Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,665.59, up by 42.71 points or 0.16% on September 29 [1] - The index reached a high of 26,699.71 and a low of 26,495.38 during the trading session, with a trading volume of 61.6389 million [1] - The 52-week high for the index is 26,915.35, while the 52-week low is 18,856.77, indicating a trading range of 0.77% [1] Major Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - HSBC Holdings closed at HKD 109.701, up 0.83% from the previous close [2] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 661.446, reflecting a 0.22% increase from the previous close [2] ADR and Stock Price Movements - Tencent Holdings (ADR) increased by 2.48% to HKD 660.000, with an ADR conversion price of HKD 661.446, showing a rise of HKD 1.446 compared to its Hong Kong stock price [3] - Alibaba Group (ADR) rose by 4.14% to HKD 173.400, with an ADR conversion price of HKD 175.032, indicating an increase of HKD 1.632 [3] - HSBC Holdings (ADR) saw a 1.97% increase to HKD 108.800, with an ADR conversion price of HKD 109.701, up by HKD 0.901 [3] - Other notable movements include a 2.66% increase for Trip.com Group and a 3.09% increase for JD.com [3]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - On September 26, 32 Hong Kong-listed companies conducted share buybacks, totaling 18.93 million shares and an aggregate amount of HKD 787 million [1][2]. Group 1: Buyback Details - Tencent Holdings repurchased 850,000 shares for HKD 550 million, with a highest price of HKD 652.50 and a lowest price of HKD 640.00, bringing its total buyback amount for the year to HKD 56.56 billion [1][2]. - Anta Sports repurchased 1.09 million shares for HKD 99.87 million, with a highest price of HKD 92.55 and a lowest price of HKD 90.20, totaling HKD 1.48 billion in buybacks for the year [1][2]. - Hang Seng Bank repurchased 200,000 shares for HKD 23.32 million, with a highest price of HKD 122.80 and a lowest price of HKD 113.60, accumulating HKD 933.51 million in buybacks for the year [1][2]. Group 2: Buyback Volume Leaders - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation led in buyback volume with 4.53 million shares repurchased on the same day [1][2]. - Other notable companies in terms of buyback volume included Linklogis Technology and Sihuan Pharmaceutical, with 2.23 million and 1.50 million shares repurchased, respectively [1][2]. Group 3: Additional Buyback Information - The buyback activity on September 26 highlighted a significant trend among Hong Kong-listed companies, with Tencent and Anta leading in terms of monetary value [1][2]. - Medical technology company Yidu Tech was noted for its first buyback of the year, indicating a potential shift in its financial strategy [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The second round of interest rate cuts has begun, similar to the period from April to June 2020, highlighting the importance of the silver-gold ratio recovery and the elasticity of silver [2][4] - Inflation data met expectations while consumer confidence hit a new low, increasing the probability of interest rate cuts [4] - In the base metals sector, while the interest rate cut benefits are being realized, concerns about natural demand have led to a decline in industrial metals, except for copper, which saw price increases due to supply disruptions [4][5] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report emphasizes the recovery of the silver-gold ratio and the potential for silver to gain elasticity as inflation expectations rise [4] - It suggests that during the initial phase of the interest rate cut cycle, gold prices are expected to continue a volatile upward trend, with a 90% probability of a rate cut in October and a 65% probability in December [4] - Recommendations include increasing allocations to gold stocks in anticipation of a quarterly resonance in price, valuation, and style [4][5] Industrial Metals - The report notes that copper prices have surged due to supply shocks, particularly from the Grasberg copper mine accident, which is expected to impact sales by nearly 200,000 tons by Q4 2025 and reduce production by 270,000 tons in 2026 [4][5] - Overall, industrial metals have seen a decline, but copper has risen by 3.2% on the SHFE and 2.1% on the LME due to supply constraints [4][22] Strategic Metals - The report highlights the long-term bullish outlook for cobalt prices due to the implementation of an export quota system in the Democratic Republic of Congo, which will lead to a global cobalt market shortage from 2025 to 2027 [5] - It also discusses the strategic importance of rare earths and tungsten, with a focus on the increasing demand and price support for rare earth materials [5] Market Performance - The report indicates that the metal materials and mining sector has outperformed the broader market, with a 2.60% increase compared to a 0.21% rise in the Shanghai Composite Index [13][16] - Specific stocks in the copper and aluminum sectors are highlighted for their growth potential, with recommendations for companies like Luoyang Molybdenum and Zijin Mining [5][20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including 山金国际, 赤峰黄金, 洛阳钼业, 中国宏桥, and 中钨高新 [3]. Core Insights - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, are trading around interest rate cuts, with silver showing potential for a short squeeze due to low inventory levels and continued inflows into ETFs [1][33]. - Industrial metals like copper are supported by production cuts at the Grasberg mine and a reduction in global copper supply, while aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate as the market awaits demand recovery [1][33]. - Energy metals, particularly lithium, are experiencing active trading ahead of the holiday, with expectations of strong supply growth in the fourth quarter [1][33]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold and silver continue to trade based on interest rate expectations, with silver's strong performance linked to low inventory levels and ETF inflows [1][33]. - The U.S. core PCE price index for August recorded a year-on-year rate of 2.9%, aligning with expectations and reducing concerns about interest rate cuts [1][33]. Industrial Metals - Copper prices are supported by production cuts at the Grasberg mine, with a projected reduction of over 500,000 tons in global copper supply over the next 12 to 15 months [1][33]. - Aluminum supply is increasing as production capacity is restored, but prices are expected to remain stable in the short term [1][33]. Energy Metals - Lithium prices are stable, with active trading as companies prepare for the holiday season, and supply expectations remain strong for the fourth quarter [1][33]. - The report notes a slight increase in lithium carbonate production, with inventory levels decreasing [1][33]. Key Companies to Watch - The report highlights several companies to monitor, including 兴业银锡, 盛达资源, 万国黄金集团, 中金黄金, 紫金矿业, 山东黄金, 赤峰黄金, 银泰黄金, 招金矿业, 洛阳钼业, 明泰铝业, and others [1][3].

