分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -13% -6% 1% 8% 15% 22% 29% 35% 2025.03 2025.07 2025.11 2026.03 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | 指数名称 | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 4,108.57 | 0.64 | 深证成指 | 14,088.84 | 1.23 | | | | 创业板指 | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | 沪深 | 300 | 4,647.69 | 0.98 | | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | 中证 | 100 | 4,536.49 | 0.99 | | 中证 | 500 | 8,309.17 | 0.73 | 中证 | 1000 | 6,116.76 | 0.33 | | 国证 | 2 ...

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -12% -5% 1% 8% 15% 22% 29% 36% 2025.03 2025.07 2025.11 2026.03 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | 指数名称 | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 4,082.47 | -0.98 | 深证成指 | 13,917.75 | -0.75 | | | | 创业板指 | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | 沪深 | 300 | 4,602.62 | -1.14 | | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | 中证 | 100 | 4,492.11 | -1.07 | | 中证 | 500 | 8,248.94 | -0. ...

资料来源：Wind,中原证券 -12% -5% 2% 9% 16% 22% 29% 36% 2025.03 2025.07 2025.10 2026.03 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | | 4,122.68 | -1.43 | | 深证成指 | | 14,022.39 | -3.07 | | 创业板指 | | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,655.90 | -1.54 | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 | 100 | 4,540.70 | -1.90 | | 中证 | 500 | 8,281.61 | -4.35 | | 中证 | 1000 | 6,116.76 | 0.33 | | 国证 | 2000 | 7,801.23 | 0.58 | | 资料来源：Wind ...

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 1、据央视新闻，石油输出国组织（欧佩克）1 日发表声明说，8 个主要产 油国决定 4 月日均增产 20.6 万桶。沙特阿拉伯、俄罗斯、伊拉克、阿联 酋、科威特、哈萨克斯坦、阿尔及利亚和阿曼的代表当天举行线上会议， 讨论国际石油市场形势及前景。 2、2 月 28 日，人形机器人与具身智能标准化（HEIS）年会在北京经济 技术开发区举办。会上，我国首个国家级人形机器人与具身智能标准体系 ——《人形机器人与具身智能标准体系（2026 版）》正式发布。该体系紧 扣产业发展现状与未来趋势，覆盖基础共性、类脑与智算、肢体与部组件、 整机与系统、应用、安全等全产业链环节，填补了国内人形机器人与具身 智能领域标准体系的空白，引领人形机器人与具身智能产业标准化发展。 3、3 月 2 日，千问首款 AI 硬件"千问 AI 眼镜"正式上线，开启线上线 下全渠道预约。该产品将于 3 月 8 日在中国市场现货发售，并于 2026 年 内登陆全球市场。据悉，千问 AI 眼镜还将全面接入千问 APP，首批点外 ...

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 证券研究报告-晨会聚焦 发布日期：2026 年 03 月 02 日 2、当地时间 2 月 28 日，根据国际油轮流量监测系统的实时数据显示， 目前位于霍尔木兹海峡周边海域的油轮航行速度已普遍降至零，显示该 地区的航运已陷入停滞状态。 3、2 月 28 日，国家发改委价格监测中心称，2025 年 9 月至今，受需求 "爆发式"增长、产能"断崖式"紧缺等因素影响，全球存储器市场缺口 扩大，存储芯片价格持续上涨，近 1 个月多以来，涨幅呈现扩大态势，建 议关注存储芯片对下游价格的影响。 资料来源：央视网，央视新闻，财联社 【宏观策略】 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -12% -5% 2% 9% 16% 22% 29% 36% 2025.03 2025.07 2025.10 2026.02 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | 指数名称 | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

