Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,547.45, down by 37.61 points or 0.14% [1] - The index reached a high of 26,639.66 and a low of 26,442.66 during the trading session [1] - The average price for the day was 26,541.16, with a trading volume of 49.443 million shares [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - HSBC Holdings closed at 129.700 HKD, up by 1.17% compared to the previous close [2] - Tencent Holdings closed at 599.924 HKD, down by 0.43% compared to the previous close [2] - Alibaba Group (ADR) saw an increase of 2.19%, closing at 163.200 HKD [3] - Notable declines included NetEase, which fell by 3.70% to 208.000 HKD [3] Individual Stock Movements - Tencent Holdings (ADR) was priced at 599.924, reflecting a decrease of 0.43% compared to its Hong Kong price [3] - Alibaba's ADR was at 164.396, showing an increase of 0.73% compared to its Hong Kong price [3] - HSBC's ADR was at 129.700, indicating an increase of 1.17% compared to its Hong Kong price [3] - Other notable movements included Baidu Group, which increased by 3.29% to 153.700 HKD [3]

Group 1 - Meituan's medical beauty sector is facing aggressive price competition from Alibaba's e-commerce platform, Tmall, which has introduced significant discounts [1][2] - Tmall's "百亿补贴" (100 billion subsidy) strategy has led to the price of the "童颜针" (Aivilan, 84mg) dropping to 1399 yuan per unit, with potential discounts bringing it down to as low as 999 yuan [1][2] - In contrast, Meituan's pricing for the same product remains around 4000 yuan in the Beijing area, indicating a direct challenge to Meituan's market position [2] Group 2 - Meituan has established a strong market presence with nearly 9,500 new medical beauty institutions opened by August 2025, and over 200 upstream brands have joined its platform [3] - Tmall's strategy to attract users through subsidies is a response to the significant barriers Meituan has built with its extensive offline supply network [4] - The medical beauty market has already seen a price war initiated by competitors, such as New Oxygen, which introduced a product priced at 2999 yuan, significantly lower than the market average of 13,000 to 24,000 yuan [5]

Financial Performance - The fund achieved a realized income of approximately 4.19 million yuan but reported a loss of about 0.39 million yuan due to fair value changes impacting overall profit negatively [1] - The net asset value at the end of the reporting period was approximately 80.74 million yuan, with a net asset value per share of 1.3810 yuan [1] Fund Net Value Performance - The fund's net value decreased by 4.27% in Q4, outperforming the benchmark by 0.16 percentage points [2] - Over the past three years, the fund's cumulative net value growth rate was 44.38%, significantly exceeding the benchmark by 8.87 percentage points [2] Investment Strategy and Operations - The fund follows a complete replication strategy tracking the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 Index, adapting to market fluctuations and investor redemptions [3] - The market environment in Q4 2025 was complex, influenced by international negotiations and domestic economic pressures, with the fund focusing on effective index tracking [3] Performance Metrics - The tracking deviation was +0.16%, primarily due to operational costs and adjustments in index constituents [4] - The fund maintained a tracking deviation within the contractually agreed limit of 0.2% [4] Macroeconomic and Market Outlook - The domestic economic transition highlights new productive forces as structural strengths, with a focus on maintaining a strong domestic market [5] - The Hong Kong market is influenced by both domestic economic fundamentals and international monetary policies, necessitating attention to demand recovery and geopolitical changes [5] Fund Asset Composition - Equity investments accounted for 94.82% of the fund's total assets, with cash and equivalents making up 4.92% [6][7] - The fund's asset allocation is highly concentrated in equities, aligning with the index tracking requirements [7] Industry Allocation - The financial sector represented 43.48% of the fund's investments, followed by non-essential consumer goods at 19.77%, indicating a high concentration in these sectors [8] Top Holdings - The top ten holdings accounted for 53.97% of the fund's net asset value, with HSBC Holdings and Tencent Holdings being the largest positions [9] - The concentration in top holdings suggests significant influence on the fund's net value fluctuations [9] Fund Share Changes - The fund experienced a net subscription of 2 million shares during the reporting period, reflecting increased market interest in the Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 Index [10]

