Market Overview - On May 28, the Hang Seng Index fell by 0.53%, closing at 23,258.31 points, while the net inflow of southbound funds through the Stock Connect amounted to HKD 3.578 billion [1][4] - The total trading volume for the Stock Connect on the same day was HKD 75.205 billion, with a net buying of HKD 3.578 billion [1] Stock Performance - In the Shanghai Stock Connect, the total trading volume was HKD 49.972 billion with a net buying of HKD 3.924 billion, while in the Shenzhen Stock Connect, the trading volume was HKD 25.233 billion with a net selling of HKD 0.346 billion [1] - The most actively traded stock in the Shanghai Stock Connect was Xiaomi Group-W, with a trading volume of HKD 4.316 billion, followed by Pop Mart and Alibaba-W with trading volumes of HKD 2.529 billion and HKD 1.850 billion, respectively [1][3] - In terms of net buying, Meituan-W led with a net inflow of HKD 0.780 billion, despite its closing price dropping by 0.53%. Xiaomi Group-W had the highest net selling of HKD 0.716 billion, closing up by 0.39% [1][3] Shenzhen Stock Connect Highlights - In the Shenzhen Stock Connect, Xiaomi Group-W also topped the trading volume with HKD 1.977 billion, followed by Alibaba-W and Pop Mart with HKD 1.163 billion and HKD 1.054 billion, respectively [2] - Meituan-W recorded the highest net buying in the Shenzhen market with HKD 0.295 billion, while Hang Seng China Enterprises had the largest net selling of HKD 0.430 billion, closing down by 0.32% [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the petrochemical and chemical transportation sectors [5] Core Views - The third round of the fourth batch of central ecological environment protection inspections has been fully launched, which may impact the chemical industry [1] - The pesticide industry is undergoing capacity optimization due to stricter environmental regulations, with a potential price increase for chlorantraniliprole following an explosion at a major production facility [2] - The organic pigment industry is consolidating, with a positive outlook for high-performance organic pigments as domestic alternatives gain traction [3] - Investment recommendations include focusing on undervalued, high-dividend companies in the "three barrels of oil" and oil service sectors, as well as materials companies benefiting from domestic substitution trends [4] Summary by Sections 1. Chemical Product Market Review - The report highlights the current pricing trends for various petrochemical products, including Brent crude oil at $65 per barrel and WTI crude oil at $62 per barrel, with a notable decline in prices compared to previous months [9] - The report also provides detailed pricing for basic chemicals, fertilizers, and pesticides, indicating fluctuations in market prices [16][17] 2. Pesticide Industry Insights - The pesticide industry is seeing a reduction in capacity as non-compliant small enterprises exit the market, leading to a potential recovery in raw material prices [2] - The explosion at Youdao Chemical is expected to impact the supply of chlorantraniliprole, which may lead to price increases [2] 3. Organic Pigment Industry Analysis - The organic pigment sector is experiencing ongoing consolidation, with a shift towards high-performance organic pigments due to stricter environmental regulations and market saturation of traditional pigments [3] - The report suggests that companies with advanced production technologies will benefit from this trend [3] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies in the oil and gas sector, materials benefiting from domestic substitution, and those in the fertilizer and pesticide sectors due to favorable monetary and fiscal policies [4]

Core Insights - The development of the Kenli 10-2 oil field has made significant progress with the launch of the central processing platform, marking a new phase in the project [1][4] - The Kenli 10-2 oil field is the largest lithologic oil field discovered offshore in China, with proven geological reserves exceeding 100 million tons [3] - The project employs a "overall development, phased implementation" strategy to accelerate the conversion of reserves to production, with a target of 40 million tons of oil and gas output by 2025 [4] Project Details - The central processing platform is a multifunctional offshore platform with a height of 22.8 meters and a design weight exceeding 20,000 tons, making it the heaviest and largest in the Bohai Sea [3] - The platform features both thermal and cold extraction systems due to the significant quality differences in crude