逆向思维，一位智者的逆向人生与永恒投资哲学。 01 一位来自奥马哈的普通青年人 1924 年，查理·芒格出生在美国内布拉斯加州奥马哈市一个普通家庭。17 岁考入密歇根大学读数学，二战爆发后应征入伍，服役期间被派往气象学校，系统学习理 工科思维。战争结束，他靠 GI 法案进入加州理工学院，随后又以无大学文凭之身份破格被哈佛法学院录取，1948 年以优异成绩毕业，成为一名律师。 芒格早年在洛杉矶执业，却深感"用时间换钱"的天花板太低。于是，他在 30 岁出头开始同步涉足地产开发，以 10 万美元本金撬动百万利润，完成原始积累。35 岁那年，一场失败的婚姻与长子白血病的双重打击几乎将他拖入深渊，但他用理性与阅读自我疗愈，并坚定转向投资赛道，成立惠勒·芒格合伙公司，十年年化收 益跑赢道指 18 个百分点，为日后与巴菲特并肩作战奠定基石。 02 查理芒格与巴菲特相遇 1959 年 5 月，35 岁的芒格返回家乡奥马哈料理父亲后事，被共同好友安排与 29 岁的沃伦·巴菲特共进晚餐。两人从股票聊到商业、从阅读到人生，惊觉"灵魂频 率"完全一致，遂成莫逆。巴菲特戏称那晚"找到了失联多年的兄长"，芒格则说"沃伦让我笑到肚子疼" ...

1. 美国白宫表示，TikTok 的新美国实体将从字节跳动租赁算法的副本，甲骨文将对其进行重新训练；用户 无需重新下载应用程序。 2. GSA将Meta的Llama加入其美国联邦机构批准的AI工具名单，此前已批准微软、谷歌、Anthropic和Open AI的工具。 3.极氪回应现款001售罄 6.轴向磁通电机和无框力矩电机已进入特斯拉Optimus测试环节？卧龙电驱：该消息不实 有投资者在互动平台向卧龙电驱提问，媒体报道及Ai搜索发现，公司生产的轴向磁通电机和无框力矩电机 已进入特斯拉Optimus测试环节，并且公司已锁定20万台电机订单。请问该消息是否属实？卧龙电驱回复 称，该消息不实。 7.贵州茅台否认将下调今年业绩目标，上半年已按计划完成目标进度 日前，有消息显示现款极氪001已售罄，极氪将提前至9月23日开启焕新极氪001的预售，上市时间则按照原 计划十月中旬，届时将同步开启交付。多个门店销售均反馈消息属实。 点评：极氪001售罄即下架，新款升级引期待。 4.腾讯控股：回购86.2万股，花费5.5亿港元 腾讯控股公告，于2025年9月22日以集中竞价交易方式回购86.2万股，每股购回价格介于635至 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of redefining managerial output and focusing on high-leverage activities to enhance productivity and efficiency in management roles [2][3][4]. Group 1: Redefining Managerial Output - Managerial output should encompass not only direct responsibilities but also actions that indirectly influence the overall productivity of the organization [4]. - Managers can enhance output by effectively managing both direct reports and providing guidance to those outside their direct control, likening the organization to a set of interlocking gears [4]. Group 2: Increasing Managerial Productivity - To achieve higher productivity, managers should concentrate on high-leverage activities, which are defined as those that yield significant output relative to the effort invested [5][6]. - Examples of high-leverage activities include initiating projects that impact multiple individuals and providing knowledge or resources that can enhance the work of others [6][8]. Group 3: Simplifying Work Processes - Simplifying work processes can lead to a reduction of 30% to 50% in unnecessary steps, thereby increasing efficiency [8]. - Managers should critically assess each step in their processes to eliminate those that do not contribute to productivity, as approximately 30% of management activities may be unnecessary [8]. Group 4: Negative Leverage Activities - Certain managerial behaviors can lead to negative leverage, such as indecision, which can stall organizational progress, and excessive interference in subordinates' work, which can diminish their initiative [10][12]. - Managers should be aware of the impact of their emotional state on team morale, as negative feelings can quickly spread and affect overall productivity [11]. Group 5: Time Management Principles - Effective time management is crucial for managers, who should identify limiting steps and prioritize essential activities in their schedules [16][17]. - Managers are encouraged to group similar tasks together to enhance efficiency and to use their calendars proactively to plan and allocate time effectively [18][19]. Group 6: Meeting Efficiency - Meetings can incur significant costs, and managers should evaluate the necessity of each meeting and consider alternatives to maximize resource utilization [24][25]. - It is essential for managers to clarify the purpose of meetings and to cancel those that do not provide sufficient value [25].

