December 22, 2025 11:00 AM GMT The robots are coming. Happy Holidays humans! AJ Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC Adam Jonas, CFA Equity Analyst Adam.Jonas@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-1726 Robotics | North America M Update The Rowdy Robot: Convergence Convergence. Get used to hearing this word. AI agents straddle the digital and the physical. The sim and the real. The data and the manufacturing. The human and machine. As the technologies emerge, the strategies converge. Examples of convergence are all around us: 20 ...

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Summary of the Conference Call for Yongding Co., Ltd. Industry Overview - **Global Fiber Demand**: Significant growth in global fiber demand is expected in 2025, with domestic non-operator market prices for ordinary fiber rising from 15-16 RMB at the beginning of the year to 20-22 RMB by year-end, driven mainly by data center and trunk fiber network construction in mainland China [2][4]. - **Impact of the Russia-Ukraine War**: The war has greatly increased demand for fiber drones, which is expected to remain high even if hostilities cease, as military stockpiles will likely retain a certain number of these drones, leading to stable long-term demand [2][6][10]. Company Performance - **Yongding's Revenue and Profit**: In 2025, Yongding Co., Ltd. exceeded expectations in revenue and profit within the rod and cable sector, increasing production capacity from 300 tons at the beginning of the year to approximately 450 tons by December, with plans for further increases in 2026 [2][7]. - **Product Development**: Multi-mode fiber has been successfully developed and is in small-scale commercial use, while hollow fiber and 654B fiber are expected to undergo testing in Q1 2026 [2][7]. Price and Supply Forecast - **Price Predictions**: Ordinary non-operator fiber prices are expected to increase by 10%-20% in 2026, potentially reaching 23-25 RMB. Other product types, including A2 fiber, are also anticipated to see price increases [2][8][21]. - **Supply Chain Recovery**: The recovery of supply chains is cautiously optimistic, with slow recovery of production capacity from competitors like Futong and European brands seeking OEM partnerships in China [2][8]. Product Capacity and Competition - **Capacity Utilization**: Different types of fibers impact overall capacity differently. For instance, producing 654B fiber consumes more raw materials, leading to actual usable capacity being less than theoretical values. The demand for drone-related products has created competitive pressure on existing systems [2][9]. - **Tight Supply Conditions**: The supply of 657A2 and multi-mode fibers is under pressure due to competition from data centers and drones, with factory orders currently extending to 45 days [3][11][17]. Technological Developments - **Laser Chip Expansion**: Yongding has established a presence in the optoelectronics sector with laser chips and plans to expand production capacity significantly, with expectations of reaching tens of millions of effective chips supplied in 2026 [3][22][29]. - **Future Trends in Optical Communication**: The optical communication industry is experiencing rapid growth driven by AI, with increasing demand for optical modules and tight supply of optical chips. New technologies are expected to further propel market growth [28]. Challenges and Market Dynamics - **International Market Entry**: Domestic companies face challenges entering overseas markets, particularly in North America, where demand is surging. Some companies are using indirect trade routes to access these markets [19]. - **Price Differences**: There are significant price differences between domestic and international brands, with international brands like Corning charging substantially more for their products [13][14]. Conclusion Yongding Co., Ltd. is well-positioned for growth in the optical fiber and laser chip markets, with strong demand driven by technological advancements and geopolitical factors. The company’s strategic plans for capacity expansion and product development indicate a positive outlook for the coming years.

Summary of Conference Call for Hongsoft Technology Industry and Company Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the developments in the **automotive industry**, particularly focusing on **Hongsoft Technology** and its collaboration with **Changan Automobile** regarding **L3 autonomous driving technology** [2][4]. Key Points and Arguments - **L3 License Acquisition**: Changan Automobile has obtained the first L3 autonomous driving license, marking a significant shift from demonstration to practical application in the autonomous driving sector. This creates new compliance thresholds for automakers and accelerates the iteration of system reliability and takeover mechanisms [2][4]. - **Collaboration with Changan**: Hongsoft Technology has a deepening partnership with Changan, which is expected to play a crucial role in Changan's smart driving projects. Specific details of the collaboration are restricted due to confidentiality agreements [2][5]. - **Market Position**: Since entering the automotive sector in 2018, Hongsoft has captured over **80%** of the domestic market share in the smart cockpit chip market. The company has rapidly launched ADAS products such as AEB, LCC, and ACC [2][6]. - **Cost Efficiency**: Hongsoft's core competitive advantage lies in reducing costs for automakers. Their pure vision solutions lower hardware costs, especially on low-computing power platforms, making L2+ level products popular in the market [2][7]. - **Product Launch Timeline**: Hongsoft's ADAS solutions are set to begin mass production and delivery in the first quarter of **2026**, with capabilities for full autonomous driving and having passed EU NCAP safety certification [2][9]. Additional Important Insights - **Strategic Market Expansion**: Starting in **2023**, Hongsoft has begun expanding into overseas markets, establishing partnerships with brands like Jaguar, Land Rover, and Mercedes-Benz. The strategy involves collaborating with automakers or their designated top suppliers to penetrate the market [3][10]. - **Regulatory Impact**: The issuance of the L3 license is seen as a pivotal moment that shifts the focus from technology validation to the ability to implement autonomous driving in real-world scenarios. This change is expected to influence future service charges and operational scenarios for automakers [4]. - **Cost Reduction Strategies**: Hongsoft optimizes hardware configurations through software visual algorithms, allowing for significant cost reductions in high, mid, and low-end vehicle models. For instance, they can eliminate one laser radar in high-end models and reduce the number of sensors in mid-range vehicles [8]. - **Future Outlook**: Despite challenges in the first quarter of the year due to policy impacts, Hongsoft anticipates achieving **70% to 100%** of its revenue targets for the year. The specific goals for the next year will be determined in late December or early January [14]. - **Potential for Commercial Vehicle Market**: Currently, Hongsoft focuses on passenger vehicles but does not rule out the possibility of expanding into the commercial vehicle market in the future [11]. - **AI Glasses Market**: Hongsoft holds over **95%** of the market share in AI glasses, which are seen as a significant AI interaction entry point, validating market demand for their technology [12]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and developments discussed in the conference call, highlighting Hongsoft Technology's strategic positioning and future prospects in the automotive industry.

