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突发“风险提示“,会管用吗?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 10:52
新闻解读评级说明:五星重磅,四星重要,三星级以下大家选择听。 1、大宗商品涨停潮,交易所风险提示会管用吗? 本篇评级为★★★,主要围绕以下内容展开: 如有疑问请以音频内容为准,添加妙妙子微信huxiuvip302,入群有机会与董小姐进一步交流。 须知,期货这一金融工具,本质是为实体经济服务,帮助工厂、企业锁定原材料价格、规避大幅波动风 险。然而,眼下期货独自急涨急跌,反而给实体套保带来巨大风险——原本用来避险的工具,如今成 了"挖坑"制造风险。时间一久,必然引起监管注意。 本文为妙投付费内容,上述仅为摘要,购买本专栏即可解锁完整内容。新用户可免费领本专栏7天阅读 体验机会,在妙投APP-我的-权益兑换 输入"妙投888"即可领取。 今天的 A 股市场依旧红通通,我们一起梳理盘面,看看继续向上的潜力有多大,以及可能遇到的风 险。 1、大宗商品涨停潮,交易所风险提示会管用吗? 2、券商板块透支了吗?从资金层面看两条线索 3、芯片稍稍启动,背后的推动力有多大? 到目前为止,市场的主线之一仍在横向扩展,这条主线便是去产能赛道。前几日,煤炭、钢铁涨幅巨 大,这两天出现收缩;而横向扩展的结果是又有新主角登场——今天,热点 ...
冯仑:关于非洲房地产考察的几点思考
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 10:14
Group 1: Real Estate Insights - The trip to Africa provided a new perspective on the real estate industry, emphasizing the importance of understanding different economic stages rather than applying a uniform standard across markets [3][4] - There is a notable opportunity in developing limited high-quality residential properties tailored to local market needs, especially during the early stages of urbanization [4][5] - The effectiveness of real estate ventures in Africa is heavily influenced by land tenure systems, with issues such as unclear property rights and complex approval processes posing significant challenges [5][6] - Successful real estate development requires patience and a long-term investment approach, as demonstrated by historical examples of property appreciation over decades [7][9] - The current economic environment in Africa presents opportunities for high-quality projects, but developers must avoid overexpansion and the pitfalls of replicating models from other markets [4][9] Group 2: Entrepreneurship in Africa - Entrepreneurship in Africa is characterized by a grassroots spirit, where success is often achieved through perseverance and local adaptation rather than reliance on external resources [10][11] - Many successful African entrepreneurs have backgrounds in state-owned enterprises, which provided them with essential skills and local connections before transitioning to private ventures [12] - A solid professional background is crucial for entrepreneurs, as demonstrated by those in the construction sector who possess relevant technical expertise [12][13] Group 3: Economic and Institutional Context - The economic development of Africa is significantly influenced by historical and ongoing institutional choices, with many countries oscillating between socialist and market-oriented policies [15][16] - Despite some improvements in urban development, Africa's economic growth remains slow compared to regions like China and Southeast Asia, with many countries still in the early stages of industrialization [17][18] - Current industrial activities in Africa often mirror those from 30 years ago in China, indicating a phase of economic development that is more about catching up than innovating [18][19] - The potential for traditional industries to find new growth opportunities in Africa is significant, although the continent is unlikely to become the fastest-growing region in the global economy in the near future [20][21]
