Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue of 12.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.92%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.41 billion yuan, up 53.98% year-on-year [5][8] - The domestic engineering machinery market is showing signs of recovery, with significant growth in excavator and loader sales, while overseas sales continue to grow, with a 15.17% increase in Q1 [8] - The company's profitability and cash flow are improving, with a gross margin of 28.67% and a net cash flow from operating activities of 740 million yuan, up 140.96% year-on-year [8] - The company maintains a leading market share in traditional products and is expanding its presence in emerging markets, particularly in agricultural machinery [8] - The company is aggressively expanding its global footprint, with over 430 overseas service points and new manufacturing plants in Hungary and Germany [8] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are maintained, with net profits expected to be 4.85 billion, 6.30 billion, and 7.84 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 14X, 11X, and 9X [8] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue for Q1 2025 is reported at 12.12 billion yuan, with an expected total revenue of 53.26 billion yuan for the full year [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 is 1.41 billion yuan, with an expected net profit of 4.85 billion yuan for the full year [7] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 27.9% for 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 8.2% [7]

Core Viewpoint - The fourth Changsha International Construction Machinery Exhibition showcases the latest innovations and capabilities of Zoomlion, particularly highlighting its 4000-ton all-terrain crane, which is the largest in the world and capable of installing wind turbines at heights of 185 meters [1][3]. Group 1: Equipment and Innovations - The 4000-ton all-terrain crane is the only one in the industry that can meet the requirements for installing 185-meter high wind turbines, equivalent to lifting a 160-ton wind turbine that is 5 meters wide and 12 meters long at a height of 65 stories [3]. - Zoomlion's exhibition area spans nearly 9,000 square meters, featuring nearly 100 pieces of equipment across nine categories, including new-generation construction cranes, concrete machinery, and mining machinery, marking the largest scale and product variety in the company's history [3]. - The exhibition will also showcase world-class products such as the largest 4000-ton all-terrain crane, several hundred-ton mining excavators, the highest aerial ladder fire truck, and the largest wheat machine in terms of feeding capacity in China [3]. Group 2: New Energy Equipment - New energy equipment is a significant highlight, including the ZRT500V4 pure electric tire crane, the industry's first hydrogen energy pump truck, and the world's first largest hundred-ton hybrid mining truck, demonstrating Zoomlion's leadership in green power and energy-saving technologies [5]. Group 3: Digital and Intelligent Solutions - In addition to heavy equipment, Zoomlion will present a series of "soft power" innovations, including demonstrations of pure electric unmanned aerial vehicle swarms, remote control systems for tower cranes, and smart command centers, which collectively outline a vision for the industry's digital and intelligent development [6].

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index opened high and the CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index reported 5990.16 points [1] - The CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index has increased by 4.51% in the past month, 2.70% in the past three months, and 4.12% year-to-date [2] - The CSI 300 Index categorizes its 300 sample stocks into 11 primary industries, 35 secondary industries, over 90 tertiary industries, and more than 200 quaternary industries [2] Group 2 - The top ten weights in the CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index are: Huichuan Technology (18.27%), Sany Heavy Industry (14.28%), CRRC Corporation (10.71%), Weichai Power (9.94%), XCMG (9.0%), China Shipbuilding (8.24%), China Heavy Industry (6.03%), Hengli Hydraulic (4.98%), Zoomlion (4.63%), and Yutong Bus (4.29%) [2] - The market segments of the CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index are composed of 54.62% from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and 45.38% from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [2] Group 3 - The industry composition of the CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index includes: Engineering Machinery (27.91%), Electric Motors and Industrial Control Automation (18.27%), Shipbuilding and Other Marine Equipment (17.25%), Commercial Vehicles (15.10%), Urban Rail and Railways (13.81%), Fluid Machinery (4.98%), and Other Specialized Machinery (2.68%) [3] - The index sample is adjusted every six months, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [3] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with temporary adjustments made in response to changes in the CSI 300 Index samples [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve long-term growth potential through continuous overseas sales, domestic sales resonance, and industry tier expansion [2]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 reached 12.117 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.92% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.410 billion, up 53.98% year-on-year - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 874 million, reflecting a 12.40% year-on-year growth - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 28.67%, an increase of 0.21 percentage points year-on-year - The net profit margin was 12.51%, up 3.84 percentage points year-on-year - The expense ratio for Q1 2025 was 17.74%, a decrease of 0.21 percentage points year-on-year - The net operating cash flow was 740 million, a significant increase of 140.96% year-on-year [2]. Global Expansion - The company's overseas revenue for Q1 2024 was 6.568 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15.17%, accounting for 54.20% of total revenue, up 5.77 percentage points year-on-year - Domestic revenue was 5.549 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 8.59% - The company has established a presence in over 170 countries with more than 430 outlets and over 7,300 overseas employees, including approximately 4,600 local foreign employees - The company has made significant achievements in international standard-setting and is actively expanding into overseas markets, particularly in countries along the "Belt and Road" initiative [3]. Industry Innovation - The company is experiencing rapid revenue growth in its second growth curve businesses, including earthmoving, mining, agricultural machinery, and high-tech equipment - The company is optimizing its industrial structure and accelerating the integration of traditional and emerging industries, with new industries contributing to new growth drivers - Traditional businesses remain strong, with the company holding the top market share in crawler cranes and second in truck cranes, as well as leading in high-value-added all-terrain cranes over 110 tons, construction cranes, and first in concrete mixing stations, and second in pump trucks [3].

