Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2][9] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights significant advancements in AI computing power, particularly with the launch of OpenAI's GPT-5, which has reduced error rates and improved efficiency, leading to increased demand for reasoning computing power [5] - The report notes that major cloud service providers in North America are expected to significantly increase capital expenditures, particularly in AI cloud infrastructure, which will drive demand for high-end AI servers [5] - There is uncertainty regarding the supply-demand dynamics of the H20 chip in China, but long-term demand for reasoning computing power remains strong due to advancements in large model capabilities and domestic chip performance improvements [6] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Basic Situation - The closing index is at 5119.4, with a 52-week high of 5440.49 and a low of 2805.53 [2] Recent Developments - The report discusses the successful mass production of the GB200 series by Industrial Fulian, with server revenue growth exceeding 50% in Q2 2025, driven by AI-related business [5] - The report emphasizes the importance of AI computing power supply chains and the potential impact of geopolitical factors on the availability of H20 chips [6] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on opportunities within the AI computing power industry chain, including: 1. GPU and servers: companies like Cambrian, Digital China, and others 2. Liquid cooling solutions: companies such as Invec, Shuguang Data, and others 3. Power supply solutions: companies like Megmeet, European Communication, and others 4. Diesel power generation: companies such as Weichai Heavy Machinery and others 5. AIDC: companies like Data Port, Kehua Data, and others 6. Optical modules: companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang, Tianfu Communication, and others [7]

Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing growth and investment in the AI computing infrastructure, driven by both domestic and international demand for AI applications [3][6][10] - The report emphasizes the strong performance of Industrial Fulian, with significant revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, indicating a robust business model and market position [9][11] AI Computing Industry - The AI computing supply chain is expected to accelerate, supported by rising domestic advanced process yields and collaborative efforts among various industry players to build a robust AI computing foundation [3][6] - Alibaba plans to invest over 380 billion yuan in cloud and AI hardware infrastructure over the next three years, indicating a strong capital expenditure trend in the domestic AI sector [6] - The report notes that the yield of Huawei's Ascend 910C chip has reportedly reached 40%, reflecting significant improvements in manufacturing processes and management [7] - The Chinese government is actively promoting the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative, aiming to enhance the commercialization of AI technologies across various sectors [7] Industrial Fulian - Industrial Fulian reported a revenue of 360.76 billion yuan and a net profit of 12.11 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 35.58% and 38.61% respectively [9] - The company’s cloud computing business saw server revenue growth exceeding 50%, with AI server revenue increasing by over 60% year-on-year [11] - The report anticipates significant capital expenditure growth from major North American cloud service providers in 2025, particularly in AI infrastructure, which will drive demand for high-end AI servers [10]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [12] Core Viewpoints - The AI computing power supply chain is accelerating, driven by advanced processes and policies supporting domestic production. The report anticipates a rapid increase in domestic AI applications and a robust ecosystem [1] - The report highlights that with the improvement in the yield of advanced processes, the supporting supply chain is expected to see accelerated growth, maintaining the "Outperform the Market" rating [1] - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic AI computing power as a foundational support for AI technology, with significant capital expenditure expected in the domestic AI sector [5] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions - Recommended companies to focus on include: - Computing Chips: Cambrian, Haiguang Information - Advanced Manufacturing: SMIC, Huahong Group, Yongxi Electronics - HBM: Huahai Chengke, Lianrui New Materials - PCB/CCL: Shenzhen Circuit, Founder Technology, Nanya Technology, Shengyi Technology - High-speed Backplane Modules: Huafeng Technology - Power Capacitors: Taijia Co., Oulu Tong, Jianghai Co. - Liquid Cooling: Feirongda, Shenling Environment, Shuguang Digital Innovation, Hongrid [3] Supporting Rating Points - The report notes that the yield of Huawei's Ascend 910C has reportedly reached 40%, indicating significant improvements in manufacturing processes and management, which is expected to lead to increased shipments of the 910C series products [5] - The report mentions the Chinese government's commitment to implementing the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative, which aims to promote the large-scale commercialization of AI applications across various sectors, leveraging China's complete industrial system and large market scale [5]

