炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ ● 刘英杰 谭丁豪 日前，中信建投证券在北京成功举办了2026年资本市场峰会暨中国-沙特投资合作论坛。本次会议以"革 故鼎新、质赢未来"为主题，吸引了来自沙特资本市场管理局、交易所及全球多个国家和地区的企业 家、投资者参与。 在会上，中信建投证券研究团队发表了对2026年的展望。与会分析师普遍认为，2026年作为"十五五"规 划的开局之年，中国经济将在深化改革和扩大开放中实现质的提升，A股市场有望在政策支持和基本面 改善的双重驱动下延续慢牛格局，新质生产力、科技创新与战略资源等领域将孕育丰富的结构性投资机 会。 肩负建设金融强国重要使命 刘成表示，面向"十五五"新征程，中信建投证券将构建以"价值投行"为方向、"新质投行"为路径、"数 智投行"为引擎的高质量发展战略新体系，与国内外伙伴携手，共同谱写资本市场高质量发展新篇章， 为中国式现代化建设和全球繁荣发展贡献力量。 五大变革引领2026年新发展 中信建投证券首席经济学家黄文涛在分享2026年宏观经济与投资展望时表示，"十五五"期间是中国发展 历史上非常重要的阶段，2026年将是夯实基础 ...

公告显示，截至目前，深圳天微投资合伙企业（有限合伙）不存在未来12个月内改变上市公司主营业务 或者对上市公司主营业务作出重大调整的具体计划。如上市公司因其发展需要，或因市场、行业情况变 化导致需要对上市公司主营业务进行调整的，将严格遵照上市公司治理规则及法律法规要求履行相应程 序，并及时履行信息披露义务。 资料显示，ST中迪业务包括房地产开发、股权投资两大方向。2025年前三季度，公司营业收入约为1.35 亿元，同比下降52.64%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润约为-1.51亿元，同比下降41.83%。 ST中迪在公告中提示，若截至12月31日，公司2025年度经审计的利润总额、净利润、扣除非经常性损 益后的净利润三者孰低为负值，且扣除后的营业收入低于3亿元，根据有关规定，公司股票存在被实施 退市风险警示的风险。 公司2025年前三季度归属于上市公司股东的所有者权益-851.68万元，同比下降103%。若公司2025年度 经审计的期末净资产为负值，根据有关规定，公司股票存在被实施退市风险警示的风险。 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 ST中迪（维权）11月12日晚公告称，公司股票自10月16 ...

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average reaching a record high of 48,254.82 points, up 0.68% [2] - The S&P 500 index closed at 6,850.92 points, with a slight increase of 0.06%, while the Nasdaq Composite index fell by 0.26% to 23,406.46 points [2] Technology Sector - The majority of the U.S. tech giants experienced declines, with the tech giants index down by 0.80%. Notable movements included Microsoft up 0.48% and Nvidia up 0.33%, while META dropped 2.88% and Tesla fell 2.05% [4] - Other tech companies like Amazon and Google saw declines of over 1%, and Apple had a minor decrease of 0.65% [4] Commodity Prices - Gold prices surged significantly, with spot gold rising by 1.66% to $4,195.195 per ounce, and COMEX gold futures increasing by 2.11% to $4,203.1 per ounce [5] - In contrast, international oil prices saw a notable decline, with light crude oil futures for December delivery dropping by $2.55 to $58.49 per barrel, a decrease of 4.18%, and Brent crude oil futures for January down by $2.45 to $62.71 per barrel, a drop of 3.76% [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company is facing significant challenges due to the recent legal issues involving its newly appointed general manager, while also reporting strong financial performance in the third quarter of 2025 [1][4]. Group 1: Management Issues - The general manager, Deng Di, is under investigation for dangerous driving and has been released on bail, which may lead to penalties such as control or detention [1]. - Deng Di was appointed as general manager just one month prior to the incident, having been promoted from deputy general manager [1][2]. - The company has expressed sincere apologies to investors regarding the negative impact of this incident and is committed to enhancing legal awareness among its staff [1][2]. Group 2: Regulatory Concerns - The company has faced regulatory scrutiny from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange due to violations related to the use of raised funds, including exceeding budgeted salary payments for new personnel by 26.91 million yuan [2][3]. - Additional violations include misallocating funds to pay temporary and intern staff unrelated to the designated projects, totaling 522.53 million yuan [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 775 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 34.21%, and a net profit of 121 million yuan, up 175.35% [4]. - The third quarter alone saw a revenue of 321 million yuan, a 47.40% increase year-on-year, with net profit soaring by 227.15% to 54.11 million yuan [4]. - The company has experienced a record high in contract liabilities, indicating resilience in future performance [7]. Group 4: Industry Trends - The growth in revenue is attributed to increased demand for solder paste printing equipment, driven by factors such as expanded AI infrastructure investments and a recovery in consumer electronics demand [6]. - The global smartphone and PC shipment volumes have shown positive growth, contributing to increased investments in electronic assembly equipment [6]. - The trend towards greater electronic integration in vehicles is also boosting demand for surface mount technology (SMT) equipment [6].