最近日本政坛热闹非凡，在首相石破茂终于宣布辞职后，自民党总裁选举即将于10月4日拉开帷幕，这也意 味着日本下一任首相即将诞生。本次选举无疑是一场激烈的政治大剧，各路候选人摩拳擦掌，都想在这场 角逐中脱颖而出。那么， 究竟谁能最有可能坐上日本首相的宝座呢？ 咱们一起来分析分析。 五位候选人，各有"绝招" 截至目前，已有五位候选人表明了参选意向，分别是：自民党前干事长茂木敏充、现任内阁官房长官林芳 正、农林水产大臣小泉进次郎、曾任经济安全保障担当大臣的高市早苗和自民党内主流派重要人物小林鹰 之。这几位在日本政坛都是响当当的人物，各自有着独特的政治资本和竞选策略。 以下文章来源于首席侧写师 ，作者阳明山人 首席侧写师 . 观人，鉴历史，知天地。 从左至右依次为茂木敏充、林芳正、小泉进次郎、高市早苗、小林鹰之 大热门高市早苗是当前日本右翼政客的代表人物，曾多次参拜靖国神社，在政治立场上十分强硬。在去年 的自民党总裁选举中，她就和石破茂一路杀到第二轮投票，虽然最终败北，但也充分证明了她在日本政坛 拥有非凡的影响力。今年卷土重来，她凭借着之前积累的人气和政治资源，一上来就展现出了强大的竞争 力。据共同社的民意调查，她的支 ...

01 蔡国强&始祖鸟，这次玩得过头了 一场在喜马拉雅山脉海拔5500米处绽放的烟花，将始祖鸟推上了舆论的风口浪尖，也彻底让其多年经营的环保人设崩塌。 2025年9月19日，户外品牌始祖鸟联合著名艺术家蔡国强，在西藏喜马拉雅山脉江孜热龙地区（海拔约5500米）实施了名为《升龙》的艺术烟花项目。通过三幕山 脊烟花爆破，形成动态"升龙"景观，主办方宣称旨在致敬自然与东方龙文化中"生生不息"的精神。 先不说环保与否，我不禁想问：这看起来也不像是烟花，而是烟雾，不光没意思，而且和始祖鸟品牌有什么意识上的关联？？？就因为在户外，所以就和户外品 牌有关联？要真说脑洞，如果搞个艺术大师骑始祖鸟起飞，天人合一，会不会更体现户外精神？ 再说，户外品牌不是应该强调人和户外的自然和谐吗？去那里放烟雾？还放得那么丑，我真的百思不得其解。如果说所谓艺术家他只管自己喜欢不喜欢，那品牌 是不是也要动动脑子想想这真的有美感和意义吗？ 总之，这个所谓艺术，只有形式，没有内涵！ 回到环保，主办方强调活动经科学评估、使用环保材料。他们声称彩色粉均为生物可降解材料，并在国际奥委会及日本、美国、欧洲等多地的燃放验证中，确认 其污染物排放符合环保标准。本 ...

Group 1 - Sanya will implement new regulations limiting the annual rent increase for guaranteed rental housing to no more than 5% starting from October 18, aimed at addressing housing difficulties for new citizens and young people [2] - The rental price for guaranteed housing will be capped at 90% of the market rental price for similar properties in the same area, with a further reduction to 70% for families with an average annual disposable income below twice the previous year's urban disposable income in Sanya [2] Group 2 - Indonesia has approved the procurement of the retired Italian aircraft carrier "Giuseppe Garibaldi" for $450 million (approximately 3.2 billion RMB) through foreign loan financing [3] Group 3 - Shanghai has released a standardized dataset for humanoid robots, which will provide a unified data language for the humanoid robot industry, facilitating the transition from technical exploration to large-scale implementation [5] Group 4 - The game "Delta Force" has achieved a daily active user (DAU) count of over 30 million, marking a net increase of 10 million users in just two months [6] Group 5 - Shanxi Fenjiu announced that its shareholder Huachuang Xinrui plans to reduce its stake by up to 1.33% through block trading, due to a fund expiration arrangement [8] Group 6 - CITIC Securities suggests focusing on resource stocks, consumer electronics, innovative pharmaceuticals, and gaming as key investment areas, while also emphasizing the importance of China's manufacturing sector's globalization [9] Group 7 - GAC Group has invested $19 million in a KD factory in Cambodia, which will have an annual production capacity of 15,000 vehicles and is expected to commence production in January 2026 [10] Group 8 - Huawei has launched the "Tian Gong Plan," committing 1 billion RMB to support the HarmonyOS AI ecosystem, focusing on the development of AI services and frameworks [11] Group 9 - NIO's president expressed support for the recent regulatory actions aimed at addressing network chaos in the automotive industry, emphasizing the importance of fair competition for the sector's development [12]

