集运早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/12/26 କିଲ୍ଲି 昨日收盘价 涨跌 其我 昨日成交昼 昨日持仓昼 待仓变动 EC2512 0.13% -18.8 112 1714 -76 1608.0 EC2602 1799.7 0.22% -210.5 28762 34250 -66 EC2604 1164.5 -0 04% 424.7 6267 21254 264 EC2606 1320.0 0 08% 269.2 258 2126 -19 FC2608 1496 7 1.06% 92 5 112 1181 -12 期货 0.75% 277 EC2610 5941 1059.0 530.2 811 日环比 周环比 月姜 前两日 前- -B 前三日 2.6 -64.4 EC2512-2504 443.5 448.0 440.9 -123.9 -191.7 -1.8 EC2512-2602 -189.9 -200.6 4.4 59.5 EC2502-2604 630.8 648.6 635.2 本期涨跌 更新频率 公布日期 क्र (2) 本期 前- 一期 前两期 上期涨跌 指惋 SCFIS 每周 2025/1 ...

行业 集运指数日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 25 日 研究员：何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3008762 研究员：黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3051589 研究员：聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 宏观金融团队 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 | | | 表1：集运欧线期货12月24日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 前结算 价 | 开盘价 | 收盘价 | 结算价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 （%） | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 仓差 | | EC2512 | 1,603.6 | 1,605.0 | 1,605.9 | 1,604.4 | 2.3 | 0. ...

2025 年 12 月 24 日 集运指数（欧线）：近月震荡，远月关注加沙第二 阶段停火谈判进展 郑玉洁 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021502 zhengyujie@gtht.com 黄柳楠 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0015892 huangliunan@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 表 1：集运指数（欧线）基本面数据 | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨跌 | 昨日成交 | 昨日持仓 | 持仓变动 | 昨日成交/持仓 | 前日成交/持仓 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期 货 | EC2512 | 1,630.1 | 0.21% | 186 | 1,983 | -160 | 0.09 | 0.06 | | | EC2602 | 1,719.8 | 3.66% 31,624 | | 31,507 | -136 | 1.00 | 0.85 | | | EC2604 | 1,128.8 | 1.66% 4,225 | | 18,837 | 145 | 0.22 | 0.20 | | | EC2512 - EC2604 | 501 ...

2025年12月3日 集运日报 (航运研究小组) 回撤或已到位, 主力合约连续反弹, 已建议轻仓试多, 关注春节前出货行情, 运价并无明显波动。 中美关税问题仍以延期的形式作为短期的解决方案，运价走势的逻辑 还是回归传统季节性和红海何时复航的问题上，目前现货价格小幅下 降。综上述，我们认为，关税问题已经呈现边际化效应，目前核心还 是现货运价的走向，主力合约已经出现季节性反弹，建议轻仓参与或 欢迎。 | SCFIS、NCFI运价指数 | | | --- | --- | | 12月1日 | 11月28日 | | 上海出口集装箱结算运价指数SCFIS（欧洲航线）1483.65点，较上期下跌9.5% | 宁波出口集装箱运价指数NCFI（综合指数）972.63点，较上期上涨2.77% | | 上海出口集装箱结算运价指数SCFIS（美西航线）948.77点，较上期下跌14.4% | 宁波出口集装箱运价指数NCFI（欧洲航线）1024.64点，较上期上涨7.67% 宁波出口集装箱运价指数NCFI（美西航线）881.66点，较上期下跌7.77% | | 11月28日 | 11月28日 | | 上海出口集装箱运价指数SCFI公 ...

Report Information - Report Title: Container Shipping Index Daily Report [1] - Date: November 25, 2025 [2] - Researcher: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] Core View - The SCFIS index increased by 20.7% week-on-week to 1639.37 this week, better than expected, but the shipping companies' price increase in December was less than expected. Maersk's quotes were the most aggressive, suppressing the price increase space of other airlines. There is a possibility that other airlines will follow Maersk to cut prices to attract cargo. Considering that February is a traditional peak season, the market may carry out incentive games for the pre-Spring Festival shipping rush. The cost - performance ratio of short - selling is not high. Pay attention to the possibility that the April contract in the off - season may be overvalued and the positive spread opportunity between the 02 and 04 contracts [8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Spot market: The SCFIS index increased by 20.7% week - on - week to 1639.37 this week, better than expected. But shipping companies' price increase in December was less than expected. Maersk's quotes were aggressive, suppressing other airlines' price increase space, and other airlines may follow to cut prices. Consider the 02 - 04 positive spread opportunity [8] 2. Industry News - From November 17th to 21st, the China export container shipping market was basically stable, and the freight rates of ocean routes were adjusted with the composite index falling. The euro - zone's November consumer confidence index was lower than expected, and the European shipping demand lacked growth momentum with falling spot market booking prices. The Mediterranean route's supply - demand fundamentals were better with slightly rising freight rates. In the North American route, due to the US government shutdown, the employment market was weak and the freight rates continued to fall. There were also military conflicts in the Middle East that may affect the shipping market [9][10] 3. Data Overview 3.1 Container Shipping Spot Prices - The SCFIS for the European route (basic ports) on November 24, 2025, was 1639.37, up 281.7 (20.7% week - on - week) from November 17th. The SCFIS for the US West route (basic ports) was 1107.85, down 130.57 (- 10.5% week - on - week) from November 17th [12] 3.2 Container Shipping Index (European Route) Futures Market - The trading data of container shipping European line futures on November 24th showed different price changes, trading volumes, and open interests for different contracts such as EC2512, EC2602, etc. [6] 3.3 Shipping - Related Data Charts - There were various shipping - related data charts including container ship capacity in Europe, global container ship orders, Shanghai - European basic port freight rates, etc [17][21]