oil across different blocks [3] - The project incorporates over 240 key pieces of equipment and is noted for its complex production processes in the Bohai region [3] Technological Innovations - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has driven industrial innovation through technological advancements, including the lightweight design of super-large offshore platforms [3] - The project is the first in China to apply 420 MPa high-strength steel in the construction of offshore oil and gas platforms, paving the way for broader applications of domestic high-strength steel in marine engineering [3] - The platform is equipped with an integrated intelligent assistant based on DeepSeek-R1, enabling smart production, energy management, and safety management, thus creating a low-carbon intelligent platform [3]

Core Insights - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) announced the safe production launch of the Mero4 project in Brazil [2] - CNOOC holds a 9.65% stake in the Mero oil field, with Petrobras, TotalEnergies, Shell, and CNPC holding significant shares [2] - The Mero oil field is located in the Santos Basin, approximately 180 kilometers from Rio de Janeiro, at depths between 1,800 to 2,100 meters [2] Project Details - The Mero4 project utilizes a traditional deepwater development model, featuring a Floating Production Storage and Offloading (FPSO) unit and subsea production systems [2] - The project includes 12 development wells, comprising 5 production wells, 6 water-gas alternating injection wells, and 1 injection well [2] - Smart completion technology is employed to maximize production, allowing remote control of the production wells [2] Environmental Considerations - The project adopts a green low-carbon development approach, utilizing subsea associated gas separation and reinjection technology to promote production while reducing emissions [2] FPSO Specifications - The FPSO used in the Mero4 project is one of the largest in the world, with a design capacity of 180,000 barrels of crude oil per day and 12 million cubic meters of natural gas per day [3] - The FPSO was integrated in China and is expected to arrive at the target sea area in March 2025 [3] - The overall daily crude oil production from the oil field is projected to increase to 770,000 barrels following the project's launch [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the oil and petrochemical industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The oil price is expected to rebound due to improved supply-demand outlook, with IEA and EIA raising global oil demand forecasts for 2025 [1][10] - The "Three Major Oil Companies" are significantly increasing capital expenditures to enhance oil and gas production, ensuring national energy security [2][18] - The transition to renewable energy is being accelerated by the "Three Major Oil Companies," highlighting their long-term investment value [3][18] Summary by Sections Oil Price Outlook - Supply-demand expectations have improved, leading to a rebound in oil prices. As of May 23, 2025, Brent and WTI crude oil prices were reported at $65.03 and $61.76 per barrel, respectively [9][10] - IEA has raised its 2025 global oil demand forecast by 10000 barrels per day to 740000 barrels per day, while EIA expects a growth of 970000 barrels per day, an increase of 170000 barrels from the previous month [10][14] Capital Expenditure and Production Growth - The "Three Major Oil Companies" are responding to the national call for increased reserves and production, with a combined capital expenditure CAGR of 6.6% from 2018 to 2024. For 2025, their planned capital expenditures are CNY 210 billion for China National Petroleum Corporation, CNY 76.7 billion for China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, and CNY 130 billion for China National Offshore Oil Corporation [2][18] - Oil and gas equivalent production for 2024 is expected to grow by 2.2% for both China National Petroleum Corporation and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, and by 7.2% for China National Offshore Oil Corporation [2][18] Renewable Energy Transition - The "Three Major Oil Companies" are advancing their renewable energy initiatives. China National Petroleum Corporation aims for natural gas to account for 54.4% of its oil and gas equivalent production by 2024, with significant investments in wind and hydrogen energy [3][24] - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation is expanding its charging and hydrogen refueling infrastructure, targeting the construction of at least 500 battery swap stations this year [3][28] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation is actively developing CCUS projects, with the first offshore CCUS project launched in May 2025, expected to inject over 1 million tons of CO2 over the next decade [3][32]