在充满不确定性的商业世界中，如何穿越周期、实现基业长青？全球并购巨头丹纳赫（Danaher）以其 卓越的长期业绩和独特的运营模式，为这一问题提供了极具价值的答案。 丹纳赫通过40年400起并购实现了1800的收益增长。40年间，其股价表现超越巴菲特执掌的伯克希尔- 哈撒韦，并购业绩比肩黑石、KKR，更培养出成功拯救并重塑通用电气的传奇CEO拉里·卡尔普 （Larry Culp）。丹纳赫的成功密码是什么？ 由丹纳赫中国区前高管杨益、陈朝巍合著的《丹纳赫模式》一书，首次深度拆解了被誉为"并购之 王"的丹纳赫赖以成功的两大核心能力：被誉为"西方世界精益运营第一"的丹纳赫商业系统（DBS）和 卓越的战略并购与整合能力。 以下为正心谷资本创始人林利军为《丹纳赫模式》撰写的推荐序 常识、系统与文化的永恒之力 ——寻丹纳赫成功背后的力量 林利军 正心谷资本创始人，汇添富基金前总经理 作为一个默默前行的投资人，我研究、学习丹纳赫集团已经有近20年的时间。在此期间，看到丹纳赫集团 超越了巴菲特执掌的伯克希尔-哈撒韦的长期业绩；看到丹纳赫集团的毛利率从30%左右扩张到60%以上； 看到丹纳赫集团的前CEO拉里·卡尔普(Larry ...

图源：AI 比较有意思的是国内的机器人公司往往对标的就是Optimus机器人，有媒体曾采访过智元机器人内部人士询问对特斯拉机器人的看法，该人士表示如果是特斯拉机 器人整体能够打7分（满分10分），那么现阶段智元可能只有3—4分，差距还是非常明显的。要知道这还是在马斯克机器人第三代更新之前的判断。 第三代Optimus最大的更新其实是泛化能力在指数级增长。特斯拉正从"动捕服（motion capture suits）和 VR 头显/远程操控"的数据采集方式，转向更多"人类视频 （human videos）"，并直接用人类视频来训练机器人的模型。 马斯克想象中的Optimus，既能稳定走路，又能用灵巧手执行各种复杂非标的任务，进入工厂流水线或者家庭厨房。但要达到这个目标，中间横着几座大山，平衡 运动控制达标、泛化任务能力自主完成、可靠性要接近车规级。 但现实中情况是24年1月Optimus放出叠衣服的视频，同年10月，Optimus在"ME Robot"的发布会上走到人群中，与人群互动其实是遥控。还比如 Tesla Diner开业， 我们看到了被远程操控的 Optimus 在那里负责"爆米花机"，这些都被行业"诟 ...

Group 1 - The chairman of Juewei Food was fined for information disclosure violations, with a proposed penalty of 4 million yuan and warnings for responsible individuals [2] - Some banks are offering large-denomination certificates of deposit with interest rates exceeding 2%, creating a scarcity in the market as most banks have rates below 2% [3] - The National Medical Insurance Administration has released the 11th batch of centralized drug procurement, emphasizing principles of clinical stability, quality assurance, and anti-competitive practices [4] Group 2 - The Cyberspace Administration of China has taken action against Kuaishou for failing to manage harmful content, resulting in penalties and a requirement for corrective measures [5][6] - The film "731" has surpassed 800 million yuan in box office revenue as of September 20 [7] - Google is terminating its corporate subscription service for the Financial Times as part of broader cost-cutting measures, despite strong financial performance [8] Group 3 - Huawei plans to invest 15 billion yuan in ecosystem development, with over 1,300 products compatible with its HarmonyOS and significant growth in its cloud developer community [9] - The city of Jiangmen has initiated a Level III response to a public health emergency due to the current epidemic situation [10] - Haikou will distribute 10 million yuan in tourism consumption vouchers to stimulate local tourism during the upcoming holidays [11] Group 4 - Neuralink is set to begin trials for brain-computer interface implants aimed at individuals who have lost their ability to speak [12] - Xiaomi has launched a 10-year free repair service for its air conditioning products, enhancing customer service and product confidence [13]

编者荐语： 个人看法：看不惯老罗不断挖苦俞敏洪，不过西贝这事没大问题，把预制菜问题放桌面上讨论挺好。 人，是一种复杂的生物，公德和私德不是完全对等。这让我想起了另外一个梗：100年前，每天抽烟喝 酒的岛国领导和不抽烟不喝酒喜爱艺术的某国领导，你更支持谁？ 以下文章来源于字母榜 ，作者薛亚萍 字母榜 . 让未来不止于大 和西贝一战，不少人感叹：老罗回来了。 数月前，梁文锋得知罗永浩准备做AIOS（人工智能操作系统）时，他问罗永浩， "你为什么非要做科技？" 在梁文锋看来，一个人如果能在任何领域做到全国前几名，就不应该辜负这份天分。 而罗永浩，正是他眼 中那个"最该靠嘴吃饭"的人。 罗永浩有些沮丧，但梁文锋的话，他听进去了。罗永浩坦言自己思考了这个问题，但还是不能远离科技 圈。 于是，几个月后，各大平台悄然出现一档播客：《罗永浩的十字路口》。罗永浩多了一个新身份：播客对 话者。 "靠嘴吃饭"的罗永浩，最近又和西贝开战。 对于罗永浩来说，这是漂亮的一战，设置议题，顺应民意。 谁还记得，一个月前，他因脱口秀节目，连发 数十条微博和网友对骂，寸步不让。如今，罗永浩人设反转，他说支持自己的人有90%，俨然成了舆论场里 的 ...