2025 年 11月 25 日 o o 投资咨询从业资格号: Z0021502 郑玉洁 zhengyujie@gtht.com 黄柳楠 投资咨询从业资格号: Z0015892 huangliunan@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪 表 1:集运指数(欧线)基本面数据 | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日 涨跌 | 昨日成交 | 昨日持仓 | | 持仓变动 昨日成交/持仓 | | 前日成交/持仓 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | EC2512 | 1.779.7 | 0. 69% . | 1,541 | 6, 862 | -461 | 0.22 | | 0. 27 | | 期货 | EC2602 | 1.568. 6 | -0. 54% | 17.415 | 43. 333 | -100 | 0. 40 | | 0. 66 | | | EC2604 | 1.142.1 | -0. 45% | 1.676 | 16. 096 | 135 | 0.10 | | 0. 17 | | | EC2512 - EC2604 | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Views of the Report - The valuation of contract EC2512 is moderately low, and the open interest has significantly decreased. It will gradually follow the delivery logic [3][15]. - For contract EC2604, it is still recommended to adopt a short - selling strategy on rallies [3][15]. - The overall freight volume between China and Europe this year is good, but it is difficult to prove or disprove the so - called "weak peak season" in the short term. Since the Spring Festival is later this year, it is normal for the peak season to start late. Although the high shipping capacity from December to January may suppress the price increase of contract EC2602, an overly pessimistic outlook is not given. The situation of peak - season cargo collection should be observed. Freight rates usually peak 4 - 5 weeks before the Spring Festival. If the rush - season demand is gradually fulfilled, contract EC2602 may have more upside potential [3][15]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Contracts - **Contract Prices and Changes**: The closing prices of contracts EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, EC2606, EC2608, and EC2610 are 1773.9, 1556.1, 1133.2, 1350.0, 1474.3, and 1099.1 respectively, with daily changes of - 0.10%, - 4.59%, - 2.56%, - 2.25%, - 2.04%, and - 0.89% [2][14]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volumes of these contracts are 1997, 28701, 2776, 275, 246, and 448 respectively, and the open interests are 7323, 43433, 15961, 1565, 1324, and 2597 respectively, with changes of - 7/ - 37, 1404, - 53, - 10, 100, and 104 [2][14]. - **Month - spreads**: The month - spreads of EC2512 - 2504, EC2512 - 2602, and EC2502 - 2604 are 640.7, 217.8, and 422.9 respectively, with daily changes of 28.0, 7/3.1, and - 45.1, and week - on - week changes of 28.7, 6745, and - 38.8 [2][14]. Spot Market Indicators - **SCHIS**: Published every Monday. As of November 17, 2025, it was 1357.67 points, down 9.78% from the previous period and up 24.50% from the period before the previous one [2][14]. - **SCFI (European Line)**: Published every Friday. As of November 21, 2025, it was 1367 dollars/TEU, down 3.5% from the previous period and up 7.11% from the period before the previous one [2][14]. - **CCFI**: Published every Friday. As of November 21, 2025, it was 1432.96 points, up 2.09% from the previous period and up 2.69% from the period before the previous one [2][14]. - **NCFI**: Published on a certain day (unclear in the text). As of November 21, 2025, it was 951.65 points, down 2.83% from the previous period and up 7.42% from the period before the previous one [2][14]. Recent Spot Situation of European Lines - In Week 48, the overall average was about 2200 US dollars (equivalent to about 1540 points). In Week 49, the rates of the GEMINI and PA alliances were between 2400 - 2500 US dollars, while the OA alliance had not adjusted its price yet, with an average of about 2450 US dollars (equivalent to about 1700 points). It is expected that prices will be raised for December this week, and there will be price hikes in the second half of December [4][16]. Related News On November 24, the Hamas delegation discussed the Gaza situation with the Egyptian side. On the 23rd, according to a statement from Hamas, several high - level members of the organization held talks in Cairo with the head of the Egyptian General Intelligence Service and the main mediator of the Gaza cease - fire agreement, Rashad. Hamas stated that it had fulfilled its commitments in the first phase of the Gaza cease - fire agreement and demanded that Israel stop violating the cease - fire agreement [5][17].

