiencing a "volume-price divergence," with many companies, including Zhou Li Fu, reporting declining profits [3][4] Inventory and Sales Issues - Zhou Li Fu's inventory reached RMB 2.59 billion as of April 30, 2025, posing a risk of inventory impairment if gold prices decline [4] - The total order volume for self-operated stores decreased from 122,000 in 2023 to 117,000 in 2024, with same-store sales revenue dropping from RMB 369 million to RMB 291 million [4] Franchise Model and Management Challenges - Zhou Li Fu's rapid expansion relies heavily on a franchise model, with 97.8% of its stores being franchisee-operated, which has led to quality control issues and management challenges [5][6] - In 2024, the number of closed franchise stores (674) exceeded new openings (424), indicating instability in the franchise system [5] Legal and Brand Issues - Zhou Li Fu has faced multiple legal challenges regarding trademark infringement, with 95 ongoing cases, raising concerns about its brand strategy [7] - The company's name has been criticized for being misleading and similar to established brands, which could hinder long-term growth [7] Dividend Distribution and Ownership Structure - Zhou Li Fu has distributed over RMB 944 million in dividends over two years, primarily benefiting the controlling Li family, which holds approximately 93.7% of the company's shares [8] Conclusion - While the IPO may represent a significant moment for Zhou Li Fu, underlying issues such as a fragile franchise model, brand controversies, and product homogeneity remain critical challenges [9][10]