Macro and Strategy - The macro commentary highlights the strong performance of high-tech manufacturing, with the National Securities weekly high-tech manufacturing diffusion index showing strength, recording 0.4 for index A and 50.8 for index B as of July 26, 2025 [6][7] - The AI sector is expected to see significant growth, with the World Artificial Intelligence Conference announcing procurement demands exceeding 16.2 billion yuan, indicating robust investment in smart driving and robotics [8][13] Industry and Company - The semiconductor industry remains in a high prosperity phase, with a focus on analog and storage opportunities. The semiconductor sector saw a slight decline of 1.43% while electronic components rose by 7.77% [8][9] - The global silicon wafer shipment area reached 3.327 billion square inches in Q2 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.9%, indicating a recovery in the semiconductor market [9] - ServiceNow's Q2 2025 subscription revenue grew by 21.5% to $3.113 billion, exceeding guidance, with a strong performance in AI-driven products and a high renewal rate of 98% [20][21] - The automotive industry is projected to see a retail market of approximately 1.85 million units in July 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 7.6%, driven by policies promoting vehicle replacement [17][18] - The quarterly revenue of Sunlord Electronics reached a record high of 3.224 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 19.8%, driven by strong performance in automotive and computing sectors [23][24] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong growth potential in the semiconductor sector, including SMIC, Huahong Semiconductor, and Aoyuan Technology, as well as those in the automotive supply chain like Leap Motor and Geely [15][20] - In the AI infrastructure space, companies such as Industrial Fulian and Longxin Technology are highlighted for their growth prospects due to increasing demand for AI capabilities [10][12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electronics industry, indicating expected performance above the market index by more than 10% [1][10]. Core Views - The semiconductor sector continues to show high prosperity, with a positive outlook on analog and storage ICs due to favorable left-side layout opportunities. TSMC has raised its revenue growth forecast for 2025 from approximately 25% to 30%, supporting the continuation of high industry prosperity [1][2]. - The report highlights the increasing capital expenditures by major overseas tech companies, indicating strong demand for AI infrastructure. Companies like Microsoft and Google are significantly increasing their capital spending, which is expected to drive growth in the AI industry chain [3][7]. - There is a recovery trend in niche storage prices, with expectations for overall storage price recovery throughout the year. Companies like Winbond are seeing demand for NOR Flash and SLC NAND products increase, which is anticipated to continue into the third quarter [4][9]. Summary by Sections Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor sector remains robust, with TSMC's revenue growth forecast adjustment reflecting strong AI demand. The report suggests focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and expansion potential, such as SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor [1][2][10]. AI Infrastructure - Major tech firms are ramping up capital expenditures, with Microsoft planning to exceed $30 billion in Q1 2026, indicating a strong commitment to AI infrastructure. This trend is expected to benefit companies involved in AI applications and infrastructure [3][7]. Storage Market - The report notes a recovery in niche storage prices, particularly for NOR Flash and SLC NAND products, with expectations for continued price increases. Companies like Zhaoyi Innovation and Beijing Junzheng are highlighted as potential beneficiaries of this trend [4][9]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a focus on companies with strong growth potential in the electronics sector, including industrial leaders like Industrial Fulian, Xiaomi, and Lixun Precision, as well as semiconductor firms like SMIC and Jingfang Technology [1][9][10].

