上周是十一长假后的首个交易周，周四在两融资金大幅回流下市场整体表现较强，上证指数突破3900 点，而周五在中美贸易摩擦再度升温后有所调整。全周来看，创业板周跌3.86%，科创50周跌2.85%。 行业来看，上周有色、煤炭、钢铁表现较好，而传媒、电子、计算机跌幅较多。 从债券市场看，上周债券市场走势呈现分化格局，超长端利率债表现偏弱，10y以内表现相对较强。直 至10月11日，国庆调休日非银未参与交易的背景下，受突发关税博弈影响，长久期品种大幅下行。 从未来货币政策导向来看，预计稳增长政策持续发力，货币政策也会继续大力度支持配合，流动性不需 要太过担忧，泓德基金分析，目前债市最大的扰动除了"股债跷跷板"以外，主要来自以下几个方面：第 一，央行总量政策的边际变化，整体来看，需要关注的重点，是流动性较弱的信用债因潜在赎回风险带 来的短期流动性冲击；第二是前期央行对增量政策的表述篇谨慎的态度，但突发关税政策的不确定性环 境下，基本面定价、宽货币的必要性等因素重新对债市产生影响，整体来看信用债短期内预防性规避弱 流动性资产，还有基金偏好债券品种（政金、二永、长端国债）的价值重估需要短期规避，关税冲突主 要还是博弈方式， ...

Core Viewpoint - The market has shifted towards dividend sectors, with strong resilience in dividend indices and low volatility indices, driven by recent negative overseas news, making high dividend assets attractive for accelerated capital allocation [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of October 10, 2025, the market's first dividend-themed ETF, the Dividend ETF (510880), and the first low-volatility dividend ETF, the Low Volatility Dividend ETF (512890), have seen significant net inflows since September 15, totaling 10.39 billion and 4.70 billion respectively, ranking them among the top in the market [1][3]. - Daily trading volumes for the Dividend ETF and Low Volatility Dividend ETF have steadily increased since September 18, reaching 8.32 billion and 6.25 billion on October 10, marking a substantial rise from their average daily trading volumes of 4.6 billion and 4.2 billion since the beginning of the year [2]. Group 2: Fund Size and Inflows - The Dividend ETF's fund size has surpassed 200 billion, reaching 200.25 billion, a new high since June 5, 2025, while the Low Volatility Dividend ETF has also reached 204.64 billion, making them the only two dividend-themed ETFs in the domestic market exceeding 200 billion [3][6]. - The number of holders for the Dividend ETF has reached 421,800, making it the only dividend-themed ETF with over 400,000 holders in the market, while the Low Volatility Dividend ETF's linked funds have a total of 1,163,100 holders [5]. Group 3: Investment Outlook - The recent decline in the 10-year government bond yield from 1.90% on September 24 to 1.82% on October 10 has led to a significant increase in the dividend yield of the dividend indices, reaching historical high differentials of 59.26% and 63.05% [4]. - Analysts suggest that the trend of market risk appetite recovery may continue into October, recommending a focus on cyclical high-dividend stocks and potential high-dividend opportunities, particularly in the banking sector, which offers stable dividends and strong operational characteristics [4]. Group 4: Management Expertise - Huatai-PineBridge Fund, a pioneer in ETF management, has over 18 years of experience in dividend-themed index investments, managing a total of 43.097 billion across various dividend ETFs, including the Dividend ETF and Low Volatility Dividend ETF [7].

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a shift from rising to falling after the holiday, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping nearly 1% and falling below 3900 points [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.52 trillion, a decrease of 137.6 billion from the previous trading day [1] - Sector performance was mixed, with construction materials, coal, and textiles leading in gains, while electronics, power equipment, computers, and non-ferrous metals saw significant declines [1] Macro Analysis - The impact of recent Sino-U.S. trade tensions on the market is expected to be weaker than in April, due to more precise and effective countermeasures from China, including actions related to rare earths and lithium batteries [2][3] - Previous trade negotiations have yielded some results, and recent technological advancements in China's semiconductor and emerging tech sectors strengthen its negotiating position [2] - Economic data from the U.S. is showing signs of marginal deterioration, while China's economic structure is showing positive changes, with improved profit margins for industrial enterprises and stabilization in PPI year-on-year data [2][3] Investment Strategy - The focus remains on technology growth as a core investment theme, with potential short-term trading opportunities in rare earths and precious metals [4][5] - The upcoming political meetings and policy announcements in October are expected to provide favorable conditions for investment, despite potential short-term market fluctuations [4] - Long-term prospects for the stock market are optimistic, supported by declining risk-free interest rates, improved liquidity, and better earnings expectations [4][5] Sector Focus - The acceleration of AI innovation and domestic production is expected to lead to a new capital expenditure cycle, particularly in sectors like internet, electronic semiconductors, defense, and robotics [5] - The financial sector, after adjustments, is showing improved dividend returns and stable value, with attention on brokerage and insurance stocks [5] - The shift in economic governance is likely to correct previously overvalued deflation expectations, making cyclical commodities like non-ferrous metals, chemicals, steel, and new energy more attractive [6]

