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8700亿爆买港股!中国资产领涨全球
天天基金网· 2025-08-21 11:36
以下文章来源于东方财富Choice数据 ,作者Choice 东方财富Choice数据 . Choice数据是东方财富旗下智能金融数据品牌,是国内领先的金融数据服务商。我们致力于为金融投资 机构、学术研究机构、政务监管、媒体和专业投资者提供金融投资领域多场景解决方案,以及更高效、 更精准的投资决策依据。 7月以来A股加速上涨,上证指数接连突破3600、3700重要关口,创10年新 高。港股继 续刷新年内新高,继续冲击近四年高点。 年初至今,中国资产领涨全球资本市场。截至8月20日,科创100上涨38.21%,中证 2000上涨33.21%,恒生指数、创业板指涨超20%,上证指数、深证成指涨超12%。 8700亿资金爆买港股 南向资金持续加大买入力度,与近期港股的行情密切相关。Choice数据显示,截至8月20 日,南向资金年内累计净流入8760亿元,已超过2024年全年的7470亿元,刷新新的历史 纪录。 今年4月,高盛曾将2025年南向资金净流入预测从750亿美元上调至1100亿美元(约 7900亿人民币),理由是港股吸引力不断增强。国泰海通指出,年内来看南向资金仍有增 配空间,全年南向资金净流入额有望超10 ...
逼近3800点!5大指标看A股本轮牛市高度!
天天基金网· 2025-08-21 11:36
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing increased volatility, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new 10-year high, approaching 3800 points, and trading volume exceeding 2 trillion yuan for the seventh consecutive trading day [1][2][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed higher, driven by sectors such as mining, electricity, and banking, while semiconductor and brokerage sectors saw a pullback [4][5]. - External capital remains optimistic about the A-share market, with significant inflows into Chinese stocks despite recent market fluctuations [5][6]. Group 2: External Capital Inflows - Nomura's latest report indicates a shift of funds towards the more attractive Chinese market, with increases in allocation to A-shares and H-shares [6]. - Korean retail investors have significantly increased their holdings in Hong Kong stocks, reaching a four-year high of 2.4 billion USD as of August 12 [6]. - Goldman Sachs reports that China has become the market with the highest net capital inflows globally, showcasing strong resilience and attractiveness [6]. Group 3: Sector Focus - Analysts suggest focusing on sectors such as electronics, computing, and telecommunications, which have seen major net purchases, while coal has experienced slight net selling [9]. - Morgan Stanley highlights that the banking sector, particularly China Bank, is expected to see further gains due to stable net interest margins and growth in fee income, with potential increases of 15% in A-shares and 8% in H-shares [11]. Group 4: Market Dynamics and Indicators - The current trend of "deposit migration" is still in its early stages, which could lead to increased capital market activity and a positive feedback loop for stock market growth [12]. - Historical data suggests that the A-share market has significant room for growth, with current market capitalization to GDP ratios indicating a gap from previous bull market peaks [14]. - The A-share market is currently experiencing a high leverage level, with financing balances reaching 2.04624 trillion yuan, approaching historical highs seen during previous bull markets [20]. Group 5: Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to maintain a balanced approach, with a core-satellite strategy allocating 70% to stable funds and 30% to thematic funds, while employing disciplined investment practices [29][30]. - Regular evaluations of holdings and maintaining cash reserves for market corrections are recommended to optimize investment outcomes [30].
瑞银王宗豪:A股市场热度有望持续更长时间
天天基金网· 2025-08-21 11:36
Core Viewpoints - The A-share market is expected to maintain its heat for a longer period due to multiple favorable factors driving retail capital inflow and increased trading volume [2][3][5]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Retail capital inflow is one of the key drivers behind the recent rise in the A-share market, with trading volume increasing by 80% year-on-year and financing balances also rising significantly [3]. - Historical trends indicate that as the A-share market strengthens, retail participation typically increases, suggesting greater upside potential for the market [3]. - The current financing balance, although rising, remains low relative to market capitalization, indicating room for further growth [3]. Group 2: Economic and Policy Factors - A combination of favorable policies is providing strong support for the market, with household savings accelerating their shift to capital markets, creating a continuous source of incremental funds [5]. - The overall profit growth forecast for A-share listed companies is expected to turn positive by 2025, ending a four-year decline, particularly in the technology innovation sector [5]. - The anticipated easing of the Federal Reserve's interest rates and a weaker dollar are likely to facilitate foreign capital inflow into the A-share market [5]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Valuation - The current market environment is characterized by a positive feedback loop of increasing incremental funds and rising market prices, with ample off-market capital and active trading [7][8]. - The risk premium in the market has increased, and the improving profitability of enterprises supports the potential for a sustained upward trend in the market [8]. - If the implied volatility decreases gradually, it may indicate a slowdown in the market's upward momentum, necessitating close monitoring of market conditions [9].
