Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. experienced a significant decline in stock price, dropping 7.13% with a trading volume of 7.336 billion yuan, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment towards the company [1] Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is a major player in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, primarily engaged in the mining and processing of copper, molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, niobium, and phosphorus, with a comprehensive integrated industrial chain [2][3] - The company ranks among the top five global molybdenum producers and is the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer globally [2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum reported a revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 60.07% to 8.671 billion yuan [8] - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [9] Recent Developments - In a strategic move, Luoyang Molybdenum's subsidiary signed an agreement to acquire 100% of the shares of Woyuan Holdings, indirectly increasing its stake in Huayue Nickel Cobalt to 21% [2] - The company is also expanding its gold production capabilities, with a projected increase in gold output from 16,000 ounces in 2022 to a guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 56% to 69% [3] Market Position - As of October 14, 2023, Luoyang Molybdenum ranked 45th in terms of market popularity within the A-share market [1] - The company has a diverse revenue stream, with refined metal product trading accounting for 48.56% of total revenue, followed by concentrate product trading at 38.31% [8]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector experienced a significant decline in the afternoon, with copper and precious metals leading the drop, indicating a bearish trend in the market [1] Company Summary - Luoyang Molybdenum Co. Ltd. saw a decline of over 5% in its stock price, reflecting negative market sentiment [1] - Other companies such as Zijin Mining, Shengda Resources, Jiangxi Copper, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, and Zhaojin Mining also experienced rapid declines in their stock prices, following the trend set by Luoyang Molybdenum [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the performance of the Nonferrous ETF Fund (159880), which opened with a gain of 2.40% and reports significant increases in its major holdings, indicating a positive trend in the nonferrous metals sector [1] Group 1: Fund Performance - The Nonferrous ETF Fund (159880) opened at 1.875 yuan, reflecting a 2.40% increase [1] - Since its establishment on March 8, 2021, the fund has achieved a return of 82.49% [1] - The fund's one-month return stands at 16.15% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings Performance - Major holdings in the fund include: - Zijin Mining: up 3.51% [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum: up 3.25% [1] - Northern Rare Earth: up 0.47% [1] - China Aluminum: up 2.92% [1] - Shandong Gold: up 3.90% [1] - Huayou Cobalt: up 3.29% [1] - Zhongjin Gold: up 5.06% [1] - Ganfeng Lithium: unchanged [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold: up 4.36% [1] - Yun Aluminum: up 2.55% [1] Group 3: Fund Management - The fund is managed by Penghua Fund Management Co., Ltd. [1] - The fund manager is Yan Dong [1] - The performance benchmark for the fund is the National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index return [1]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. experienced a 5.1% decline in stock price, closing at 16.36 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 5.068 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 1.71%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 350.011 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. was established on December 22, 1999, and went public on October 9, 2012. The company is primarily engaged in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of precious metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [1] - The revenue composition of the company's main business includes: refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [1] Fund Holdings - According to data from major funds, one fund under Shenwan Hongyuan holds a significant position in Luoyang Molybdenum. The Shenwan Hongyuan Carbon Neutrality Selected Mixed Fund A (016101) reduced its holdings by 1,300 shares in the second quarter, now holding 34,900 shares, which accounts for 3.53% of the fund's net value, ranking as the fifth-largest holding [2] - The Shenwan Hongyuan Carbon Neutrality Selected Mixed Fund A (016101) was established on August 2, 2022, with a latest scale of 6.6552 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 3.79%, ranking 1 out of 2 in its category; the one-year return is 13.05%, also ranking 1 out of 2; however, since inception, it has incurred a loss of 41.68% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has shown significant trading activity and financial performance, with notable increases in net profit despite a decrease in revenue, indicating potential investment opportunities in the company [1][2]. Trading Activity - On October 13, Luoyang Molybdenum's stock rose by 3.11%, with a trading volume of 6.811 billion yuan. The financing buy-in amounted to 711 million yuan, while financing repayment was 637 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of 73.57 million yuan. The total financing and securities balance reached 2.984 billion yuan [1]. - The financing balance of Luoyang Molybdenum on the same day was 2.956 billion yuan, accounting for 0.98% of the circulating market value, which is above the 90th percentile level over the past year, indicating a high level of financing activity [1]. - In terms of securities lending, 40,900 shares were repaid, while 142,900 shares were sold, amounting to 2.4636 million yuan in sales. The remaining securities lending volume was 1.6303 million shares, with a balance of 28.1064 million yuan, also exceeding the 90th percentile level over the past year [1]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. was established on December 22, 1999, and listed on October 9, 2012. The company primarily engages in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of rare metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [2]. - The revenue composition of the company includes refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum reported a revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.671 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 60.07% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders in Luoyang Molybdenum was 237,500, a decrease of 15.95% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person remained at 0 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited held 648 million shares, an increase of 69.4089 million shares from the previous period. Other notable shareholders include Huaxia SSE 50 ETF and Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, which also increased their holdings [3].