行业 集运指数日报 日期 2025 年 11 月 18 日 研究员：何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3008762 宏观金融团队 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 | | | 表1：集运欧线期货11月17日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 前结算 价 | 开盘价 | 收盘价 | 结算价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 （%） | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 仓差 | | EC2512 | 1,783.5 | 1,800.0 | 1,792.3 | 1,802.5 | 8.8 | 0.49 | 7097 | 12086 | -2434 | | EC2602 | 1,617.2 | 1,720.0 | 1,726.0 | 1,727.9 | 108.8 | 6.73 | 44502 | 38880 | 837 | | EC2604 | 1,163.1 | 1,170.2 | ...

Report Information - Report Name: "集运指数日报" [1] - Date: November 7, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Macro Financial Team [4] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] Report Summary - **Industry Investment Rating**: Not provided - **Core View**: Although actual demand may not support a large price increase, the bottom of container shipping rates within the year may have appeared, and it is recommended to maintain the idea of buying on dips for the December contract. The conflict in the Middle East is expected to be difficult to resolve within the year, and the Red Sea may still be difficult to resume shipping in the short term [8] Section Summaries 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Situation**: As the year - end peak season and long - term contract season approach, shipping companies continue to raise quotes for November and December, but the increase is lower than before. The SCFIS index has declined again, and it is difficult for price increases to fully materialize. The actual demand may not support large price increases, but the bottom of container shipping rates within the year may have appeared. The conflict in the Middle East is frequent and difficult to resolve, and the Red Sea may not resume shipping in the short term [8] - **Operation Suggestions**: Continue to maintain the idea of buying on dips for the December contract [8] 2. Industry News - **Market Conditions in Late October**: From October 27 to 31, the China export container shipping market was good, with stable overall transport demand. Most route market freight rates continued to rise, driving the comprehensive index up. The Shanghai Export Containerized Freight Index on October 31 was 1550.70 points, up 10.5% from the previous period [9] - **European Routes**: In October, the eurozone's composite PMI rose to 52.2, better than market expectations. The market freight rate continued to rise, and on October 31, the freight rate from Shanghai Port to European basic ports was 1344 US dollars/TEU, up 7.9% from the previous period [9] - **Mediterranean Routes**: The market situation was basically the same as that of European routes, and the spot booking price continued to rise. On October 31, the freight rate from Shanghai Port to Mediterranean basic ports was 1983 US dollars/TEU, up 12.4% from the previous period [9] - **Military News in the Middle East**: Israel carried out military operations in Lebanon and Gaza, and the situation in the region remained tense [10] - **Sino - US Trade Consensus**: After the talks between Chinese and US leaders in Busan, South Korea, the two sides reached a new trade consensus. China will suspend additional export controls on rare earths and other key minerals, terminate antitrust and anti - dumping investigations against US semiconductor supply chain - related enterprises, and the US will take corresponding measures [10][11] 3. Data Overview 3.1 Container Shipping Spot Prices | Route | Price on 2025/11/3 | Price on 2025/10/27 | Change | Month - on - Month (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SCFIS: European Routes (Basic Ports) | 1208.71 | 1312.71 | - 104 | - 7.9% | | SCFIS: US West Routes (Basic Ports) | 1267.15 | 1107.32 | 159.83 | 14.4% | [13] 3.2 Container Shipping Index (European Routes) Futures Quotes | Contract | Previous Settlement Price | Opening Price | Closing Price | Settlement Price | Change | Change (%) | Trading Volume | Open Interest | Open Interest Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | EC2512 | 1,923.4 | 1,899.0 | 1,848.2 | 1,845.1 | - 75.2 | - 3.91 | 35518 | 28412 | - 5660 | | EC2602 | 1,631.4 | 1,622.0 | 1,601.0 | 1,597.1 | - 30.4 | - 1.86 | 9591 | 22625 | 273 | | EC2604 | 1,195.8 | 1,194.0 | 1,178.0 | 1,176.4 | - 17.8 | - 1.49 | 2051 | 14208 | - 329 | | EC2606 | 1,419.8 | 1,428.8 | 1,414.2 | 1,404.7 | - 5.6 | - 0.39 | 132 | 1455 | - 9 | | EC2608 | 1,498.1 | 1,490.1 | 1,484.0 | 1,497.0 | - 14.1 | - 0.94 | 120 | 1306 | - 31 | | EC2610 | 1,140.0 | 1,140.0 | 1,140.0 | 1,138.6 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 269 | 1432 | 156 | [6] 3.3 Shipping - Related Data Charts - The report also provides multiple charts, including the Shanghai Export Containerized Freight Index, container shipping index (European routes) futures trends, European container ship capacity, global container ship order backlog, Shanghai - European basic port freight rates, and Shanghai - Rotterdam spot freight rates, with data sources from Wind and the Research and Development Department of Jianxin Futures [13][17][19]

