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马斯克称盖茨做空特斯拉损失或超100亿美元|首席资讯日报
首席商业评论· 2025-12-19 03:44
1.马斯克称盖茨做空特斯拉损失或超100亿美元 一位网友在X平台上分享最新的全球富豪排行榜并评论称:"如果比尔·盖茨没有听巴菲特的话,没有出售他 所持的微软股票来分散投资,他将是世界上第一个万亿美元富翁,身价是埃隆的两倍。"马斯克回应称:"比 尔盖茨曾大量做空特斯拉——我们总股份的1%,到现在可能已经让他损失了超过100亿美元。"马斯克2022 年透露,他发现盖茨曾在2018年斥资5亿美元做空特斯拉股票,在该公司的关键时期打击普通投资者的信 心。 点评:资本巨头博弈,一念天堂地狱,投资眼光定乾坤。 据猫眼专业版数据,电影《疯狂动物城2》累计票房(含预售)突破36.13亿,进入2025年度票房榜前二。 2.中金公司:预计2026年白酒报表有望出清改善,上行拐点逐步清晰 中金公司研报称,预计2026年白酒报表有望出清改善,上行拐点逐步清晰。需求端政策影响会持续减弱, 消费场景在大幅压制的基础上会迎来稳步修复,同时促进消费政策的深化有望驱动需求提升,在今年低基 数下同比有望转正,预计上半年开始行业开始迎来梯次修复。供给端以创新拓展增量为主线,中金公司预 计库存隐患基本解除,其中以用户需求为出发点的创新预计进一步增加 ...
10万亿!超越京沪,中国“第一城”易主了
首席商业评论· 2025-12-19 03:44
编者荐语: 京沪的朋友们别慌,不是经济总量和地位。 以下文章来源于前瞻经济学人 ,作者产业观察组 前瞻经济学人 . 关注中国城市发展战略、把握全球新兴产业趋势!这是省长书记爱看的智库号之一。 逆势夺冠的背后,深圳做对了什么? 深圳,再一次走在了中国城市的最前面。 01 超越京沪,深圳登顶专精特新第一城 2025年末,中国专精特新"小巨人"企业版图上,发生了一场历史性的"大洗牌"。随着全国第七批专精特 新"小巨人"企业名单公示,深圳以347家的新增数量位居全国城市首位,使得深圳有效期内"小巨人"企业总 量达到1333家,超越北京(1210家)和上海(1032家),登顶全国第一。 这标志着深圳正式成为中国的"专精特新第一城"! 此外,按照目前深圳已上市"小巨人"企业71亿元的平均市值估算,这1333家企业总市值已接近10万亿量级, 彰显了巨大的经济价值。 作为优质中小企业的核心力量,专精特新"小巨人"企业集中在国家重点推进的"制造强国""补短板、强链 条"领域,入选门槛极高:必须在细分领域做到国内领先、掌握关键核心技术、拥有高强度的研发投入体 系,往往代表中国制造业的高端水准。 而在2019年国家层面正式启动培育 ...
低空经济时代真的来了,普通人有什么机会?
首席商业评论· 2025-12-19 03:44
如果要问,当下全球最值得我们关注和投资的新兴技术领域是什么,低空经济一定榜上有名,且必名列前茅。 近日,吉利科技集团旗下eVTOL(electric Vertical Take-off and Landing,即电动垂直起降飞行器)公司沃飞长空宣布完成数亿元C轮融资。本轮融资由杭州市政府 直属的国有全资大型投资集团杭实集团、世界最大的石油化工企业沙特阿美公司旗下风投基金Prosperity7Ventures(P7)等共同领投,老股东追加投资。 更早前,另一家国内的eVTOL公司时的科技宣布完成3亿元人民币B++轮融资,这是该公司今年内完成的第二轮融资,累计第七轮。 这些消息背后,是低空经济正从概念蓝图,加速蜕变成实体产业并落地开花的结果。 低空经济是新质生产力的代表,自2024年被首次写入政府工作报告以来,全国已有30个省份在政府工作报告中部署低空经济相关工作。从"审批难、空域划分模 糊"到"精细化管理",从"单一业态"到"国家综合立体交通网",国家正以"全国一盘棋"思路编制低空经济发展"十五五"相关规划,各政府部门为打通低空经济"飞得 起来、飞得顺畅"的关键堵点,竞逐形成"特色化落地模式",为产业发展按下加 ...
