呈交日期: 2026年1月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01378 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 20,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.01 | USD | | 200,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | USD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 20,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.01 | USD | | 200,000,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： USD 200,000,000 FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年12月31日 狀態: 新提交 致 ...

Core Insights - The top three companies by stockholding ratio in the Hong Kong Stock Connect are China Telecom (71.90%), GCL-Poly Energy (69.96%), and Da Zhong Public Utilities (68.75%) [1][2] - The companies with the largest increase in stockholding over the last five trading days include SMIC (+1.092 billion), China Merchants Bank (+1.052 billion), and Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (+790 million) [1][2] - The companies with the largest decrease in stockholding over the last five trading days include China Mobile (-3.216 billion), Tencent Holdings (-1.107 billion), and the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (-465 million) [1][2] Stockholding Ratios - China Telecom (00728) holds 99.79 million shares with a stockholding ratio of 71.90% [2] - GCL-Poly Energy (01330) holds 28.3 million shares with a stockholding ratio of 69.96% [2] - Da Zhong Public Utilities (01635) holds 36.7 million shares with a stockholding ratio of 68.75% [2] - Other notable companies in the top 20 include China Shenhua (66.39%) and China Merchants Energy (64.43%) [2] Recent Trading Activity - The top three companies with increased holdings in the last five trading days are: - SMIC (00981): +1.092 billion, +15.28 million shares [2][3] - China Merchants Bank (03968): +1.052 billion, +19.92 million shares [2][3] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388): +790 million, +1.93 million shares [2][3] - The top three companies with decreased holdings in the last five trading days are: - China Mobile (00941): -3.216 billion, -39.36 million shares [2][3] - Tencent Holdings (00700): -1.107 billion, -1.84 million shares [2][3] - Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800): -465 million, -18.01 million shares [2][3]

Group 1 - The capital markets in Hong Kong and A-shares experienced significant growth in 2025, with the non-ferrous metals sector, including precious metals like gold and silver, leading the way with an annual increase of 94.73% [1] - Silver and gold futures saw price increases of over 130% and 40% respectively, with multiple instances of extreme price surges, which also positively impacted other industrial metals [4][5] - The copper sector in the Hong Kong market surged over 261%, significantly outperforming other sectors, while gold and precious metals also saw increases exceeding 170% [4][5] Group 2 - Major companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, such as Zijin Mining and China Hongqiao, reported substantial stock price increases, with Zijin Mining's stock rising over 163% and China Hongqiao's stock increasing by 203.7% [9][11] - Zijin Mining achieved a revenue of 254.2 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a 10.33% year-on-year increase, while net profit rose by 55.45% [17][19] - China Hongqiao's revenue for the first half of the year reached 81.04 billion RMB, a 10.12% increase, with net profit growing by 35.02% [24][26] Group 3 - The non-ferrous metals sector is expected to continue its upward trajectory in 2026 due to favorable monetary conditions and a tight supply-demand balance [4][28] - Global economic factors, such as the restructuring of global order and the weakening of the US dollar, are driving precious metal prices higher [27] - Analysts from major financial institutions, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, express optimism about the non-ferrous metals sector, highlighting structural supply-demand gaps in metals like copper and aluminum [28][29]