电力设备及新能源 《电力设备及新能源行业月报：硅片、电池 报价大幅提高，关注细分行业龙头》 2025- 12-26 分析师：唐俊男 登记编码：S0730519050003 tangjn@ccnew.com 021-50586738 证券研究报告-行业月报 强于大市(维持) 电力设备及新能源相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：聚源数据，中原证券研究所 -17% -8% 1% 10% 18% 27% 36% 45% 2025.02 2025.06 2025.10 2026.02 电力设备及新能源 沪深300 相关报告 《电力设备及新能源行业月报：全年新增装 机超 300GW，关注太空光伏商业化进展》 2026-01-28 《电力设备及新能源行业点评报告："十五 五"国网投资四万亿，国内外电气设备需求 旺盛》 2026-01-20 ⚫ 光伏行业治理内卷是政策重点，2026 年国内新增装机预期有所下 滑。光伏行业当前正处于新一轮的深度调整期，2026 年是光伏行 业治理的攻坚之年，治理行业"内卷"是政策重点。工信部将通过 加强部门协同，统筹施策，综合运用产能的调控、标准的引领、质 量监督、价格执法、防范垄断风险、加 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call on Space Photovoltaics Industry Overview - The focus is on the space photovoltaic (PV) industry, which is expected to grow significantly due to increasing demand for space-based computing power and advancements in solar technology [1][10][23]. Core Technologies and Companies - **Gallium Arsenide (GaAs) Solar Cells**: - Highest efficiency (31.5%-34.5%) but very high cost (RMB 200,000-300,000 per square meter) [1][2][12]. - Leading companies: GanZhao Photovoltaics and Sanan Optoelectronics [2][5]. - **P-Type Heterojunction (HJT) Solar Cells**: - Efficiency of 26%-27% (up to 30% when stacked) with lower costs (a few thousand RMB per square meter) [1][2][4]. - Notable progress by Dongfang Risheng in ultra-thin HJT technology [2][5]. - **Perovskite Solar Cells**: - Single-layer efficiency around 20%, can exceed 35% when stacked; lower raw material costs but complex manufacturing [1][2][4]. - Companies like GCL-Poly and Shanghai Gangwan are making significant advancements [2][5]. Cost and Efficiency Challenges - GaAs cells face limited cost reduction potential due to material scarcity and complex manufacturing processes [3][11]. - HJT is seen as a promising short-term technology due to its lower manufacturing costs and reliability [4]. - Perovskite technology has great potential if stability issues can be resolved [4]. Special Requirements for Space Applications - Space PV materials must withstand extreme temperature variations (from -180°C to +120°C) and UV radiation [16]. - Low-temperature silver paste and light conversion technologies are critical for performance in space [16]. Packaging and Materials - Space PV packaging uses CPI or UTG films instead of traditional glass, with UTG offering better performance but at a higher cost (RMB 6,000-8,000 per square meter) [20][21]. - The cost structure of packaging materials is influenced by raw materials (40%-50%), core processes (25%-35%), and yield losses (10%-15%) [22]. Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The space PV market is expected to expand significantly in the next 3-5 years, driven by satellite launches and technological advancements [23]. - The demand for PV components will increase as more satellites are deployed, potentially leading to explosive market growth [23]. Risks and Challenges - Key risks include the ability of companies to survive until the market matures and the adaptability of technologies to space environments [29]. - Companies must address challenges related to UV resistance and thermal shock to succeed in the space PV market [29]. Conclusion - The space photovoltaic industry is poised for growth, with various technologies and companies leading the charge. However, significant challenges remain in terms of cost, efficiency, and material stability in the harsh space environment.