中国中免 20251222 摘要 海南免税市场 12 月销售额显著增长，主要得益于自贸港封关带来的市 场信心提振，以及企业和政府部门联合推出的促销活动，包括中免集团 的年终盛典和三亚市政府的消费券。 11 月份海南免税市场增长由离岛免税政策优化、小家电等小品类调整以 及黄金新政等多重因素驱动，其中境外旅客消费高于国内旅客，黄金首 饰销量显著提升。 化妆品市场占比趋于稳定，精品类商品（如首饰、服装、箱包）表现出 色，受益于即购即提模式和消费者对正品保障的需求。 离岛免税与跨境电商竞争激烈，但离岛免税通过价格调整和正品保障逐 渐赢得消费者信任，客单价有所回升。 海南自贸港封关后，企业进口商品享受零关税，加工增值超过 30%的产 品销往内地可免关税，显著降低企业成本，提升财务效率。 未来海南离岛免税市场预计保持小幅增长，增长动力来自于购物便利性 提升和国产品退税政策的推进，但新增牌照的可能性较低。 岛民免税政策预计明年 1 月中下旬明确，主要涵盖食品、饮料、日化用 品等日常消费品，额度较低，与离岛免税形成差异化定位。 Q&A 近期海南免税市场的表现如何？ 自 12 月 18 日封关以来，海南免税市场的销售额显著增长 ...

美埃科技 20251222 摘要 美埃科技受益于台积电、美光、英特尔等企业海外投资增加，目标将海 外收入占比提升至 50%（当前为 13-15%），台积电北美资本开支中， 洁净室过滤设备价值量占比约 1-2%。 公司已进入英特尔、台积电等供应链，并成为国内头部客户主要供应商。 全球半导体洁净室过滤设备市场空间约为 50 亿人民币，大陆占 20 亿人 民币，预计未来随资本开支加速，市场空间将扩大。 2025 年，美埃科技在锂电行业取得突破，抓住国内锂电产能出海机遇， 收获头部锂电厂海外扩建和国内耗材订单。储能回暖及产业链涨价促使 电池厂积极扩产，新技术如半/固态电池亦带来新机遇。 2025 年，公司整体收入和利润表现稳健，积极拓展海外市场及锂电等 新下游领域。新业务对业绩贡献预计在 2026 年更明显。公司通过夯实 国内市占率并突破海外头部客户，保持龙头地位。 2025 年国内半导体行业招标量未显著增长，受关税及招标节奏影响。 但长期来看，国内半导体资本开支增长确定，预计 2026 年订单和收入 增速将提升。 Q&A 美埃科技在海外半导体市场的最新进展如何？ 美埃科技在海外半导体市场取得了显著进展。公司 70% ...

埃斯顿 20251222 摘要 埃斯顿预计全年收入达 52 亿元，核心零部件业务略降，工业机器人业 务增长迅猛，尤其在汽车、电子、锂电行业表现突出，预计出货量达 3.5 万台，首次超越外资品牌，中大负载机器人出货量显著增加。 国内市场增速占比提升至 70%，导致整体毛利率下滑，但 Q3 国内毛利 率环比提升约 3 个百分点，预计全年毛利率达 29%左右。归母净利润预 计 6,000 万元，受股权激励计划影响，经营现金流转正并大幅增长。 海外市场方面，自动化出海业务收入约 1 亿元，主要集中在欧洲、东南 亚和东亚市场。波兰厂房一期已投建，预计 2026 年底前完成，未来将 加强海外渠道建设，以中国作为中央厨房概念运营海外多品牌餐厅模式。 公司预计 2026 年收入同比增长 20%至 63 亿元，全球出货量达 4.5 万 台，毛利率提升至 31%，净利润率达 5%。受益于费用管控及港股上市 后的财务费率压降措施。 克鲁斯品牌订单快速增长，预计 2025 年收入增速超 10%，并贡献相应 利润。麦子公司海外集成业务表现超预期，国内集成业务受益于宁德时 代国内外产能规划，业务增长显著。 Q&A 请回顾一下埃斯顿在 2 ...