传统经销商到了最危急的时刻
首席商业评论· 2025-12-18 05:12
Core Viewpoint - The traditional distribution model in China's consumer goods sector is facing a critical crisis due to rapid changes in retail channels, leading to significant declines in sales for many distributors [5][12]. Group 1: Three Major Impacts on Distributors - The first impact is the structural replacement of traditional stores by snack discount stores, which have rapidly increased their market share, leading to a significant drop in sales for traditional retailers [7][9]. - The second impact is the rise of instant retail, which has siphoned off a large volume of orders from distributors through online platforms and fast delivery services, undermining traditional distribution systems [9][10]. - The third impact involves the disruption of pricing structures by new retail formats, causing traditional retail channels to struggle, with some experiencing sales declines of up to 70% [10][12]. Group 2: Survival Paths for Distributors - Path 1 involves optimizing existing business operations through aggressive cost-cutting and restructuring, including external partnerships and inventory management [12][14]. - Path 2 focuses on transitioning from a distributor to a brand operator, leveraging professional capabilities to achieve higher profit margins and deeper integration with upstream suppliers [14][15]. - Path 3 emphasizes a shift towards a zero-sum integration of supply and retail capabilities, allowing distributors to enhance their bargaining power and operational efficiency [15][16]. Group 3: Lessons from Failures - Many distributors have faced failures due to reactive transformations driven by market pressures rather than proactive strategic planning [16]. - A lack of thorough market research and understanding of successful models has led to misguided attempts at transformation [16]. - The importance of taking time to observe and learn from both domestic and international cases before implementing changes is highlighted as crucial for survival [16].
明星激光雷达公司破产!巅峰市值近千亿,奔驰沃尔沃曾是大客户
首席商业评论· 2025-12-18 05:12
以下文章来源于车东西 ,作者Janson 车东西 . 未来汽车看车东西!智能汽车产业专业新媒体车东西专注智能汽车产业创新,重点关注自动驾驶、智能 座舱、整车创新等;用专业视角,大众认知传播智能汽车新技术新体验。 创始人半年前离职,公司已裁员两次。 据彭博社报道,北美明星激光传感器创企Luminar已于本周一在美国德克萨斯州南区法院申请第11章破产保 护(Chapter 11)。 ▲彭博社报道 根据破产申请文件显示,Luminar的资产规模在1亿至5亿美元(约合人民币7.1-35.5亿元)之间,而负债则高 达5亿至10亿美元(约合人民币35.5-71亿元)。 ▲Luminar破产文件 在申请破产前,Luminar与Quantum Computing Inc.(量子计算)达成协议,拟以1.1亿美元(约合人民币7.81 亿元)现金出售其子公司Luminar Semiconductor Inc.(Luminar半导体)的股权。 目前,该交易仍需通过破产法第363条规定的程序,接受更高或更优报价。 此外, Luminar还计划出售其LiDAR业务,该业务生产用于自动驾驶系统的激光雷达传感器。 在面临破产困境之前,Lum ...
超4000万人次外国人涌入,全国口岸外籍客流爆发式增长|首席资讯日报
首席商业评论· 2025-12-18 05:12
1.超4000万人次外国人涌入,全国口岸外籍客流爆发式增长 去年12月17日,我国240小时过境免签政策正式实施,今天已满一周年。国家移民管理局最新统计显示,政 策实施一年来,全国各口岸入境外国人4060万人次,同比增长27.2%。北上广外籍客流规模与增长幅度均表 现突出,全国多地口岸入境外籍客流呈爆发式增长态势:厦门口岸240小时免签入境外国人增长超3倍,辽 宁口岸增长5.7倍。 法国国家统计与经济研究所(Insee)17日发布的《经济形势报告》(Note de conjoncture)称,预计法国 2025年全年经济增速为0.9%,略低于2024年的1.1%;到2026年年中,经济增速有望回升至1.0%。报告指 出,尽管国内政治不确定性仍存,但法国已融入欧洲经济复苏进程。今年第三季度,法国国内生产总值 (GDP)环比增长0.5%,处于欧元区较好水平。航空航天领域供给约束缓解,带动工业生产环比增长 1.3%,制造业出口环比增长4.8%。企业投资环比增长0.8%,公共消费保持韧性。居民消费受对前景预期偏 弱影响,基本停滞,仍是主要拖累因素。 4.中信建投:2025年是服务器液冷的"爆发元年",新方案迭代利好国 ...