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced a collective decline in the three major stock indices on October 13, while the Science and Technology Innovation 50 index rose by over 1%. The Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890) showed resilience, increasing by 0.52% despite the overall market downturn [1]. Fund Performance - The Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890) had a closing price of 1.156, with a 5-day increase of 0.61% and a total trading volume of 1.156 billion CNY [2]. - Over the past five trading days, the ETF saw a net inflow of 158 million CNY, which increased to 346 million CNY over the last ten days, and reached a total net inflow of 1.299 billion CNY over the last sixty days, indicating strong investor interest [2][3]. Market Outlook - Huaxi Securities suggests that the market impact this month will be less severe than the "April 7 incident," with "turning points and opportunities" being key themes for October [4]. - The industry allocation is expected to favor sectors such as dividends, agriculture, military, and rare earths, while Everbright Securities indicates that the market may enter a phase of wide fluctuations due to multiple factors [4]. Investment Strategy - The Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890) has achieved a cumulative return of 129.76% since its inception in December 2018, outperforming its benchmark and ranking 82nd among 502 similar products [4]. - The fund has consistently delivered positive returns for six consecutive years from 2019 to 2024, making it one of the few A-share market ETFs to achieve "annual positive returns" [4]. - Experts recommend that investors consider the Dividend Low Volatility ETF as a core component for stable returns in their asset allocation, suggesting a dollar-cost averaging approach to mitigate short-term volatility risks [4].

Group 1 - The market has experienced fluctuations and adjustments recently, but the long-term positive trend remains intact. External shocks leading to asset declines present a good opportunity to increase holdings in the Chinese market [2] - The current external trade risks are relatively clear compared to previous shocks, and domestic financial stability conditions are more apparent, indicating that external disturbances will not end the upward trend [2] - There are structural opportunities alongside short-term adjustments, with continued optimism for technology growth, finance, and certain cyclical sectors. Investors are advised to maintain a balanced allocation and focus on investment opportunities in these areas [2] Group 2 - Huabao Fund has launched three major broad-based ETFs tracking the China A-share market, providing investors with diverse options to invest in China [2] - The A50 ETF focuses on the top 50 core leading companies, while the A100 ETF encompasses the top 100 industry leaders, and the A500 ETF covers a broader range of 500 companies [2] - The total trading volume in the market reached 2.35 trillion yuan, a decrease of 160.9 billion yuan from the previous day, indicating a decline in market activity [1]

Market Overview - The three major indices in the A-share market adjusted, with the ChiNext index falling over 1% and total trading volume decreasing to 2.37 trillion yuan [1][2] - The non-ferrous metals sector led the gains among the Shenwan first-level industries [1] Trade Data - In September, China's total goods trade value reached 4.04 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8%, marking the highest monthly growth rate of the year [2][3] - Exports amounted to 2.34 trillion yuan, up 8.4% year-on-year, while imports were 1.70 trillion yuan, increasing by 7.5% [2] Economic Indicators - The rebound in both export and import growth indicates a synchronized improvement in domestic and external demand [3] - The resilience in exports is attributed to China's ongoing market diversification strategy and product structure optimization, enhancing overall competitiveness and value-added exports [3] Market Sentiment - The market is currently observing a high-risk preference, with attention on the changes in incremental capital, especially high-risk preference funds [1][2] - The Federal Reserve's continued interest rate cuts and manageable tariff risks contribute to maintaining a high market risk appetite [1][2] Sector Performance - On October 13, the A-share market saw declines in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.19% and the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.93% [4] - The non-ferrous metals, environmental protection, and steel sectors showed notable gains, while the automotive, home appliances, and beauty care sectors experienced significant declines [4]