Core Viewpoint - The trend of dividend distribution among actively managed equity funds, particularly growth-style funds, has emerged in the fourth quarter of this year, with several funds announcing dividends for the first time in years, indicating a shift in the investment landscape and a response to investor demand for cash returns [1][2][6]. Summary by Sections Dividend Distribution Trends - Actively managed equity funds, such as E Fund's Stable Growth Mixed and E Fund's Kexiang Mixed, have announced dividends for the first time since 2021, reflecting a broader trend of dividend distribution in the market [2][4]. - The E Fund Kexiang Mixed fund will distribute a dividend of 0.9 yuan per 10 fund shares, amounting to 226 million yuan based on the benchmark shares [2]. Reasons for Dividend Distribution - The dividends from actively managed funds primarily stem from capital gains rather than stock dividends, as fund managers seek to lock in profits and provide cash returns to investors [1][4]. - The strong performance of growth-style funds in the A-share market has led to substantial accumulated returns, prompting fund managers to distribute dividends to help investors secure profits and mitigate potential future market volatility [4][6]. Impact on Fund Management - Dividend distribution allows fund managers to optimize their portfolio structure by selling off high-performing stocks to generate cash for dividends, thus adjusting their holdings based on market conditions [5][6]. - The trend of dividend distribution is expected to expand from index funds to actively managed equity funds, aligning with investor preferences for stable cash flows and enhancing the overall investment experience [6][7]. Future Outlook - The increasing focus on investor satisfaction and the regulatory push towards investor return-oriented strategies suggest that more actively managed equity funds will adopt dividend distribution as a standard practice [6][7]. - The competitive landscape may accelerate the trend of dividend distribution among actively managed funds, as they seek to meet growing investor demand for cash returns [6].

Core Viewpoint - The securities industry is expected to see significant performance growth and a return to high value due to low valuations and potential expansion in ROE for leading brokerages by 2026 [1][2][6] Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market has been on an upward trend, with the margin trading balance reaching 23,941.58 billion yuan and financing balance at 23,783.90 billion yuan by the end of Q3 [2] - In the first three quarters of 2025, listed brokerages achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 169.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 63% [2] - The average daily trading volume reached a historical high of 16.5 billion yuan, with total trading volume for the first three quarters amounting to 301.56 trillion yuan [2] Group 2: Business Growth Areas - Retail and international businesses are contributing new growth to the industry, with significant increases in new accounts and financing balances [3] - The investment banking market is recovering, and the derivatives business is expected to see regulatory improvements, enhancing overall performance [3] - The application of AI in the industry is progressing, with leading firms exploring innovative AI applications as a new growth point [3] Group 3: Valuation and Investment Opportunities - The securities sector is currently undervalued, with a PB ratio of 1.52, indicating potential for valuation recovery [4] - Analysts suggest that core businesses such as public funds, overseas operations, and investment banking will drive profitability improvements [4][5] - The industry is expected to benefit from liquidity improvements and favorable policies, with ROE projected to rise to 7.7% by 2026 [6]

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant reforms in China's public fund industry, driven by the China Securities Regulatory Commission's action plan aimed at high-quality development, focusing on fiduciary responsibility and encompassing governance, product innovation, investment operations, and assessment mechanisms [1] - Morgan Asset Management (China) has successfully localized its operations, achieving a non-monetary public fund management scale of 133 billion yuan by Q3 2025, doubling its size in two years and improving its industry ranking by 20 positions, reflecting strong market recognition of its investment management capabilities [1] - The company emphasizes a long-term investment philosophy and has established a robust research-driven culture, which is crucial for generating sustainable alpha for clients [2][6] Company Strategy - Morgan Asset Management (China) has adopted a clear investment research structure, focusing on active management as its core competency, with teams dedicated to growth, balanced growth, and value investments, targeting various risk-return profiles [3] - The firm has identified key investment opportunities in artificial intelligence, leading Chinese manufacturers, and dividend assets, leveraging a dual driver of valuation recovery and earnings growth for structural market opportunities in 2025 [4] - The company has built a systematic talent development mechanism, nurturing fund managers with long-term commitment, evidenced by managers like Du Meng and Li Bo, who have delivered substantial returns over extended periods [4][5] Research and Analysis - Morgan Asset Management promotes a "research compounding" approach, emphasizing the importance of continuous research investment to enhance decision-making quality [6] - The firm has a global research team of 500 analysts, conducting extensive field research and maintaining high-frequency interactions with global teams to integrate local insights with global perspectives [6][7] - A unified research language and framework have been established to facilitate efficient resource sharing and collaboration across regions, enhancing the overall research quality [7] ETF Business Development - Morgan Asset Management has differentiated its ETF offerings by combining active management advantages, becoming the second-largest active ETF issuer globally and leading in net inflows since 2025 [8] - The company has launched 11 ETFs in China, focusing on investor experience and innovative features like quarterly mandatory dividends, catering to various investment strategies [8] - The firm continues to enhance its ETF business by providing localized market insights and strategies through reports and seminars, aiming to support index investors effectively [9] Future Outlook - The asset management industry is expected to increasingly favor long-termism, professional capabilities, and ecosystem collaboration, with Morgan Asset Management committed to refining its practices in investment management, product innovation, and client service [10]