中产阶级该如何保卫“现代生活”?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 10:14
Group 1 - The concept of "middle class" is increasingly ambiguous, yet there exists a distinct lifestyle and consumption perspective associated with it, characterized by a pursuit of taste and distinction from the lower classes [1][9] - Recent events, such as the controversies surrounding Sam's Club and the brand Holiou, reflect the middle class's desire for quality and premium products, rather than mere status [2][5] - The middle class's pursuit of material and fashionable distinctions is becoming more challenging as economic conditions evolve, leading to a clearer understanding of their true essence in society [1][19] Group 2 - The perception of quality in products, such as those sold at Sam's Club, is often tied to a belief in superior safety and standards, which may not hold true universally [6][7] - The historical context of consumer preferences, such as the association of coffee with sophistication, illustrates the complex cultural narratives that shape middle-class consumption [8][9] - The middle class's reliance on consumerism for identity and status is increasingly questioned, as the stability of this lifestyle is threatened by broader economic and social changes [15][19] Group 3 - The current middle-class experience is marked by a tension between maintaining a modern lifestyle and addressing existential concerns, leading to a critical juncture in their values [20][24] - The call to defend modern life necessitates a reevaluation of what constitutes modernity and the underlying material conditions that support it [21][22] - A shift away from a purely consumerist mindset towards a more community-oriented perspective is essential for the middle class to navigate the challenges of contemporary society [23][24]
聊聊雅鲁藏布江水电站
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 09:47
有两个工程在各种军事历史类的论坛里聊得热火朝天,一个就是雅鲁藏布江水电站,另一个是红旗河 (引西藏水到新疆)。 单从工程技术角度讲,在西藏地理那么复杂的地方,难度当然很大。对世界其他国家来说,或者是不可 能完成的工程,但对干过墨脱公路,青藏铁路的中国工程人来说,根本不是问题。 其实雅鲁藏布江水电站跟红旗河是两位一体的,就是充分利用西藏充沛的水力。有些东西我们用了,别 人就用得少了些,有些水,流入到我们国土内部,就没那么多灌溉印度平原了。印度人对此不满,当然 了,换我是三哥家的,也会不满,毕竟人家卡下游孟加拉和巴基斯坦的水源,那可是各种往死里下黑 手。 所以为什么雅鲁藏布江水电站为什么到现在才宣布开工? 之前有人说,这是想刺激内需,毕竟大工程带动GDP,可以熨平经济周期。这么说也有几分道理,但问 题是,雅鲁藏布江水电站投资总量有1.2万亿,体量是不少,可建设周期10年起,这1.2万亿除以10,平 摊下来每年也就1200亿。讲真放在西藏一地,算有点体量,能拉一把当地的经济,但放在全国看,真还 不够看的。 至于说要靠一个水电站直接托底全国钢铁水泥企业,那更是开玩笑了。是,可以消化一部分产能,但朋 友,你在这么说之前 ...
破壁者陈科:数字化不止“基建”,更要造“样板间”
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 09:00
作者 | 于向南 头图 | AI生成 走进安踏的门店,你可能不会立刻察觉科技的痕迹,但一次次线上下单门店自提的秒级响应,一件件通过数据算法精准匹配的新品推送,以及导购员手机里 随调随用的各地库存......这些悄悄运行的细节,正是安踏集团以数字化重构零售的印证——将"科技感"融入到了日常运营当中。 "纯基建类的IT活动是信息化,数字化的核心是产生业务价值。" 作为这个团队的管理者,陈科用修建房子来解释这一点:信息化体系的建设犹如打地基,但仅有地基是无法产生直接的经济效益,必须有样板间、预售、交 付甚至带软装的,这样才能让终端消费者买单。 今天的安踏集团,体量庞大,且能兼顾质量与规模增长。其2024年全年营业收入约708亿元人民币,同比增长13.6%;截至2024年底,安踏集团旗下品牌门 店总数超过一万家。 陈科很清楚,真正的增长并非单纯来自门店数量扩张,而是在于深挖"店效",在于不同品牌与消费者的匹配,更在于用数字化让每个业务单元都得到进化, 并通过应用AI技术进一步放大数字化的价值。 所以,安踏的数字化战略,没有炫技式的口号,而是紧扣"人、货、场"这一零售本质。陈科表示,未来品牌的边界将被打破,每个人都将是 ...