公司预计 2027 年中期实现认知功能障碍系列产品商业化落地，精神心 理及运动功能障碍方向落地速度更快，未来业务增长率预计可达 20%- 30%以上。 Q&A 迈安德公司目前在脑机接口领域的业务和规划是什么？ 迈安德公司目前在脑机接口领域的业务主要集中在结合现有技术基础上进行创 新应用，包括盆底康复业务等。我们注意到患者对心理疾病关注和需求增加， 因此利用脑机接口技术开拓新业务领域。公司的整体规划是以"脑机接口加身 心同治"为主题，重点发展三大方向：认知功能障碍干预、运动功能障碍干预 以及精神与心身疾病调控。 脑机接口行业的发展背景及市场前景如何？ 2025 年被称为脑机接口的元年，全球范围内对该技术的研究非常火热，并取 得了一些进展和商业化落地。最早的研究源于各国的"脑计划"，如美国 2013 年启动，欧盟紧随其后，中国则从 2016 年开始实施中国脑计划，并陆 续获得重大产业项目支持。经过 10 年的发展，基础技术已经有了一定储备， 市场潜力巨大。目前主要应用于医疗端，包括神经疾病、神经损伤及精神疾病 患者。此外，中国在十四五期间布局了相关研究，并在 2022 年启动了重大项 目，如帕金森和阿尔兹海默症认 ...

Summary of the Conference Call for Morning Light Biological Company Overview - Morning Light Biological specializes in natural colorants, particularly chili red and chili extract, with a global market share of approximately 66% to 70% [2][3]. - The company is experiencing significant growth in sales, particularly in chili extract, which is expected to see a year-on-year growth rate of around 70% for the current year [2][5]. Industry Insights - The natural colorant industry is projected to maintain a natural growth rate of about 10% in the coming years, driven by increased penetration in mature markets and the development of the food industry in emerging markets [2][3]. - The market for lutein remains stable, with annual supply and sales around 400-500 million grams, showing no significant changes in market share [2][5]. Key Points - **Sales Growth**: Chili red and chili extract have seen historical peaks in sales, with chili extract's sales increasing by 80% in the first three quarters of the year [3][5]. - **Market Dynamics**: The increase in market share is expected to slow down as the market matures, with future growth relying more on natural industry growth rather than market share gains [3][5]. - **Cost Advantages**: Morning Light Biological has established a cost advantage through technological innovation and large-scale production, typically achieving production costs 5% to 10% lower than competitors [2][8]. - **Customized Solutions**: The company is focusing on customized solutions to enhance customer loyalty and product value, with customized products now accounting for 15% of sales [2][11]. Financial Performance - The company’s raw material procurement costs have remained stable compared to last year, despite a decrease in planting area for key raw materials [4][13]. - The health food contract manufacturing business is operating at nearly full capacity, with plans to expand production capacity by 50% next year [4][17]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape in the plant extract industry is fragmented, with a few major players dominating larger product categories while smaller categories may have only one or two key competitors [6][7]. - Morning Light Biological's focus on technological innovation and efficiency gives it a competitive edge over many smaller firms in the industry [7][9]. Future Outlook - The company plans to maintain high levels of investment in research and development, particularly in customized product development, although a slight decrease in overall R&D expenses is expected in the coming years [16][18]. - The health food and traditional Chinese medicine sectors are expected to grow, with the latter projected to achieve breakeven in the near future [17][18]. Additional Considerations - The company is learning from international firms in the flavor and fragrance industry, which may influence its future growth strategies [22][23]. - The overall profitability of upstream farmers is currently low, which may impact raw material supply in the future [15]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and developments discussed during the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of Morning Light Biological's current position and future prospects in the natural colorant industry.

凯盛新材 20251222 摘要 氯化亚砜价格预计维持高位，受需求持续性和硫磺价格影响。公司采取 随行就市定价，虽年度客户锁定采购量，但未锁定价格，目前报价基本 在 3,000 元以上，部分超 4,000 元。硫磺成本是主要上涨因素，每吨氯 化亚砜需七八百元硫磺成本。 锂电池市场对氯化钴需求预计增加，2025 年锂电池级别产品售价已达 7,000 元/吨。公司积极推动氯化钴出海，扩大市场份额。市场供应不足 和个别厂商问题导致订单转移，原材料涨价增强公司议价能力。 农药相关产品市场表现良好，2025 年出口量显著增加，大客户盈泰生 物交易量大幅上升。预计 2026 年第一季度农化板块仍乐观。食品添加 剂需求稳定，属刚需。公司暂无氯化亚砜扩产计划，现有产能利用率接 近 100%。 2025 年氯化亚砜吨毛利约 20%-30%，较上半年提高。若价格维持 3,000 元以上，明年吨毛利将更高。可转债强赎或大量转股可能节约财 务费用，释放利润，完全转股可释放至少 3,000 万元利润。 Q&A 氯化亚砜自 11 月以来价格大涨的核心驱动因素是什么？ 公司对氯化亚砜后续价格走势有何看法？ 目前来看，氯化亚砜价格预计会持续 ...