出海扬帆：带来长期增量 回顾2025，电商板块如预期受益于"国补"，尽管过程略有波折。本地生活行业竞争加剧程度超过市场预 期，OTA板块增长韧性好于市场预期。展望2026，网上零售额中，体验型消费（如旅游、游戏等）整体 增速或仍有望优于实物商品，在线旅游及游戏行业利润增长或具备韧性。实物商品零售中，国补退坡背 景下竞争或呈现常态化趋势，电商平台在对即时零售的投入端或展现不同侧重，更加注重资源与效率并 重，推动行业竞争激烈程度改善，尽管该行认为对于改善的节奏或不应有过于乐观的预期。即时零售行 业整体有望维持较高GMV增速，到店业务或需等待宏观环境改善及竞争企稳，电商板块整体关注有能 力维持盈利稳健增长、估值合理且在AI时代持续获益的公司。 科技破局：AI蓬勃发展，应用及变现持续起量 2025年大模型行业竞争加剧，整体模型能力持续提升，开源大模型的发布和迭代速度加快。与此同时， 相同模型的调用成本持续下降，行业应用逐步繁荣。展望2026，该行认为提升模型能力的激烈竞争将持 续，而细分领域的AI应用变现也有望持续起量，该行看好智能体能力提升带来的进一步变现潜力，也 看好图像编辑及视频生成大模型能力提升带来的进一步付 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the AI industry Core Insights - The AI industry is witnessing significant advancements, particularly in multimodal models, with SenseNova's NEO architecture being a notable development that enhances the integration of visual and language processing [15] - The upcoming 2025 Brain-Computer Interface Conference aims to promote practical applications and innovations in brain-computer interface technology [5] - Strategic collaborations, such as the partnership between UBTECH and ZhiSheng Technology to deploy 10,000 robots by 2031, indicate a strong focus on robotics and AI integration [7] - The acquisition of the AI search team by Xiaohongshu reflects a trend of companies consolidating AI capabilities to enhance their product offerings [8] Summary by Sections AI Industry Dynamics - The 2025 Brain-Computer Interface Conference will take place from December 4 to 5 in Shanghai, featuring competitions focused on practical applications of brain-computer interface technology [5] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is preparing to establish the China Artificial Intelligence Terminal Industry Association, which aims to support high-quality development in the AI terminal industry [6] AI Application Insights - Li Auto has launched its first AI glasses, Livis, which weigh 36 grams and can operate for 18.8 hours, showcasing a crossover from smart vehicles to wearable technology [9] - Doubao has released a technical preview of its mobile assistant, integrating various functionalities to enhance user experience [10] - Ant Group's AI assistant has been upgraded to generate simple games in as little as 30 seconds, highlighting advancements in user-generated content [12] - Gaode Map has introduced an "AI Parking Radar" feature that provides real-time updates on parking availability, enhancing urban navigation [13] AI Large Model Insights - Doubao's voice recognition model 2.0 has improved its contextual understanding, achieving a 20% increase in keyword recall rate and supporting multiple languages [14] - SenseTime's NEO multimodal model architecture has been released and open-sourced, aiming for deeper integration of visual and language processing [15] - Alibaba's Qwen-Image model has been updated for better consistency in image generation and editing, now available on the Qianwen app [16] - DeepSeek has launched its V3.2 series models, narrowing the performance gap between open-source and commercial models [17] Technology Frontiers - Tencent has launched EdgeOne Pages, a full-stack edge development platform, facilitating rapid web project deployment [18] - The latest version of Improved MeanFlow by He Kaiming's team addresses key issues in training stability and efficiency, achieving significant performance improvements [20]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's Surge OS now supports sending and receiving live photos in WeChat chat boxes, enhancing user experience and functionality [1] Group 1 - Users must upgrade to the latest version of Surge OS and WeChat app version 8.0.65 or above to utilize this feature [2] - WeChat announced the ability to post live photos in Moments in September last year, gradually rolling out to iOS version 8.0.51 and above [2] - In April this year, WeChat confirmed that Android users could also post live photos in Moments [2]

