Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a strong rebound on November 25, with major indices rising significantly, particularly the ChiNext index which saw an intraday increase of over 3% [1][2]. Market Performance - By midday, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.13%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.04%, and the ChiNext Index was up by 2.60% [2]. - The Hong Kong market also showed strength, with the Hang Seng Index briefly surpassing the 26,000-point mark [1][13]. Sector Performance - The communication sector led the gains, with the index rising over 5% at one point. Notable stocks included Dekoli and Guangku Technology, both hitting the 20% limit up, along with several others achieving significant gains [4][6]. - The electronics sector also performed well, with an intraday increase exceeding 3%. Key stocks included Changguang Huaxin, which rose by 20%, and Tengjing Technology, which saw gains of over 14% [6][8]. New Listings - A new stock, Hai'an Group, debuted with an impressive rise of over 100% at one point during the trading session. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of giant all-steel engineering tires [9][12]. Notable Stocks - In the communication sector, stocks like Dingxin Communications and Shida Group also saw significant increases, with multiple stocks hitting their daily limit up [4][6]. - In the electronics sector, stocks such as Haoli Technology and Huhua Electronics achieved limit-up status, reflecting strong investor interest [8]. Other Market Movements - The media sector showed notable gains, with stocks like Huanrui Century and Xinhua Group achieving consecutive limit-up days [8]. - Other sectors, including non-ferrous metals, comprehensive services, and power equipment, also saw increases of over 2% [8].

摩根士丹利最新研报显示，该行认为铝业的前景已有所改善，这得益于储能系统带来的需求远超其预 期，以及电力问题带来的供应挑战。因此，大摩目前预计中国宏桥盈利将有更大的增长空间。在此基础 上，大摩将中国宏桥目标价从30.6港元上调至44.7港元，并重申为首选股与"增持"评级。 中国宏桥(01378)盘中涨超5%，截至发稿，涨3.91%，报30.82港元，成交额9.4亿港元。 ...

摩根士丹利最新研报显示，该行认为铝业的前景已有所改善，这得益于储能系统带来的需求远超其预 期，以及电力问题带来的供应挑战。因此，大摩目前预计中国宏桥盈利将有更大的增长空间。在此基础 上，大摩将中国宏桥目标价从30.6港元上调至44.7港元，并重申为首选股与"增持"评级。 智通财经APP获悉，中国宏桥(01378)盘中涨超5%，截至发稿，涨3.91%，报30.82港元，成交额9.4亿港 元。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a collective rise in Hong Kong's non-ferrous metal stocks, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December [1][2] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has increased to 82.9%, up from 69.4% the previous day, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is at 17.1% [1] - Analysts suggest that the rising probability of a rate cut will positively impact the non-ferrous metal sector in the short to medium term through three main channels: a weaker dollar, lower financing costs, and improved demand expectations [1] Group 2 - Specific non-ferrous metal stocks that saw significant gains include Lingbao Gold (+3.51%), China Daye Nonferrous Metals (+3.41%), and Zhaojin Mining (+2.85%) [2] - Other notable performers include Zijin Mining (+2.63%), China Hongqiao (+2.36%), and Luoyang Molybdenum (+2.20%), with several other companies also experiencing increases [2] - Spot gold prices rose by 0.2% to $4,141.70 per ounce, supported by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and comments from Fed officials advocating for a more accommodative monetary policy [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Hongqiao (01378.HK) has been actively signaling its value to the capital market, highlighted by a recent placement of 400 million shares raising nearly HKD 11.7 billion, aimed at optimizing its capital structure and advancing domestic and overseas projects [1] Group 1: Market Position and Index Inclusion - China Hongqiao was included in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, effective December 8, which reflects the overall performance of Chinese enterprises listed in Hong Kong [1][2] - The inclusion is significant as the index consists of a fixed number of 50 constituents, and China Hongqiao's market capitalization was nearly double that of the other two newly added stocks, indicating a strong competitive position [2][3] - The company’s weight in the index will be 0.91%, and its proportion in the Hang Seng Index will increase from 0.52% to 0.63% following the change [3] Group 2: Growth and Investment Appeal - China Hongqiao has demonstrated accelerated growth as an industry leader during favorable market conditions, attracting various investment styles from both institutional and retail investors [2][3] - The company is one of only two materials sector firms in the index, underscoring its representative and significant role within the industry [2] - Following its inclusion, China Hongqiao is expected to attract more passive investment flows, enhancing market attention and trading activity [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - Historical performance of newly included stocks in the index shows substantial price increases post-inclusion, with examples like Zijin Mining seeing over a 60% rise since its addition [5] - With a solid fundamental base and positive market sentiment, China Hongqiao is anticipated to be included in more indices, leading to greater institutional investment inflows and accelerating the value discovery process [5]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index Company and Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited announced the quarterly index review results for the Hang Seng Stock Connect China Enterprises Index as of September 30, 2025 [1] - The number of constituent stocks remains at 80, with four new additions: China Hongqiao Group (01378), Innovent Biologics (01801), Yum China (09987), and North Huachuang (002371) [1] - Four stocks were removed from the index: New Energy (02688), Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower (600025), and Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (600887) [1] Group 2 - The changes will take effect on December 8, 2025 [1]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index Company and Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited announced the quarterly index review results for the Hang Seng Stock Connect China Enterprises Index as of September 30, 2025 [1] - The number of constituent stocks remains at 80, with four new additions: China Hongqiao Group (01378), Innovent Biologics (01801), Yum China Holdings (09987), and North Huachuang (002371.SZ) [1][2] - Four stocks were removed from the index: New Energy (02688), Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower (600025.SH), and Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (600887.SH) [1][3] Group 2 - The changes will take effect on December 8, 2025 [1]