Core Viewpoint - The article reviews the performance of battery aluminum foil companies in the first half of 2025 and forecasts the industry's future, highlighting challenges such as high concentration in demand and declining processing fees impacting profitability [2][12][29]. Production and Supply - The total production of battery aluminum foil from January to August 2025 reached 317,000 tons, marking a 37% year-on-year increase [3]. - The expected total production for the year is close to 500,000 tons, with effective domestic production capacity at 869,000 tons, where Ding Sheng New Materials holds a 32% market share [5][7]. - The industry shows signs of idle capacity, particularly among newer entrants, while leading players maintain higher utilization rates [9][10]. Financial Performance - Key companies' financial results for the first half of 2025 show varied performance, with Ding Sheng New Materials reporting a revenue of 13.314 billion and a net profit of 188 million, reflecting a 2% increase [11]. - Other companies like Wan Shun New Materials and Jin Yu Co. faced significant declines in revenue and profits, indicating a challenging environment for battery aluminum foil manufacturers [12][14]. Market Dynamics - The demand for battery aluminum foil is highly concentrated, with two major battery cell manufacturers accounting for over 50% of total procurement, leading to increased bargaining power and pressure on profit margins for aluminum foil companies [11]. - The processing fee structure for battery aluminum foil is primarily determined by the price of electrolytic aluminum and the processing fee, with the latter being the main area for price negotiation [16][17]. Future Outlook - The forecast for 2026 anticipates a domestic demand for battery aluminum foil between 650,000 to 700,000 tons, while effective production capacity is expected to reach 921,000 tons [18][19]. - The article suggests that the industry may not see a significant recovery in processing fees in the near term, as the supply-demand balance is expected to stabilize over time [22][29]. - The competitive landscape indicates that while some smaller players may exit the market due to declining processing fees, larger companies with substantial resources are likely to remain resilient [24][27].

证券时报·数据宝统计，中国宏桥在港交所公告显示，9月26日以每股24.460港元至25.240港元的价格回 购50.00万股，回购金额达1247.59万港元。该股当日收盘价24.960港元，上涨0.97%，全天成交额7.02亿 港元。 自9月16日以来公司已连续9日进行回购，合计回购408.55万股，累计回购金额1.03亿港元。 其间该股累 计下跌6.17%。 （文章来源：证券时报网） | 日期 | 回购股数（万股） | 回购最高价（港元） | 回购最低价（港元） | 回购金额（万港元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025.09.26 | 50.00 | 25.240 | 24.460 | 1247.59 | | 2025.09.25 | 100.00 | 25.820 | 24.640 | 2486.93 | | 2025.09.24 | 30.00 | 25.700 | 25.100 | 763.06 | | 2025.09.23 | 51.25 | 26.000 | 24.940 | 1300.92 | | 2025.09.22 | 27.60 | 25.9 ...

Group 1 - The company, China Hongqiao (01378), announced a share buyback plan, committing to repurchase 500,000 shares at a cost of HKD 12.4759 million [1]

格隆汇9月26日丨中国宏桥(01378.HK)发布公告，2025年9月26日耗资1247.59万港元回购50万股，回购 价格每股24.46-25.24港元。 ...

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 中國宏橋集團有限公司 呈交日期： 2025年9月26日 FF305 FF305 確認 不適用 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01378 | 說明 | | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Multiple companies, including Tencent Holdings and Anta Sports, conducted share buybacks on September 25, 2025, with Tencent leading in both the number of shares repurchased and the total amount spent [1]. Company Buyback Details - Tencent Holdings (00700) repurchased 844,000 shares for a total of 550 million, with a year-to-date total of 63.29 million shares, representing 0.689% of its total share capital [2]. - Anta Sports (02020) repurchased 1.065 million shares for 99.82 million, with a year-to-date total of 7.31 million shares, accounting for 0.260% of its total share capital [2]. - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (00386) repurchased 8.1 million shares for 32.97 million, with a year-to-date total of 92.44 million shares, representing 0.080% of its total share capital [2]. - China Hongqiao Group (01378) repurchased 1 million shares for 24.87 million, with a year-to-date total of 153 million shares, accounting for 1.630% of its total share capital [2]. - CIMC (02039) repurchased 3.04 million shares for 23.37 million, with a year-to-date total of 24.78 million shares, representing 0.800% of its total share capital [2]. - Hang Seng Bank (00011) repurchased 200,000 shares for 23.13 million, with a year-to-date total of 7.93 million shares, accounting for 0.421% of its total share capital [2]. - MGM China (02282) repurchased 1 million shares for 15.75 million, with a year-to-date total of 2.58 million shares, representing 0.680% of its total share capital [2]. - Haier Smart Home (06690) repurchased 600,000 shares for 15.17 million, with a year-to-date total of 1.65 million shares, accounting for 0.058% of its total share capital [2]. - Other companies such as Coolpad Group (02369) and Xinyi International (00732) also engaged in buybacks, with Coolpad repurchasing 1.088 million shares for 1.38 million, representing 7.166% of its total share capital [2].