摩尔线程IPO后75亿额度理财遭质疑,还能成“中国英伟达”吗?
首席商业评论· 2025-12-18 05:12
摩尔线程需要先做好平台。 摩尔线程75亿理财到底冤不冤 如果说2024年市场追逐的是"大模型概念",2025年最强热度则就是"国产AI芯片",后者在资本市场的认可度和资本支持似乎更多。 当摩尔线程正式上市,网友们追捧的声音充斥网络,"中一签赚20万,这才像AI牛市。"、"国产GPU终于成主角。"、"这就是中国的英伟达!"。 图源:摩尔线程官网 资本市场也非常喜欢这样的故事:国产替代、科创稀缺、AI算力、国家战略、创始人来自英伟达、五年即上市、股价五倍涨停、重大叙事一次打满…… 然而上市仅7天,12月12日晚间摩尔线程就发了份公告:计划用最高不超过 75 亿元的闲置募集资金搞现金管理,买协定存款、定期存款这类保本产品,额度12个 月内可循环使用。 对于网上的质疑声,摩尔线程相关负责人表示,75亿元为现金管理额度上限,并非实际现金管理金额,实际现金管理金额将明显小于上限。并解释称,公司前期 明确披露了募集资金的项目计划,所募75亿元资金有分阶段、明确的研发、技术升级等一系列使用安排,也将严格按照既定募投项目计划推进。项目实施周期为 三年,资金支出将根据项目进度分阶段拨付。 怎么理解摩尔线程的回应呢?简单来说这是上 ...
腾讯“坐不住”了,官宣大牛负责AI
首席商业评论· 2025-12-17 12:16
Core Viewpoint - Tencent has appointed Vinces Yao as the Chief AI Scientist, marking a strategic focus on AI research and development within the company [1][4]. Group 1: Organizational Changes - Tencent has recently undergone an organizational adjustment, establishing new departments: AI Infra, AI Data, and Data Computing Platform [3]. - Vinces Yao, a graduate of Tsinghua University and Princeton University, has a strong background in machine learning and large-scale language models, which is a key reason for his appointment [3]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Tencent's latest model, Tencent HY 2.0, features a mixed expert architecture and has been integrated into various products and cloud services [4]. - The competition in the AI field is intensifying, with Alibaba's Qwen series and Google's Gemini models posing significant challenges to Tencent [7]. Group 3: Impact of Vinces Yao's Appointment - Yao's experience at OpenAI emphasizes the importance of models' capabilities in real-world environments, which is crucial for differentiating next-generation AI products [8][9]. - His core philosophy focuses on enhancing the intelligence execution capabilities of models, which could benefit all of Tencent's business lines, particularly WeChat [9]. Group 4: Market Reaction - As of December 17, 2025, Tencent's stock price was approximately HKD 605.00, reflecting a cautious optimism from investors regarding the company's core business growth and AI strategy [10]. - The stock has shown resilience despite recent fluctuations, supported by expectations of recovery in Chinese tech stocks and ongoing investments in AI [10]. Group 5: Talent Acquisition Strategy - Tencent is actively recruiting top AI talent from ByteDance, indicating a sense of urgency in enhancing its AI capabilities [11]. - Yao has already contributed to recruiting additional talent from various AI firms, signaling Tencent's commitment to strengthening its foundational technology in AI [11]. Group 6: Future Outlook - Yao's role as a bridge between research and product implementation is expected to lead to substantial improvements in Tencent's AI capabilities, which is reflected in the slight increase in stock price following the announcement [12].