Core Insights - The 29th World Gas Conference, referred to as the "Olympic Games of the global gas industry," was held in Beijing, marking the first time the event has taken place in China since its inception in 1931 [1] - The conference gathered over 3,000 participants from more than 70 countries to discuss energy security and green transition [1] Industry Overview - Natural gas is the third-largest energy source globally, with an annual consumption exceeding 4 trillion cubic meters, accounting for 24% of the energy structure, and is crucial for achieving low-carbon energy transition [2] - Over the past decade, China's increase in natural gas consumption has represented one-third of global growth, positioning the country as a key driver in the global gas market [2] - China's 14th Five-Year Plan aims for natural gas production to exceed 230 billion cubic meters by 2025, with accelerated construction of storage facilities and pipelines to enhance energy security [2] LNG Market Dynamics - The International Gas Union (IGU) reported a 2.4% year-on-year increase in global LNG trade volume for 2024, indicating resilience in the industry [3] - LNG is expected to play a significant role in alternative fuels for shipping, carbon capture utilization and storage (CCUS), and methane emission reduction, as the industry transitions from traditional high-carbon energy to green clean energy [3] Energy Transition Strategies - A consensus emerged at the conference advocating for a comprehensive energy transition path that balances renewable energy with the utilization of multiple energy sources to ensure stability, affordability, and sustainability [4] - Experts emphasized that a diversified energy approach, incorporating natural gas, is more beneficial for energy security compared to a singular reliance on renewable sources [4] - The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank's president highlighted the importance of clean, just, and sustainable energy investment principles to address the core issues faced by developing countries [4] Technological Innovations - The oil and gas pipeline industry is undergoing a dual mission of achieving safe, green development and intelligent upgrades, with technological innovation being a key driver for sustainable industry growth [5] - The National Pipeline Group's development of a large-scale online simulation system for long-distance natural gas pipelines addresses technical challenges and supports intelligent pipeline construction and energy transition [6] - Natural gas is seen as both a means to ensure energy security and a platform for fostering low-carbon technologies, emphasizing the need for a balanced approach in energy transition [6]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market shows resilience with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.1% and a net inflow of southbound funds amounting to HKD 18.959 billion this week, bringing the total net inflow for the year to over HKD 622.9 billion, a 1.5 times increase compared to the same period last year [1][3] - Dividend sectors, particularly banks, are favored by investors, with China Construction Bank attracting nearly HKD 6 billion in net inflows this week [1][2] - The AH share premium index has dropped to a near four-year low, with the premium of A-shares over H-shares narrowing to 31%, down from a high of 61% in 2024 [3] Group 2 - Southbound funds have shown a preference for the banking sector, with net inflows of HKD 7.196 billion, while the pharmaceutical and telecommunications sectors received net inflows of HKD 4.859 billion and HKD 3.287 billion, respectively [1][2] - Major stocks such as China Construction Bank, Meituan-W, and China Mobile saw significant net inflows, while Tencent Holdings and Alibaba-W experienced net outflows [2] - The overall sentiment in the Hong Kong market is improving, with institutions optimistic about the long-term value of Hong Kong stocks, suggesting a focus on dividend stocks as a stable investment during uncertain times [4] Group 3 - The liquidity of Hong Kong stocks has improved significantly due to the inflow of southbound and overseas funds, with the proportion of Hong Kong Stock Connect holdings increasing from 8% in September 2020 to 20% [3] - The internationalization of the Hong Kong stock market is accelerating, with significant foreign investment interest, as evidenced by the participation of non-U.S. foreign investors in major listings [4] - Analysts suggest that as the U.S. economy weakens and the dollar enters a downtrend, Hong Kong stocks are positioned to benefit from the resulting liquidity influx [4]