Core Viewpoint - The recent draft of the "Guidelines for Performance Assessment Management of Fund Management Companies" has sparked significant discussion in the public fund industry, particularly due to its stipulation that fund managers with performance below the benchmark by over 10% for three years and negative profit margins must see a salary reduction of at least 30% [2][3]. Group 1: Impact on Fund Managers - Nearly a thousand active equity fund managers have underperformed the benchmark by over 10% in the past three years, including notable figures like Zhang Kun and Ge Lan [2]. - Concerns about talent loss in public funds are rising, as private equity firms offer more attractive compensation structures [2][4]. - The shift towards quantitative private equity is reshaping the landscape, with a focus on performance stability becoming paramount for high-net-worth individuals [9]. Group 2: Performance Comparison - In 2023, the CSI 300 index rose by 16% and the Hang Seng index by 26%, yet subjective long-only funds have not seen a corresponding increase in net subscriptions [6]. - Subjective long-only funds achieved a 33.88% increase, but this was outperformed by quantitative strategies, which saw increases of 54.74% and 46.86% for specific indices [6][12]. - The evolving preferences of wealth management clients indicate a shift towards quantitative strategies, which are perceived as more stable and reliable [9][15]. Group 3: Strategic Evolution - The fundamental difference between subjective and quantitative strategies lies in their narratives; subjective strategies focus on mean reversion, while quantitative strategies emphasize iteration and adaptability [9][10]. - Quantitative private equity has evolved from linear models to more complex non-linear models, enhancing their ability to adapt and recover from market downturns [10][12]. - The ability of quantitative firms to offer a diverse range of products tailored to various risk appetites is a significant advantage over traditional subjective strategies [12][13]. Group 4: Future of Subjective Strategies - The future of subjective long-only strategies may require deeper asset research and more selective client engagement to remain competitive [20][21]. - The pressure on subjective fund managers to justify their investment choices is increasing, particularly in light of the performance of quantitative strategies [15][20]. - The need for a longer investment horizon and a more stable funding structure is critical for subjective managers to achieve long-term success [14][21].

Core Viewpoint - Tencent Holdings has withdrawn its bid to acquire Warner Bros Discovery to avoid potential national security scrutiny from the U.S. government [1][2]. Group 1: Tencent's Withdrawal - Tencent dropped its $1 billion financing commitment for the acquisition due to concerns that it would be classified as a "non-U.S. equity financing source," which could trigger a review by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) [2]. - The decision to withdraw was made despite the fact that CFIUS approval was not a condition for the bid [2]. Group 2: Paramount's Takeover Bid - Paramount has launched a hostile takeover offer valued at $77.9 billion for Warner Bros Discovery, competing against Netflix for the acquisition of the company that owns HBO, CNN, and a prominent movie studio [3]. - Foreign sovereign wealth funds from Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi, and Qatar are providing $24 billion for Paramount's bid and have agreed to relinquish management rights to avoid additional scrutiny [3]. Group 3: National Security Concerns - CFIUS reviews are often applied to significant deals involving foreign companies, assessing potential national security risks [4]. - The U.S. Treasury Department has been strengthening its review powers under both former President Biden and former President Trump due to rising national security concerns regarding foreign investments [5]. Group 4: Tencent's Profile - Tencent is a major player in the gaming and social media sectors, owning Riot Games and having partnerships with various U.S. entertainment brands, including a streaming deal with the NBA [6][7]. - The company is the world's largest equity investor in online games and operates the WeChat messaging and payments service in China and among Chinese expatriates [7]. - Tencent has a market capitalization exceeding $700 billion, as reported by the Hong Kong stock exchange [7].