Group 1 - Heavy machinery stocks have seen a general increase, with notable gains in companies such as Sany International (up 0.17% to HKD 5.77) and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group (up 1.38% to HKD 19.1) [1] - In Q1 2025, the domestic sales of excavators reached 36,562 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 38.3%, while total excavator sales from major manufacturers amounted to 61,372 units, up 22.8% year-on-year [1] - The average operating rate of construction machinery nationwide was reported at 44.67%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.62%, with 12 provinces exceeding an average operating rate of 50% [1] Group 2 - The acceleration of major engineering projects across various regions is expected to enhance infrastructure investment in Q2, contributing positively to economic stability and growth [2] - Analysts from Huachuang Securities express optimism regarding domestic policy efforts to boost internal demand, suggesting that the engineering machinery sector is likely to benefit significantly [2]

Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 12.117 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.41 billion yuan, up 54.0% year-on-year, exceeding expectations mainly due to asset disposal gains [1] - The company's gross margin improved to 28.7%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, driven by a higher proportion of overseas revenue, which grew by 15.17% year-on-year, with export growth around 20% [1] - Operating cash flow showed significant improvement, with net cash inflow from operating activities reaching 739 million yuan, an increase of 432 million yuan year-on-year [1] Industry Trends - The domestic revenue of the engineering machinery sector is expected to achieve positive growth in 2025, with excavator domestic sales increasing by 38.3% year-on-year in Q1 2025, and export sales up by 5.5% [2] - The company’s products, particularly cranes and concrete-related products, have a higher proportion compared to peers, indicating that domestic revenue is significantly influenced by non-excavator demand, with expectations for a rebound in domestic revenue this year [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains EPS forecasts of 0.58 yuan for 2025 and 0.73 yuan for 2026, with current A-shares trading at 13x/10x P/E for 2025/2026 and H-shares at 9x/7x P/E [3] - Target prices are set at 9.36 yuan for A-shares and 7.58 HKD for H-shares, representing an upside potential of 24.14% and 32.29% respectively, with a maintained outperform rating for the industry [3]

Group 1 - Tsinghua University and Xingdong Jiyuan have open-sourced the first AIGC robot model, VPP, which enhances the generalization ability of robot operation strategies and improves real-time decision-making capabilities [1] - The open-sourcing of the VPP model signifies a deep integration of AIGC and robotics, potentially accelerating the industrialization of intelligent robots and reshaping automation in manufacturing and service industries [1] - The open-source strategy may trigger a wave of technological iterations in the industry, although there are concerns regarding the risk of technology misuse [1] Group 2 - AMD has warned that new U.S. chip export restrictions are expected to result in a $700 million loss for the company in the current quarter and a $1.5 billion reduction in annual revenue [2] - The impact of the export restrictions will primarily be felt in the second and third quarters of the year, as the new measures require AMD to obtain licenses to export advanced AI chips to China [2] - Despite the challenges posed by the export restrictions, AMD's CEO believes that the situation remains manageable due to ongoing efforts within the company [2] Group 3 - Zoomlion is accelerating the development of embodied intelligent robots, leveraging its central research institute and subsidiary Zhongke Yungu to create a new growth curve for the future industry [3] - The company has released two humanoid robot prototypes in the first quarter and is continuously validating, optimizing, and upgrading them [3] - Zoomlion's cross-industry layout in embodied intelligent robots reflects the urgency of traditional manufacturing to integrate with AI, although the commercialization path for humanoid robots remains unclear [3]