一座动物园,如何带火一座城?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 08:53
Group 1 - The core story revolves around a mother seeking a refund for a zoo annual pass due to her child's serious illness, which led to a significant act of kindness from the zoo [2][3][68] - The South Tong Forest Wild Animal Park not only refunded the annual pass fee of 588 yuan but also donated 50,000 yuan in cash and over 12,000 yuan from a wishing well, while allowing the family to keep their annual pass permanently [3][68] - This act of goodwill garnered widespread attention and praise on social media, significantly increasing the zoo's popularity and boosting tourism in the surrounding area [4][5][66] Group 2 - The phenomenon of the "Snow Cake Monkey" at the Changchun Animal and Botanical Park illustrates a different approach to engaging visitors through humor and relatable content [7][10] - The character, portrayed by actor Wang Tiezhu, gained immense popularity on social media, leading to a surge in visitors to the park and creating a new form of interactive experience for guests [14][16][17] - The success of the "Snow Cake Monkey" reflects a broader trend where emotional engagement and relatable content drive tourism and visitor participation in urban cultural experiences [25][72] Group 3 - The Red Mountain Forest Zoo in Nanjing transformed its financial situation by leveraging social media and creating relatable animal characters, leading to a significant increase in visitor engagement and merchandise sales [31][62] - The zoo's innovative marketing strategies, including the creation of animal IPs and relatable content, have resulted in a substantial increase in revenue from younger demographics [56][59] - The combination of emotional storytelling and interactive experiences has redefined the role of zoos in urban tourism, making them vital components of city culture and economy [70][75]
遍地摩托的东南亚,正刮起“油改电”风潮
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 08:24
Core Insights - The article discusses the significance of motorcycles in Southeast Asia, highlighting their prevalence as a primary mode of transportation in urban areas [5][6][26] - It emphasizes the competitive landscape of the motorcycle market, particularly the dominance of Japanese brands like Honda and Yamaha, and the challenges faced by Chinese brands in the region [10][11][18] Market Overview - In Southeast Asia, motorcycle registration reached 236 million units in 2020, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.1% from 2008 to 2020 [6] - Motorcycles account for over 70% of total vehicle registrations in countries like Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, and Myanmar [7] - The household penetration rate of motorcycles is extremely high, with Vietnam at 90%, Laos at 89%, and Indonesia at 85% [9] Competitive Landscape - Japanese motorcycle manufacturers have established a stronghold in the market due to their effective supply chain management and brand building strategies [12][22] - Chinese motorcycle brands initially captured 80% of the Vietnamese market in 1999 but later struggled due to price wars and lack of brand recognition [17][18][20] Transition to Electric Motorcycles - Traditional fuel motorcycles still dominate the market with a 96.8% share, but there is a growing trend towards electric motorcycles driven by climate policies [27][41] - Countries like Singapore, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam are implementing various strategies to promote electric vehicles, including tax incentives and infrastructure development [29][33][38] Opportunities for Chinese Companies - The transition to electric motorcycles presents a significant opportunity for Chinese manufacturers, who have established supply chains and competitive pricing [43] - The RCEP agreement facilitates the export of electric motorcycles from China to Indonesia and Vietnam, with reduced tariffs [45] - The article suggests that the current market conditions represent a unique opportunity for Chinese electric motorcycle companies to expand in Southeast Asia [47][48]
给手机充个电为啥有时快有时慢?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 07:27
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the complexities and challenges of smartphone charging technologies, highlighting the evolution of battery capacities and the emergence of various fast charging protocols that have made charging more complicated than before [1]. Charging Technology Overview - Early smartphones had smaller battery capacities and adhered to a unified USB charging standard, which allowed for relatively straightforward charging processes [1]. - Modern smartphones now often exceed 5000mAh in battery capacity, necessitating faster charging solutions to avoid lengthy charging times [1]. Fast Charging Protocols - **PD (Power Delivery)**: A universal protocol supporting USB Type-C devices, capable of delivering different voltages (5/9/12/15/20V) with a maximum power of 100W (PD3.0) or 240W (PD3.1) [2]. - **VOOC**: Developed by OPPO, this protocol features low voltage and high current options (e.g., 5V/6A, 10V/6.5A, 20V/7.5A), allowing for efficient charging with minimal heat generation [4]. - **SCP (Super Charge Protocol)**: Exclusive to Honor devices, SCP utilizes high voltage and high current, with options like 5V/4.5A and newer versions supporting 10V/4A and 20V/5A [5]. Compatibility Issues - Fast charging protocols are often incompatible with one another, requiring users to ensure that their devices, charging heads, and cables all support the same protocol for optimal charging speeds [5].