Core Insights - A new round of national subsidy policy has been implemented in Shenzhen, significantly boosting consumer enthusiasm for shopping [1][6] - Consumers can enjoy a convenient experience with the national subsidy, receiving products like smartphones and tablets in as fast as 30 minutes [1][6] Group 1: National Subsidy Program - Shenzhen consumers can receive a 15% subsidy by shopping through the Meituan app, which has partnered with local stores of brands like Huawei, Apple, and Xiaomi [1][6] - For example, a 256GB iPhone 17 originally priced at 5999 yuan can save consumers approximately 500 yuan when combined with the national subsidy and platform discounts [1][6] Group 2: Impact on Retail - The implementation of the subsidy has led to a notable increase in sales for digital and home appliance stores in Shenzhen since 2025 [1][6] - Meituan plans to continue expanding its collaboration with local brand stores to ensure that the benefits of the subsidy reach more physical merchants [2][6] Group 3: Delivery and Service Enhancements - To handle the surge in orders due to the subsidy, Meituan has launched a specialized fulfillment service, employing trained delivery personnel for all subsidy orders [2][6] - The service includes features such as on-site unboxing, activation, and photo confirmation to provide consumers with a seamless "buy and use" experience [2][6]

Core Viewpoint - Starting from January 1, 2026, Meituan's shared power banks will be upgraded to Super Fast Charge 2.0 and have received 3C certification along with multiple international compliance certifications from Japan and the EU [1] Group 1 - Meituan has integrated shared power bank benefits into its membership system, allowing users with a Black Gold membership to enjoy 2 hours of shared power bank service per month [1] - Users with a Black Diamond membership can enjoy 4 hours of shared power bank service per month [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the Robovan sector, particularly emphasizing the potential of L4 RoboX technology in 2026 [3]. Core Insights - The 2026 smart technology landscape differs from previous years, focusing more on AI logic and software opportunities rather than hardware and consumer sales [3]. - Key catalysts for Robovan's growth include model iterations, increased RoboX deployments, and supportive policy developments [3]. - The report highlights the successful penetration of Robovan in the express delivery sector, with expectations for expansion into fast-moving consumer goods, durable goods, and chain restaurant applications [3]. - Investment recommendations suggest a strong focus on L4 RoboX as a primary investment theme for 2026 [3]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report draws parallels between the current AI-driven transformation in transportation and the previous 4G mobile internet wave, noting that AI will enhance hardware capabilities and replace existing transportation methods [4][12]. - The report identifies Robovan as a key player in urban logistics, with significant potential for replacing traditional delivery vehicles [4][12]. Robovan Market Dynamics - Robovan's successful deployment in express delivery has led to approximately 27,000 units delivered in the first 11 months of 2025, primarily in the express sector [3]. - The report outlines the expected growth of Robovan in various logistics scenarios, including fast-moving consumer goods and durable goods delivery [3][46]. Technological Advancements - The report discusses the technological advancements in Robovan, including hardware and algorithm improvements that reduce costs and enhance operational efficiency [23][24]. - It emphasizes the importance of a robust supply chain and the integration of AI technologies to facilitate Robovan's commercial viability [23][24]. Policy Support - The report highlights ongoing government support for Robovan technology, with numerous policies aimed at facilitating the deployment and commercialization of autonomous delivery vehicles [12][19]. - It notes that over 250 cities have opened public road rights for Robovan, indicating a favorable regulatory environment for growth [20]. Market Potential - The urban delivery market is projected to reach 1.4292 trillion yuan in 2022, with Robovan expected to capture a significant share due to its efficiency in the supply chain [56]. - The report identifies that 64% of the urban delivery market consists of scenarios suitable for Robovan, indicating substantial growth opportunities [56].

Group 1 - Northbound capital recorded a net buy of HKD 139.3 billion on January 21, with HK Stock Connect (Shanghai) contributing HKD 77.89 billion and HK Stock Connect (Shenzhen) contributing HKD 61.41 billion [1] - The most bought stocks included the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800), Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828), and Alibaba-W (09988), while the most sold stocks were China Mobile (00941), Tencent (00700), and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) [1] - Alibaba-W received a net buy of HKD 10.77 billion, with significant growth in its AI model downloads, surpassing 100 million downloads [5] - China Life (02628) saw a net buy of HKD 10.07 billion, driven by positive expectations in the life insurance sector [5] - Kuaishou-W (01024) gained a net buy of HKD 7.33 billion, with its AI product showing a 350% increase in paid user growth [5] Group 2 - Semiconductor stocks showed divergence, with SMIC (00981) receiving a net buy of HKD 3.87 billion, while Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) faced a net sell of HKD 1.2 billion [6] - TSMC's increased capital expenditure forecast indicates strong long-term demand driven by AI [6] - Shandong Gold (01787) received a net buy of HKD 3.03 billion, with gold prices hitting historical highs amid geopolitical tensions [7] - CNOOC (00883) saw a net buy of HKD 3.64 billion, with ongoing geopolitical tensions affecting oil prices [7] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) and Meituan-W (03690) received net buys of HKD 5.89 billion and HKD 2.04 billion, respectively, while China Mobile (00941) and Tencent (00700) faced net sells of HKD 9.21 billion and HKD 2.71 billion [7]

