Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium Industry stated that the company's performance for 2026 will be disclosed in future periodic reports, indicating that stock price fluctuations are influenced by multiple factors including macro environment, industry cycles, market sentiment, and investor expectations, rather than being directly related to trading suspensions [1] Group 1 - The company emphasizes strict compliance with the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's listing rules and related laws regarding information disclosure and trading suspension management [1] - For the fiscal year 2025, the company confirmed that there are no circumstances that would require a trading suspension check without actually suspending trading [1] - The company is committed to protecting the legitimate rights and interests of minority shareholders and aims to maintain a fair and orderly market environment [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium has established a comprehensive commodity futures hedging management system to mitigate potential risks from price fluctuations of its main products [1] Group 1 - The company has a professional management team dedicated to the commodity futures hedging strategy [1] - The board of directors approved a proposal for conducting lithium carbonate commodity futures hedging business in March 2025 [1] - The company strictly adheres to the authorized limits set by the board and bases its hedging strategies on actual production and business needs [1] Group 2 - The company formulates hedging strategies around its spot risk exposure [1] - The operational execution of the hedging business is aligned with the company's production and operational requirements [1]

（编辑 姚尧） 证券日报网讯 2月2日，天齐锂业在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，为减少公司主营产品价格波动对 公司经营带来的潜在风险，公司建立了较为完善的商品期货套期保值管理制度，并配备了相应的专业管 理团队。公司董事会于2025年3月审议通过了《关于开展碳酸锂商品期货套期保值业务的议案》。在具 体执行层面，公司严格遵守董事会授权额度范围，坚持以实际生产经营及业务需求为基础，围绕现货风 险敞口制定套保策略，开展套期保值业务操作。公司套期保值业务的具体开展情况及相关损益情况，请 关注公司后续披露的定期报告。此外，公司已在《商品期货及衍生品套期保值业务管理制度》及相关内 部制度中系统明确了开展套期保值业务的岗位设置及职能职责、审批权限、风险测算及处理、定期报告 义务等风控措施，具体内容请以公司在巨潮资讯网披露的相关制度文件为准。 ...

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 2.23% to 26,775.57 points, and the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping by 3.36% to 5,526.31 points [1] - Major technology stocks saw significant losses, including Alibaba down 3.49%, Tencent down 1.24%, and JD.com down 1.69% [1] - Gold and silver prices fell sharply, with Shandong Gold and Chifeng Gold both dropping over 12% [1] Company Earnings Forecasts - Haiprime (09989.HK) expects a net profit of 284 million to 377 million yuan for 2025, a decrease of 41.71% to 56.09% year-on-year [2] - Datang Power (00991.HK) anticipates a net profit of approximately 6.8 billion to 7.8 billion yuan for 2025, an increase of about 51% to 73% year-on-year [6] - Longhua Automobile (02333.HK) projects total revenue of 222.79 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year growth of 10.19% [4] - CICC (03908.HK) forecasts a net profit of 8.542 billion to 10.535 billion yuan for 2025, an increase of 50% to 85% year-on-year [5] Company Warnings - Kaisa New Energy (01108.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss increase of approximately 90.07 million to 290 million yuan for 2025 [7] - Xinyi Alloy (00505.HK) also issued a profit warning, anticipating a 50% decrease in profit attributable to equity shareholders for 2025 [8] - Fudan Zhangjiang (01349.HK) expects a net loss of approximately 120 million to 180 million yuan for 2025 [9] Strategic Developments - Innovation Intelligence (02121.HK) signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Shanghai Jiao Tong University Hainan Research Institute [11] - Zhonghui Biotech-B (02627.HK) received approval from the National Medical Products Administration for its trivalent influenza virus subunit vaccine [12]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [6] Core Viewpoints - The macro sentiment has fluctuated significantly, amplifying volatility in the commodity market. Short-term carbonate lithium prices have surged and then retreated, with inventory adjustments providing support. There remains potential for a rebound before the holiday. In the medium term, lithium salt supply is constrained, and mining costs are rising, maintaining the upward price logic for lithium. The cobalt sector is supported by raw material costs, showing strong price resilience with limited downside [4][12][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - The lithium and cobalt sectors are identified as having clear investment value, with recommendations for active positioning. The lithium sector has seen increased price volatility, with futures contracts experiencing significant declines. The price of lithium concentrate was reported at $2,070 per ton, down $144 from the previous week. The carbonate lithium price has significantly corrected, but downstream demand has led to active market transactions [8][12][13]. 2. Company and Industry Dynamics - Various companies have released performance signals, with notable announcements including Pilbara's production advancements and CATL's plans for a new battery manufacturing base in Yunnan. Yongshan Lithium and Yahua Group have provided profit forecasts indicating significant year-on-year growth, while Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium have also reported expected turnarounds in profitability [15][16][17]. 3. Core Data on New Energy Materials - December production data shows mixed trends, with carbonate lithium production up 4% month-on-month and hydroxide lithium up 2%. The inventory levels are undergoing structural adjustments, with significant increases in imports of carbonate lithium and hydroxide lithium [18][31][49].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [6] Core Viewpoints - The macro sentiment has fluctuated significantly, amplifying volatility in the commodity market. Short-term carbonate lithium prices have surged and then retreated, with support from inventory adjustments ahead of the holiday. There remains potential for a rebound before the holiday. In the medium term, lithium salt supply is constrained, and mining costs are rising, maintaining the upward price logic for lithium. The cobalt sector is supported by raw material costs, showing strong price resilience with limited downside [4][12][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - The lithium and cobalt core targets have clear investment value, suggesting active positioning. The lithium sector has seen increased price volatility, with a divergence in the rhythm between mining and salt ends. Futures contracts have dropped significantly, with the Wuxi 2605 contract down 16.65% to 149,200 CNY/ton, and the Guangxi 2605 contract down 18.36% to 148,200 CNY/ton. Lithium concentrate prices have decreased to 2,070 USD/ton, down 144 USD from the previous week. The carbonate lithium price has significantly corrected due to regulatory cooling and market fluctuations, with downstream demand stabilizing [12][13]. 2. Company and Industry Dynamics - Various companies have released performance signals. For instance, Pilbara is evaluating the potential for increased production capacity at its Ngungaju plant, while CATL plans to build a lithium battery manufacturing base in Yunnan. Yongshan Lithium Industry and other companies have announced significant changes in their profit forecasts, reflecting the impact of lithium price fluctuations and operational adjustments [15][16][17]. 3. Core Data on New Energy Materials - In December, domestic carbonate lithium production increased by 4% month-on-month, while hydroxide lithium production rose by 2%. The inventory showed structural adjustments, with a general increase in prices for lithium and cobalt materials. The average price for battery-grade carbonate lithium rose by 7.15% to a range of 161,000-182,000 CNY/ton, and battery-grade hydroxide lithium increased by 8.12% to 158,000-169,000 CNY/ton [18][19][67].