美国药价,为何是全球最高的?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 06:35
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the complexities and challenges of drug pricing in the United States, highlighting the significant price disparities compared to Europe and the underlying factors contributing to these differences. Group 1: Trump's Executive Order and Its Implications - Trump's executive order aimed to reduce drug prices by 30%-80%, but lacked a clear implementation plan, leading to confusion and a rise in pharmaceutical stock prices instead of a decline [2][4][5]. - The historical context reveals that U.S. law prohibits the government from negotiating drug prices directly with pharmaceutical companies, rooted in the philosophy of maintaining a separation between government and business [6][10][13]. Group 2: Drug Pricing Mechanisms - Drug prices in the U.S. are significantly higher than in other developed countries, with some medications costing 5-10 times more [15][52]. - The pricing mechanism involves multiple channels, including government insurance and commercial insurance, each with different pricing strategies and negotiation dynamics [29][30]. Group 3: Global Drug Price Comparisons - In Europe, drug prices are generally lower, with examples showing that the same medication can cost around $500 in Europe compared to $1000 in the U.S. [52][53]. - The article notes that while some rare disease medications are still expensive, the overall trend shows that U.S. drug prices are often higher due to various market dynamics and negotiation practices [56][58]. Group 4: Industry Dynamics and Future Considerations - The pharmaceutical industry is characterized by a complex interplay of innovation, pricing strategies, and regulatory frameworks, which influence the development and pricing of new drugs [47][68]. - The introduction of negotiation mechanisms in the U.S. under the IRA Act reflects a shift towards more competitive pricing, similar to practices seen in other countries [67][68].
我在广东打工30年,没发财,拍了150万张照片
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 06:29
我叫占有兵,52岁,在广东打工30年,喜欢摄影,拍了150多万张记录我和工友们打工生活的照片。 从小学到初中,我都很喜欢读书,成绩也很好。1989年,我第一次去县城,因为我考上了谷城一中——县里最好的高中。 读书时,我最期望的是吃饱饭。每天上午,到了最后一堂课,我总是在和饥饿做斗争,不停地用手揉肚子,但"咕咕、咕咕"的叫声不断地分散我的注意 力。 每个月10元生活费,每天1斤粮食,穿着姑父给的解放鞋,吃着姑姑腌制的咸菜,我每天都梦想着跳出农门。 三年后,千军万马过独木桥,我高考失利,没能实现鲤鱼跳龙门的梦想。 1973年,我出生在鄂西北的庙滩小镇,我的祖祖辈辈都生活在农村。 20世纪七八十年代,鄂西北还比较落后。那时,我们家住着茅草屋,墙是玉米秆糊泥巴砌的,床上垫着稻草当"席梦思",屋顶上用篾席子挡着,每天晚 上,老鼠在篾席子上进行跑步比赛。 △2013年春运,广东东莞,长安汽车站出发厅内挤得动弹不得,每当有车靠站时,人群都会发生一阵骚动。 1992年年底,我参军到武警四川总队,成了一名驻守在康巴高原的武警战士。我每天起早摸黑,练功、读书、执勤,希望能考上警校,可阴差阳错再次失 利。 打好背包、摘除警衔和警徽 ...