9月将集中亮相!一图梳理军工新域新质力量概念
天天基金网· 2025-08-21 11:36
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent activity in the military industry stocks, highlighting the impact of the upcoming military parade and the associated "parade market" trends observed in previous years [5]. Group 1: Military Equipment and Technology - The military parade will showcase domestically produced main battle equipment, including new-generation tanks, carrier-based aircraft, and fighter jets, emphasizing the PLA's operational capabilities [4]. - The parade will feature advanced equipment such as hypersonic weapons, air defense systems, and strategic missiles, demonstrating the military's strong deterrent capabilities [4]. - The focus will be on new types of unmanned intelligent systems and electronic warfare capabilities, reflecting the military's adaptation to technological advancements and evolving warfare [4]. Group 2: Market Trends and Analysis - Historical analysis shows that military stocks typically experience a rally 1-2 months prior to major parades, with military indices rising in the lead-up to these events [5]. - The strength of the "parade market" is influenced by overall market conditions and risk appetite, with significant past gains noted, such as an 84% excess return in the military sector during the 2015 parade [5]. - Post-parade, military stocks may face short-term adjustments, but long-term performance will be driven by the fundamentals of the military industry [5].
持仓增长约三成!韩国股民扫货中国股票
天天基金网· 2025-08-21 11:36
以下文章来源于财经图解 ,作者卢娜 财经图解 . 财经大事早知道,关注东方财富股票! | 5 | 恒瑞医药 | Pillan | 10.63 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 | 比亚迪 | | 7.79 | | 7 | 中心国际(H) | SMIC | 6.58 | | 8 | 宁德时代(H) | CATL | 6.24 | | 9 | 天齐锂业(H) | | 5.93 | | 10 | 第三十八(H) | | 5.43 | | 11 | 泡泡玛特(H) | POP MART | 4.74 | | 12 | 中国人保(H) | | 4.23 | | 13 | 贵州茅台 | HERSEAS | 3.44 | | 14 | 中国中免(H) | cdf | 2.85 | | 15 | 中国留安 | | 2.77 | | 16 | 中国中免 | cdf | 2.53 | | 17 | 美团(H) | 美团 | 2.52 | | 18 | 詰丽控股(H) | | 2.32 | | 19 | 豪威集团 | | 2.31 | | 20 | 环球新材国际(H) | CHESIR | 2.14 ...
40家基金公司最新研判!3700点后A股会怎么走?
天天基金网· 2025-08-21 11:36
Core Viewpoint - The article presents a generally optimistic outlook for the A-share market in the medium term, while acknowledging that the Hong Kong stock market may underperform in the short term but holds long-term investment value [3][4]. Institutional Consensus - A-share market is expected to benefit from liquidity easing, favorable market sentiment, and supportive policy environment, with a potential shift from a structural bull market to a comprehensive bull market [3]. - The Hong Kong market is seen as having long-term allocation value due to its historically low valuations and continuous inflow of southbound funds, despite short-term challenges [4]. Major Disagreements - There are significant differences in views regarding the bond market and the consumer sector [5]. Asset Assessment Hot Industries - Some institutions believe the bond market faces headwinds due to a bullish stock market, making it difficult to achieve excess returns, while others see potential for allocation opportunities if the stock market experiences volatility [7]. - In the consumer sector, some institutions express concerns over slowing domestic demand and weak durable goods consumption, while others highlight the positive impact of national strategies to expand domestic demand [7]. Common Points - Both A-share and Hong Kong markets see investment value in technology and dividend-paying assets, with a focus on sectors like artificial intelligence and innovative pharmaceuticals [8][11]. - The AI and computing power sectors are viewed as having significant long-term investment opportunities, driven by technological advancements and policy support [12][15]. Divergent Views - In the computing power sector, there are differing opinions on the pace of domestic substitution, with some institutions optimistic about rapid progress while others caution against potential obstacles [16]. - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is seen as having solid long-term prospects despite recent pullbacks, with concerns about external policy impacts [17][18]. Industry-Specific Insights - The robotics industry is viewed neutrally to optimistically, closely tied to AI developments, with varying predictions on the timing of AI applications' explosion in the sector [19][20]. - The non-ferrous metals industry is influenced by policy and industrial demand, with expectations of price and profit increases amid tightening supply and strong demand from the electric vehicle sector [21][22]. - The military industry shows significant development opportunities, supported by increasing defense budgets and technological advancements, although opinions differ on how quickly these benefits will be reflected in stock prices [25][26].