Market Review - The equity market experienced a collective pullback last week, with the North Certificate 50 index showing the largest decline of 2.70% [5][6] - The bond market saw a decrease in both short and long-term interest rates, with the 10-year government bond yield dropping by 2.65 basis points to 1.706% [8][11] - The fund market reflected the equity market's downturn, with the equity fund index down by 0.39% and the secondary bond fund index down by 0.22% [13][14] Equity Product Allocation Strategy - Event-driven strategies include focusing on funds related to the successful transportation of materials by domestically developed unmanned aerial vehicles, the implementation of the "Childcare Subsidy System," and the security concerns surrounding H20 computing chips [16][17][18] - The overall asset allocation strategy suggests a balanced core with a barbell approach, emphasizing dividend and technology sectors, as well as high-end manufacturing [19][20] Stable Product Allocation Strategy - The central bank's net injection of 6.9 billion yuan indicates a balanced and loose funding environment [25] - The manufacturing PMI for July was reported at 49.3%, indicating a slight decline in manufacturing activity, while the non-manufacturing business activity index was at 50.1% [25] - The introduction of VAT on interest income from newly issued government bonds starting August 8, 2025, may impact bond market dynamics [25] Key Focus Products - Recommended funds include Nord Short Bond A and Huaan Pure Bond A for core strategies, and for satellite strategies, funds benefiting from convertible bond opportunities and equity market conditions [3][30]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes a strong macroeconomic outlook with a focus on the implementation of growth-stabilizing policies, particularly in the context of the "15th Five-Year Plan" and its alignment with international uncertainties [2][18][19] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised China's GDP growth forecast for 2025 by 0.8 percentage points to 4.8%, indicating a positive long-term economic outlook [2][18] - The report highlights the importance of fiscal and monetary policy adjustments, with expectations for increased government bond issuance and reduced financing costs to stimulate consumption and stabilize foreign trade [2][18][20] Group 2 - The report notes a decline in the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.75% and a drop in the CSI 300 Index futures by 2.04%, reflecting a bearish sentiment in the stock market [11][12] - The bond market is experiencing a "stock-bond seesaw" effect, leading to a lower allocation recommendation for bonds, with the ten-year government bond yield decreasing by 3 basis points to 1.71% [12][39] - The report indicates a significant drop in commodity prices, with coking coal futures down 9.83% and iron ore contracts down 1.94%, suggesting a cautious outlook for the commodity sector [11][12][39] Group 3 - The report identifies a need for close monitoring of the implementation of fiscal policies aimed at stimulating growth, particularly in the context of the recent political bureau meeting [4][18] - The manufacturing PMI for July was reported at 49.3%, indicating a contraction, while the non-manufacturing PMI was at 50.1%, suggesting a mixed economic environment [17][39] - The report highlights the importance of structural reforms and innovation in driving economic growth, particularly in the context of the government's focus on technology and consumption [18][19]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market - A" and the rating is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The "Artificial Intelligence +" policy was approved on July 31, aiming to accelerate the commercialization of AI applications across various sectors, leveraging China's complete industrial system, large market scale, and rich application scenarios [1][11]. - The focus of the policy is on AI applications, emphasizing the importance of computing power, algorithms, data, and security as supporting elements for the related industries [2][12]. - Figma, a creative design software company, went public with a high valuation, opening at $85, a 157% increase from its IPO price of $33, and closing at over $115, marking a 250% rise [3][13]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The "Artificial Intelligence +" policy aims to promote AI applications in various fields, including C-end AIGC, productivity tools, and B-end enterprise service software, as well as vertical industries like AI in manufacturing, healthcare, transportation, and electricity [2][12]. Company Performance - Figma reported a rapid revenue growth of $749 million in 2024, a 48% year-on-year increase, with a net dollar retention rate of 134%, indicating strong customer willingness to pay [3][13]. - Figma has introduced AI capabilities across its product line, with the latest product, Figma Make, allowing users to quickly generate UI prototypes using simple prompts, presenting new growth opportunities [3][14]. Market Performance - The computer industry index increased by 0.30% this week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.24 percentage points, driven by the active themes related to AI [15][19]. - AI-related companies within the computer sector showed strong performance, benefiting from policy support and overseas catalysts [19].

