Group 1: Precious Metals - Precious metals have shown strong performance, with gold and silver prices reaching historical highs, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts and rising geopolitical uncertainties [1] - The international gold price closed at $4442.41 per ounce, up 2.41%, while silver closed at $69.01 per ounce, up 2.8% [1] - COMEX silver inventory is approximately 14,000 tons, and London silver market inventory is about 27,000 tons, down about one-third from the peak in 2022, indicating tight supply [1] Group 2: Industrial Metals - Industrial metals are supported by expectations of global monetary easing and domestic growth stabilization policies, with U.S. inflation data reinforcing these expectations [2] - The copper supply chain is experiencing tightness, as evidenced by a significant drop in processing fees for copper concentrate, reflecting a constrained supply [2] - The aluminum supply chain shows a slight increase in supply but a weakening demand, necessitating attention to inventory levels and seasonal demand impacts [2] Group 3: New Energy Metals and Minor Metals - The lithium carbonate market is currently in a phase of tight supply and demand, with prices likely to remain high in the short term due to ongoing inventory depletion [3] - Export controls on rare earths have become a strategic tool in the U.S.-China trade conflict, potentially enhancing China's pricing power in the global rare earth market [3] - The long-term outlook for the rare earth sector remains positive, with policy support expected to drive industry value reassessment [3]

Group 1: Precious Metals - Gold prices have reached a historic high, surpassing $4,465 per ounce, with a significant increase of 2.4% in the previous trading day, marking the largest single-day gain in over a month [1] - The investment demand for gold is expected to drive future price movements, as the negative correlation with long-term U.S. Treasury yields is weakening, indicating a strengthening of gold's status as a safe-haven asset [1] Group 2: Industrial Metals - Industrial metal prices are experiencing a positive trend, with LME copper rising by 2.75% and LME aluminum by 2.80%, while Shanghai tin saw a weekly increase of 6.98% [2] - A supply-demand turning point for refined copper is anticipated around 2026, with optimistic economic growth forecasts for the U.S. and resilient copper demand expected from China [2] - The non-ferrous metals sector has shown strong performance this year, with the Shenwan non-ferrous metals index increasing by 86.57% year-to-date, and the mining ETF (159690) tracking a 96.13% gain [2] Group 3: Financial Performance - The non-ferrous metals industry reported a year-on-year net profit growth of 41.43% in the first three quarters of 2025, with the third quarter showing an even larger increase of 50.81% [2][3] - The average return on equity (ROE) for the non-ferrous mining sector stands at 12.14%, while the Shenwan non-ferrous metals index has an ROE of 10.61% [3] Group 4: Market Movements - On December 23, both precious and industrial metals saw price increases, with Shandong Gold rising over 6%, and other companies like Zhongtung High-tech and Xiamen Tungsten also experiencing gains [4] - The mining ETF (159690) rose by 1.71%, reaching a new high of 1.906 yuan since its listing [4] Group 5: ETF Composition - The mining ETF (159690) closely tracks the non-ferrous mining index, focusing on key metal resources such as copper, gold, rare earths, aluminum, and lithium [5] - The top ten holdings of the ETF include leading companies in the sector, such as Northern Rare Earth, Zijin Mining, and Tianqi Lithium [5]

Group 1 - Gold stocks have strengthened again, with Shandong Gold rising by 5.25% to HKD 38.06, Zhaojin Mining up by 3.72% to HKD 33.48, Lingbao Gold increasing by 3.54% to HKD 19.57, and Chifeng Jilong Gold up by 2.95% to HKD 32.78 [1] - On December 22, COMEX gold prices broke through USD 4450, reaching a new high [1] - Federal Reserve Governor Milan warned that if the Fed does not continue to lower interest rates next year, it may increase the risk of an economic recession, indicating a potential shift towards a more dovish policy [1] Group 2 - Xinyuan Fund stated that the foundation for a gold bull market remains unchanged, although short-term volatility may increase [2] - If the US core PCE continues to decline, it will solidify expectations for two 25 basis point rate cuts in the first half of 2026, with gold prices likely to test the USD 4400 level [2] - The upcoming nomination of a new Fed chairman by Trump is expected to lean more dovish, alongside expanding US fiscal deficits and high debt levels, which will enhance the long-term value of gold [2]

注：COMEX黄金的表现 智通财经12月23日讯（编辑 胡家荣） 受益于国际金价创历史新高，港股黄金股走强。截至发稿，山东黄金(01787.HK)涨5.25%、招金矿业(01818.HK)涨 3.41%、灵宝黄金(03330.HK)涨3.33%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 = | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01787 | 山东黄金 | 38.080 | +1.900 | +5.25% | | 01818 | 招金矿业 | 33.380 | +1.100 | +3.41% | | 03330 | 灵宝黄金 | 19.530 | +0.630 | +3.33% | | 02259 | 紫金黄金国际 | 156.400 | +4.500 | +2.96% | | 06693 | 赤峰黄金 | 32.740 | +0.900 | +2.83% | | 02489 | 集海资源 | 1.120 | +0.030 | +2.75% | | 00340 | 漳关黄金 | 2.970 | +0.070 | +2.41% | 市场热度的背后，是黄金价格在近 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market for gold stocks continues to rise, with Shandong Gold increasing by over 4% [1] - Zhaojin Mining has risen by 3.9%, while Lingbao Gold has increased by 3% [1] - Other companies such as Chifeng Jilong Gold, Zijin Mining International, and Zefeng Gold have all seen increases of over 2%, and China Gold International and Tongguan Gold have risen by 1.7% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong gold stocks continue to rise, driven by increasing gold prices and favorable market conditions, with significant gains observed in various companies [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Shandong Gold increased by over 4%, Zhaojin Mining by 3.9%, Lingbao Gold by 3%, and several other gold companies also saw gains of over 2% [2] - The spot gold price accelerated its rise, reaching a new historical high of $4,490.88 per ounce, with an annual increase of over 71% [1] Group 2: Market Drivers - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to traders betting on the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates twice in 2026, alongside President Trump's advocacy for a looser monetary policy [1] - Geopolitical risks have further enhanced the safe-haven appeal of gold and silver [1] Group 3: Future Predictions - Goldman Sachs and other banks predict that gold prices will continue to rise, with a baseline forecast of $4,900 per ounce by 2026, indicating greater upside risks [1] - ETF investors are beginning to compete with central banks for limited physical supply of gold [1]