Core Viewpoint - The launch of a new round of national subsidies in Shenzhen has significantly stimulated the local consumer market, particularly in the electronics sector, with consumers benefiting from immediate discounts and expedited delivery services [1] Group 1: National Subsidy Program - The national subsidy program allows Shenzhen residents to receive a 15% discount on purchases of mobile phones, tablets, and smart wearable devices through the Meituan app [1] - Consumers can experience a quick delivery service, with products like the iPhone 17 being delivered within 30 minutes after purchase [1] Group 2: Impact on Local Retail - The collaboration between Meituan and local brand stores, including Huawei, Apple, and Xiaomi, has led to a notable increase in sales for physical electronics stores since 2025 [1] - The platform aims to expand partnerships with more local brand stores to enhance the benefits of the subsidy program for physical retailers [1] Group 3: Consumer Experience - Meituan has introduced specialized fulfillment services for national subsidy orders, ensuring trained delivery personnel handle the products, providing a secure and immediate setup experience for consumers [1]

Group 1: Fund Manager Insights - Fund manager Fu Pengbo reduced holdings in companies with weak fundamentals and increased investments in data center liquid cooling, storage, and computing-related companies [1][2] - Fu noted that the annual reports of listed companies for 2025 will be pre-disclosed by the end of January 2026, with high-growth sectors like AI, non-ferrous metals, and lithium battery materials expected to show significant growth [1][3] - Li Xiaoxing increased positions in Hong Kong internet and consumer stocks while reducing holdings in some Hong Kong financial stocks, believing that overall opportunities in the equity market for 2026 outweigh risks [1][4] Group 2: Fund Performance and Adjustments - Fu's fund saw minor changes in its top ten holdings, with Maiwei Co. replacing China Mobile, and increased positions in Han's Laser while reducing stakes in companies like Ningde Times and Tencent [2][3] - Li's fund reported a stock position of 88.55% at the end of Q4 2025, a decrease of 4.54 percentage points from Q3 2025, with new entries in the top ten holdings including Tencent, Alibaba, and Meituan [4][5] Group 3: Market Outlook - Fu and Zhu believe that the stock market's activity is increasing, with a "spring excitement" arriving early, and expect high growth in sectors like AI and semiconductor manufacturing [3][6] - Li highlighted that AI remains the main line of global technological innovation, with significant capital expenditure growth in the AI sector, and domestic internet companies expected to maintain stable growth [6][7] - The consumer sector's performance needs dynamic observation, with many quality consumer stocks showing favorable dividend yields [6][7] Group 4: Sector-Specific Insights - The pharmaceutical sector experienced fluctuations in Q4 2025 due to previously high market expectations and capital flowing to other popular sectors, but long-term prospects for domestic innovative drugs remain positive [7] - The CRO and CDMO segments are showing clear signs of recovery in domestic and international demand, indicating an industry turning point [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the overall opportunities in the equity market for 2026 outweigh the risks, with AI remaining the main theme of global technological innovation [1] - As of the end of Q4 2025, the stock position of the Silver Hua Xinyi fund was 88.55%, a decrease of 4.54 percentage points compared to the end of Q3 2025 [1] - The top ten holdings of the fund as of Q4 2025 include Tencent Holdings, Alibaba-W, SMIC, Meituan-W, Xiaomi Group-W, Focus Media, Shenzhou International, Yili Group, Luzhou Laojiao, and Wuliangye [1] Group 2 - The AI industry is experiencing explosive growth in capital expenditure globally, with domestic internet companies also showing rapid growth in capital spending [2] - The consumer sector is expected to lag in 2025, with consumers remaining cautious and price-sensitive, although there are opportunities in high-quality consumer stocks with attractive dividend yields [2] - The pharmaceutical sector experienced fluctuations in Q4, attributed to previously high market expectations and capital flowing to other popular sectors, but there is a long-term positive outlook for domestic innovative drugs and the CRO/CDMO segments [2]