Investment Rating - The report suggests focusing on domestic AI development-driven sectors such as servers and IDC, as well as overseas AI development-driven sectors like servers and optical modules [5]. Core Insights - North American cloud providers like Meta and Microsoft are increasing investments in AI computing power, indicating sustained overseas demand. Meta's capital expenditure has been raised to $66-72 billion, primarily for talent and infrastructure investment. Microsoft expects its capital expenditure to exceed $30 billion in FY26Q1 to alleviate computing power constraints [1][2]. - The demand for optical modules is expected to grow significantly, driven by increased investments in data centers by downstream clients like Google and Meta. The report highlights the strong performance of optical module suppliers [1][8]. - The narrative around H20's sales to China has reversed, with a long-term positive outlook on domestic chip replacement. Following Nvidia's announcement to resume H20 sales to China, the National Cyberspace Administration of China has requested Nvidia to clarify security risks associated with these chips [1][3]. Summary by Sections Communication Sector - The telecommunications business revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 905.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1%. The total telecommunications business volume grew by 9.3% year-on-year when adjusted for last year's prices [4][15]. - The report notes a gradual increase in the growth rate of telecommunications business volume, with a significant rise in new business areas such as IPTV and cloud computing [15]. Server Sector - The server index decreased by 0.54% this week and 1.56% this month. ChatGPT's weekly active users reached approximately 700 million, driving OpenAI's projected revenue for 2025 to exceed $12.7 billion. OpenAI is pursuing a $40 billion financing plan, which may increase server leasing expenditures [2][7]. Optical Module Sector - The optical module index increased by 7.96% this week, despite a 1.72% decline this month. Microsoft and Meta reported better-than-expected earnings, with Microsoft’s intelligent cloud segment revenue reaching $29.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 26% [2][8]. - The report anticipates a surge in demand for high-speed optical modules due to the ongoing AI computing infrastructure development in North America [2][8]. IDC Sector - The IDC index decreased by 1.12% this week and 0.35% this month. The report maintains a long-term positive outlook on domestic chip replacement, driven by the development of domestic large models and chip production [3][9]. Key Data Updates - Capital expenditures for major companies in Q2 2025 were as follows: Microsoft at $24.2 billion (+28% YoY), Google at $22.4 billion (+70% YoY), Meta at $16.5 billion (+102% YoY), and Amazon at $31.4 billion (+91% YoY) [4][15].

Domestic Macro - The State Council announced measures to gradually implement free preschool education, which is a significant initiative affecting many families and long-term development [6][16] - Premier Li Qiang attended the 2025 World Artificial Intelligence Conference, proposing three suggestions for advancing AI development and governance, emphasizing inclusivity, innovation cooperation, and joint governance [6][16] - The National Childcare Subsidy Scheme was officially announced, providing an annual subsidy of 3,600 yuan for each child under three years old, effective from January 1, 2025 [6][16] Industry Policy - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) outlined seven key tasks for the next phase of reform and development, focusing on stabilizing the market and enhancing regulatory effectiveness [7][19] - The People's Bank of China and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange issued a draft regulation for the centralized operation of cross-border funds for multinational companies, aimed at facilitating cross-border capital management [7][19] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) set eight key work areas for the second half of the year, including enhancing the supply-demand match for consumer goods and promoting the development of new industrial sectors [7][19] Local Policy - Shanghai's GDP for the first half of the year reached 26,222.15 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.1% [8][23] - The Shanghai government launched the "Mosu Zhixing" action plan for high-level autonomous driving, aiming to establish a leading autonomous driving zone by 2027 [8][23] - Beijing introduced measures to improve the support policy system for childbirth, including increasing housing fund loan limits for families with multiple children [8][23] Overseas Dynamics - The U.S. Secretary of Commerce announced that the deadline for additional tariffs on August 1 would not be extended, and a 15% tariff agreement was reached with the EU [9][24] - The U.S. and China held trade talks in Stockholm, aiming to extend previously suspended tariff measures and address trade relations [9][24] - The U.S. government announced a 50% tariff on imported semi-finished copper products starting August 1, along with other trade measures [9][24]