Group 1 - The external environment is marginally improving, with a rebound in domestic market risk appetite. Recent international situations have shown improvement, leading to an increase in expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which has driven a general rebound in global capital markets. The domestic market has also seen a notable recovery in risk appetite, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high for the year and the Shenzhen Component Index rebounding as well [1] - The two markets experienced fluctuations with a slight decrease in trading volume. On Monday, both markets opened slightly lower but gradually rebounded, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing near its daily high and recovering its five-day moving average. The Shenzhen Component Index continued to rebound, outperforming the Shanghai market recently. The trading volume was around 1.4 trillion yuan, a decrease from the previous Friday. On a microstructural level, there were more gainers than losers, with a significant number of stocks hitting the daily limit up. The main market hotspots were concentrated in the defense, military, and TMT sectors, with small-cap and technology styles leading in gains [1] - The market rhythm indicates that the Shanghai Composite Index has broken through the small trading range from May and June, moving to a higher level. The index has surpassed the previous trading range and achieved a new high for the year. However, there remains strong technical resistance in the dense trading area from the fourth quarter of last year, and without substantial positive information, it is expected to be challenging to break through upward in one go [1]

都会常卖出体的精彩 申万宏源i正券 SHENWAR HONGYUAN SECURITIES 1每 一次第五日 ◀ 14 િન્દ 投资日历7月 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of investor education and awareness to combat illegal stock recommendations and financial scams, particularly through a comprehensive outreach program by Shenwan Hongyuan Securities [1][12]. Group 1: Outreach Initiatives - Shenwan Hongyuan Securities has launched a "Four Entering" initiative, focusing on entering educational bases, campuses, communities, and listed companies to enhance investor education and risk awareness [1][12]. - The company has conducted over 200 investor education activities, reaching more than 500,000 investors during the campaign [12]. Group 2: Campus Education - A specialized action called "Preventing Non-Compliance Knowledge into Campuses" has been implemented, targeting college students to improve their investment knowledge and risk identification skills [3]. - Collaborations with 48 universities have been established to create a comprehensive educational matrix, utilizing a combination of theoretical lectures, case analyses, and scenario simulations [3]. Group 3: Community Engagement - The company has initiated a "Silver Guard Plan" to address the specific needs of elderly investors, focusing on common high-yield promises and scams [5]. - Educational booths have been set up in over 50 communities, providing explanations of typical cases and offering one-on-one consultations for the elderly [6]. Group 4: Corporate Education - Shenwan Hongyuan Securities has organized "Rational Investment with Me" activities in various companies, addressing topics like AI stock recommendations and virtual currency investments [6]. - A regular communication mechanism between enterprises and financial institutions has been established to facilitate ongoing investor education [6]. Group 5: Financial Knowledge Base - During the "Anti-Fraud Promotion Month," the educational base has hosted a series of lectures on common illegal fundraising methods and case studies, enhancing public awareness [8]. - The base has utilized both online and offline methods to broaden its outreach, including interactive experiences to help participants understand risks [8]. Group 6: Innovative Approaches - The company has introduced the "Financial Deconstruction Squad" initiative, which aims to simplify complex financial scams into understandable safety guidelines through immersive educational activities [14]. - This initiative encourages public participation and creates a collective intelligence mechanism to identify and report scams [14]. Group 7: Long-term Commitment - Shenwan Hongyuan Securities plans to continue enhancing its anti-fraud education efforts by embedding these initiatives into its business processes, focusing on professionalism, public welfare, and uniqueness [16].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of a stable and active capital market as a key goal for economic health and wealth management in China, supported by recent policy initiatives and the improvement in the quality of listed companies [1][2]. Group 1: Policy and Market Stability - The central government has prioritized the stability of the capital market as a crucial aspect of financial regulation, with multiple meetings highlighting the need for coordinated policies to promote healthy market development [2]. - A series of targeted policies were introduced in response to external shocks, aiming to consolidate the market's recovery and stability [2]. Group 2: Company Performance and Market Fundamentals - The quality of listed companies is seen as a foundational element for the stability and strength of the capital market, with 2024 projections indicating total revenue of 72 trillion yuan and a net profit of 5.22 trillion yuan for A-share companies [3]. - Nearly 60% of listed companies are expected to report revenue growth, and around 80% are projected to be profitable, indicating a robust support for market recovery [3]. - Key sectors such as artificial intelligence, advanced manufacturing, and biomedicine are experiencing significant profit growth, with net profits in chip design and integrated circuits, consumer electronics, and innovative pharmaceuticals expected to rise by 19%, 13%, and 13% respectively [3]. - Cash dividends from A-share companies have shown consistent growth, with total cash dividends increasing from 2.1 trillion yuan in 2022 to 2.4 trillion yuan in 2024, and the average dividend payout ratio also rising [3]. Group 3: Funding and Investment Trends - Domestic long-term funds are becoming a stabilizing force in the market, with professional investment institutions holding approximately 13 trillion yuan in A-share market value, accounting for over 16% of the total [4]. - The social security fund has significantly increased its market presence, holding nearly 500 billion yuan in A-shares by the end of 2024, contributing to market stability [4]. - Policies have been implemented to encourage long-term funds, such as insurance and pension funds, to enter the market, fostering a long-term investment environment [4]. Group 4: Attractiveness to Foreign Investors - The attractiveness of the Chinese capital market to foreign investors is on the rise, with significant inflows of cross-border capital noted since the fourth quarter of 2024 [5]. - Major foreign investment banks have raised their economic growth forecasts for China, indicating increased confidence in the market [5]. - The development of AI technology ecosystems is emerging as a new investment hotspot, contributing to the revaluation of Chinese tech assets [5]. Group 5: Company Strategy and Services - The company aims to enhance its professional service capabilities across various dimensions, including research, institutional services, wealth management, and investment trading [6][7]. - A comprehensive service system has been established to meet the diverse needs of institutional investors, supporting the growth of long-term funds [6]. - The company is focused on developing stable, low-volatility investment products to cater to the wealth preservation and growth needs of individual investors [7].