Group 1: Metal Industry Overview - The metal industry is experiencing significant changes due to export controls and price fluctuations, particularly in rare earth elements and industrial metals [1][7]. - The Ministry of Commerce has implemented export controls on certain rare earth-related items and technologies containing Chinese components, impacting supply chains [1][7]. Group 2: Industrial Metals - Copper prices are expected to rise due to large-scale mine production cuts, with the current market influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and ongoing supply disruptions [2]. - Aluminum production in China is nearing its peak, with a fragile balance in the market that could lead to shortages if demand increases or supply is disrupted [2]. Group 3: Tin and Precious Metals - Global visible tin inventories have significantly decreased, with a peak of 22,763 tons in May 2024, followed by a reduction to below 9,000 tons by the end of 2022 [3]. - Gold prices are reaching new highs, driven by economic signals from the Federal Reserve and increasing global central bank purchases of gold, with expectations for continued price elevation through 2025 [4][5]. Group 4: Energy Metals - The introduction of a quota system in the Democratic Republic of Congo is expected to create a long-term bullish trend for cobalt prices due to anticipated supply shortages [6]. - Lithium prices are rebounding, supported by stable domestic supply and increasing demand from the global energy storage market [6]. Group 5: Minor Metals - The strategic importance of tungsten is rising, with prices expected to increase due to supply constraints and heightened demand [7]. - The uranium market is projected to grow significantly, with demand expected to reach 91,000 tons by 2035, driven by increased nuclear power generation [8]. Group 6: Recommended Stocks - Companies recommended for investment include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Northern Rare Earth Group, among others, reflecting strong positions in the metal industry [9].

Core Views - The multi-metal strategic attributes continue to strengthen, driving value reassessment in the non-ferrous metal industry [1] - The investment rating remains "outperform" [2] Tin Market Analysis - Global exchange visible inventory has significantly decreased, with a peak of 22,763 tons in May 2024, followed by a reduction to below 9,000 tons by the end of 2022 [5][73] - The price of tin is expected to rise due to the limited number of new global tin mining projects, with most expected to come online after 2027 [51] Precious Metals - Gold prices have reached new highs, driven by signals from the Federal Reserve regarding potential interest rate cuts, with expectations for further increases in gold prices through 2025 [5] Energy Metals - The implementation of a quota system in the Democratic Republic of Congo is expected to lead to a long-term bull market for cobalt prices [6] - Lithium prices are rebounding, supported by strong demand in the global energy storage market, with supply disruptions still present [6] Minor Metals - The strategic attributes of minor metals are strengthening, with rare earth export controls tightening and significant price increases observed [6] - Tungsten prices are expected to rise due to increased demand and supply constraints [8] Industrial Metals - Copper prices are expected to rise due to large copper mine production cuts, with a focus on monitoring inventory changes [7][9] - Aluminum production in China is nearing its peak, with a fragile balance in the market that could shift to shortages if demand increases [7][32] Recommended Investment Targets - The report recommends a diversified portfolio including companies such as Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Northern Rare Earth [6]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, with significant production capabilities in molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, and copper, and is experiencing fluctuations in stock performance and market interest [1][2][3]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in the mining, selection, smelting, and deep processing of precious metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold, and has a comprehensive integrated industrial chain [2][7]. - The company is one of the top five molybdenum producers globally and the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer [2][3]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 94.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 60.07% to 8.67 billion yuan [8]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.56 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.58 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [9]. Production and Growth - The company has been expanding its precious metals business, with the revenue and profit contribution from gold and silver products increasing annually [3]. - In 2023, the company expects to produce between 25,000 to 27,000 ounces of gold from its NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [3]. Market Activity - On October 13, the company's stock rose by 3.11%, with a trading volume of 6.81 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 2.37%, indicating a market interest ranking of 49th in the A-share market [1]. - The stock has seen a net outflow of 2.59 million yuan from major investors today, with a continuous reduction in holdings over the past three days [4][5]. Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the company had 237,500 shareholders, a decrease of 15.95% from the previous period, with the average circulating shares per person remaining at zero [8]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, indicating a diversified ownership structure [9]. Technical Analysis - The average trading cost of the stock is 10.76 yuan, with the current price approaching a resistance level of 18.00 yuan, suggesting potential for a breakout or a pullback [6].