Core Viewpoint - The capital markets in 2025 experienced significant activity, with the metals sector, particularly precious metals, leading the gains, showcasing a remarkable annual increase of 94.73% by year-end [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The precious metals sector, including silver and gold, saw year-to-date price increases of over 130% and 40%, respectively, despite regulatory interventions causing a pullback in silver prices [4][5]. - In the Hong Kong stock market, the copper sector surged over 261%, significantly outperforming other sectors, while gold and precious metals also saw increases exceeding 170% [4][5]. - The top five performing sectors in the Hong Kong market were all dominated by non-ferrous metals, marking a historical first [7]. Group 2: Company Performance - Zijin Mining (02899.HK) saw its stock price increase by over 163%, with a market capitalization exceeding 940 billion HKD, outperforming its A-share counterpart [7][9]. - China Molybdenum (03993.HK) experienced a stock price increase of over 287%, with a market cap reaching 410 billion HKD [9]. - China Hongqiao (01378.HK), the largest integrated electrolytic aluminum producer, recorded a stock price increase of 203.7%, with a market cap surpassing 320 billion HKD [9][11]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Zijin Mining reported a revenue of 254.2 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.33%, with a net profit of 37.86 billion RMB, up 55.45% [18][20]. - China Hongqiao's revenue for the first half of the year reached 81.04 billion RMB, a 10.12% increase, with a net profit of 12.36 billion RMB, up 35.02% [20][23]. - China Molybdenum's net profit for the first three quarters reached 14.28 billion RMB, a 72.61% increase, despite a revenue decline of 5.99% [24][26]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The non-ferrous metals sector is expected to continue its upward trajectory in 2026, driven by favorable monetary conditions and a tight supply-demand balance [4][28]. - Global structural supply constraints in copper and aluminum are anticipated to maintain high prices, with projections indicating a significant copper concentrate deficit in 2025 [29]. - Major institutions, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, have expressed positive outlooks on the non-ferrous metals sector, highlighting the growth potential of leading companies like Zijin Mining and China Hongqiao [28][30].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant performance of the non-ferrous metal sector, particularly precious metals like gold and silver, which have outperformed other sectors in 2025, with non-ferrous metals rising by 94.73% throughout the year [2]. Group 1: Market Performance - Precious metals, including silver and gold, saw price increases of over 130% and 40% respectively, with silver experiencing extreme volatility due to regulatory interventions [5]. - In the stock market, non-ferrous metals such as copper, aluminum, cobalt, lithium, and rare earths also entered a strong upward cycle, with leading companies in the sector seeing their stock prices double [5]. - The Hong Kong stock market's non-ferrous sector outperformed other industries, with copper stocks soaring over 261%, and gold and precious metals rising by 197.85% [7][8]. Group 2: Company Performance - Zijin Mining (02899.HK) saw its stock price increase by over 163%, outperforming its A-share counterpart, with a current market capitalization exceeding 940 billion HKD [9]. - Luoyang Molybdenum (03993.HK) surged by over 287%, while China Hongqiao (01378.HK) recorded a 203.7% increase, with both companies showing strong earnings growth [11][22]. - China Hongqiao's revenue for the first half of the year reached 81.04 billion RMB, a 10.12% increase, with net profit rising by 35.02% [22]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Institutions expect the non-ferrous metal sector to continue its upward trajectory in 2026 due to favorable monetary conditions and a tight supply-demand balance [6]. - The article discusses the structural supply-demand gap in copper, with a projected global copper concentrate deficit of 848,000 tons in 2025, indicating a tightening market [32][33]. - The performance of leading companies like Zijin Mining and China Hongqiao is expected to remain strong, supported by their resource reserves and integrated industrial chains [34].

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market closed 2025 with the Hang Seng Index rising by 27.77%, marking its best annual performance since 2017 [1] - Among the constituents of the Hang Seng Index, China Hongqiao surged by 203.72%, leading the gains, followed by Zijin Mining at 162.29%, and SMIC at 124.69% [1][2] Group 1: Performance Highlights - China Hongqiao's stock price reached 32.620 with a year-to-date increase of 203.72% [2] - Zijin Mining's stock price was 35.660, reflecting a year-to-date rise of 162.29% [2] - SMIC's stock price stood at 71.450, with a year-to-date increase of 124.69% [2] - Hansoh Pharmaceutical increased by 113.33% year-to-date, with a stock price of 36.080 [2] - Pop Mart's stock price was 37.700, showing a year-to-date rise of 111.46% [2] - Innovent Biologics saw a year-to-date increase of 108.33%, with a stock price of 76.250 [2] - Chow Tai Fook's stock price was 12.390, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 100.16% [2] - China Biologic Products had a stock price of 6.180, with a year-to-date rise of 98.71% [2] - JD Health's stock price was 55.500, showing a year-to-date increase of 97.51% [2] - China Life's stock price stood at 27.380, with a year-to-date increase of 96.60% [2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The performance of the top stocks reflects four main themes: cyclical resources, hard technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, and niche consumption [1] - Stocks like China Hongqiao and Zijin Mining benefited from global inflation and industrial demand [1] - SMIC represents the core of domestic substitution and technological self-reliance [1] - Companies like Hansoh and Innovent are being valued for genuine innovation and international pricing [1] - Niche consumption sectors, represented by Pop Mart, Chow Tai Fook, and JD Health, demonstrate strong vitality even in a weak recovery environment [1]