Core Viewpoint - The recent interest from Elon Musk's team in China's photovoltaic industry has sparked significant market activity, suggesting a potential turning point for the sector after a prolonged downturn [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reaction - On February 4, the A-share photovoltaic sector saw a surge, with companies like Zairun New Energy and TCL Zhonghuan hitting the "20CM" limit-up, while leading equipment manufacturer Jing Sheng Machinery rose nearly 13% [1]. - Following the initial excitement, the market experienced a sharp reversal, with the photovoltaic ETF dropping 5.45% and companies like Jun Da and Gao Ce falling significantly [5]. Group 2: Industry Context - The photovoltaic industry has faced severe challenges over the past two years, including overcapacity and price competition, leading many companies into losses [2]. - Musk's announcement of plans to build 200GW of photovoltaic capacity in the U.S. by 2028 has raised hopes for a revival in the Chinese photovoltaic sector [2]. Group 3: Strategic Implications - Musk's interest in the photovoltaic sector is seen as a strategic necessity, given the energy demands in North America, where a projected power shortfall of 88GW is expected between 2025 and 2028 [7]. - The potential for space-based solar power, which can achieve significantly higher efficiency due to constant sunlight in geosynchronous orbit, presents a compelling opportunity for innovation [8][9]. Group 4: Opportunities for Chinese Companies - The entry of Musk's team into the photovoltaic space is likely to lead to a revaluation of certain companies, particularly those involved in core materials and equipment manufacturing [12]. - Companies like GCL-Poly, which possess advanced technology in granular silicon, may benefit from potential collaborations with Musk's team [14][16]. - Equipment manufacturers are expected to be the first beneficiaries, as establishing production facilities in the U.S. will require purchasing equipment from Chinese suppliers [18][20]. Group 5: Long-term Outlook - The development of space solar power technology, particularly using gallium arsenide (GaAs) and perovskite solar cells, could revolutionize the industry, with Musk's involvement potentially accelerating commercialization [21][22]. - The collaboration between Musk's companies and Chinese photovoltaic firms could lead to breakthroughs in technology that are currently in the experimental stage, enhancing the overall value of the sector [23].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the photovoltaic equipment industry, indicating a projected performance that exceeds the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index by more than 15% over the next 12 months [4][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights that as SpaceX advances its satellite launches and related in-orbit applications, the trend of exploring orbital AI data centers is becoming evident. Photovoltaics are expected to gain more application opportunities in the construction of these data centers, benefiting related photovoltaic equipment manufacturers [2][4]. - The demand for photovoltaic solutions is anticipated to grow due to the increasing computational power requirements for data centers, shifting the logic of ground photovoltaic installations from power-driven to computation-driven [4]. - Key companies in the photovoltaic equipment sector are actively exploring opportunities in space photovoltaics, with notable advancements in technology and production capabilities [4]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - The report recommends specific companies across different segments of the photovoltaic equipment industry: - **Cell Segment**: Recommended companies include Maiwei Co., Jiejia Weichuang, Laplace, and Dier Laser [4]. - **Module Segment**: Recommended company is Aotewei, with ST Jingji as a related company [4]. - **Wafer Segment**: Related companies include Gaoce Co., Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical, Liancheng CNC, and Shuangliang Energy [4]. Company Profit Forecasts - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for key companies in the industry: - **Maiwei Co.**: EPS forecast of 0.7 CNY for 2024, increasing to 1.3 CNY by 2026, with a PE ratio decreasing from 96.8 to 74.2 [5]. - **Aotewei**: EPS forecast of 4.0 CNY for 2024, remaining stable at 2.0 CNY for 2025 and 2026, with a PE ratio decreasing from 48.6 to 42.2 [5]. - **Jiejia Weichuang**: EPS forecast of 0.5 CNY for 2024, increasing to 0.9 CNY by 2026, with a PE ratio increasing from 16.9 to 33.9 [5]. - **Laplace**: EPS forecast of 0.7 CNY for 2024, increasing to 1.3 CNY by 2026, with a PE ratio decreasing from 33.6 to 25.5 [5]. - **Dier Laser**: EPS forecast of 1.9 CNY for 2024, increasing to 2.4 CNY by 2026, with a PE ratio decreasing from 36.8 to 27.0 [5].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the commercial aerospace industry, particularly focusing on the space photovoltaic sector and the advancements made by SpaceX in satellite deployment and technology [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **SpaceX's Dominance**: SpaceX is expected to generate over $20 billion in revenue from its Starlink business by 2026, significantly supporting its future projects and financing needs. The company has launched over 3,000 satellites, with more than 9,000 currently in orbit [1][2]. - **Limited Near-Earth Orbit Resources**: The finite capacity of Earth's low Earth orbit, which can accommodate only 60,000 to 80,000 satellites, is driving China to accelerate its commercial aerospace development, with plans to apply for 200,000 satellites [1][2][3]. - **Cost Sensitivity in Low Earth Orbit**: The high cost of gallium arsenide (GaAs) solar cells, ranging from $50 to $150 per watt, poses challenges for commercial space applications, necessitating the search for more economical alternatives [1][4]. - **Transition to P-Type Heterojunction Cells**: P-type heterojunction cells are identified as a competitive transitional solution due to their strong radiation resistance and lower production costs, potentially under 100 RMB per watt [1][5]. - **Perovskite as a Future Solution**: Perovskite solar cells are viewed as a promising long-term alternative to GaAs, with manufacturing costs significantly reduced, and potential costs in space applications also below 100 RMB per watt [1][6]. Market Potential - **Market Size Estimation**: The solar photovoltaic market for space applications could reach over 500 MW, with a potential market value between 17.5 billion to 10 billion RMB, assuming a global launch of 10,000 satellites annually [1][7]. - **Growth in Space Computing Demand**: The increasing demand for space computing, as indicated by Elon Musk's vision for a gigawatt-level space infrastructure, suggests that the solar photovoltaic market could scale to hundreds of billions in the long term [1][7]. SpaceX's Strategic Moves - **Adjustments in Satellite Systems**: SpaceX plans to optimize its Starlink satellite system, creating opportunities for the introduction of solar photovoltaic alternatives, with P-type heterojunction cells likely being prioritized [1][8]. Current Market Performance - **Resilience of the Space Photovoltaic Market**: Despite recent downturns in the commercial aerospace sector, the space photovoltaic market remains stable, supported by SpaceX's ongoing investments and the collective push from domestic aerospace companies [1][9]. Domestic Industry Developments - **Technological Advancements**: Domestic photovoltaic companies have made progress, primarily in ground-based solar technology, with a scarcity of firms focused on space applications. Companies with expertise in nitrogen-oxide passivation contact technology hold a competitive advantage [1][10]. Recommended Companies and Materials - **Investment Opportunities**: Key companies to watch include Dongfang Risheng and Maiwei Co. for P-type heterojunction cells, and JunDa Co. and Jiejia Weichuang for perovskite technology. Additionally, large integrated firms like Tianhe Energy and Jinko Solar, with strong R&D capabilities, are highlighted as having significant potential [1][11].