天齐锂业表示，得益于控股子公司锂矿定价周期缩短，旗下公司化学级锂精矿定价机制与公司锂化工产 品销售定价机制在以前年度存在的时间周期错配的影响已大幅减弱。 1月29日，天齐锂业（002466）发布2025年度业绩预告，预计将盈利3.69亿元—5.53亿元，上年同期为亏 损79.05亿元；扣除非经常性损益后净利润为2.4亿元—3.6亿元，上年同期亏损79.23亿元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The lithium carbonate market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with prices recovering significantly since mid-2025, leading to optimistic forecasts for the performance of lithium mining companies in 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Market Conditions - Lithium carbonate prices have increased from 70,000 yuan/ton to around 170,000 yuan/ton since mid-2025, indicating a strong recovery [1]. - The market is characterized by tight supply and high demand expectations, with many lithium mining companies anticipating a significant improvement in their 2025 performance [1][2]. - Recent fluctuations in lithium prices are expected, with analysts predicting a wide range of price movements in the short term due to increased inventory levels among traders and strong demand from downstream markets [1][2]. Group 2: Demand Drivers - The demand for lithium carbonate is expected to remain robust, particularly driven by the strong growth in energy storage battery requirements [2]. - The adjustment of export tax rebates for battery products is anticipated to bring forward market demand to 2027, while national policies are promoting energy storage as a key focus area [2]. - By the end of 2025, new energy storage installations in China are projected to grow by 84% compared to the end of 2024, indicating a significant increase in demand [2]. Group 3: Company Performance - Several lithium companies, including Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium, expect to turn losses into profits in 2025, with projected net profits of 369 million to 553 million yuan and 1.1 billion to 1.65 billion yuan, respectively [3]. - Yahua Group anticipates a substantial increase in product sales in the latter half of 2025 due to improved market conditions and operational efficiencies [3]. - The overall order situation for many industry players, especially leading companies, remains strong, suggesting a positive outlook for the sector [3].