其次，大摩还指出，供应面临挑战。在新的供应方面，大摩预计2026年全球产量将达到约140万吨。印 度尼西亚是一个重要的新供应来源国，它拥有铝土矿、煤炭和氧化铝，因此是铝的理想产地。然而，中 国在2021年承诺不会在境外新建任何火力发电设施，以实现碳中和目标。中国企业将需要找到当地的合 作伙伴为其提供电力。电力建设可能需要相当长的时间，即18至24个月。因此，尽管印度尼西亚有大量 铝产能的建设规划，但实际产量却相当缓慢。大摩估计2026年印度尼西亚的新增供应量仅为70万吨。此 外，由于电力问题导致了供应风险，今年全球范围内出现了几次生产中断事件，约70万吨的产能。因 此，大摩预计2026年全球将出现供应短缺。 此外，库存也非常低。目前中国铝的库存仅为60万吨，与过去五年的历史水平相比相对较低。此外，政 府鼓励将熔融铝的比例从目前的约77%提高到2027年的90%，这可能会导致期货市场上可交付的铝锭减 少，从而支撑铝价。 首先，大摩表示，中国铝的需求将因ESS及其他消费电子产品而实现显著增长：随着ESS的增长速度大 幅加快，其使用的铝量也在增加。6月份，ESS在中国整体电池装机量中的占比仅为25%，但此后已增 长 ...

智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报，认为铝业的前景已有所改善，这得益于储能系统(ESS)带来 的需求远超其预期，以及电力问题带来的供应挑战。因此，大摩目前预计中国宏桥(01378)盈利将有更 大的增长空间。在此基础上，大摩将中国宏桥目标价从30.6港元上调至44.7港元，并重申为首选股与"增 持"评级。 其次，大摩还指出，供应面临挑战。在新的供应方面，大摩预计 2026 年全球产量将达到约 140万吨。 印度尼西亚是一个重要的新供应来源国，它拥有铝土矿、煤炭和氧化铝，因此是铝的理想产地。然而， 中国在 2021 年承诺不会在境外新建任何火力发电设施，以实现碳中和目标。中国企业将需要找到当地 的合作伙伴为其提供电力。电力建设可能需要相当长的时间，即 18 至 24 个月。因此，尽管印度尼西亚 有大量铝产能的建设规划，但实际产量却相当缓慢。大摩估计 2026 年印度尼西亚的新增供应量仅为70 万吨。此外，由于电力问题导致了供应风险，今年全球范围内出现了几次生产中断事件，约70万吨的产 能。因此，大摩预计 2026 年全球将出现供应短缺。 此外，库存也非常低。目前中国铝的库存仅为60万吨，与过去五年的历史水平相 ...

Core Insights - The highest short-selling ratios were observed for New World Development-R, Geely Automobile-R, and China Resources Beer-R, all at 100.00% [1] - The top three companies by short-selling amount were Alibaba-SW, Xiaomi Group-W, and Tencent Holdings, with amounts of 2.247 billion, 1.597 billion, and 1.377 billion respectively [1] - The highest deviation values were recorded for Geely Automobile-R, China National Offshore Oil-R, and Meituan-WR, with values of 63.65%, 52.70%, and 40.64% respectively [1] Short-Selling Ratio Rankings - New World Development-R (80016): Short-selling amount of 405,600, with a ratio of 100.00% and a deviation of 25.33% [2] - Geely Automobile-R (80175): Short-selling amount of 872,700, with a ratio of 100.00% and a deviation of 63.65% [2] - China Resources Beer-R (80291): Short-selling amount of 102,900, with a ratio of 100.00% and a deviation of 34.15% [2] - Anta Sports-R (82020): Short-selling amount of 227,100, with a ratio of 88.24% and a deviation of 5.81% [2] - BYD Company-R (81211): Short-selling amount of 1,923,700, with a ratio of 87.66% and a deviation of 28.04% [2] Short-Selling Amount Rankings - Alibaba-SW (09988): Short-selling amount of 2.247 billion, with a ratio of 22.01% and a deviation of 6.56% [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810): Short-selling amount of 1.597 billion, with a ratio of 12.18% and a deviation of -5.08% [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700): Short-selling amount of 1.377 billion, with a ratio of 15.85% and a deviation of -0.40% [2] - XPeng Motors-W (09868): Short-selling amount of 949 million, with a ratio of 32.35% and a deviation of 14.52% [2] Short-Selling Deviation Rankings - Geely Automobile-R (80175): Short-selling amount of 872,700, with a ratio of 100.00% and a deviation of 63.65% [2] - China National Offshore Oil-R (80883): Short-selling amount of 828,200, with a ratio of 74.60% and a deviation of 52.70% [2] - Meituan-WR (83690): Short-selling amount of 2,121,200, with a ratio of 86.46% and a deviation of 40.64% [2] - China Resources Beer-R (80291): Short-selling amount of 102,900, with a ratio of 100.00% and a deviation of 34.15% [2]