Core Viewpoint - The investment landscape is shifting towards "low-volatility fixed income +" products, which combine bonds as a stable base with a small allocation to equities for enhanced returns, appealing to investors seeking stability with some growth potential [1][2][3] Market Trends - The yield on pure bond products has been declining, with medium to long-term pure bond funds averaging only 0.34% returns this year, while short-term pure bond funds are at 0.91% [2] - In contrast, "equity-inclusive" fixed income products have performed well, with secondary bond funds averaging a 4.7% increase, mixed bond funds at 5.62%, and convertible bond funds soaring by 18.98% [2] Product Features - The newly launched "Fuguo Stable Growth Bond Fund" emphasizes a strategy of 80% bond allocation and 20% equity to balance stability and growth [5] - The bond portion focuses on short to medium duration, high-grade credit bonds to minimize risk, while the equity portion targets undervalued blue-chip stocks with high dividend yields [5][6] - The fund incorporates a flexible "toolkit" allowing for ETF investments to capitalize on short-term opportunities in high-volatility sectors [6] Risk Management - The fund employs a three-tiered risk control mechanism, including valuation control, dynamic rebalancing, and individual stock monitoring to mitigate potential losses [8] Management Expertise - The fund is managed by Zhu Chenjie, who has 12 years of experience and a strong track record in various bond fund categories, enhancing the fund's credibility [9][12] Target Audience - The fund is suitable for investors with cash savings seeking better returns than traditional savings accounts, those wary of stock market volatility, and individuals looking for a stable asset allocation tool [13]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that "fixed income +" funds are in a favorable investment environment due to the positive performance of equity markets and the downward trend of bond market interest rates [1][2] - The macroeconomic recovery is supported by policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and a projected GDP growth of 5.3% in the first half of 2025, which provides a foundation for equity market opportunities [1] - The bond market is transitioning towards high-quality development with a determined downward trend in interest rates, as evidenced by the 10-year government bond yield entering the "1 era," indicating good allocation opportunities for "fixed income +" funds [1] Group 2 - There is a notable trend of capital migration, with a decrease of 1.11 trillion yuan in resident deposits and an increase of 2.14 trillion yuan in non-bank deposits in July, reflecting investors' search for higher yields in a low-interest-rate environment [2] - "Fixed income +" funds are becoming increasingly popular for stable investment, with their total scale recovering to 1.73 trillion yuan by the end of the second quarter this year, according to CITIC Securities [2]

Core Insights - The average seven-day annualized yield of money market funds in China is approaching or even falling below 1%, reflecting a downward trend in low-risk asset yields due to a sustained low interest rate environment [1] - Despite the declining yields, money market funds maintain three core advantages: low risk, strong liquidity, and low investment thresholds [1][2] - As of July 2025, the total scale of money market funds in China reached 14.6 trillion yuan, an increase of 1 trillion yuan since the beginning of the year, indicating continued growth in this investment category [1] Summary by Category Investment Environment - The decline in money market fund yields is primarily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as loose monetary policy and falling market interest rates, rather than inherent risks of the products themselves [1] Advantages of Money Market Funds - Low Risk: Investments are primarily in high-quality short-term money market instruments like bank deposits, interbank certificates of deposit, government bonds, and central bank bills [1] - Strong Liquidity: Most products support T+0 or T+1 redemption, with some funds integrated into payment scenarios for immediate use [1] - Low Investment Threshold: Typically, investments can start from as low as 1 yuan, making them accessible for ordinary investors [1] Investment Strategy - Investors are encouraged to adjust their yield expectations and manage idle funds scientifically, balancing safety and liquidity while seeking moderate returns through layered asset allocation [2] - For short-term idle funds (within 3 months), continuing to hold money market funds is advisable to maintain liquidity and safety [2] - For funds not needed for 3 months or more, investors may consider allocating to interbank certificate index funds or short-term bond funds for potentially higher returns [2]

Group 1 - The defense and military industry showed resilience in the market, with the popular defense ETF (512810) experiencing significant trading volume of over 62 million yuan and multiple instances of premium pricing [1] - Key stocks such as Changcheng Military Industry and Aopu Optoelectronics reached their daily limit up, while Inner Mongolia First Machinery Group saw a rise of 6.94% [1] - The AG600 amphibious aircraft entered mass production, marking a breakthrough in domestic large civil aircraft self-supply, with the successful test flight of the second aircraft and the delivery of the third [3] Group 2 - The unveiling of the J-6 drone at the Changchun Airshow highlights the trend towards unmanned and intelligent equipment, which is expected to boost orders in upstream materials and electronics within the defense sector [3] - The defense industry is closely tied to national five-year plans, with upcoming significant meetings likely to clarify the focus areas for the 15th five-year plan, emphasizing the development of unmanned and intelligent equipment [3] - The defense and military sector is benefiting from industrial upgrades and the trend towards self-sufficiency, with sustained high demand for core equipment and an overall high industry prosperity [3] Group 3 - The defense ETF (512810) passively tracks the CSI Military Index, with its top ten weighted stocks including China Shipbuilding, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, and Guoke Technology [3]