Group 1: Rare Metal ETF Performance - The Rare Metal ETF has a turnover rate of 11.57% during trading, with a transaction volume of 359 million yuan, indicating active market trading [3] - The latest scale of the Rare Metal ETF reached 3.08 billion yuan, marking a new high since its inception and ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The ETF's share reached 3.67 billion shares, also a new high since inception, and ranks first among comparable funds [3] - Over the past three days, the Rare Metal ETF has seen continuous net inflows, with a maximum single-day net inflow of 358 million yuan, totaling 551 million yuan [3] - As of October 10, the net value of the Rare Metal ETF has increased by 17.31% over the past three years [3] - The highest monthly return since inception is 24.02%, with the longest consecutive monthly increase being five months and a maximum increase of 66.25%, averaging a monthly return of 8.60% [3] Group 2: Cobalt Export Quotas and Market Dynamics - According to CITIC Construction Investment, cobalt export quotas for Congo (Kinshasa) have been finalized, with Luoyang Molybdenum, Glencore, and Eurasian Resources holding the top three shares at 35.9%, 27.3%, and 21.6% respectively [4] - The total quota for 2026 and 2027 is set at 96,600 tons, which includes a basic quota of 87,000 tons allocated to production enterprises and a strategic quota of 9,600 tons [4] - Under the quota system, only about 44% of production can be exported, resulting in a reduction of over 100,000 tons [4] - Based on estimates for 2024, with a supply of 270,000 tons and demand of 230,000 tons, the market is expected to shift from a surplus of about 70,000 tons to a shortage of about 30,000 tons, potentially driving cobalt prices higher [4] Group 3: Rare Earth Export Controls - The Ministry of Commerce has issued four documents to strengthen rare earth export controls, adding five categories of medium and heavy rare earths to the export control list [4] - The controls also extend to the entire industrial chain, including equipment, technology, and raw materials, with additional regulations on overseas military and high-end semiconductor demands [4] - The strategic position of rare earths has been further reinforced through these measures [4] Group 4: Rare Metal Index and Investment Opportunities - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metal Theme Index include Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, Huayou Cobalt, and others, collectively accounting for 59.91% of the index [4] - Investors can also participate in the rare metal sector through the Rare Metal ETF linked fund (014111) [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Views - The report highlights the potential for price increases in copper due to supply disruptions and tariff impacts, suggesting that recent price pullbacks may present good buying opportunities [6] - The report emphasizes the strong performance of precious metals, particularly gold, amid renewed tariff concerns between China and the US, recommending an increased allocation to gold [5] - The report notes significant price increases in cobalt intermediate products, forecasting continued price growth in 2026-2027 due to supply-demand imbalances [7] - The report discusses the tightening supply of rare earths due to new export controls, which may lead to price increases in the domestic market [7] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the industry is at 7554.83, with a 52-week high of 7783.14 and a low of 4280.14 [2] Price Movements - Basic metals saw price increases: LME copper rose by 0.76%, aluminum by 2.20%, zinc by 0.95%, and lead by 1.44%. Precious metals also saw gains, with COMEX gold up by 3.80% and silver by 1.44% [21] Inventory Changes - Global visible inventory changes included an increase of 14,579 tons in copper, a decrease of 4,602 tons in aluminum, and an increase of 17,175 tons in lead [30]