32万亿中长期定存明年到期,“存款搬家”有望持续|首席资讯日报
首席商业评论· 2025-12-17 04:34
Group 1 - The upcoming maturity of over 170 trillion yuan in household deposits next year indicates a significant increase of nearly 20 trillion yuan compared to this year, with 32 trillion yuan in deposits maturing for terms longer than two years [2] - The successful launch of the Resource 3-04 satellite marks a significant achievement for China's space program, being the 617th flight of the Long March series rockets [3] - China's railway system has set a historical record by sending 4.28 billion passengers from January to November, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.6% [4] Group 2 - Huawei has undergone a leadership change with Yu Chengdong appointed as the new chairman of Huawei Terminal Co., replacing Guo Ping [5] - Wedbush Securities predicts that Tesla's market value could reach 3 trillion dollars by the end of 2026, driven by its advancements in artificial intelligence [6][7] - In Beijing, the sales area of new commercial housing from January to November has decreased by 4.6% year-on-year, with residential sales down by 6.9% [8] Group 3 - Singapore welcomed 15.5 million inbound travelers in the first eleven months of the year, with China remaining the largest source market [9] - Maserati's Grecale model has seen a surge in sales following significant price reductions, indicating a strong demand in the luxury car market [10] - New Hope Liuhe's IPO application has expired after six months, with CICC as its sole sponsor [11] Group 4 - In Beijing, the added value of strategic emerging industries and high-tech manufacturing increased by 16.5% and 8.4% respectively from January to November [11] - Zhiyuan Robotics has invested in Chidream Technology, a company focused on the development of companion robots [12] - Hainan Free Trade Port is preparing for its upcoming customs operations, with all necessary measures in place for effective management [13]
被质疑后,老干妈卖了快54亿
首席商业评论· 2025-12-17 04:34
Core Insights - The article discusses the contrasting market performance of two Guizhou-based consumer brands, Moutai and Lao Gan Ma, highlighting Lao Gan Ma's revenue recovery amidst a consumer downgrade environment [4][5]. - Lao Gan Ma's sales reached 5.391 billion yuan in 2024, nearing its historical peak of 5.403 billion yuan in 2020, despite a previous decline due to the pandemic [4][6]. Revenue Recovery - In 2020, Lao Gan Ma's revenue peaked at 5.403 billion yuan but fell by 20% to 4.201 billion yuan in 2021, attributed to the pandemic's impact on offline consumption [6][8]. - From 2022 to 2024, Lao Gan Ma's revenue steadily increased from 5.26 billion yuan to 5.391 billion yuan, alleviating market concerns about its performance [11][12]. Marketing Strategy - Lao Gan Ma has adopted a unique approach by not engaging in regular live streaming or influencer marketing, relying instead on natural consumer repurchase [4][13]. - The brand's social media accounts have been inactive, with no significant online marketing efforts, which contrasts with competitors who heavily invest in e-commerce and live streaming [13][15]. International Expansion - Lao Gan Ma has significantly expanded its international presence, growing from 90 countries in 2019 to 160 countries by 2024, with a 30% increase in overseas market revenue in 2023 [15][16]. - The brand's popularity abroad has surged, particularly among non-Chinese consumers, aided by social media trends and endorsements from international celebrities [16][20]. Product Development - Despite perceptions of stagnation, Lao Gan Ma continues to innovate, developing new products and expanding its product line, which includes over 20 new items since 2020 [18][20]. - The brand's pricing strategy remains competitive, with most products priced around 10 yuan, focusing on volume sales to maintain profitability [20][21]. Market Challenges - The article notes that while Lao Gan Ma has found success, it faces challenges in adapting to changing consumer preferences, particularly the rising demand for healthier options in the condiment market [21]. - Competitors like Hu Bang and Chuan Wa Zi are introducing low-fat and zero-fat products, which Lao Gan Ma has yet to address in its product offerings [21].