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Capital Market Summit and China-Saudi Investment Cooperation Forum hosted by CITIC Securities highlighted the optimistic outlook for China's economy and A-share market in 2026, driven by policy support and fundamental improvements, with significant structural investment opportunities in new productivity, technological innovation, and strategic resources [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Outlook - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period is seen as a crucial phase for China's development, with 2026 expected to be a year of solid foundation and comprehensive efforts [4]. - Key transformations anticipated include a shift from traditional factor-driven growth to innovation-driven growth, accelerated modernization of the industrial system, and a new balance between investment in people and material [4]. - The external environment in 2026 is expected to be characterized by strategic counterattacks and changes in the global landscape, with domestic consumption becoming a significant focus [4][5]. Group 2: A-share Market Predictions - The A-share market is projected to maintain a slow upward trend in 2026, supported by favorable conditions such as inflows of capital, technological innovation, institutional reforms, and consumption upgrades [5]. - The long-term trend for government bond yields is expected to decline, with the RMB exchange rate remaining stable and gold retaining long-term investment value [5]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - The A-share market is entering a critical phase of verifying economic prosperity, with expectations of a fluctuating upward index but potentially slower growth rates [6]. - Technology growth is anticipated to remain a market focus, while resource sectors may emerge as a new mainline investment direction due to global monetary easing and supply-demand gaps [6]. - Investment opportunities are suggested in future industries such as AI, new energy, biotechnology, and strategic resources like rare earths and aerospace equipment, particularly in the context of global competition [6].

Core Viewpoint - The securities industry is expected to see significant performance growth and a return to high value due to low valuations and potential expansion in ROE by 2026 [1][2][6] Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market has been on an upward trend, with the margin balance reaching 23,941.58 billion yuan and financing balance increasing by 5,242.45 billion yuan in the first three quarters [2] - Listed securities firms reported a net profit of 1,694 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a 63% year-on-year increase, with a record quarterly net profit of 725 billion yuan in Q3 [2] - All major business segments, including brokerage, investment banking, asset management, interest income, and investment returns, showed positive growth [2] Group 2: Business Trends - The wealth management sector is on the rise, with strong growth in new A-share and margin account openings, and daily trading volumes potentially stabilizing around 2 trillion yuan [3] - The investment banking market is recovering significantly, and international business is expected to contribute more to profits as Chinese brokers expand overseas [3] - The application of AI in the industry is progressing, with leading firms exploring innovative AI applications as a new growth point [3] Group 3: Valuation Recovery - The securities sector is anticipated to experience valuation recovery, with the PB ratio at 1.52, indicating it is relatively low historically [4] - Core businesses such as public funds, overseas operations, and derivatives are expected to drive profit improvements, with a notable expansion in ROE for leading firms [4] - Analysts recommend focusing on brokers with advantages in overseas and institutional business, wealth management, and retail operations benefiting from cross-border asset management trials [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the ROE for the securities industry could reach 7.7% by 2026, with the sector still undervalued [6] - The ongoing capital market reforms and supportive policies are expected to enhance the valuation of securities firms, particularly larger ones [5][6] - The industry is viewed as having a strong long-term growth trajectory, with significant investment opportunities anticipated in 2026 [6]

Core Insights - The 2025 Shanghai Stock Exchange International Investor Conference opened, focusing on new opportunities in Chinese investment and mergers, technology innovation, and high-level capital market openness [1] - The Chinese capital market has shown significant improvement in attractiveness, with major indices rising and international capital inflows increasing [1][2] - The Chinese economy is projected to grow, with GDP exceeding 100 trillion yuan and a year-on-year growth of 5.2% in the first three quarters of 2025 [1] Group 1: Investment Sentiment - International investors are increasingly optimistic about China's economic vitality and long-term investment potential, driven by macroeconomic stability and policy optimization [2][3] - The consensus among global investors is shifting towards a positive outlook on Chinese assets, particularly in the technology sector represented by the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [2][3] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The National Social Security Fund emphasizes the importance of long-term, stable, and scalable investments in technology assets, supporting national strategic initiatives [3] - There is a commitment to continue investing long-term capital and value capital to foster innovation and create value [3] Group 3: Market Openness - High-level institutional openness is expected to expand, with plans to improve the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor system and enhance cross-border investment products [4] - Shanghai aims to attract global investors by creating a market-oriented, law-based, and international business environment while enhancing financial risk prevention capabilities [5] Group 4: Exchange Initiatives - The Shanghai Stock Exchange is focused on cultivating a market ecosystem that promotes rational, value, and long-term investments, while enhancing corporate governance and information disclosure [5]