Summary of Zhonglian Heavy Industry Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Zhonglian Heavy Industry - **Date**: May 7, 2025 Key Points Financial Performance - **Q1 Revenue**: 12.1 billion CNY, up 3% YoY [2] - **Net Profit**: 1.41 billion CNY, up 54% YoY [2] - **Operating Cash Flow**: Increased by 141% YoY [2] - **Overseas Revenue Growth**: 16% [3] - **Domestic Market Decline**: 8% [3] Market Dynamics - **Overseas Revenue Breakdown**: - Europe and Middle East: 18-19% each, growth of 50-60% [5] - Southeast Asia: 15%, growth of ~20% [5] - Africa: 15%, growth close to 100% [5] - Central Asia and North Asia: decline of ~30% [5] - South America: growth over 50% [5] - **April Performance**: Overseas revenue up ~15%, domestic revenue down single digits [8] Product Performance - **Crane Sales**: Concrete engineering cranes exceeded expectations, showing signs of recovery in the domestic market [2] - **April Growth in Cranes**: - Domestic crawler cranes up over 200% [4] - Domestic automobile cranes up 30-40% [4] - Overall domestic crane growth over 40% in April [4] Strategic Initiatives - **Smart Industrial City Project**: Total investment over 25 billion CNY, expected non-recurring income of 2 billion CNY from old factory relocation [9] - **R&D Subsidies**: 7 billion CNY annually until 2031-2032, with 12 billion CNY confirmed by Q1 2025 [10] - **Cost Reduction Target**: 500-1 billion CNY for 2025 through supply chain agreements and management cost reductions [28] Future Outlook - **Revenue Growth Projections**: - Overall revenue growth of 10-15% expected [4] - Domestic revenue expected to stabilize or slightly increase, overseas revenue projected to grow ~20% [4] - **Profit Margin Expectations**: Slight increase in gross margin, with profit growth expected to exceed 30% [4] Regional Market Expectations - **Africa**: Expected growth over 50% [22] - **South America**: Expected growth over 40% [22] - **Middle East**: Expected growth over 30% [22] - **Southeast Asia**: Slightly above average growth of ~20% [22] - **Europe**: Expected growth around 10% [22] - **Russia and India**: Expected decline of 20-30% [22] Competitive Positioning - **High-altitude Work Platforms**: Export revenue of ~800 million CNY in Q1 2025, with significant growth in "Belt and Road" regions [26] - **Mining Machinery Orders**: Total orders of ~3 billion CNY in 2024, with a focus on enhancing product quality and expanding into international markets [27] Human Resource Strategy - **Dealer Network Expansion**: 40 new dealers added in Q1 2025, with a focus on experienced personnel [17] - **Employee Structure Optimization**: Increase in the proportion of highly educated and young employees, enhancing innovation capabilities [28] Conclusion - **Overall Strategy**: Zhonglian Heavy Industry is focusing on global expansion, product diversification, and digital transformation to navigate market challenges and capitalize on growth opportunities in both domestic and international markets [29]

Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of CNY 12.117 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached CNY 1.410 billion, up 54% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 11.64%, an increase of 3.86 percentage points [1] - Operating cash flow net amount was CNY 740 million, a significant increase of 141% year-on-year, with a cash collection ratio up by 5.11 percentage points [1] Globalization and Market Expansion - The company has accelerated its globalization, diversification, and digital transformation, with overseas revenue increasing by 15.17% [2] - In Q1, over 30 new operational sites were established in countries including the UK, Germany, and Indonesia, bringing the total to over 430 sites in more than 40 countries [2] - Approximately 7,300 overseas employees, with about 4,600 being local hires, and over 210 service parts warehouses established globally [2] Product Performance and Market Trends - The engineering crane segment saw domestic sales exceed expectations, with the company holding the largest market share in large-tonnage crawler cranes [3] - The concrete machinery segment experienced rapid growth in domestic sales, particularly in electric mixing trucks, with significant market penetration [4] - The emerging sectors, including earthmoving and mining machinery, are expanding rapidly, with the mining segment's capacity tripling compared to the beginning of the year [4] Innovation and Technology - The company is leading the high-end, intelligent, and green development of construction machinery, with nearly 10% of revenue coming from new energy products in Q1 [5] - A total of 22 new products were launched, including humanoid robots, as part of the company's innovation strategy [5] Shareholder Returns - The board approved a cash dividend of CNY 3 per 10 shares for the 2024 fiscal year, pending shareholder approval [6] - As of the end of Q1, the company had repurchased H-shares totaling over HKD 160 million, with plans for further repurchases [6] Risk Management and Financial Control - The company reported a significant improvement in cash flow management, with a sales collection rate of 91.57% [5] - Measures to control costs included a reduction in management and financial expenses by 6.67% and 262.09%, respectively [5] - The company maintains a balanced approach to accounts receivable, with domestic and overseas accounts each accounting for approximately 50% [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, both for A-shares and H-shares [5][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved significant growth in net profit, with a 54.0% year-on-year increase, reaching 1.41 billion CNY in Q1 2025. Operating cash flow also saw a substantial rise of 141.0% [1]. - The traditional business segments showed better-than-expected recovery, particularly in concrete machinery and engineering hoisting machinery, with domestic sales turning positive and export targets being exceeded [2]. - Emerging business segments are accelerating, with notable advancements in earthmoving, mining, and agricultural machinery, contributing to a second growth curve for the company [3]. - The overseas market continues to expand, with foreign revenue increasing by 15.2% year-on-year, accounting for 54.2% of total revenue [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 12.12 billion CNY, a 2.9% increase year-on-year, and a gross margin of 28.7%, up by 0.2 percentage points [1]. - The net profit margin improved to 11.6%, reflecting a 3.9 percentage point increase year-on-year [1]. Traditional Business Recovery - The concrete machinery and engineering hoisting machinery segments showed strong recovery, with the company maintaining the largest market share in several categories, including concrete mixing stations and pump trucks [2]. Emerging Business Growth - The company is expanding its product range in earthmoving, mining, and agricultural machinery, with significant growth in the domestic and international markets [3]. International Expansion - The company has established over 30 new operational sites and 12 service parts warehouses in various countries, enhancing its international presence and capacity [4].