Core Viewpoint - The company warns investors about fraudulent activities where impostors are posing as employees to deceive clients, emphasizing the importance of verifying identities and using official channels for communication and transactions [1][2]. Group 1: Fraudulent Activities - Impostors are using various phone numbers and WeChat nicknames to contact clients, claiming reasons such as "change of account manager" or "relocation of the office" to offer unauthorized services [1]. - These fraudulent actions are aimed at extracting client commission information and making illegal stock recommendations, which constitutes a scam [1]. Group 2: Investor Warnings - The company advises investors not to add unknown QQ numbers or join suspicious groups, and to avoid downloading unverified apps or trading software [1]. - Investors are urged to verify information through official channels to prevent falling victim to scams [2]. Group 3: Legal Actions - The company reserves the right to take legal action against any individuals or entities impersonating its employees and engaging in illegal financial activities [2]. - A reminder is issued for investors to enhance their risk awareness and to report any suspected fraudulent activities to law enforcement [2]. Group 4: Official Channels - The company provides its official website, customer service phone number, and social media accounts for investors to access verified information [3].

免责声明 投资有风险，入市需谨慎。本内容不构成任何投资建议，最终解释权归申万宏源证券有限公司所有。 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a strong rally this week, with nearly 90% of stocks achieving positive returns, driven by improved global risk appetite due to geopolitical developments and supportive policies in Hong Kong [2][12] - The bond market saw a slight pullback, but overall liquidity remained balanced, aided by the central bank's net injection of over 1 trillion yuan [2][8] Stock Market Insights - The stock market is expected to maintain a favorable risk appetite due to reduced international geopolitical risks and a weaker US dollar, despite the recent rally not being driven by economic fundamentals [6][10] - Structural investment opportunities are anticipated even if market turnover does not continue to increase significantly [6] Bond Market Analysis - The bond market is currently stable with no basis for a significant adjustment, and it is advisable to gradually increase positions during pullbacks [8] - The weak economic fundamentals are providing support for the bond market, making bonds suitable as a stabilizing asset in a diversified portfolio [8] Commodity Market Trends - Gold prices have been in a corrective phase after reaching high levels earlier this year, with COMEX gold failing to break the $3,500 per ounce mark [9][40] - The commodity index saw a weekly decline of 2.00%, with specific sectors like energy and agricultural products experiencing notable drops [40][42] Industry Performance - In the stock market, the computer, defense, and non-bank financial sectors showed strong performance with weekly gains of +7.70%, +6.90%, and +6.66% respectively [22][25] - The banking sector also performed well, with a year-on-year increase of 32.02% [25] Key Events Impacting the Market - The recent ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran has positively influenced market sentiment [30] - The upcoming summer Davos Forum, attended by Chinese Premier Li Qiang, is expected to draw attention to China's economic policies [29]

免责声明 投资有风险，入市需谨慎。本内容不构成任何投资建议，最终解释权归申万宏源证券有限公司所有。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company has identified illegal financial activities being conducted by fraudsters using its name and the name of an employee, which severely harms investor rights and the company's reputation [1][2]. Group 1: Illegal Activities - Fraudsters are luring investors with offers of free phone credits and inviting them to join a WeChat group named "Shenwan Hongyuan Internal Group" to promote illegal stock recommendations [1]. - The fraud involves the use of a fake trading app called "Shenwan e Hongfa," where scammers promise high returns and provide trading instructions, claiming to offer a "compensation agreement" for losses up to 30,000 yuan [1]. Group 2: Company Response - The company warns investors against adding unknown QQ numbers or joining suspicious groups, and advises against downloading unverified apps or engaging in financial transactions without confirming the identity of the other party [1][2]. - The company reserves the right to take legal action against any individuals or organizations impersonating it or its employees in illegal financial activities [2]. Group 3: Investor Awareness - Investors are urged to enhance their risk awareness and ability to identify fraudulent activities, and to report any suspected scams to law enforcement [2].

以下文章来源于申万宏源证券上海分公司 ，作者杨敏 申万宏源证券上海分公司 . 申万宏源证券上海分公司官微，能为您提供账户开立、软件下载、研究所及投顾资讯等综合服务，为您 的财富保驾护航。 本周市场放量突破 3400 一带压力，周线月线趋势看，指数的上行趋势依然没结束。 周五市场由银行板块大幅调整引发市场三连阳后出现一定调整， 目前调整性质还需观察，主 要看下周初的市场反馈： 一方面，半年末资金面紧张的时间点到下周一 6 月 30 日就过去了 ， 周五国债回购利率大 涨也是引发调整因素之一，看周二是否在短期资金面利空过去后企稳回升，甚至市场强的 话，周一就会提前企稳。 上述消息面总体偏暖，重点是市场反馈。 如果市场依然强，那么下周初在资金面利空过去 后，应该重回上行趋势；否则，短期要做适当防御。 中期趋势上 ，从指数的 ERP 、估值、证券化率等指标看，依然性价比较高，同时近期大宗 商品包括黑色系、基本金属和多晶硅、工业硅等的连续异动，这也是 PPI 未来走高的重要前 兆， 下半年依然看好。 免责声明：本文内容为作者个人观点，本站只提供参考并不构成任何投资及应用建议。如需转载，注意不得篡改原 文题目和内容，本站 ...