Group 1 - The core message of the article highlights the achievements of Weiqiao Chuangye Group in 2025 and the emphasis on its role as a leader in industrial upgrading, innovation, and reform, contributing significantly to the economic and social development of Binzhou [1][2] - The company is encouraged to continue its growth by focusing on high-end, intelligent, and green development in its aluminum and textile industries, aiming for global leadership [1] - Weiqiao Chuangye Group is urged to deepen the integration of technological and industrial innovation to create new productive forces and gain competitive advantages for future development [1] Group 2 - The local government emphasizes a supportive environment for entrepreneurs, implementing initiatives to enhance the comfort and convenience for businesses and their employees in Binzhou [2] - The meeting included the presentation of awards to outstanding collectives and individuals, recognizing their contributions to the company and the community [2]

Core Insights - The global commodity market in 2025 is characterized by a stark contrast, with precious metals like gold and silver experiencing significant price increases, while international oil prices are under pressure due to oversupply and weak demand [2][19]. Precious Metals - The precious metals sector has seen a comprehensive surge, with silver outperforming gold and becoming the "star commodity" of the year, driven by a combination of safe-haven demand, loose monetary policy, supply-demand imbalances, and speculative sentiment [3][7]. - Gold prices rose from $2,624.50 per ounce at the beginning of the year to $4,387.06, marking a 67.16% increase [4]. - Silver prices surged from $28.91 per ounce to $75.63, achieving a remarkable 161.60% increase [5]. Demand Factors - Geopolitical risks have bolstered safe-haven demand for precious metals, with ongoing U.S. sanctions on Venezuelan oil supplies and rising uncertainty prompting global investors to increase their holdings in gold and silver [7]. - The escalating global debt situation has enhanced the value of hard currencies, with significant capital outflows from the bond market into precious metals due to rising long-term interest rate expectations [7]. - The Federal Reserve's shift towards looser monetary policy in 2025, including interest rate cuts and quantitative easing, has reduced the opportunity cost of holding precious metals, directly driving up their prices [7]. Supply Factors - The silver market is experiencing significant supply constraints, with a lack of physical reserves compared to gold, making it more susceptible to price volatility during demand surges [9]. - Global silver production is limited due to declining ore grades and insufficient new project developments, compounded by regulatory and environmental restrictions in major silver-producing countries [10]. Short-term Impacts - Early 2025 saw speculation about potential tariffs on silver, leading to a preemptive accumulation of silver in warehouses, which exacerbated inventory shortages when demand surged in October [13]. - Speculative activities have intensified price volatility in the silver market, with a lower trading volume making it more susceptible to sharp price movements [13]. Copper Market - Copper prices have also seen significant increases, with London copper prices rising over 40% in 2025, driven by policy expectations, supply uncertainties, and structural demand growth [16][18]. - The U.S. government's tariff signals on copper have created arbitrage opportunities, leading to a shift in inventory dynamics and regional supply-demand imbalances [18]. Oil Market - In contrast to the strong performance of precious metals and copper, international oil prices have been in a downward trend, with Brent crude falling from $74.48 per barrel to around $61.47, a decline of 17.47% due to oversupply and weak demand [19]. - OPEC+'s shift towards increased production has contributed to the oversupply, while weak demand from major economies has limited any potential price recovery [19]. Stock Market Impact - The divergence in commodity prices has directly influenced stock market performance, with metal mining stocks benefiting from rising gold, silver, and copper prices, while oil stocks have faced pressure due to declining oil prices [21].

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has issued an article titled "Vigorously Promoting the Optimization and Upgrading of Traditional Industries," which emphasizes the management and optimization of the alumina and copper smelting industries, encouraging large backbone enterprises in these sectors to pursue mergers and acquisitions [1] Industry Summary - The new policy may restrict the planning of new alumina production capacity, which is expected to benefit industry leaders such as China Aluminum and China Hongqiao [1] - The anticipated lower annual copper concentrate processing/refining fees and long-term contract concentrate volumes may indicate a reduction in refined copper production by 2026 [1] - These factors, combined with relatively stable demand, are expected to support copper prices at high levels, benefiting companies like Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Minmetals Resources, and Jiangxi Copper [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the active performance of various metal stocks in the Hong Kong market, with notable increases in share prices for several companies [2] Group 2 - China Aluminum (02600.HK) saw a rise of 5.61%, reaching HKD 12.23 [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum (03993.HK) increased by 3.3%, trading at HKD 19.08 [2] - Zijin Mining (02899.HK) experienced a 3.05% gain, with shares priced at HKD 35.16 [2] - Jiangxi Copper (00358.HK) rose by 2.47%, with a share price of HKD 40.64 [2] - China Hongqiao (01378.HK) increased by 1.7%, reaching HKD 32.3 [2]