A股全年涨幅有望赶上港股
天天基金网· 2025-08-21 05:09
8月20日,持续流入港股的南向资金罕见净流出约146.82亿港元,恒升指数当天上涨0.17%,也大幅跑输上证指数1.04%的涨幅,今年持续领跑的港股 会被A股赶上吗? 截至8月20日收盘,恒生指数今年累计上涨25.45%,领先上证指数12.37%的涨幅。但过去一个月,上证指数涨幅接近6%,而恒生指数仅为0.69%。 在这背后,港元汇率、港元拆息近期迅速飙升引发全球投资者关注。 8月18日〜19日,1个月香港港元银行同业拆息(HIBOR)连续两天分别上涨56个基点,报2.574%,创近3个月新高。香港金管局(下称"金管局")的 猛烈"抽水"是主因。 建银国际首席港股策略师赵文利对第一财经记者表示,近期因港元汇率触及7.85弱方兑换保证,金管局为稳定港元汇率,再次入市干预,先后于8月13 日、8月14日买入70.65亿港元和33.76亿港元,银行体系总结余于8月15日减少至537.16亿港元。今年6月以来,金管局已12次承接港元卖盘,累计承 接1199.7亿港元,相当于今年5月初注入1294亿港元流动性的92.7%。 牛市来了还没上车?上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包,优选基金10元起投!限量发放 ...
2000亿市值巨头,涨停后异动!
天天基金网· 2025-08-21 05:09
Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing a strong performance in the chip sector, with stocks like Aojie Technology and Shengke Communication rising over 10% [2] - ZTE Corporation's A-shares quickly hit the daily limit within two minutes, later adjusting to a 6.69% increase, with a market value exceeding 200 billion [2] - ZTE's H-shares initially surged over 13%, later stabilizing at a 5.79% increase [3] Group 2 - CITIC Securities highlights the rise of AI applications, indicating a pressing need for domestic high-end chips, which may drive technological upgrades among Chinese chip manufacturers [5] - Chipmaker Chipone Technology saw a rise of over 6% in early trading, despite ByteDance denying any collaboration on AI chips [5] - Chipone's market capitalization is reported at 822.1 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of -93.28 [6] Group 3 - The Shenzhen Component Index briefly surpassed 12,000 points, marking a new high since February 17, 2023 [8] - The STAR 50 Index increased by over 2%, indicating strong market sentiment [8] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeded 1 trillion, an increase of over 106.6 billion compared to the previous day [8]
社保基金、养老金,最新动向曝光
天天基金网· 2025-08-21 05:09
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the investment activities of national social security funds and basic pension insurance funds in A-share listed companies, revealing a significant interest in over 140 companies as of August 20, 2025 [2][4]. Group 1: National Social Security Fund Investments - As of August 20, 2025, national social security fund combinations were present among the top ten circulating shareholders in over 120 A-share listed companies [4]. - Notable stocks favored by the national social security funds include Pengding Holdings and Wanhua Chemical, both of which have a holding market value exceeding 10 billion yuan [7]. - The top ten stocks held by national social security funds include Pengding Holdings, Wanhua Chemical, and Xinyi Communication, with significant changes in their holding values [5][8]. Group 2: Basic Pension Insurance Fund Investments - Over ten basic pension insurance fund combinations entered the top ten circulating shareholders of 37 stocks, with Chuanfeng Power and Lanyao Technology being particularly favored [10]. - The Basic Pension Insurance Fund 16022 combination holds over 10 billion yuan in Chuanfeng Power, having increased its stake compared to the previous quarter [10]. - Other companies like Hongfa Shares and Haixing Power also received attention from multiple basic pension insurance fund combinations, with total holdings exceeding 6 billion yuan [11]. Group 3: Overall Market Impact - The combined market value held by national social security funds and basic pension insurance funds in A-share companies exceeded 400 billion yuan as of the end of the second quarter [11].
港交所,突发!牛市旗手,重磅预期催化?
天天基金网· 2025-08-21 05:09
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is considering extending trading hours to a five-day, 24-hour trading mechanism, which could significantly stimulate broker stocks and the exchange itself [2][5]. Group 1: Trading Hours Extension - HKEX CEO Charles Li mentioned that the exchange is studying the implementation of a 24-hour trading system, taking into account international experiences and local market conditions [3]. - The process of extending trading hours will depend on system upgrades, risk management improvements, and regulatory framework maturity [3]. Group 2: Market Performance and Broker Stocks - The Hong Kong Securities ETF has surged over 64% this year, outperforming A-share broker stocks, indicating strong market momentum [2][5]. - Analysts believe that A-share broker stocks still have revaluation opportunities, especially in light of the positive market conditions and increasing trading volumes [5][6]. Group 3: Capital Expenditure and Market Competitiveness - HKEX is committed to strategic investments to maintain global competitiveness, focusing on optimizing data platforms and upgrading trading and settlement systems [3]. - The exchange has recently implemented a reduction in minimum price fluctuation for certain stocks, aimed at lowering trading costs and enhancing efficiency [4]. Group 4: Institutional Investment Trends - As of the second quarter, active equity funds are underweight in both A-share and Hong Kong broker sectors, suggesting potential for increased institutional investment as market conditions improve [6]. - Current valuations for A-share and Hong Kong broker sectors are relatively low, with price-to-book ratios at 1.66x and 1.17x respectively, indicating potential for value reallocation [6].