1. Report Information - Report Type: Daily Report on Container Shipping Index [1] - Date: September 30, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Macro Financial Team [4] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] 2. Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 3. Core View - The SCFIS index accelerated its decline this week, falling below 1130 points, indicating that the shipping reality is weaker than expected, and the basis protection cushion for futures has significantly decreased. Although Maersk raised the freight rate for the third week of October to $1800 per large container last week, which shows the shipowners' willingness to support prices at the end of the year and boosts market sentiment, the overall loading forecast rate after the National Day holiday is low, and this price may not be realized. Attention should be paid to whether other shipping companies will follow up to form a price increase force to bottom out the freight rate. In addition, the renewed escalation of the Middle East situation is expected to support the far - month contracts, and there should be low - buying opportunities in December [8]. 4. Summary by Directory 4.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Situation**: The SCFIS index accelerated its decline this week, falling below 1130 points, with the basis protection cushion for futures significantly decreasing. Maersk raised the October third - week freight rate, but the post - National Day loading forecast rate is low, and the price may not be realized. The Middle East situation is expected to support far - month contracts [8]. - **Operation Suggestion**: There should be low - buying opportunities in December [8]. 4.2 Industry News - From September 22 to September 26, the demand for China's export container transportation weakened, the freight rates in the ocean - going routes continued to adjust, and the comprehensive index continued to decline. On September 26, the Shanghai Export Container Comprehensive Freight Index was 1114.52 points, down 7.0% from the previous period, with the decline narrowing. - **European Routes**: Economic data in Europe is poor, demand growth in the transportation market lacks momentum, and the spot market booking price continued to decline. On September 26, the market freight rate from Shanghai Port to basic ports in Europe was $971/TEU, down 7.7% from the previous period. - **Mediterranean Routes**: The transportation market situation is similar to that in Europe, and the market freight rate continued to adjust. On September 26, the market freight rate from Shanghai Port to basic ports in the Mediterranean was $1485/TEU, down 9.3% from the previous period. - **North American Routes**: Affected by the Fed's interest rate cut and rising inflation expectations, the economic situation in the US is declining, demand in the transportation market has not improved, and the spot market booking price continued to fall. On September 26, the market freight rates from Shanghai Port to basic ports in the US West and East were $1460/FEU and $2385/FEU respectively, down 10.8% and 6.7% from the previous period [9]. 4.3 Data Overview 4.3.1 Container Shipping Spot Prices | Route | September 29, 2025 | September 22, 2025 | Change | Percentage Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SCFIS: European Routes (Basic Ports) | 1120.49 | 1254.92 | - 134.43 | - 10.7% | | SCFIS: US West Routes (Basic Ports) | 921.25 | 1193.64 | - 272.39 | - 22.8% | [12] 4.3.2 Container Shipping Index (European Routes) Futures Market | Contract | Previous Settlement Price | Opening Price | Closing Price | Settlement Price | Change | Percentage Change (%) | Trading Volume | Open Interest | Change in Open Interest | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | EC2510 | 1150.8 | 1141.0 | 1115.0 | 1122.0 | - 35.8 | - 3.11 | 16679 | 29314 | - 3117 | | EC2512 | 1880.6 | 1763.0 | 1756.3 | 1735.0 | - 24.3 | - 1.36 | 11879 | 20683 | - 1012 | | EC2602 | 1691.9 | 1668.1 | 1667.0 | 1644.7 | - 24.9 | - 1.47 | 4011 | 8852 | 84 | | EC2604 | 1279.1 | 1260.0 | 1253.0 | 1253.1 | - 26.1 | - 2.04 | 1189 | 9110 | 11 | | EC2606 | 1482.6 | 1463.6 | 1452.7 | 1453.8 | - 29.9 | - 2.02 | 97 | 930 | - 8 | | EC2608 | 1631.0 | 1601.1 | 1595.0 | 1598.9 | - 36.0 | - 2.21 | 75 | 530 | - 12 | [6] 4.3.3 Shipping - Related Data Charts - The report provides charts on Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index, Container Shipping Index (European Routes) Futures, European container ship capacity, global container ship orders on hand, Shanghai - European basic port freight rates, and Shanghai - Rotterdam spot freight rates, with data sources from Wind and the Research and Development Department of Jianxin Futures [12][14][18][23][26]