经济观察网12月9日，香港交易所宣布推出香港交易所科技100指数(港交所科技100)，港交所科技100是 首只港股指数。港交所科技100是一个宽基股票指数，追踪100家在香港交易所上市的市值最大的科技公 司的表现。港交所官网显示，腾讯控股、阿里巴巴、小米集团、美团、京东集团等互联网与科技龙头， 美图公司、易鑫集团等新兴科技企业入选指数。 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The overseas business segments of major Chinese internet companies have become "profit dark horses," with Alibaba's international digital commerce turning profitable, Meituan's Keeta achieving monthly profitability in Hong Kong, and Tencent's overseas gaming revenue surging by 43% year-on-year [1] - As domestic internet traffic growth reaches diminishing returns, going overseas has become a necessary strategy for companies, evolving from "go overseas or go home" to "no core capabilities, no overseas expansion" [1] Group 2: Cross-Border E-commerce - Alibaba's international retail business reported revenue of 28.068 billion yuan, a 10% year-on-year increase, driven by growth from AliExpress and other international operations [2] - The international wholesale business generated 6.731 billion yuan, an 11% increase year-on-year, attributed to growth in value-added services related to cross-border business [2] - Temu's gross merchandise volume (GMV) growth is primarily due to rapid penetration in the European (30-40% share, 60-70% year-on-year growth) and Latin American markets (over 15% share), while growth in North America is slowing [2][3] Group 3: Local Lifestyle Services - Meituan's Keeta achieved its first monthly profitability in Hong Kong, marking a significant milestone in its overseas expansion [4] - Keeta is expanding in the Middle East and Brazil, utilizing AI algorithms and big data to optimize delivery routes and improve efficiency [4][5] - The competitive landscape in Brazil is intense, with Didi and Uber also expanding their food delivery services, indicating a battle for market share [6] Group 4: Entertainment Sector - Tencent's international gaming revenue reached 20.8 billion yuan, a 43% year-on-year increase, driven by successful titles like "Clash Royale" and "PUBG MOBILE" [7] - NetEase's overseas strategy is undergoing significant adjustments, with the closure of several overseas studios despite some successful game launches [8] Group 5: Mobile Phones - Xiaomi's smartphone revenue declined by 3.1% year-on-year to 46 billion yuan, attributed to a decrease in average selling price (ASP) [9] - Xiaomi's overseas internet service revenue reached a record high of 3.3 billion yuan, growing by 19.1% year-on-year, with a notable increase in the share of high-margin overseas market revenue [10] - The competition in the African market between Xiaomi and Transsion is intensifying, leading to price wars [10] Group 6: Conclusion - The third-quarter financial reports indicate a shift in Chinese internet companies' overseas strategies, moving from reliance on policy advantages and low prices to focusing on supply chain capabilities, AI technology, localization, and compliance management [12] - The transformation represents an upgrade from being participants in the global value chain to integrators, with challenges such as geopolitical compliance risks and cultural differences remaining significant [13]

【#腾讯大模型改名##腾讯混元海外版名称简化#】腾讯宣布将其大模型品牌"混元（Tencent Hunyuan）"更名为更简化的 "Tencent HY"。 这是一次"名字更短、传播更快"的品牌优化。HY的两字母结构与当前国际大模型的主流命名方式趋 同，具备短、轻、易扩展的特性。 像OpenAI的GPT-4o、谷歌的Gemini 3 Pro等命名都指向一个共同趋势：在大模型迭代极快的周期下，突 出数字化的代际演进，往往比强调语义本身更能让用户直接感知模型的能力升级。 清晰的代际编号不仅便于产品矩阵管理，也方便开发者追踪技术版本、判断性能变化和选择适配的部署 方案。 在这样的行业语境中，HY作为基础名称，未来可以通过类似"HY-1、HY-2"或"HY-Pro、HY-Max"这样 的结构自然展开，使技术迭代的节奏更容易被用户捕捉，而腾讯也正是这样做的。 名称越轻、越结构化，就越适合作为长期的模型体系入口，而不是被一次性产品叠加所稀释。 过去一年中，混元既是模型、也是产品品牌，同时承担API端、企业端、消费端多重角色，名称本身带 有一定文化气质，删繁就简使用简写的"HY"，保留文化含义之余，中国人看得懂，让外国人记得 ...

银河证券研报称，展望未来，12月即将召开的国内重要会议与美联储议息会议，有望为港股市场提供中 长期政策方向和短期流动性信号，配置方面，建议关注贵金属、内需消费、科技成长等板块。 港股消费ETF（513230）跟踪中证港股通消费主题指数，一键打包互联网电商龙头+新消费，成分股近 乎囊括港股消费的各个领域，包括泡泡玛特、老铺黄金、名创优品等新消费龙头，又包含腾讯、快手、 阿里巴巴、小米等互联网电商龙头，科技+消费属性突出。 消息面上，国家统计局数据显示，11月份CPI同比上涨0.7% 环比下降0.1%。1至11月平均，全国居民消 费价格与上年同期持平。此外，全国零售业创新发展大会12月9日至10日在北京举行，商务部相关负责 人表示，"十五五"时期，要把零售业作为培育完整内需体系、做强国内大循环的关键着力点，推动行业 转向品质驱动、服务驱动，实现高质量发展。 12月8日，Apple Store官方旗舰店在电商平台推出年末降价活动，iPhone 17 Pro及iPhone 17 Pro Max机型 降价300元，降价后两款机型售价分别为8699元起和9699元起。山西、上海、四川等部分地区可享国家 补贴，至高可省50 ...

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's Panghu OS has announced new features that enhance user experience by allowing real-time photo sharing in WeChat chat boxes, in addition to its existing Moments feature [1] Group 1 - The official Weibo account of Panghu OS announced the new functionality on December 10 [1] - Users must upgrade to the latest version of Panghu OS and WeChat app version 8.0.65 or above to access the new feature [1]