Company News - Great Wall Motors (02333.HK) expects a total revenue of RMB 222.79 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.19%. However, net profit is projected to decline by 21.71% to RMB 9.912 billion due to increased investments in new user channels and marketing for new models and technologies [2] - China Southern Airlines (01055.HK) anticipates turning a profit in 2025, with net profit expected to be between RMB 800 million and RMB 1 billion [2] - CICC (03908.HK) forecasts a net profit of RMB 8.542 billion to RMB 10.535 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 50% to 85% [3] - Datang Power (00991.HK) projects a net profit of approximately RMB 6.8 billion to RMB 7.8 billion in 2025, indicating a year-on-year increase of about 51% to 73% [4] - Rongchang Bio (09995.HK) expects 2025 revenue of approximately RMB 3.25 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 89%, and a net profit of around RMB 716 million, achieving profitability [4] - Haijia Medical (06078.HK) anticipates revenue of approximately RMB 4.0 billion to RMB 4.05 billion in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of about 9% to 10%, with net profit expected to decline by 66% to 76% to around RMB 140 million to RMB 200 million [4] - Junshi Biosciences (01877.HK) expects 2025 revenue of around RMB 2.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of approximately 28.32%, with a net loss of about RMB 873 million, a reduction of 31.85% compared to the previous year [4] - Kaisa New Energy (01108.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a year-on-year increase in net loss of approximately RMB 90.07 million to RMB 290 million [4] - Xingye Alloy (00505.HK) issued a profit warning, anticipating a year-on-year decrease in profit attributable to equity shareholders of about 50% [4] - Fudan Zhangjiang (01349.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss of approximately RMB 120 million to RMB 180 million in 2025 [4] - Chenming Paper (01812.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss of RMB 8.2 billion to RMB 8.8 billion, a significant increase compared to the previous year [5] - Tianqi Lithium (09696.HK) has commenced production of the first batch of standard chemical-grade lithium concentrate products from its third-phase expansion project [6] Financing and Buyback Activities - Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK) repurchased approximately 4.2 million shares for about HKD 150 million, with repurchase prices ranging from HKD 35.13 to HKD 42.50 [10] - Vitasoy International (00345.HK) repurchased shares worth HKD 24.37 million, acquiring 3.492 million shares at prices between HKD 6.9 and HKD 7 [11] - Yujian Xiaomian (02408.HK) plans to repurchase up to HKD 100 million of H-shares [12] - Nanshan Aluminum International (02610.HK) completed a placement of 31 million shares, raising approximately HKD 1.987 billion [12]

Core Viewpoint - The recovery in lithium prices is primarily benefiting mining assets and investment returns rather than evenly distributing across the lithium salt processing segment [5][10]. Group 1: Company Performance Forecasts - Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium both released performance forecasts for 2025, indicating a shift from significant losses in 2024 to profitability [3]. - Ganfeng expects a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.65 billion yuan for 2025, recovering from a loss of 2.074 billion yuan in the previous year [6]. - Tianqi anticipates a net profit of 369 million to 553 million yuan, compared to a loss of 7.905 billion yuan in the same period last year [8]. Group 2: Profit Contribution Analysis - Both companies' profit increases are heavily concentrated in the fourth quarter, closely linked to improvements in upstream resource rights and related investment returns [4]. - Ganfeng's fourth-quarter contribution is estimated to be between 1.074 billion and 1.624 billion yuan, which is crucial for the overall annual results [7]. - Tianqi's fourth-quarter net profit is projected to be between 189 million and 373 million yuan, also significantly impacting the annual profit recovery [8]. Group 3: Investment and Asset Performance - Ganfeng attributes its profit reversal to changes in financial assets and investment returns, including a fair value change gain of approximately 1.03 billion yuan from its holdings in Pilbara Minerals [8]. - Tianqi's profit recovery is supported by increased investment returns from its joint venture SQM, along with gains from currency exchange and reduced asset impairment losses [12][13]. Group 4: Industry Comparison - The recovery in the lithium industry is not uniform; differences arise from resource endowments, cost mechanisms, and production capacity realization [14]. - Yahua Group expects a net profit of 600 million to 680 million yuan for 2025, attributing improvements to rising lithium salt prices and increased sales in the latter half of the year [14]. - Cangge Mining forecasts a net profit of 3.7 billion to 3.95 billion yuan, driven by improvements in both potassium chloride and lithium carbonate businesses [16]. Group 5: Challenges in the Industry - Some lithium salt companies are still facing losses; Shengxin Lithium Energy anticipates a net loss of 600 million to 850 million yuan for 2025 due to industry supply-demand dynamics and exchange losses [16]. - Tibet Mining expects a net loss of 20 million to 40 million yuan, indicating that price rebounds are insufficient to improve current financial statements [17].