消息上，周一纽约时段，现货黄金价格加速上涨，亚洲早盘，现货黄金涨超1%，最高至4490.88美元/盎 司，续创历史新高，年内累涨超71%。分析认为，最新一波上涨源于交易员押注美联储将在2026年降息 两次，美国总统特朗普也公开主张较宽松的货币政策，利率下行通常会给不用支付利息的贵金属提供支 撑。与此同时，地缘政治风险也强化了黄金和白银的避险属性。 港股黄金股继续上涨行情，其中，山东黄金涨超4%，招金矿业涨3.9%，灵宝黄金涨3%，赤峰黄金、紫 金黄金国际、珠峰黄金涨超2%，中国黄金国际、潼关黄金涨1.7%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01787 | 山东黄金 | 37.760 | 4.37% | | 01818 | 招等矿业 | 33.540 | 3.90% | | 03330 | 灵宝黄金 | 19.460 | 2.96% | | 02489 | 集海资源 | 1.120 | 2.75% | | 06693 | 赤峰黄金 | 32.620 | 2.45% | | 02259 | 紫金黄金国际 | 155.600 | 2.44% ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector continues to surge, with the largest non-ferrous ETF, Huabao (159876), reaching a new high, up over 0.6% in intraday trading on December 23 [1][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - Leading gold stocks such as Shandong Gold rose over 4%, while Yunnan Zinc Industry and Zhongjin Gold increased by more than 1% [3][11]. - The international prices of gold and silver have reached historical highs, driven by geopolitical tensions that have increased demand for safe-haven assets [3][11]. - Year-to-date, gold prices have surged over 60% [3][11]. Group 2: Economic Factors - Recent strength in gold prices is attributed to the December interest rate cut, higher-than-expected unemployment rates, and lower-than-expected CPI, which have raised expectations for further rate cuts in January [4][12]. - The long-term outlook for gold prices is positive due to a low current gold reserve in China and a trend of central bank gold purchases [4][12]. Group 3: Future Trends in Non-Ferrous Metals - By 2025, metals such as copper, aluminum, cobalt, and lithium are expected to perform well, driven by three main factors: energy transition, AI revolution, and strategic reserves amid global competition [5][12]. - The duration of the super cycle for non-ferrous metals will depend on the recovery of the US dollar's credit, progress in strategic reserves, and the effectiveness of "anti-involution" policies [5][12]. - The upcoming "spring market" presents opportunities for investors, supported by a weak dollar cycle, policy backing, and industrial upgrades [5][12]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - A diversified investment approach through the Huabao non-ferrous ETF (159876) and its linked funds is recommended to capture the beta performance across the non-ferrous metal sector [6][12]. - This ETF covers a wide range of industries including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, which helps in risk diversification compared to investing in single metal sectors [6][12].

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector continues to surge, with the largest non-ferrous ETF, Huabao (159876), reaching a new high, up over 0.6% in intraday trading [1] Group 1: Market Performance - In the gold sector, Shandong Gold leads with a rise of over 4%, while Western Gold and Zhongjin Gold increase by more than 1% [3] - Among small metal leaders, Yunnan Zhenye and Zhongkuang Resources both rise over 2% [3] - Major stocks such as Zijin Mining and China Aluminum also show positive performance [3] Group 2: Price Trends and Influences - Recent surges in precious metals are attributed to geopolitical tensions, particularly the situation in Israel and Palestine, and escalating U.S.-Venezuela relations, which have heightened demand for safe-haven assets [4] - Gold prices have increased by over 60% year-to-date, reflecting a strong market for precious metals [4] Group 3: Economic Factors - Recent strong gold prices are linked to expectations of interest rate cuts in January due to higher unemployment and lower CPI, alongside the conclusion of the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike [5] - The long-term outlook for gold prices is positive, driven by low domestic gold reserves and ongoing central bank purchases [5] Group 4: Future Outlook for Industrial Metals - By 2025, metals such as copper, aluminum, cobalt, and lithium are expected to perform well, driven by energy transition needs, AI advancements, and strategic reserves amid global competition [6] - The duration of the super cycle for non-ferrous metals will depend on the recovery of U.S. dollar credit, progress in strategic reserves, and the effectiveness of "de-involution" policies [6] Group 5: Investment Strategy - For investors looking to capitalize on the non-ferrous metal sector, a diversified approach through the Huabao non-ferrous ETF (159876) and its associated funds is recommended, as it covers a wide range of metals [7]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，山东黄金(01787.HK)再涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.26%，报37.36港元，成交额8488.05万港 元。 ...