Core Viewpoint - The "Three Oil Giants" (China National Petroleum Corporation, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, China National Offshore Oil Corporation) are expected to steadily increase their oil and gas production in response to national calls for "increasing reserves and production" amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties [2][3]. Group 1: Oil and Gas Production - In Q1 2025, the oil and gas equivalent production of the "Three Oil Giants" is projected to grow, with China National Petroleum Corporation, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation showing year-on-year increases of 0.7%, 1.7%, and 4.8% respectively [2]. - The upstream capital expenditure plans for 2025 are set at 210 billion, 76.7 billion, and 130 billion yuan for China National Petroleum Corporation, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation respectively, with expected production growth rates of 1.6%, 1.3%, and 5.9% [2]. Group 2: Transition to Renewable Energy - The "Three Oil Giants" are actively advancing their green and low-carbon transformation, with China National Petroleum Corporation aiming for natural gas to account for over 50% of its total production by 2024 [3]. - China National Petroleum Corporation has established over 10 million kilowatts of wind and solar power generation capacity and aims for a hydrogen production capacity of 8,100 tons per year, reflecting a 23% year-on-year increase [3]. - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation is collaborating with CATL to build a nationwide battery swap network, targeting the construction of at least 500 battery swap stations this year and a total of 10,000 in the future [3]. - China National Offshore Oil Corporation is advancing its CCUS projects, with the first offshore CCUS project in operation, expected to inject over 1 million tons of CO2 over the next decade [3]. Group 3: Oilfield Services Sector - The global upstream capital expenditure is expected to rebound in 2025, projected to exceed 582.4 billion dollars, marking a 5% year-on-year increase, which will benefit the oilfield services sector [4]. - The performance of oilfield service companies under the "Three Oil Giants" is improving, with China National Offshore Oil Corporation's subsidiaries reporting net profits of 0.887 billion, 0.541 billion, and 0.594 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 40%, 14%, and 18% respectively [4].

5月23日恒生指数上涨0.24%，南向资金全天合计成交金额为963.65亿港元，其中，买入成交476.13亿港 元，卖出成交487.52亿港元，合计净卖出金额11.39亿港元。具体来看，港股通（深）累计成交金额 352.18亿港元，买入成交161.92亿港元，卖出成交190.25亿港元，合计净卖出金额28.33亿港元；港股通 （沪）累计成交金额611.47亿港元，买入成交314.21亿港元，卖出成交297.27亿港元，合计净买入金额 16.94亿港元。 成交活跃股方面，今日上榜个股中，南向资金成交金额最多的是小米集团-W，合计成交额58.61亿港 元，腾讯控股、阿里巴巴-W成交额紧随其后，分别成交41.27亿港元、38.56亿港元。以净买卖金额统 计，净买入的个股共有8只，美团-W净买入额为8.42亿港元，净买入金额居首，该股收盘股价上涨 0.66%，建设银行净买入额为6.23亿港元，信达生物净买入额为4.12亿港元。净卖出金额最多的是盈富 基金，净卖出23.24亿港元，该股收盘股价上涨0.25%，腾讯控股、小米集团-W遭净卖出15.65亿港元、 6.53亿港元。 今日上榜个股中，美团-W、信达生物、阿里巴巴 ...

ESG Policies - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment, along with six other departments, has launched a plan to promote the application of new energy vessels such as green methanol, green ammonia, and green hydrogen from 2025 to 2027, emphasizing the importance of cleaning up ports and waterways [1] ESG Initiatives - China's first offshore CCUS project has been put into operation, capturing and storing CO2 while enhancing oil recovery at the Enping 15-1 platform, demonstrating a new model of carbon-driven oil recovery and carbon storage [2] - The State Forestry and Grassland Administration reported significant progress in biodiversity protection, with over 200 endangered species showing recovery and a record 5.059 million wintering waterbirds counted in 2024 [3] ESG Investment - As of March 31, 2025, Hong Kong's ESG fund management assets exceeded HKD 1 trillion, with 218 approved ESG funds and over USD 84 billion in green and sustainable debt issued in 2024, highlighting Hong Kong's strong position in the ESG financial market [4] ESG Actions - Shanxi Province has announced a full subsidy for hydrogen-powered trucks on highways from June 1, 2025, marking the ninth region in China to implement such a policy, promoting low-carbon transition in transportation [5]